dots.ch.31.1.1 predictions Dots and Boxes

35 replies. Last post: 2013-05-23

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dots.ch.31.1.1 predictions
  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-02-22

    Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1
    I’ve been requested to follow dots.ch.31.1.1 by RoRoRo the Bot
    For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page .

    • Already completed matches:

    Games completed: 0/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 michael 2085 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 5.55% 0.55% 17.91%
    2 bobo11 1838 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.06% 0.00% 88.52%
    3 Hjallti 1885 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.13% 0.02% 80.06%
    4 Thnikkaman 1896 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.19% 0.03% 77.41%
    5 aldiris 1938 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.45% 0.08% 65.50%
    6 Dryad 2020 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 2.23% 0.27% 37.47%
    7 JeanHebert 2057 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 3.78% 0.43% 26.52%
    8 Marius Halsor 2104 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 7.51% 0.60% 15.99%
    9 Geoff Cameron 2358 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 78.70% 1.06% 0.22%
    10 passenger 1835 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.03% 0.01% 90.41%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-02-24

    Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • aldiris 0 – 2 Dryad

    Games completed: 1/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Dryad 2032 - _ _ _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 0 3.43% 0.41% 22.58%
    2 Geoff Cameron 2358 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 77.48% 1.22% 0.15%
    3 michael 2085 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 5.83% 0.58% 17.81%
    4 JeanHebert 2057 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 3.86% 0.41% 25.08%
    5 bobo11 1838 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.04% 0.01% 89.48%
    6 aldiris 1926 0 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.09% 0.02% 79.57%
    7 Thnikkaman 1896 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.17% 0.04% 78.24%
    8 passenger 1835 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.04% 0.01% 89.99%
    9 Hjallti 1885 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.12% 0.03% 81.50%
    10 Marius Halsor 2104 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 7.45% 0.66% 15.60%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-03

    Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Thnikkaman 2 – 0 aldiris

    Games completed: 2/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Dryad 2037 - _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ _ _ 2 0 3.47% 0.41% 23.66%
    2 Thnikkaman 1913 _ - _ _ _ _ 2 _ _ _ 2 0 0.39% 0.08% 62.69%
    3 Marius Halsor 2104 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 7.32% 0.64% 14.84%
    4 Geoff Cameron 2358 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 77.68% 1.14% 0.18%
    5 michael 2085 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 5.65% 0.55% 18.95%
    6 JeanHebert 2057 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 3.82% 0.43% 26.05%
    7 aldiris 1914 0 0 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.03% 0.01% 91.33%
    8 bobo11 1838 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.05% 0.00% 90.00%
    9 passenger 1835 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.03% 0.01% 90.36%
    10 Hjallti 1885 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.09% 0.04% 81.95%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-05

    Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Geoff Cameron 0 – 2 Dryad <-— major upset!

    Games completed: 3/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Dryad 2064 - _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 _ 4 0 27.45% 1.95% 4.89%
    2 Thnikkaman 1920 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 0 0.83% 0.19% 65.18%
    3 bobo11 1838 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.07% 0.02% 91.27%
    4 Geoff Cameron 2331 0 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 40.46% 2.33% 1.47%
    5 michael 2085 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 9.29% 1.08% 21.19%
    6 JeanHebert 2057 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 6.32% 0.86% 28.86%
    7 Marius Halsor 2104 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 11.71% 1.34% 17.35%
    8 Hjallti 1885 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.23% 0.04% 84.63%
    9 aldiris 1914 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.03% 0.02% 92.83%
    10 passenger 1835 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.07% 0.03% 92.33%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-09

    Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Hjallti 0 – 2 Dryad

    Games completed: 4/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Dryad 2085 - _ 2 2 2 _ _ _ _ _ 6 0 36.58% 2.39% 1.90%
    2 Thnikkaman 1902 _ - _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 0 0.54% 0.13% 69.06%
    3 Geoff Cameron 2331 0 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 33.93% 2.53% 1.33%
    4 aldiris 1914 0 0 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.02% 0.01% 91.34%
    5 Hjallti 1878 0 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.06% 0.01% 89.08%
    6 JeanHebert 2057 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 5.75% 0.85% 27.19%
    7 michael 2085 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 8.51% 1.10% 20.54%
    8 bobo11 1838 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.07% 0.02% 91.14%
    9 passenger 1835 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.09% 0.01% 91.60%
    10 Marius Halsor 2104 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 10.80% 1.34% 16.81%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • sghsal at 2013-03-10

    Interesting championship, too bad I can’t participate any longer. A delayed “have fun” to all participants and yeah, I hope our newcomer Dryad will make it! :)

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-12

    Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • aldiris 0 – 2 Geoff Cameron

    Games completed: 5/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Dryad 2095 - 2 _ _ _ 2 _ 2 _ _ 6 4 37.83% 2.37% 1.53%
    2 Geoff Cameron 2333 0 - _ _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 0 34.74% 2.47% 0.86%
    3 Thnikkaman 1902 _ _ - _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 0 0.48% 0.11% 68.99%
    4 Marius Halsor 2104 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 10.08% 1.34% 15.35%
    5 JeanHebert 2057 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 5.13% 0.87% 27.09%
    6 aldiris 1917 0 0 0 _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 93.01%
    7 passenger 1835 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.04% 0.01% 91.57%
    8 Hjallti 1878 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.04% 0.01% 89.69%
    9 michael 2085 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 8.05% 1.12% 20.74%
    10 bobo11 1838 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.06% 0.02% 91.16%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-13

    Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • aldiris 2 – 0 Hjallti
    • Geoff Cameron 2 – 0 Thnikkaman

    Games completed: 7/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Dryad 2095 - 2 _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 _ 6 12 37.13% 2.25% 1.37%
    2 Geoff Cameron 2335 0 - 2 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 4 8 37.30% 2.31% 0.49%
    3 Thnikkaman 1900 _ 0 - 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 0.21% 0.06% 70.83%
    4 aldiris 1931 0 0 0 - _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 0 0.00% 0 87.14%
    5 passenger 1835 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.06% 0.01% 90.83%
    6 JeanHebert 2057 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 4.98% 0.77% 27.01%
    7 bobo11 1838 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.06% 0.01% 90.81%
    8 michael 2085 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 7.45% 1.04% 19.99%
    9 Hjallti 1864 0 _ _ 0 _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.01% 0.00% 95.27%
    10 Marius Halsor 2104 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 9.49% 1.34% 16.28%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-19

    Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Hjallti 0 – 2 Geoff Cameron

    Games completed: 8/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Dryad 2095 - 2 _ 2 _ _ 2 _ _ _ 6 16 36.46% 2.03% 1.57%
    2 Geoff Cameron 2336 0 - 2 2 _ _ 2 _ _ _ 6 8 39.29% 2.19% 0.39%
    3 Thnikkaman 1928 _ 0 - 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 0.30% 0.10% 64.37%
    4 aldiris 1931 0 0 0 - _ _ 2 _ _ _ 2 0 0 0.01% 88.07%
    5 bobo11 1838 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.05% 0.01% 90.95%
    6 michael 2085 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 7.13% 1.01% 20.80%
    7 Hjallti 1863 0 0 _ 0 _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0 0.00% 96.34%
    8 JeanHebert 2057 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 4.61% 0.73% 28.69%
    9 passenger 1835 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.05% 0.01% 91.71%
    10 Marius Halsor 2104 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 8.95% 1.28% 17.11%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-21

    Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Hjallti 0 – 2 Thnikkaman ★

    Games completed: 9/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Dryad 2099 - 2 _ 2 _ _ 2 _ _ _ 6 16 36.56% 2.26% 1.84%
    2 Geoff Cameron 2336 0 - 2 2 _ _ 2 _ _ _ 6 12 39.51% 2.35% 0.45%
    3 Thnikkaman ★ 1947 _ 0 - 2 _ _ 2 _ _ _ 4 4 0.53% 0.25% 51.30%
    4 aldiris 1944 0 0 0 - _ _ 2 _ _ _ 2 0 0 0.00% 88.62%
    5 passenger 1835 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.04% 0.01% 91.99%
    6 bobo11 1838 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.05% 0.01% 92.14%
    7 Hjallti 1851 0 0 0 0 _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 99.10%
    8 michael 2085 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 6.75% 1.00% 23.52%
    9 JeanHebert 2057 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 4.38% 0.80% 31.68%
    10 Marius Halsor ★ 2104 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 8.85% 1.23% 19.36%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-23

    Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • michael 0 – 2 Thnikkaman ★

    Games completed: 10/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Geoff Cameron 2336 - 0 2 2 _ _ _ _ 2 _ 6 16 40.99% 2.51% 0.44%
    2 Dryad 2099 2 - _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 _ 6 16 37.89% 2.16% 2.14%
    3 Thnikkaman ★ 1983 0 _ - 2 2 _ _ _ 2 _ 6 4 2.28% 0.76% 20.75%
    4 aldiris 1941 0 0 0 - _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 0 0 0.00% 90.05%
    5 michael 2064 _ _ 0 _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 2.02% 0.42% 47.73%
    6 JeanHebert 2057 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 4.54% 0.70% 33.21%
    7 bobo11 1838 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.05% 0.01% 92.74%
    8 passenger 1835 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.04% 0.01% 93.08%
    9 Hjallti 1851 0 0 0 0 _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0 0 99.23%
    10 Marius Halsor ★ 2104 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 8.80% 1.23% 20.63%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-25

    Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Thnikkaman ★ 2 – 0 Marius Halsor ★

    Games completed: 11/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Thnikkaman ★ 2004 - 0 _ 2 2 _ 2 _ _ 2 8 4 7.03% 1.81% 3.46%
    2 Geoff Cameron 2336 2 - 0 2 _ _ 2 _ _ _ 6 20 42.69% 2.71% 0.41%
    3 Dryad 2099 _ 2 - 2 _ _ 2 _ _ _ 6 16 37.62% 2.22% 2.15%
    4 aldiris 1941 0 0 0 - _ _ 2 _ _ _ 2 0 0 0.00% 89.13%
    5 michael 2064 0 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.77% 0.38% 46.67%
    6 JeanHebert 2057 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 4.74% 0.69% 31.54%
    7 Hjallti 1851 0 0 0 0 _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 99.15%
    8 bobo11 1838 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.04% 0.01% 92.67%
    9 passenger 1835 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.05% 0.00% 92.89%
    10 Marius Halsor ★ 2083 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 2.45% 0.53% 41.92%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-28

    Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • passenger 0 – 2 Dryad

    Games completed: 12/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Dryad 2104 - _ 2 2 _ 2 2 _ _ _ 8 16 43.00% 2.68% 1.11%
    2 Thnikkaman ★ 2006 _ - 0 2 _ 2 _ 2 2 _ 8 4 6.96% 1.86% 3.14%
    3 Geoff Cameron 2336 0 2 - 2 _ 2 _ _ _ _ 6 20 37.51% 2.91% 0.39%
    4 aldiris 1943 0 0 0 - _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 0 0 0 88.68%
    5 bobo11 1838 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.04% 0.01% 92.05%
    6 Hjallti 1851 0 0 0 0 _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 99.03%
    7 passenger 1830 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.01% 0 95.25%
    8 michael 2064 _ 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 1.66% 0.33% 47.10%
    9 Marius Halsor ★ 2083 _ 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 2.27% 0.44% 41.06%
    10 JeanHebert 2057 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 4.76% 0.75% 32.20%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-04-01

    Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Marius Halsor ★ 0 – 2 aldiris

    Games completed: 13/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Dryad 2107 - _ 2 2 2 _ _ _ _ 2 8 20 44.74% 2.71% 0.71%
    2 Thnikkaman ★ 2019 _ - 0 2 2 _ 2 2 _ _ 8 8 7.44% 2.05% 2.37%
    3 Geoff Cameron 2336 0 2 - 2 2 _ _ _ _ _ 6 24 37.63% 2.96% 0.26%
    4 aldiris 1980 0 0 0 - 2 _ 2 _ _ _ 4 0 0 0 67.41%
    5 Hjallti 1851 0 0 0 0 - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 99.28%
    6 bobo11 1838 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.05% 0.01% 91.87%
    7 Marius Halsor ★ 2062 _ 0 _ 0 _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.52% 0.12% 64.51%
    8 michael 2064 _ 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 1.59% 0.31% 45.83%
    9 JeanHebert 2057 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 4.29% 0.71% 32.11%
    10 passenger 1830 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.01% 0.00% 95.65%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-04-01

    Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Dryad 2 – 0 Marius Halsor ★
    • Dryad 0 – 2 Thnikkaman ★

    Games completed: 15/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Thnikkaman ★ 2038 - 2 0 2 2 _ _ 2 2 _ 10 28 18.68% 6.65% 0.04%
    2 Dryad 2102 0 - 2 2 2 _ _ _ 2 2 10 20 22.63% 6.36% 0.17%
    3 Geoff Cameron 2336 2 0 - 2 _ _ _ _ 2 _ 6 28 44.82% 7.01% 0.09%
    4 aldiris 1980 0 0 0 - 2 _ _ _ 2 _ 4 0 0 0 63.74%
    5 Marius Halsor ★ 2048 0 0 _ 0 - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.00% 0.01% 81.65%
    6 bobo11 1838 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.03% 0.01% 91.03%
    7 JeanHebert 2057 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 4.49% 0.68% 27.61%
    8 michael 2064 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 1.19% 0.32% 41.75%
    9 Hjallti 1851 0 0 0 0 _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0 0 99.11%
    10 passenger 1830 _ 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.01% 0.00% 94.81%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-04-02

    Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • michael 0 – 2 Dryad

    Games completed: 16/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Dryad 2116 - 0 2 2 2 _ _ 2 2 2 12 20 38.62% 9.57% 0.00%
    2 Thnikkaman ★ 2038 2 - 0 2 2 _ _ _ 2 2 10 32 16.22% 9.27% 0.01%
    3 Geoff Cameron 2336 0 2 - 2 2 _ _ _ _ _ 6 28 30.72% 9.67% 0.07%
    4 aldiris 1980 0 0 0 - 2 _ _ _ _ 2 4 0 0 0 56.54%
    5 Hjallti 1851 0 0 0 0 - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 98.59%
    6 bobo11 1838 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.03% 0.00% 88.96%
    7 JeanHebert 2057 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 3.92% 0.61% 23.87%
    8 passenger 1830 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 93.42%
    9 michael 2050 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.02% 0.04% 58.70%
    10 Marius Halsor ★ 2048 0 0 _ 0 _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0 79.83%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-04-02

    Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • aldiris 0 – 2 michael

    Games completed: 17/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Dryad 2116 - 0 2 2 2 2 _ 2 _ 2 12 24 38.82% 9.64% 0
    2 Thnikkaman ★ 2038 2 - 0 2 2 _ _ 2 _ 2 10 36 16.61% 9.45% 0.03%
    3 Geoff Cameron 2336 0 2 - 2 _ _ _ 2 _ _ 6 28 30.17% 9.55% 0.10%
    4 aldiris 1968 0 0 0 - 0 _ _ 2 _ 2 4 0 0 0 76.71%
    5 michael 2062 0 0 _ 2 - _ _ _ _ _ 2 8 0.03% 0.05% 38.87%
    6 passenger 1830 0 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.01% 0.00% 93.26%
    7 JeanHebert 2057 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 3.80% 0.62% 23.82%
    8 Hjallti 1851 0 0 0 0 _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0 0 98.64%
    9 bobo11 1838 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.04% 0.01% 89.78%
    10 Marius Halsor ★ 2048 0 0 _ 0 _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0.00% 78.80%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-04-03

    Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Marius Halsor ★ 2 – 0 Hjallti
    • Hjallti 0 – 2 michael

    Games completed: 19/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Dryad 2117 - 0 2 2 2 2 _ _ 2 2 12 32 39.33% 9.69% 0.00%
    2 Thnikkaman ★ 2038 2 - 0 2 2 2 _ _ _ 2 10 44 16.76% 9.42% 0.03%
    3 Geoff Cameron 2336 0 2 - _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 6 28 29.38% 9.36% 0.13%
    4 michael 2069 0 0 _ - 2 _ _ _ _ 2 4 8 0.06% 0.08% 33.57%
    5 aldiris 1968 0 0 0 0 - 2 _ _ _ 2 4 4 0 0 81.13%
    6 Marius Halsor ★ 2055 0 0 _ _ 0 - _ _ _ 2 2 0 0 0.00% 74.51%
    7 JeanHebert 2057 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 3.92% 0.59% 25.85%
    8 bobo11 1838 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.05% 0.01% 90.55%
    9 passenger 1830 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 94.24%
    10 Hjallti 1837 0 0 0 0 0 0 _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0 99.99%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-04-04

    Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • bobo11 0 – 2 Hjallti
    • bobo11 0 – 2 aldiris
    • bobo11 0 – 2 JeanHebert
    • michael 2 – 0 bobo11
    • passenger 2 – 0 bobo11
    • Dryad 2 – 0 bobo11
    • Geoff Cameron 2 – 0 bobo11
    • Thnikkaman ★ 2 – 0 bobo11
    • bobo11 0 – 2 Marius Halsor ★

    Games completed: 28/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Dryad 2123 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 _ 2 2 14 56 37.37% 14.21% 0
    2 Thnikkaman ★ 2053 2 - 0 2 2 2 2 _ _ 2 12 64 19.86% 14.13% 0
    3 Geoff Cameron 2337 0 2 - _ 2 _ 2 _ _ 2 8 40 23.63% 14.13% 0.09%
    4 michael 2074 0 0 _ - 2 _ 2 _ _ 2 6 16 0 0.14% 30.18%
    5 aldiris 1978 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 _ _ 2 6 12 0 0 78.37%
    6 Marius Halsor ★ 2060 0 0 _ _ 0 - 2 _ _ 2 4 4 0 0 74.83%
    7 Hjallti 1852 0 0 0 0 0 0 - _ _ 2 2 0 0 0 100%
    8 JeanHebert 2062 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 2 2 0 4.05% 0.89% 24.47%
    9 passenger 1843 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 0.01% 0 92.06%
    10 bobo11 1773 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • Christian K at 2013-04-04

    It would have been more impressive if he had managed to win all the games at the same time :)

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-04-04

    Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • aldiris 2 – 0 passenger

    Games completed: 29/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Dryad 2133 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 _ 2 2 14 60 38.14% 14.76% 0
    2 Thnikkaman ★ 2054 2 - 0 2 2 2 2 _ _ 2 12 68 20.05% 14.74% 0
    3 Geoff Cameron 2337 0 2 - 2 _ _ 2 _ _ 2 8 44 22.46% 14.70% 0.06%
    4 aldiris 1988 0 0 0 - 0 2 2 _ 2 2 8 16 0 0 65.11%
    5 michael 2074 0 0 _ 2 - _ 2 _ _ 2 6 20 0 0.09% 33.89%
    6 Marius Halsor ★ 2060 0 0 _ 0 _ - 2 _ _ 2 4 4 0 0 77.72%
    7 Hjallti 1852 0 0 0 0 0 0 - _ _ 2 2 0 0 0 100%
    8 JeanHebert 2062 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 2 2 0 3.76% 0.80% 26.80%
    9 passenger 1833 0 _ _ 0 _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 0.00% 0 96.42%
    10 bobo11 1773 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-04-06

    Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • passenger 0 – 2 Thnikkaman ★

    Games completed: 30/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Thnikkaman ★ 2065 - 2 0 2 2 2 2 _ 2 2 14 72 24.42% 18.82% 0
    2 Dryad 2142 0 - 2 2 2 2 2 _ 2 2 14 60 30.14% 18.79% 0
    3 Geoff Cameron 2337 2 0 - 2 _ _ 2 _ _ 2 8 48 22.49% 18.50% 0.05%
    4 aldiris 1981 0 0 0 - 0 2 2 _ 2 2 8 16 0 0 64.96%
    5 michael 2074 0 0 _ 2 - _ 2 _ _ 2 6 20 0 0.12% 32.48%
    6 Marius Halsor ★ 2060 0 0 _ 0 _ - 2 _ _ 2 4 4 0 0 77.54%
    7 Hjallti 1852 0 0 0 0 0 0 - _ _ 2 2 0 0 0 100%
    8 JeanHebert 2062 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 2 2 0 3.50% 0.78% 26.14%
    9 passenger 1826 0 0 _ 0 _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 0 0 98.84%
    10 bobo11 1773 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-04-09

    Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Thnikkaman ★ 2 – 0 JeanHebert

    Games completed: 31/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Thnikkaman ★ 2041 - 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16 76 45.31% 34.59% 0
    2 Dryad 2142 0 - 2 2 2 2 2 2 _ 2 14 60 0 34.59% 0
    3 Geoff Cameron 2337 2 0 - 2 _ _ _ 2 _ 2 8 52 20.10% 34.59% 0.03%
    4 aldiris 1972 0 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 _ 2 8 16 0 0 57.65%
    5 michael 2074 0 0 _ 2 - _ _ 2 _ 2 6 20 0 0 27.14%
    6 Marius Halsor ★ 2060 0 0 _ 0 _ - _ 2 _ 2 4 4 0 0 73.98%
    7 passenger 1826 0 0 _ 0 _ _ - _ _ 2 2 0 0 0 98.49%
    8 Hjallti 1852 0 0 0 0 0 0 _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0 100%
    9 JeanHebert 2045 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 0 0 42.71%
    10 bobo11 1773 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-04-11

    Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • michael 2 – 0 Marius Halsor ★

    Games completed: 32/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Christian K ★ 2046 - 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16 80 45.63% 34.45% 0
    2 Dryad 2142 0 - 2 2 2 2 _ 2 2 2 14 64 0 34.45% 0
    3 Geoff Cameron 2337 2 0 - _ 2 _ _ 2 _ 2 8 52 19.92% 34.45% 0.02%
    4 michael 2089 0 0 _ - 2 2 _ 2 _ 2 8 28 0 0 5.27%
    5 aldiris 1972 0 0 0 0 - 2 _ 2 2 2 8 16 0 0 62.37%
    6 Marius Halsor ★ 2045 0 0 _ 0 0 - _ 2 _ 2 4 4 0 0 92.85%
    7 JeanHebert 2045 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 2 0 0 0 40.85%
    8 Hjallti 1852 0 0 0 0 0 0 _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0 100%
    9 passenger 1826 0 0 _ _ 0 _ _ _ - 2 2 0 0 0 98.64%
    10 bobo11 1773 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-04-14

    Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • JeanHebert 0 – 2 aldiris

    Games completed: 33/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Christian K ★ 2060 - 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 16 84 44.60% 36.63% 0
    2 Dryad 2142 0 - 2 2 2 2 2 2 _ 2 14 68 0 36.63% 0
    3 aldiris 1993 0 0 - 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 10 20 0 0 17.52%
    4 Geoff Cameron 2337 2 0 2 - _ _ 2 _ _ 2 8 56 18.77% 36.63% 0.02%
    5 michael 2089 0 0 2 _ - 2 2 _ _ 2 8 32 0 0 12.74%
    6 Marius Halsor ★ 2045 0 0 0 _ 0 - 2 _ _ 2 4 4 0 0 93.86%
    7 Hjallti 1852 0 0 0 0 0 0 - _ _ 2 2 0 0 0 100%
    8 passenger 1826 0 0 0 _ _ _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0 99.49%
    9 JeanHebert 2026 0 _ 0 _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 0 0 76.36%
    10 bobo11 1773 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-04-20

    Tournament: dots.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • passenger 0 – 2 Geoff Cameron
    • Geoff Cameron 0 – 2 michael <-— major upset!

    Games completed: 35/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Christian K ★ 2066 - 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16 88 100% 0 0
    2 Dryad 2142 0 - 2 2 2 2 _ 2 2 2 14 76 0 0 0
    3 Geoff Cameron 2313 2 0 - 0 2 _ _ 2 2 2 10 60 0 0 0
    4 michael 2114 0 0 2 - 2 2 _ _ 2 2 10 52 0 0 0.00%
    5 aldiris 1995 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 2 2 2 10 20 0 0 32.00%
    6 Marius Halsor ★ 2045 0 0 _ 0 0 - _ _ 2 2 4 4 0 0 94.33%
    7 JeanHebert 2026 0 _ _ _ 0 _ - _ _ 2 2 0 0 0 73.91%
    8 passenger 1825 0 0 0 _ 0 _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0 99.76%
    9 Hjallti 1852 0 0 0 0 0 0 _ _ - 2 2 0 0 0 100%
    10 bobo11 1773 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • Hjallti ★ at 2013-04-20

    Congrats Christian,

    it seems former champ michael has played the decisive game here..

  • sghsal at 2013-04-21

    Good job Thnikkaman (it’s hard to get used to your new name). After all you deserved your victory.

  • Christian K at 2013-04-21

    Thanks a lot. I was very surprised to win this one (actually I wouldn’t have thought I could stay i league 1). The new online tool to analyze matches has been wonderful for me, and I did indeed spend a lt of time analyzing my games, which paid off. Thanks a lot to all participants, I am already looking forward to the next one :)

  • Dryad at 2013-04-22

    Congrats!

  • ypercube at 2013-04-22

    Well done!

  • Christian K at 2013-05-02

    Does RoRoRo stop after the winner has been decided?

  • ypercube at 2013-05-02

    @Christian K: Yes.

  • Christian K at 2013-05-02

    Ok, but why?

  • FatPhil at 2013-05-23

    To cut down the noise.

    I guess that those who have permission to request predictions (to be posted to the forums) probably have permission to request that he update the predictions after the winner’s been decided. I guess the subject line “predict

    update”, and anything in the body should work.

    Were there any particularly interesting games that someone would like to give a commentary for? (If you write it but can’t record it, then someone else can record it I’m sure)

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