loa.ch.20.1.1 predictions LOA forum

12 replies. Last post: 2012-08-13

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loa.ch.20.1.1 predictions
  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-06-19

    Tournament: loa.ch.20.1.1
    I’ve been requested to follow loa.ch.20.1.1 by FatPhil
    For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page .

    • Already completed matches:

    Games completed: 26/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Hartmut (2008) -222222_2 14 72 70.51% 0.24% 0
    2 mikeg (1947)0 -20_22_2 8 32 0 0 1.75%
    3 Ragnar Wikman (1847)00 -2_22_2 8 28 0 0 6.62%
    4 Orbilin (1758)020 -002_2 6 24 0 0 76.38%
    5 emilioes (1818)0__2 -2__2 6 20 0 0.24% 18.82%
    6 Arty Sandler (1730)00020 -0_2 4 12 0 0 99.36%
    7 Francesco (1758)0000_2 -_2 4 8 0 0 93.77%
    8 kingofthebesI (2022)_______ -2 2 0 29.26% 0.24% 3.31%
    9 calvorota (1545)00000000 - 0 0 0 0 100.00%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-06-27

    Tournament: loa.ch.20.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • mikeg 2 – 0 emilioes

    Games completed: 27/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Hartmut (2008) -222222_2 14 76 70.38% 0 0
    2 mikeg (1957)0 -20222_2 10 44 0 0 0
    3 Ragnar Wikman (1847)00 -2_22_2 8 28 0 0 5.71%
    4 Orbilin (1758)020 -002_2 6 28 0 0 72.34%
    5 emilioes (1808)00_2 -2__2 6 20 0 0 25.86%
    6 Arty Sandler (1730)00020 -0_2 4 12 0 0 99.09%
    7 Francesco (1744)0000_2 -_2 4 8 0 0 93.100%
    8 kingofthebesI (2022)_______ -2 2 0 29.62% 0 3.00%
    9 calvorota (1545)00000000 - 0 0 0 0 100.00%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-06-27

    Tournament: loa.ch.20.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • emilioes 0 – 2 Francesco

    Games completed: 28/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Hartmut (2008) -222222_2 14 80 70.36% 0 0
    2 mikeg (1957)0 -20222_2 10 48 0 0 0
    3 Ragnar Wikman (1847)00 -22_2_2 8 32 0 0 5.81%
    4 Orbilin (1758)020 -200_2 6 32 0 0 53.42%
    5 Francesco (1762)0000 -22_2 6 20 0 0 83.90%
    6 emilioes (1790)00_20 -2_2 6 20 0 0 56.29%
    7 Arty Sandler (1730)000200 -_2 4 12 0 0 97.52%
    8 kingofthebesI (2022)_______ -2 2 0 29.64% 0 3.06%
    9 calvorota (1545)00000000 - 0 0 0 0 100.00%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-06-29

    Tournament: loa.ch.20.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Arty Sandler 0 – 2 kingofthebesI

    Games completed: 29/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Hartmut (2008) -222222_2 14 80 65.67% 0 0
    2 mikeg (1957)0 -20222_2 10 48 0 0 0
    3 Ragnar Wikman (1847)00 -22_2_2 8 32 0 0 5.88%
    4 Orbilin (1758)020 -200_2 6 32 0 0 51.57%
    5 Francesco (1762)0000 -22_2 6 20 0 0 84.27%
    6 emilioes (1790)00_20 -2_2 6 20 0 0 55.84%
    7 Arty Sandler (1725)000200 -02 4 12 0 0 100.00%
    8 kingofthebesI (2027)______2 -2 4 8 34.33% 0 2.44%
    9 calvorota (1545)00000000 - 0 0 0 0 100.00%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-07-02

    Tournament: loa.ch.20.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • kingofthebesI 2 – 0 Francesco

    Games completed: 30/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Hartmut (2008) -2222_222 14 80 61.29% 0 0
    2 mikeg (1957)0 -202_222 10 48 0 0 0
    3 Ragnar Wikman (1859)00 -22__22 8 32 0 0 4.69%
    4 Orbilin (1758)020 -2_002 6 32 0 0 43.66%
    5 Francesco (1757)0000 -0222 6 20 0 0 100.00%
    6 kingofthebesI (2032)____2 -_22 6 20 38.71% 0 0.80%
    7 emilioes (1790)00_20_ -22 6 20 0 0 50.86%
    8 Arty Sandler (1725)0002000 -2 4 12 0 0 100.00%
    9 calvorota (1545)00000000 - 0 0 0 0 100.00%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-07-05

    Tournament: loa.ch.20.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Hartmut 0 – 2 kingofthebesI

    Games completed: 31/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Hartmut (1994) -20222222 14 80 24.91% 0 0
    2 mikeg (1957)0 -_202222 10 48 0 0 0
    3 kingofthebesI (2046)2_ -__2_22 8 48 75.09% 0 0.11%
    4 Ragnar Wikman (1859)00_ -22_22 8 32 0 0 4.85%
    5 Orbilin (1758)02_0 -2002 6 32 0 0 43.59%
    6 Francesco (1757)00000 -222 6 20 0 0 100.00%
    7 emilioes (1790)00__20 -22 6 20 0 0 51.45%
    8 Arty Sandler (1725)0000200 -2 4 12 0 0 100.00%
    9 calvorota (1545)00000000 - 0 0 0 0 100.00%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-07-16

    Tournament: loa.ch.20.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • emilioes 0 – 2 Ragnar Wikman

    Games completed: 32/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Hartmut (1994) -22022222 14 84 24.89% 0 0
    2 mikeg (1957)0 -2_02222 10 52 0 0 0
    3 Ragnar Wikman (1871)00 -_22222 10 44 0 0 0
    4 kingofthebesI (2046)2__ -_2_22 8 48 75.11% 0 0
    5 Orbilin (1758)020_ -2002 6 32 0 0 14.77%
    6 Francesco (1757)00000 -222 6 20 0 0 100%
    7 emilioes (1778)000_20 -22 6 20 0 0 85.23%
    8 Arty Sandler (1725)0000200 -2 4 12 0 0 100%
    9 calvorota (1548)00000000 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-07-20

    Tournament: loa.ch.20.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Orbilin 0 – 2 kingofthebesI

    Games completed: 33/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Hartmut (1994) -02222222 14 84 17.00% 0 0
    2 kingofthebesI (2051)2 -__22_22 10 60 83.00% 0 0
    3 mikeg (1957)0_ -202222 10 52 0 0 0
    4 Ragnar Wikman (1871)0_0 -22222 10 44 0 0 0
    5 Orbilin (1753)0020 -2002 6 32 0 0 17.08%
    6 Francesco (1757)00000 -222 6 20 0 0 100%
    7 emilioes (1778)0_0020 -22 6 20 0 0 82.92%
    8 Arty Sandler (1725)0000200 -2 4 12 0 0 100%
    9 calvorota (1548)00000000 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-07-28

    Tournament: loa.ch.20.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • kingofthebesI 2 – 0 emilioes

    Games completed: 34/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Hartmut (1994) -02222222 14 84 9.30% 0 0
    2 kingofthebesI (2056)2 -__22222 12 72 90.70% 0 0
    3 mikeg (1957)0_ -202222 10 52 0 0 0
    4 Ragnar Wikman (1871)0_0 -22222 10 44 0 0 0
    5 Orbilin (1753)0020 -2002 6 32 0 0 0
    6 Francesco (1757)00000 -222 6 20 0 0 100%
    7 emilioes (1773)000020 -22 6 20 0 0 100%
    8 Arty Sandler (1725)0000200 -2 4 12 0 0 100%
    9 calvorota (1538)00000000 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-08-11

    Tournament: loa.ch.20.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Ragnar Wikman 0 – 2 kingofthebesI
    • kingofthebesI 2 – 0 mikeg

    Games completed: 36/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 kingofthebesI 2075 - 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16 112 100% 0 0
    2 Hartmut 1994 0 - 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 14 84 0 0 0
    3 mikeg 1946 0 0 - 2 0 2 2 2 2 10 52 0 0 0
    4 Ragnar Wikman 1863 0 0 0 - 2 2 2 2 2 10 44 0 0 0
    5 Orbilin 1753 0 0 2 0 - 2 0 0 2 6 32 0 0 0
    6 Francesco 1760 0 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 2 6 20 0 0 100%
    7 emilioes 1773 0 0 0 0 2 0 - 2 2 6 20 0 0 100%
    8 Arty Sandler 1725 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 - 2 4 12 0 0 100%
    9 calvorota 1538 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • Carroll at 2012-08-13

    Congrats to the King!

  • kingofthebesI at 2012-08-13

    Merci Carroll

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