Dots and Boxes: dots.ch.31.1.1 predictions

35 replies. Last post: 2013-05-23
Reply to this topic       Return to forum

dots.ch.31.1.1 predictions 2013-02-22 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1 I’ve been requested to follow dots.ch.31.1.1 by RoRoRo the Bot For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page . Already completed matches: Games completed: 0/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 michael 2085 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 5.55% 0.55% 17.91% 2 bobo11 1838 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.06% 0.00% 88.52% 3 Hjallti 1885 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.13% 0.02% 80.06% 4 Thnikkaman 1896 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.19% 0.03% 77.41% 5 aldiris 1938 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.45% 0.08% 65.50% 6 Dryad 2020 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 2.23% 0.27% 37.47% 7 JeanHebert 2057 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 3.78% 0.43% 26.52% 8 Marius Halsor 2104 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 7.51% 0.60% 15.99% 9 Geoff Cameron 2358 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 78.70% 1.06% 0.22% 10 passenger 1835 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.03% 0.01% 90.41% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-02-24 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: aldiris 0 – 2 Dryad Games completed: 1/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Dryad 2032 - _ _ _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 0 3.43% 0.41% 22.58% 2 Geoff Cameron 2358 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 77.48% 1.22% 0.15% 3 michael 2085 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 5.83% 0.58% 17.81% 4 JeanHebert 2057 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 3.86% 0.41% 25.08% 5 bobo11 1838 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.04% 0.01% 89.48% 6 aldiris 1926 0 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.09% 0.02% 79.57% 7 Thnikkaman 1896 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.17% 0.04% 78.24% 8 passenger 1835 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.04% 0.01% 89.99% 9 Hjallti 1885 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.12% 0.03% 81.50% 10 Marius Halsor 2104 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 7.45% 0.66% 15.60% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-03-03 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: Thnikkaman 2 – 0 aldiris Games completed: 2/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Dryad 2037 - _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ _ _ 2 0 3.47% 0.41% 23.66% 2 Thnikkaman 1913 _ - _ _ _ _ 2 _ _ _ 2 0 0.39% 0.08% 62.69% 3 Marius Halsor 2104 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 7.32% 0.64% 14.84% 4 Geoff Cameron 2358 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 77.68% 1.14% 0.18% 5 michael 2085 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 5.65% 0.55% 18.95% 6 JeanHebert 2057 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 3.82% 0.43% 26.05% 7 aldiris 1914 0 0 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.03% 0.01% 91.33% 8 bobo11 1838 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.05% 0.00% 90.00% 9 passenger 1835 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.03% 0.01% 90.36% 10 Hjallti 1885 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.09% 0.04% 81.95% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-03-05 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: Geoff Cameron 0 – 2 Dryad <-— major upset! Games completed: 3/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Dryad 2064 - _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 _ 4 0 27.45% 1.95% 4.89% 2 Thnikkaman 1920 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 0 0.83% 0.19% 65.18% 3 bobo11 1838 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.07% 0.02% 91.27% 4 Geoff Cameron 2331 0 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 40.46% 2.33% 1.47% 5 michael 2085 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 9.29% 1.08% 21.19% 6 JeanHebert 2057 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 6.32% 0.86% 28.86% 7 Marius Halsor 2104 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 11.71% 1.34% 17.35% 8 Hjallti 1885 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.23% 0.04% 84.63% 9 aldiris 1914 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.03% 0.02% 92.83% 10 passenger 1835 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.07% 0.03% 92.33% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-03-09 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: Hjallti 0 – 2 Dryad Games completed: 4/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Dryad 2085 - _ 2 2 2 _ _ _ _ _ 6 0 36.58% 2.39% 1.90% 2 Thnikkaman 1902 _ - _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 0 0.54% 0.13% 69.06% 3 Geoff Cameron 2331 0 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 33.93% 2.53% 1.33% 4 aldiris 1914 0 0 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.02% 0.01% 91.34% 5 Hjallti 1878 0 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.06% 0.01% 89.08% 6 JeanHebert 2057 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 5.75% 0.85% 27.19% 7 michael 2085 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 8.51% 1.10% 20.54% 8 bobo11 1838 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.07% 0.02% 91.14% 9 passenger 1835 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.09% 0.01% 91.60% 10 Marius Halsor 2104 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 10.80% 1.34% 16.81% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-03-10 sghsal Interesting championship, too bad I can’t participate any longer. A delayed “have fun” to all participants and yeah, I hope our newcomer Dryad will make it! :) 2013-03-12 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: aldiris 0 – 2 Geoff Cameron Games completed: 5/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Dryad 2095 - 2 _ _ _ 2 _ 2 _ _ 6 4 37.83% 2.37% 1.53% 2 Geoff Cameron 2333 0 - _ _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 0 34.74% 2.47% 0.86% 3 Thnikkaman 1902 _ _ - _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 0 0.48% 0.11% 68.99% 4 Marius Halsor 2104 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 10.08% 1.34% 15.35% 5 JeanHebert 2057 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 5.13% 0.87% 27.09% 6 aldiris 1917 0 0 0 _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 93.01% 7 passenger 1835 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.04% 0.01% 91.57% 8 Hjallti 1878 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.04% 0.01% 89.69% 9 michael 2085 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 8.05% 1.12% 20.74% 10 bobo11 1838 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.06% 0.02% 91.16% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-03-13 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: aldiris 2 – 0 Hjallti Geoff Cameron 2 – 0 Thnikkaman Games completed: 7/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Dryad 2095 - 2 _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 _ 6 12 37.13% 2.25% 1.37% 2 Geoff Cameron 2335 0 - 2 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 4 8 37.30% 2.31% 0.49% 3 Thnikkaman 1900 _ 0 - 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 0.21% 0.06% 70.83% 4 aldiris 1931 0 0 0 - _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 0 0.00% 0 87.14% 5 passenger 1835 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.06% 0.01% 90.83% 6 JeanHebert 2057 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 4.98% 0.77% 27.01% 7 bobo11 1838 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.06% 0.01% 90.81% 8 michael 2085 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 7.45% 1.04% 19.99% 9 Hjallti 1864 0 _ _ 0 _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.01% 0.00% 95.27% 10 Marius Halsor 2104 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 9.49% 1.34% 16.28% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-03-19 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: Hjallti 0 – 2 Geoff Cameron Games completed: 8/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Dryad 2095 - 2 _ 2 _ _ 2 _ _ _ 6 16 36.46% 2.03% 1.57% 2 Geoff Cameron 2336 0 - 2 2 _ _ 2 _ _ _ 6 8 39.29% 2.19% 0.39% 3 Thnikkaman 1928 _ 0 - 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 0.30% 0.10% 64.37% 4 aldiris 1931 0 0 0 - _ _ 2 _ _ _ 2 0 0 0.01% 88.07% 5 bobo11 1838 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.05% 0.01% 90.95% 6 michael 2085 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 7.13% 1.01% 20.80% 7 Hjallti 1863 0 0 _ 0 _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0 0.00% 96.34% 8 JeanHebert 2057 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 4.61% 0.73% 28.69% 9 passenger 1835 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.05% 0.01% 91.71% 10 Marius Halsor 2104 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 8.95% 1.28% 17.11% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-03-21 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: Hjallti 0 – 2 Thnikkaman ★ Games completed: 9/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Dryad 2099 - 2 _ 2 _ _ 2 _ _ _ 6 16 36.56% 2.26% 1.84% 2 Geoff Cameron 2336 0 - 2 2 _ _ 2 _ _ _ 6 12 39.51% 2.35% 0.45% 3 Thnikkaman ★ 1947 _ 0 - 2 _ _ 2 _ _ _ 4 4 0.53% 0.25% 51.30% 4 aldiris 1944 0 0 0 - _ _ 2 _ _ _ 2 0 0 0.00% 88.62% 5 passenger 1835 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.04% 0.01% 91.99% 6 bobo11 1838 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.05% 0.01% 92.14% 7 Hjallti 1851 0 0 0 0 _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 99.10% 8 michael 2085 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 6.75% 1.00% 23.52% 9 JeanHebert 2057 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 4.38% 0.80% 31.68% 10 Marius Halsor ★ 2104 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 8.85% 1.23% 19.36% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-03-23 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: michael 0 – 2 Thnikkaman ★ Games completed: 10/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Geoff Cameron 2336 - 0 2 2 _ _ _ _ 2 _ 6 16 40.99% 2.51% 0.44% 2 Dryad 2099 2 - _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 _ 6 16 37.89% 2.16% 2.14% 3 Thnikkaman ★ 1983 0 _ - 2 2 _ _ _ 2 _ 6 4 2.28% 0.76% 20.75% 4 aldiris 1941 0 0 0 - _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 0 0 0.00% 90.05% 5 michael 2064 _ _ 0 _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 2.02% 0.42% 47.73% 6 JeanHebert 2057 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 4.54% 0.70% 33.21% 7 bobo11 1838 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.05% 0.01% 92.74% 8 passenger 1835 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.04% 0.01% 93.08% 9 Hjallti 1851 0 0 0 0 _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0 0 99.23% 10 Marius Halsor ★ 2104 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 8.80% 1.23% 20.63% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-03-25 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: Thnikkaman ★ 2 – 0 Marius Halsor ★ Games completed: 11/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Thnikkaman ★ 2004 - 0 _ 2 2 _ 2 _ _ 2 8 4 7.03% 1.81% 3.46% 2 Geoff Cameron 2336 2 - 0 2 _ _ 2 _ _ _ 6 20 42.69% 2.71% 0.41% 3 Dryad 2099 _ 2 - 2 _ _ 2 _ _ _ 6 16 37.62% 2.22% 2.15% 4 aldiris 1941 0 0 0 - _ _ 2 _ _ _ 2 0 0 0.00% 89.13% 5 michael 2064 0 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.77% 0.38% 46.67% 6 JeanHebert 2057 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 4.74% 0.69% 31.54% 7 Hjallti 1851 0 0 0 0 _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 99.15% 8 bobo11 1838 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.04% 0.01% 92.67% 9 passenger 1835 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.05% 0.00% 92.89% 10 Marius Halsor ★ 2083 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 2.45% 0.53% 41.92% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-03-28 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: passenger 0 – 2 Dryad Games completed: 12/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Dryad 2104 - _ 2 2 _ 2 2 _ _ _ 8 16 43.00% 2.68% 1.11% 2 Thnikkaman ★ 2006 _ - 0 2 _ 2 _ 2 2 _ 8 4 6.96% 1.86% 3.14% 3 Geoff Cameron 2336 0 2 - 2 _ 2 _ _ _ _ 6 20 37.51% 2.91% 0.39% 4 aldiris 1943 0 0 0 - _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 0 0 0 88.68% 5 bobo11 1838 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.04% 0.01% 92.05% 6 Hjallti 1851 0 0 0 0 _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 99.03% 7 passenger 1830 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.01% 0 95.25% 8 michael 2064 _ 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 1.66% 0.33% 47.10% 9 Marius Halsor ★ 2083 _ 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 2.27% 0.44% 41.06% 10 JeanHebert 2057 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 4.76% 0.75% 32.20% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-04-01 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: Marius Halsor ★ 0 – 2 aldiris Games completed: 13/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Dryad 2107 - _ 2 2 2 _ _ _ _ 2 8 20 44.74% 2.71% 0.71% 2 Thnikkaman ★ 2019 _ - 0 2 2 _ 2 2 _ _ 8 8 7.44% 2.05% 2.37% 3 Geoff Cameron 2336 0 2 - 2 2 _ _ _ _ _ 6 24 37.63% 2.96% 0.26% 4 aldiris 1980 0 0 0 - 2 _ 2 _ _ _ 4 0 0 0 67.41% 5 Hjallti 1851 0 0 0 0 - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 99.28% 6 bobo11 1838 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.05% 0.01% 91.87% 7 Marius Halsor ★ 2062 _ 0 _ 0 _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.52% 0.12% 64.51% 8 michael 2064 _ 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 1.59% 0.31% 45.83% 9 JeanHebert 2057 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 4.29% 0.71% 32.11% 10 passenger 1830 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.01% 0.00% 95.65% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-04-01 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: Dryad 2 – 0 Marius Halsor ★ Dryad 0 – 2 Thnikkaman ★ Games completed: 15/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Thnikkaman ★ 2038 - 2 0 2 2 _ _ 2 2 _ 10 28 18.68% 6.65% 0.04% 2 Dryad 2102 0 - 2 2 2 _ _ _ 2 2 10 20 22.63% 6.36% 0.17% 3 Geoff Cameron 2336 2 0 - 2 _ _ _ _ 2 _ 6 28 44.82% 7.01% 0.09% 4 aldiris 1980 0 0 0 - 2 _ _ _ 2 _ 4 0 0 0 63.74% 5 Marius Halsor ★ 2048 0 0 _ 0 - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.00% 0.01% 81.65% 6 bobo11 1838 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.03% 0.01% 91.03% 7 JeanHebert 2057 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 4.49% 0.68% 27.61% 8 michael 2064 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 1.19% 0.32% 41.75% 9 Hjallti 1851 0 0 0 0 _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0 0 99.11% 10 passenger 1830 _ 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.01% 0.00% 94.81% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-04-02 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: michael 0 – 2 Dryad Games completed: 16/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Dryad 2116 - 0 2 2 2 _ _ 2 2 2 12 20 38.62% 9.57% 0.00% 2 Thnikkaman ★ 2038 2 - 0 2 2 _ _ _ 2 2 10 32 16.22% 9.27% 0.01% 3 Geoff Cameron 2336 0 2 - 2 2 _ _ _ _ _ 6 28 30.72% 9.67% 0.07% 4 aldiris 1980 0 0 0 - 2 _ _ _ _ 2 4 0 0 0 56.54% 5 Hjallti 1851 0 0 0 0 - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 98.59% 6 bobo11 1838 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.03% 0.00% 88.96% 7 JeanHebert 2057 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 3.92% 0.61% 23.87% 8 passenger 1830 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 93.42% 9 michael 2050 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.02% 0.04% 58.70% 10 Marius Halsor ★ 2048 0 0 _ 0 _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0 79.83% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-04-02 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: aldiris 0 – 2 michael Games completed: 17/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Dryad 2116 - 0 2 2 2 2 _ 2 _ 2 12 24 38.82% 9.64% 0 2 Thnikkaman ★ 2038 2 - 0 2 2 _ _ 2 _ 2 10 36 16.61% 9.45% 0.03% 3 Geoff Cameron 2336 0 2 - 2 _ _ _ 2 _ _ 6 28 30.17% 9.55% 0.10% 4 aldiris 1968 0 0 0 - 0 _ _ 2 _ 2 4 0 0 0 76.71% 5 michael 2062 0 0 _ 2 - _ _ _ _ _ 2 8 0.03% 0.05% 38.87% 6 passenger 1830 0 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.01% 0.00% 93.26% 7 JeanHebert 2057 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 3.80% 0.62% 23.82% 8 Hjallti 1851 0 0 0 0 _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0 0 98.64% 9 bobo11 1838 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.04% 0.01% 89.78% 10 Marius Halsor ★ 2048 0 0 _ 0 _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0.00% 78.80% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-04-03 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: Marius Halsor ★ 2 – 0 Hjallti Hjallti 0 – 2 michael Games completed: 19/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Dryad 2117 - 0 2 2 2 2 _ _ 2 2 12 32 39.33% 9.69% 0.00% 2 Thnikkaman ★ 2038 2 - 0 2 2 2 _ _ _ 2 10 44 16.76% 9.42% 0.03% 3 Geoff Cameron 2336 0 2 - _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 6 28 29.38% 9.36% 0.13% 4 michael 2069 0 0 _ - 2 _ _ _ _ 2 4 8 0.06% 0.08% 33.57% 5 aldiris 1968 0 0 0 0 - 2 _ _ _ 2 4 4 0 0 81.13% 6 Marius Halsor ★ 2055 0 0 _ _ 0 - _ _ _ 2 2 0 0 0.00% 74.51% 7 JeanHebert 2057 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 3.92% 0.59% 25.85% 8 bobo11 1838 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.05% 0.01% 90.55% 9 passenger 1830 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 94.24% 10 Hjallti 1837 0 0 0 0 0 0 _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0 99.99% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-04-04 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: bobo11 0 – 2 Hjallti bobo11 0 – 2 aldiris bobo11 0 – 2 JeanHebert michael 2 – 0 bobo11 passenger 2 – 0 bobo11 Dryad 2 – 0 bobo11 Geoff Cameron 2 – 0 bobo11 Thnikkaman ★ 2 – 0 bobo11 bobo11 0 – 2 Marius Halsor ★ Games completed: 28/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Dryad 2123 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 _ 2 2 14 56 37.37% 14.21% 0 2 Thnikkaman ★ 2053 2 - 0 2 2 2 2 _ _ 2 12 64 19.86% 14.13% 0 3 Geoff Cameron 2337 0 2 - _ 2 _ 2 _ _ 2 8 40 23.63% 14.13% 0.09% 4 michael 2074 0 0 _ - 2 _ 2 _ _ 2 6 16 0 0.14% 30.18% 5 aldiris 1978 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 _ _ 2 6 12 0 0 78.37% 6 Marius Halsor ★ 2060 0 0 _ _ 0 - 2 _ _ 2 4 4 0 0 74.83% 7 Hjallti 1852 0 0 0 0 0 0 - _ _ 2 2 0 0 0 100% 8 JeanHebert 2062 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 2 2 0 4.05% 0.89% 24.47% 9 passenger 1843 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 0.01% 0 92.06% 10 bobo11 1773 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-04-04 Christian K ★ It would have been more impressive if he had managed to win all the games at the same time :) 2013-04-04 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: aldiris 2 – 0 passenger Games completed: 29/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Dryad 2133 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 _ 2 2 14 60 38.14% 14.76% 0 2 Thnikkaman ★ 2054 2 - 0 2 2 2 2 _ _ 2 12 68 20.05% 14.74% 0 3 Geoff Cameron 2337 0 2 - 2 _ _ 2 _ _ 2 8 44 22.46% 14.70% 0.06% 4 aldiris 1988 0 0 0 - 0 2 2 _ 2 2 8 16 0 0 65.11% 5 michael 2074 0 0 _ 2 - _ 2 _ _ 2 6 20 0 0.09% 33.89% 6 Marius Halsor ★ 2060 0 0 _ 0 _ - 2 _ _ 2 4 4 0 0 77.72% 7 Hjallti 1852 0 0 0 0 0 0 - _ _ 2 2 0 0 0 100% 8 JeanHebert 2062 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 2 2 0 3.76% 0.80% 26.80% 9 passenger 1833 0 _ _ 0 _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 0.00% 0 96.42% 10 bobo11 1773 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-04-06 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: passenger 0 – 2 Thnikkaman ★ Games completed: 30/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Thnikkaman ★ 2065 - 2 0 2 2 2 2 _ 2 2 14 72 24.42% 18.82% 0 2 Dryad 2142 0 - 2 2 2 2 2 _ 2 2 14 60 30.14% 18.79% 0 3 Geoff Cameron 2337 2 0 - 2 _ _ 2 _ _ 2 8 48 22.49% 18.50% 0.05% 4 aldiris 1981 0 0 0 - 0 2 2 _ 2 2 8 16 0 0 64.96% 5 michael 2074 0 0 _ 2 - _ 2 _ _ 2 6 20 0 0.12% 32.48% 6 Marius Halsor ★ 2060 0 0 _ 0 _ - 2 _ _ 2 4 4 0 0 77.54% 7 Hjallti 1852 0 0 0 0 0 0 - _ _ 2 2 0 0 0 100% 8 JeanHebert 2062 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 2 2 0 3.50% 0.78% 26.14% 9 passenger 1826 0 0 _ 0 _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 0 0 98.84% 10 bobo11 1773 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-04-09 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: Thnikkaman ★ 2 – 0 JeanHebert Games completed: 31/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Thnikkaman ★ 2041 - 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16 76 45.31% 34.59% 0 2 Dryad 2142 0 - 2 2 2 2 2 2 _ 2 14 60 0 34.59% 0 3 Geoff Cameron 2337 2 0 - 2 _ _ _ 2 _ 2 8 52 20.10% 34.59% 0.03% 4 aldiris 1972 0 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 _ 2 8 16 0 0 57.65% 5 michael 2074 0 0 _ 2 - _ _ 2 _ 2 6 20 0 0 27.14% 6 Marius Halsor ★ 2060 0 0 _ 0 _ - _ 2 _ 2 4 4 0 0 73.98% 7 passenger 1826 0 0 _ 0 _ _ - _ _ 2 2 0 0 0 98.49% 8 Hjallti 1852 0 0 0 0 0 0 _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0 100% 9 JeanHebert 2045 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 0 0 42.71% 10 bobo11 1773 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-04-11 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: michael 2 – 0 Marius Halsor ★ Games completed: 32/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Christian K ★ 2046 - 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16 80 45.63% 34.45% 0 2 Dryad 2142 0 - 2 2 2 2 _ 2 2 2 14 64 0 34.45% 0 3 Geoff Cameron 2337 2 0 - _ 2 _ _ 2 _ 2 8 52 19.92% 34.45% 0.02% 4 michael 2089 0 0 _ - 2 2 _ 2 _ 2 8 28 0 0 5.27% 5 aldiris 1972 0 0 0 0 - 2 _ 2 2 2 8 16 0 0 62.37% 6 Marius Halsor ★ 2045 0 0 _ 0 0 - _ 2 _ 2 4 4 0 0 92.85% 7 JeanHebert 2045 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 2 0 0 0 40.85% 8 Hjallti 1852 0 0 0 0 0 0 _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0 100% 9 passenger 1826 0 0 _ _ 0 _ _ _ - 2 2 0 0 0 98.64% 10 bobo11 1773 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-04-14 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: JeanHebert 0 – 2 aldiris Games completed: 33/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Christian K ★ 2060 - 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 16 84 44.60% 36.63% 0 2 Dryad 2142 0 - 2 2 2 2 2 2 _ 2 14 68 0 36.63% 0 3 aldiris 1993 0 0 - 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 10 20 0 0 17.52% 4 Geoff Cameron 2337 2 0 2 - _ _ 2 _ _ 2 8 56 18.77% 36.63% 0.02% 5 michael 2089 0 0 2 _ - 2 2 _ _ 2 8 32 0 0 12.74% 6 Marius Halsor ★ 2045 0 0 0 _ 0 - 2 _ _ 2 4 4 0 0 93.86% 7 Hjallti 1852 0 0 0 0 0 0 - _ _ 2 2 0 0 0 100% 8 passenger 1826 0 0 0 _ _ _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0 99.49% 9 JeanHebert 2026 0 _ 0 _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 0 0 76.36% 10 bobo11 1773 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-04-20 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: passenger 0 – 2 Geoff Cameron Geoff Cameron 0 – 2 michael <-— major upset! Games completed: 35/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Christian K ★ 2066 - 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16 88 100% 0 0 2 Dryad 2142 0 - 2 2 2 2 _ 2 2 2 14 76 0 0 0 3 Geoff Cameron 2313 2 0 - 0 2 _ _ 2 2 2 10 60 0 0 0 4 michael 2114 0 0 2 - 2 2 _ _ 2 2 10 52 0 0 0.00% 5 aldiris 1995 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 2 2 2 10 20 0 0 32.00% 6 Marius Halsor ★ 2045 0 0 _ 0 0 - _ _ 2 2 4 4 0 0 94.33% 7 JeanHebert 2026 0 _ _ _ 0 _ - _ _ 2 2 0 0 0 73.91% 8 passenger 1825 0 0 0 _ 0 _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0 99.76% 9 Hjallti 1852 0 0 0 0 0 0 _ _ - 2 2 0 0 0 100% 10 bobo11 1773 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-04-20 Hjallti Congrats Christian, it seems former champ michael has played the decisive game here.. 2013-04-21 sghsal Good job Thnikkaman (it’s hard to get used to your new name). After all you deserved your victory. 2013-04-21 Christian K ★ Thanks a lot. I was very surprised to win this one (actually I wouldn’t have thought I could stay i league 1). The new online tool to analyze matches has been wonderful for me, and I did indeed spend a lt of time analyzing my games, which paid off. Thanks a lot to all participants, I am already looking forward to the next one :) 2013-04-22 Dryad Congrats! 2013-04-22 ypercube Well done! 2013-05-02 Christian K ★ Does RoRoRo stop after the winner has been decided? 2013-05-02 ypercube @Christian K: Yes. 2013-05-02 Christian K ★ Ok, but why? 2013-05-23 FatPhil To cut down the noise. I guess that those who have permission to request predictions (to be posted to the forums) probably have permission to request that he update the predictions after the winner’s been decided. I guess the subject line “predict update”, and anything in the body should work. Were there any particularly interesting games that someone would like to give a commentary for? (If you write it but can’t record it, then someone else can record it I’m sure)

Reply to this topic