When will littlegolem reach 2,000,000 games? General forum

11 replies. Last post: 2017-12-14

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When will littlegolem reach 2,000,000 games?
  • Carroll at 2017-12-11

    LG is over 1,900,000 games played, try to guess on which we will play the 2 millionth game ?

    My guess is on 2nd of October 2018.

  • The_Burglar at 2017-12-11

    2018-08-08 08:08:08 my guess for start time of game 2 000 000


  • mmKALLL ★ at 2017-12-12

    2017-06-05 05:06:20.17

  • The_Burglar at 2017-12-12

    2017-06-05 is in the past

  • Carroll at 2017-12-12

    Should we agree on a limit date to post answers?

    I propose 2018-02-28 23:59:59 as this limit date.

    Also maybe we should not accept manipulation by creating tons of new games on proposed date.

  • Carroll at 2017-12-12

    Or we could go until last second with a rating system giving more points for earlier answers depending on both distance to correct answer and distance in time for the prediction ?

    I don’t know what the right formula for this point system would be. It seems like exponentially harder to give accurate prediction in advance, but maybe some estimators become precise after a few months of data and the months left until final time do not matter too much ?

  • purgency at 2017-12-12

    My guess is 2018

  • Carroll at 2017-12-12

    Oh so another parameter to take into account for the rating formula is the precision of the guessing date ;)

  • purgency at 2017-12-12

    WHAT?!

    Okay okay, i’m changing my guess. I have done all the maths. the last 100k games took 14 months. Given that there is only 90k to go it has to be approximately in 14*0.9=12.6 months. My guess is christmas 2018.

  • Carroll at 2017-12-12

    234.2 games a day?

    I haven’t seen that on last days...

  • mmKALLL ★ at 2017-12-14

    Einstein 1-point has a pretty active scene, huh? ;)

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