einstein.ch.17.1.1 predictions Einstein forum

53 replies. Last post: 2014-03-13

Reply to this topic Return to forum

einstein.ch.17.1.1 predictions
  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-09

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    I’ve been requested to follow einstein.ch.17.1.1 by RoRoRo the Bot
    For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page .

    • Already completed matches:

    Games completed: 0/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 RoRoRo the Bot 1846 - > _ = = = _ = _ = _ > 0 0 19.57% 1.38% 30.20%
    2 hershoff 1718 < - = _ = _ = _ = _ = = 0 0 1.02% 0.18% 85.08%
    3 Carroll 1753 _ = - _ = _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 3.10% 0.34% 72.19%
    4 Luca Bruzzi 1771 = _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ = 0 0 4.39% 0.50% 66.19%
    5 Omo321 1794 = = = _ - = _ = _ = _ = 0 0 6.72% 0.68% 57.44%
    6 kpato 1795 = _ _ _ = - _ _ _ _ _ = 0 0 7.13% 0.72% 57.20%
    7 CHJ 1802 _ = _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 7.91% 0.74% 54.42%
    8 simon craddock 1814 = _ _ _ = _ _ - _ _ _ = 0 0 9.66% 1.01% 49.88%
    9 jano_wol 1822 _ = _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 10.77% 0.96% 47.26%
    10 luiser 1827 = _ _ _ = _ _ _ _ - _ = 0 0 11.94% 1.01% 45.40%
    11 Ragnar Wikman 1835 _ = _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 13.12% 1.06% 42.74%
    12 Martyn Hamer 1685 < = _ = = = _ = _ = _ - 0 0 0.48% 0.09% 92.00%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-09

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • jano_wol 2 – 0 RoRoRo the Bot

    Games completed: 1/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 jano_wol 1839 - = 2 = _ = = = _ = < _ 2 0 20.40% 1.47% 29.02%
    2 Martyn Hamer 1673 = - < = = = = = = = = _ 0 0 0.43% 0.08% 92.13%
    3 RoRoRo the Bot 1833 0 > - = = = = > = < > _ 0 0 9.97% 1.05% 41.96%
    4 luiser 1803 = = = - _ = _ = _ = _ _ 0 0 8.93% 0.84% 52.05%
    5 simon craddock 1814 _ = = _ - = _ = _ = _ _ 0 0 10.32% 0.90% 48.22%
    6 CHJ 1802 = = = = = - = = _ = = _ 0 0 8.79% 0.83% 52.64%
    7 kpato 1795 = = = _ _ = - = = = = = 0 0 7.41% 0.73% 56.85%
    8 Omo321 1794 = = < = = = = - _ = < _ 0 0 3.76% 0.52% 69.22%
    9 Luca Bruzzi 1771 _ = = _ _ _ = _ - = _ _ 0 0 4.97% 0.51% 65.81%
    10 Carroll 1753 = = > = = = = = = - = _ 0 0 4.57% 0.44% 67.91%
    11 hershoff 1702 > = < _ _ = = > _ = - = 0 0 1.51% 0.23% 82.60%
    12 Ragnar Wikman 1835 _ _ _ _ _ _ = _ _ _ = - 0 0 14.72% 1.15% 41.57%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-09

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Martyn Hamer 2 – 0 RoRoRo the Bot

    Games completed: 2/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Martyn Hamer 1695 - < 2 = = = > = = = = _ 2 0 2.12% 0.35% 75.57%
    2 jano_wol 1839 > - 2 = _ = = = _ = < _ 2 0 22.33% 1.58% 26.67%
    3 RoRoRo the Bot 1811 0 0 - = = = > > = < > _ 0 0 3.22% 0.54% 64.48%
    4 luiser 1803 = = = - _ = _ = _ = _ _ 0 0 9.53% 0.94% 50.63%
    5 simon craddock 1814 = _ = _ - = _ = _ = _ _ 0 0 11.35% 1.04% 46.83%
    6 CHJ 1802 = = = = = - = = _ = = _ 0 0 9.62% 0.92% 51.28%
    7 kpato 1795 < = < _ _ = - = = = = = 0 0 5.68% 0.56% 63.11%
    8 Omo321 1785 = = < = = = = - _ = < _ 0 0 4.41% 0.50% 68.27%
    9 Luca Bruzzi 1771 = _ = _ _ _ = _ - = _ _ 0 0 5.36% 0.66% 64.64%
    10 Carroll 1753 = = > = = = = = = - = _ 0 0 4.56% 0.57% 66.92%
    11 hershoff 1702 = > < _ _ = = > _ = - = 0 0 1.76% 0.25% 81.77%
    12 Ragnar Wikman 1835 _ _ _ _ _ _ = _ _ _ = - 0 0 15.65% 1.27% 39.84%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-10

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • RoRoRo the Bot 2 – 0 hershoff
    • Omo321 0 – 2 RoRoRo the Bot

    Games completed: 4/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 RoRoRo the Bot 1835 - 0 0 _ = = > 2 = < 2 = 4 0 6.33% 0.90% 45.40%
    2 Martyn Hamer 1717 2 - < _ = = > > = < > = 2 8 3.75% 0.43% 65.73%
    3 jano_wol 1839 2 > - _ _ = = = _ = < = 2 8 24.16% 1.57% 25.34%
    4 Ragnar Wikman 1835 _ _ _ - _ _ = _ _ _ = _ 0 0 15.48% 1.19% 39.57%
    5 simon craddock 1814 = = _ _ - = _ = _ = _ _ 0 0 11.08% 0.98% 48.01%
    6 CHJ 1802 = = = _ = - = = _ = = = 0 0 9.08% 0.84% 52.95%
    7 kpato 1795 < < = = _ = - = = = = _ 0 0 4.08% 0.48% 68.62%
    8 Omo321 1753 0 < = _ = = = - _ = = = 0 0 1.40% 0.21% 83.14%
    9 Luca Bruzzi 1771 = = _ _ _ _ = _ - = _ _ 0 0 5.00% 0.54% 65.70%
    10 Carroll 1753 > > = _ = = = = = - = = 0 0 5.47% 0.59% 64.24%
    11 hershoff 1719 0 < > = _ = = = _ = - _ 0 0 0.91% 0.16% 87.19%
    12 luiser 1803 = = = _ _ = _ = _ = _ - 0 0 9.03% 0.88% 54.11%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-17

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • jano_wol 2 – 0 Omo321
    • hershoff 2 – 0 jano_wol
    • Omo321 0 – 2 Martyn Hamer
    • hershoff 0 – 2 Omo321
    • jano_wol 2 – 0 Martyn Hamer

    Games completed: 9/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 jano_wol 1842 - 2 2 0 2 = > > > = _ = 6 20 43.53% 2.11% 6.19%
    2 Martyn Hamer 1813 0 - 2 > 2 = < = < > = = 4 12 9.06% 0.78% 32.49%
    3 RoRoRo the Bot 1835 0 0 - 2 2 < = = = > = = 4 8 3.87% 0.46% 47.81%
    4 hershoff 1739 2 < 0 - 0 < = < > = _ = 2 12 0.12% 0.03% 92.28%
    5 Omo321 1740 0 0 0 2 - = = < > > _ = 2 4 0.13% 0.04% 90.08%
    6 Carroll 1771 = = > > = - < > > > = = 0 0 10.49% 1.02% 43.47%
    7 luiser 1710 < > = = = > - = < > = = 0 0 1.31% 0.20% 80.50%
    8 CHJ 1802 < = = > > < = - = = _ = 0 0 5.50% 0.59% 58.13%
    9 simon craddock 1814 < > = < < < > = - = = = 0 0 3.47% 0.37% 64.73%
    10 kpato 1820 = < < = < < < = = - = = 0 0 2.27% 0.34% 75.07%
    11 Luca Bruzzi 1771 _ = = _ _ = = _ = = - _ 0 0 4.11% 0.46% 67.54%
    12 Ragnar Wikman 1835 = = = = = = = = = = _ - 0 0 12.55% 1.02% 41.70%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-18

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • hershoff 0 – 2 Carroll
    • jano_wol 0 – 2 Carroll
    • Carroll 2 – 0 RoRoRo the Bot

    Games completed: 12/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Carroll 1821 - 2 = 2 2 = < = = > > = 6 24 36.51% 2.36% 11.52%
    2 jano_wol 1823 0 - 2 2 0 2 > = = > > < 6 20 14.27% 1.86% 16.90%
    3 Martyn Hamer 1814 = 0 - 2 > 2 < = > = < < 4 12 7.44% 0.84% 42.80%
    4 RoRoRo the Bot 1830 0 0 0 - 2 2 = = > = = = 4 8 1.25% 0.32% 63.15%
    5 hershoff 1712 0 2 < 0 - 0 = = < < > = 2 12 0.05% 0.01% 96.28%
    6 Omo321 1741 = 0 0 0 2 - > = > < > = 2 4 0.31% 0.09% 88.49%
    7 luiser 1710 > < > = = < - = > = < < 0 0 1.23% 0.18% 82.65%
    8 Luca Bruzzi 1771 = = = = = = = - = = = = 0 0 4.28% 0.53% 67.81%
    9 kpato 1820 = = < < > < < = - = = > 0 0 3.38% 0.47% 68.96%
    10 CHJ 1802 < < = = > > = = = - = = 0 0 5.64% 0.56% 60.12%
    11 simon craddock 1814 < < > = < < > = = = - = 0 0 3.91% 0.44% 66.71%
    12 Ragnar Wikman 1835 = > > = = = > = < = = - 0 0 17.38% 1.34% 34.60%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-20

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • RoRoRo the Bot 2 – 0 kpato

    Games completed: 13/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Carroll 1821 - 2 2 < 2 > = = > < > = 6 28 34.79% 2.44% 11.64%
    2 jano_wol 1823 0 - 2 2 0 2 = = > > > < 6 24 13.59% 1.66% 19.41%
    3 RoRoRo the Bot 1844 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 = > > = > 6 8 3.12% 0.50% 40.62%
    4 Martyn Hamer 1814 > 0 2 - > 2 > = > < < < 4 16 13.27% 1.33% 27.99%
    5 hershoff 1689 0 2 0 < - 0 < = < = > = 2 12 0.01% 0.01% 97.62%
    6 Omo321 1755 < 0 0 0 2 - > = < > > = 2 4 0.18% 0.06% 90.79%
    7 kpato 1786 = = 0 < > < - = = < = > 0 0 1.11% 0.15% 84.40%
    8 Luca Bruzzi 1771 = = = = = = = - = = = = 0 0 4.60% 0.50% 68.22%
    9 CHJ 1802 < < < < > > = = - = = = 0 0 3.69% 0.38% 69.46%
    10 luiser 1710 > < < > = < > = = - < < 0 0 0.90% 0.14% 86.82%
    11 simon craddock 1814 < < = > < < = = = > - = 0 0 5.11% 0.55% 63.53%
    12 Ragnar Wikman 1835 = > < > = = < = = > = - 0 0 15.25% 1.28% 39.50%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-20

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • kpato 2 – 0 jano_wol

    Games completed: 14/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Carroll 1821 - 2 2 < = 2 > < = > > = 6 28 37.21% 2.15% 12.43%
    2 jano_wol 1806 0 - 2 2 0 0 2 > = > > < 6 24 5.74% 0.87% 33.40%
    3 RoRoRo the Bot 1844 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 > = > = > 6 12 4.19% 0.84% 38.38%
    4 Martyn Hamer 1793 > 0 2 - > > 2 < = > < < 4 16 13.56% 1.14% 32.03%
    5 kpato 1803 = 2 0 < - > < < = = = > 2 12 2.70% 0.41% 70.52%
    6 hershoff 1689 0 2 0 < < - 0 = = < > = 2 12 0.03% 0.01% 97.87%
    7 Omo321 1755 < 0 0 0 > 2 - > = < > = 2 4 0.28% 0.08% 89.82%
    8 luiser 1710 > < < > > = < - = = < < 0 0 1.05% 0.21% 85.75%
    9 Luca Bruzzi 1771 = = = = = = = = - = = = 0 0 4.83% 0.49% 68.07%
    10 CHJ 1802 < < < < = > > = = - = = 0 0 4.23% 0.46% 69.08%
    11 simon craddock 1814 < < = > = < < > = = - = 0 0 5.93% 0.58% 63.20%
    12 Ragnar Wikman 1835 = > < > < = = > = = = - 0 0 16.08% 1.38% 39.46%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-20

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Martyn Hamer 2 – 0 kpato

    Games completed: 15/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 jano_wol 1806 - 0 2 2 0 0 2 > > > = < 6 28 5.46% 0.71% 32.33%
    2 Carroll 1821 2 - < 2 2 = > < > > = = 6 28 33.37% 2.15% 13.20%
    3 Martyn Hamer 1838 0 > - 2 > 2 2 < > < = < 6 20 21.93% 1.81% 17.39%
    4 RoRoRo the Bot 1844 0 0 0 - 2 2 2 > > < = > 6 12 2.11% 0.52% 47.41%
    5 hershoff 1660 2 0 < 0 - < 0 = < > = = 2 12 0.01% 0.00% 98.66%
    6 kpato 1787 2 = 0 0 > - < < = = = > 2 12 0.69% 0.22% 80.95%
    7 Omo321 1755 0 < 0 0 2 > - > < > = = 2 4 0.20% 0.06% 90.37%
    8 luiser 1710 < > > < = > < - = < = < 0 0 1.07% 0.17% 85.78%
    9 CHJ 1802 < < < < > = > = - = = = 0 0 3.76% 0.45% 69.55%
    10 simon craddock 1814 < < > > < = < > = - = = 0 0 7.11% 0.68% 57.29%
    11 Luca Bruzzi 1771 = = = = = = = = = = - = 0 0 4.71% 0.53% 67.83%
    12 Ragnar Wikman 1835 > = > < = < = > = = = - 0 0 15.44% 1.30% 39.24%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-21

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • jano_wol 2 – 0 luiser

    Games completed: 16/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 jano_wol 1817 - 0 2 2 0 0 2 = > > 2 < 8 28 6.65% 0.89% 24.87%
    2 Carroll 1821 2 - < 2 = 2 > = > > < = 6 32 34.11% 2.19% 12.22%
    3 Martyn Hamer 1808 0 > - 2 2 > 2 = > = < < 6 20 21.86% 1.74% 17.42%
    4 RoRoRo the Bot 1844 0 0 0 - 2 2 2 = > < > > 6 12 2.12% 0.44% 45.01%
    5 kpato 1787 2 = 0 0 - > < = = = < > 2 16 0.79% 0.18% 80.31%
    6 hershoff 1660 2 0 < 0 < - 0 = < > = = 2 16 0.01% 0 98.52%
    7 Omo321 1755 0 < 0 0 > 2 - = < > > = 2 4 0.18% 0.05% 90.92%
    8 Luca Bruzzi 1771 = = = = = = = - = = = = 0 0 4.90% 0.48% 66.64%
    9 CHJ 1802 < < < < = > > = - = = = 0 0 3.83% 0.38% 69.07%
    10 simon craddock 1814 < < = > = < < = = - > = 0 0 5.69% 0.55% 62.47%
    11 luiser 1685 0 > > < > = < = = < - < 0 0 0.20% 0.04% 93.93%
    12 Ragnar Wikman 1835 > = > < < = = = = = > - 0 0 15.66% 1.28% 38.63%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-21

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • RoRoRo the Bot 2 – 0 luiser

    Games completed: 17/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 jano_wol 1817 - 2 0 2 0 0 2 2 = > = < 8 32 4.37% 0.57% 34.73%
    2 RoRoRo the Bot 1853 0 - 0 0 2 2 2 2 < > = > 8 12 2.71% 0.59% 34.24%
    3 Carroll 1821 2 2 - < 2 = > < > > = = 6 36 33.83% 2.16% 12.44%
    4 Martyn Hamer 1808 0 2 > - > 2 2 = = > = < 6 24 25.15% 1.90% 15.27%
    5 hershoff 1660 2 0 0 < - < 0 = > < = = 2 16 0.01% 0.01% 98.61%
    6 kpato 1787 2 0 = 0 > - < < < = = > 2 16 0.47% 0.14% 85.07%
    7 Omo321 1742 0 0 < 0 2 > - > > < = = 2 4 0.13% 0.03% 92.20%
    8 luiser 1678 0 0 > = = > < - < = = < 0 0 0.09% 0.02% 96.06%
    9 simon craddock 1814 = > < = < > < > - = = = 0 0 8.87% 0.86% 51.33%
    10 CHJ 1802 < < < < > = > = = - = = 0 0 3.60% 0.43% 68.81%
    11 Luca Bruzzi 1771 = = = = = = = = = = - = 0 0 4.67% 0.50% 67.85%
    12 Ragnar Wikman 1835 > < = > = < = > = = = - 0 0 12.08% 1.13% 43.38%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-22

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Martyn Hamer 0 – 2 luiser

    Games completed: 18/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 jano_wol 1817 - 2 0 2 0 0 2 2 = = > < 8 36 5.91% 0.78% 32.39%
    2 RoRoRo the Bot 1832 0 - 0 0 2 2 2 2 = < > > 8 16 1.49% 0.42% 41.01%
    3 Carroll 1821 2 2 - < = 2 < > = > > > 6 36 40.89% 2.32% 10.65%
    4 Martyn Hamer 1810 0 2 > - 2 > 0 2 = = > = 6 24 19.17% 1.78% 21.20%
    5 kpato 1795 2 0 = 0 - > < < = < = > 2 16 0.61% 0.21% 84.18%
    6 hershoff 1660 2 0 0 < < - = 0 = > < = 2 16 0.02% 0.00% 98.77%
    7 luiser 1755 0 0 > 2 > = - < = = < < 2 12 1.34% 0.29% 77.52%
    8 Omo321 1726 0 0 < 0 > 2 > - = > < > 2 4 0.27% 0.06% 91.00%
    9 Luca Bruzzi 1771 = = = = = = = = - = = = 0 0 4.91% 0.53% 67.42%
    10 simon craddock 1814 = > < = > < = < = - = < 0 0 8.35% 0.75% 54.78%
    11 CHJ 1802 < < < < = > > > = = - = 0 0 4.70% 0.51% 66.54%
    12 Ragnar Wikman 1835 > < < = < = > < = > = - 0 0 8.26% 0.83% 54.55%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-23

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Carroll 0 – 2 Martyn Hamer

    Games completed: 19/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 jano_wol 1817 - 2 2 0 0 2 0 2 > = = < 8 40 6.45% 0.75% 33.37%
    2 Martyn Hamer 1836 0 - 2 2 > 0 2 2 > = = = 8 36 29.31% 2.29% 9.99%
    3 RoRoRo the Bot 1832 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 > < = > 8 16 1.48% 0.37% 42.96%
    4 Carroll 1805 2 0 2 - 2 < > > > > = > 6 36 27.99% 2.20% 14.17%
    5 hershoff 1660 2 < 0 0 - = < 0 < > = = 2 16 0.02% 0.01% 98.79%
    6 luiser 1739 0 2 0 > = - > < < = = < 2 16 1.24% 0.26% 77.84%
    7 kpato 1795 2 0 0 < > < - < > < = > 2 16 0.63% 0.16% 84.68%
    8 Omo321 1710 0 0 0 < 2 > > - = = = > 2 4 0.15% 0.04% 92.23%
    9 CHJ 1802 < < < < > > < = - = = = 0 0 3.52% 0.39% 73.19%
    10 simon craddock 1814 = = > < < = > = = - = < 0 0 10.51% 0.93% 50.66%
    11 Luca Bruzzi 1771 = = = = = = = = = = - = 0 0 5.23% 0.56% 68.22%
    12 Ragnar Wikman 1835 > = < < = > < < = > = - 0 0 9.19% 0.95% 53.90%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-24

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Omo321 2 – 0 kpato

    Games completed: 20/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 jano_wol 1817 - 2 2 0 2 0 2 0 > = = < 8 44 7.52% 0.96% 25.73%
    2 Martyn Hamer 1811 0 - 2 2 2 > 0 2 > = = = 8 40 23.91% 2.08% 12.27%
    3 RoRoRo the Bot 1832 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 > < = > 8 20 1.36% 0.31% 44.55%
    4 Carroll 1805 2 0 2 - > 2 < > > > = > 6 36 33.21% 2.36% 10.34%
    5 Omo321 1729 0 0 0 < - 2 > 2 = = = > 4 8 0.29% 0.09% 89.23%
    6 hershoff 1660 2 < 0 0 0 - = < < > = = 2 16 0.02% 0 98.69%
    7 luiser 1739 0 2 0 > < = - > < = = < 2 16 1.13% 0.24% 78.41%
    8 kpato 1776 2 0 0 < 0 > < - > < = > 2 16 0.27% 0.08% 90.23%
    9 CHJ 1802 < < < < = > > < - < = = 0 0 1.16% 0.19% 84.45%
    10 simon craddock 1814 = = > < = < = > > - = < 0 0 11.86% 1.08% 45.73%
    11 Luca Bruzzi 1771 = = = = = = = = = = - = 0 0 5.67% 0.63% 67.04%
    12 Ragnar Wikman 1835 > = < < < = > < = > = - 0 0 9.27% 0.95% 53.34%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-24

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Omo321 0 – 2 Carroll

    Games completed: 21/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Martyn Hamer 1811 - 2 0 2 2 0 2 > > = = = 8 44 22.65% 1.89% 13.24%
    2 Carroll 1817 0 - 2 2 2 < > 2 > = = > 8 44 32.20% 2.19% 8.78%
    3 jano_wol 1817 2 0 - 2 2 2 0 0 > = = < 8 44 6.97% 0.81% 27.07%
    4 RoRoRo the Bot 1832 0 0 0 - 2 2 2 2 > = < > 8 20 1.07% 0.27% 46.05%
    5 Omo321 1717 0 0 0 0 - = 2 2 = = = > 4 8 0.01% 0.01% 95.83%
    6 luiser 1739 2 > 0 0 = - > = < = = < 2 16 1.59% 0.26% 74.50%
    7 kpato 1776 0 < 2 0 0 < - > > = < > 2 16 0.27% 0.10% 90.14%
    8 hershoff 1647 < 0 2 0 0 = < - < = > = 2 16 0.01% 0.00% 98.91%
    9 CHJ 1802 < < < < = > < > - = < = 0 0 1.16% 0.19% 84.40%
    10 Luca Bruzzi 1771 = = = = = = = = = - = = 0 0 5.62% 0.55% 66.95%
    11 simon craddock 1814 = = = > = = > < > = - < 0 0 15.48% 1.20% 40.95%
    12 Ragnar Wikman 1835 = < > < < > < = = = > - 0 0 8.91% 0.95% 53.18%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-26

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • jano_wol 2 – 0 CHJ

    Games completed: 22/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 jano_wol 1832 - 0 2 2 2 0 0 2 2 = = < 10 44 9.46% 1.12% 19.14%
    2 Carroll 1817 2 - 0 2 2 > 2 < > = = > 8 48 33.58% 2.40% 8.25%
    3 Martyn Hamer 1817 0 2 - 2 2 2 > 0 = = = = 8 44 19.57% 1.88% 16.18%
    4 RoRoRo the Bot 1846 0 0 0 - 2 2 2 2 = = < > 8 20 1.10% 0.19% 51.86%
    5 Omo321 1725 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 > = = = > 4 8 0.01% 0.01% 93.54%
    6 kpato 1776 2 < 0 0 0 - > < = = < > 2 20 0.26% 0.06% 91.94%
    7 hershoff 1654 2 0 < 0 0 < - = < = > = 2 20 0.01% 0.01% 98.82%
    8 luiser 1764 0 > 2 0 < > = - < = = < 2 16 1.49% 0.23% 75.35%
    9 CHJ 1787 0 < = = = = > > - = < = 0 0 1.50% 0.25% 80.35%
    10 Luca Bruzzi 1771 = = = = = = = = = - = = 0 0 4.99% 0.55% 68.60%
    11 simon craddock 1814 = = = > = > < = > = - < 0 0 14.76% 1.11% 42.22%
    12 Ragnar Wikman 1835 > < = < < < = > = = > - 0 0 9.04% 0.89% 53.75%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-27

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Carroll 0 – 2 luiser
    • simon craddock 0 – 2 jano_wol
    • Omo321 2 – 0 luiser

    Games completed: 25/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 jano_wol 1847 - 0 2 2 2 2 0 0 2 2 = < 12 52 11.75% 1.74% 4.18%
    2 Carroll 1799 2 - 0 2 2 0 > 2 > = = > 8 56 27.73% 3.07% 9.93%
    3 Martyn Hamer 1832 0 2 - 2 2 0 2 > = > = = 8 48 32.66% 2.78% 9.05%
    4 RoRoRo the Bot 1846 0 0 0 - 2 2 2 2 = < = > 8 28 2.27% 0.34% 43.67%
    5 Omo321 1772 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 2 = = = > 6 16 0.02% 0.01% 89.37%
    6 luiser 1773 0 2 2 0 0 - = = = = = = 4 32 1.17% 0.27% 73.42%
    7 kpato 1790 2 < 0 0 0 = - > = = = > 2 24 0.66% 0.18% 84.45%
    8 hershoff 1642 2 0 < 0 0 = < - < > = = 2 24 0.02% 0.01% 99.23%
    9 CHJ 1787 0 < = = = = = > - < = = 0 0 1.38% 0.14% 84.10%
    10 simon craddock 1799 0 = < > = = = < > - = < 0 0 2.91% 0.36% 74.94%
    11 Luca Bruzzi 1771 = = = = = = = = = = - = 0 0 5.27% 0.57% 71.06%
    12 Ragnar Wikman 1835 > < = < < = < = = > = - 0 0 9.14% 0.97% 56.59%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-29

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Carroll 2 – 0 kpato

    Games completed: 26/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 jano_wol 1847 - 0 2 2 2 2 0 0 2 2 = < 12 52 10.35% 1.50% 3.85%
    2 Carroll 1818 2 - 0 2 2 0 2 2 = > = > 10 60 40.73% 3.11% 4.11%
    3 Martyn Hamer 1832 0 2 - 2 2 0 > 2 = = = = 8 52 23.53% 2.31% 13.07%
    4 RoRoRo the Bot 1846 0 0 0 - 2 2 2 2 = < = > 8 28 1.79% 0.23% 44.02%
    5 Omo321 1758 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 2 > = = > 6 16 0.01% 0.03% 86.03%
    6 luiser 1762 0 2 2 0 0 - = = = = = = 4 36 0.93% 0.23% 74.79%
    7 hershoff 1642 2 0 < 0 0 = - < > < = = 2 24 0.00% 0.00% 99.13%
    8 kpato 1775 2 0 0 0 0 = > - = = = > 2 24 0.01% 0.02% 91.91%
    9 simon craddock 1799 0 = = = < = < = - > = < 0 0 2.47% 0.31% 78.35%
    10 CHJ 1787 0 < = > = = > = < - = = 0 0 1.87% 0.21% 78.80%
    11 Luca Bruzzi 1771 = = = = = = = = = = - = 0 0 5.00% 0.56% 70.86%
    12 Ragnar Wikman 1835 > < = < < = = < > = = - 0 0 8.73% 0.93% 55.07%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-29

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • luiser 0 – 2 kpato
    • RoRoRo the Bot 2 – 0 simon craddock

    Games completed: 28/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 jano_wol 1847 - 0 2 2 2 2 0 0 2 2 = < 12 56 8.63% 1.60% 4.96%
    2 Carroll 1818 2 - 2 0 2 0 2 2 > = = > 10 68 43.38% 3.23% 3.12%
    3 RoRoRo the Bot 1859 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 < 2 = > 10 32 3.60% 0.38% 23.10%
    4 Martyn Hamer 1832 0 2 2 - 2 0 2 > = = = = 8 60 24.57% 2.45% 11.75%
    5 Omo321 1758 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 2 = > = > 6 20 0.01% 0 86.76%
    6 luiser 1751 0 2 0 2 0 - 0 = = = = = 4 36 0.04% 0.04% 88.75%
    7 kpato 1793 2 0 0 0 0 2 - > = = = > 4 32 0.02% 0.02% 85.92%
    8 hershoff 1642 2 0 0 < 0 = < - < > = = 2 24 0.00% 0 99.36%
    9 CHJ 1787 0 < > = = = = > - < = = 0 0 1.72% 0.18% 78.50%
    10 simon craddock 1786 0 = 0 = < = = < > - = < 0 0 0.55% 0.13% 90.23%
    11 Luca Bruzzi 1771 = = = = = = = = = = - = 0 0 4.93% 0.54% 70.55%
    12 Ragnar Wikman 1835 > < < = < = < = = > = - 0 0 7.98% 0.89% 56.98%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-29

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Martyn Hamer 0 – 2 simon craddock

    Games completed: 29/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 jano_wol 1847 - 0 2 2 2 2 0 0 2 2 = < 12 60 11.89% 1.94% 4.32%
    2 Carroll 1818 2 - 2 0 2 0 2 2 = > = > 10 68 50.15% 2.88% 3.51%
    3 RoRoRo the Bot 1859 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 < = > 10 36 4.84% 0.61% 22.39%
    4 Martyn Hamer 1814 0 2 2 - 2 0 2 > 0 = = = 8 60 10.60% 1.33% 23.35%
    5 Omo321 1758 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 2 > = = > 6 20 0.01% 0.01% 86.68%
    6 luiser 1751 0 2 0 2 0 - 0 > = = = = 4 36 0.07% 0.05% 87.49%
    7 kpato 1779 2 0 0 0 0 2 - > = = = > 4 32 0.04% 0.07% 85.96%
    8 hershoff 1642 2 0 0 < 0 < < - > < = < 2 24 0 0.00% 99.80%
    9 simon craddock 1804 0 = 0 2 < = = < - > = < 2 16 1.54% 0.39% 80.26%
    10 CHJ 1787 0 < > = = = = > < - = = 0 0 2.02% 0.23% 79.53%
    11 Luca Bruzzi 1771 = = = = = = = = = = - = 0 0 5.14% 0.61% 71.05%
    12 Ragnar Wikman 1835 > < < = < = < > > = = - 0 0 9.34% 0.97% 55.65%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-30

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Ragnar Wikman 0 – 2 RoRoRo the Bot

    Games completed: 30/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 jano_wol 1847 - 2 0 2 2 2 0 0 2 2 = < 12 64 15.31% 1.91% 4.11%
    2 RoRoRo the Bot 1873 0 - 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 < = 2 12 36 7.25% 0.79% 15.26%
    3 Carroll 1799 2 2 - 0 2 0 2 2 = > = > 10 72 42.84% 2.78% 6.27%
    4 Martyn Hamer 1814 0 2 2 - 2 0 2 > 0 = = = 8 64 11.68% 1.47% 24.40%
    5 Omo321 1758 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 2 > > = > 6 20 0.02% 0.03% 81.30%
    6 luiser 1734 0 0 2 2 0 - 0 > = = = = 4 36 0.09% 0.04% 89.55%
    7 kpato 1760 2 0 0 0 0 2 - > < = = > 4 32 0.01% 0.01% 92.77%
    8 hershoff 1642 2 0 0 < 0 < < - > < = < 2 24 0 0.00% 99.72%
    9 simon craddock 1804 0 0 = 2 < = > < - > = < 2 16 2.41% 0.55% 74.49%
    10 CHJ 1787 0 > < = < = = > < - = = 0 0 2.37% 0.22% 80.92%
    11 Luca Bruzzi 1771 = = = = = = = = = = - = 0 0 6.14% 0.61% 69.92%
    12 Ragnar Wikman 1821 > 0 < = < = < > > = = - 0 0 7.40% 0.84% 61.29%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-01-01

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Omo321 2 – 0 simon craddock

    Games completed: 31/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 jano_wol 1847 - 2 0 2 2 2 0 0 2 2 = < 12 68 14.89% 1.92% 3.84%
    2 RoRoRo the Bot 1883 0 - 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 < = 2 12 40 7.21% 0.82% 13.51%
    3 Carroll 1823 2 2 - 0 2 0 2 2 = > = > 10 76 50.32% 2.81% 4.39%
    4 Martyn Hamer 1877 0 2 2 - 2 0 2 = 0 = = < 8 68 7.45% 1.01% 30.37%
    5 Omo321 1768 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 2 2 > = > 8 24 0.04% 0.05% 72.44%
    6 luiser 1772 0 0 2 2 0 - 0 > = = = = 4 36 0.13% 0.09% 84.52%
    7 kpato 1760 2 0 0 0 0 2 - > < = = > 4 32 0.00% 0.01% 92.39%
    8 hershoff 1625 2 0 0 = 0 < < - > < = < 2 24 0 0.00% 99.81%
    9 simon craddock 1786 0 0 = 2 0 = > < - > = < 2 16 0.55% 0.16% 86.13%
    10 CHJ 1796 0 > < = < = = > < - = = 0 0 2.19% 0.27% 81.30%
    11 Luca Bruzzi 1771 = = = = = = = = = = - = 0 0 4.85% 0.58% 73.53%
    12 Ragnar Wikman 1821 > 0 < > < = < > > = = - 0 0 8.17% 1.00% 57.76%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-01-02

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • luiser 0 – 2 simon craddock

    Games completed: 32/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 jano_wol 1847 - 2 0 2 2 2 0 2 0 = 2 < 12 72 9.90% 1.84% 4.61%
    2 RoRoRo the Bot 1883 0 - 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 = < 2 12 44 4.94% 0.56% 13.01%
    3 Carroll 1823 2 2 - 0 2 0 2 > 2 = > > 10 76 59.15% 2.91% 2.49%
    4 Martyn Hamer 1868 0 2 2 - 2 0 2 0 = = = < 8 68 6.18% 0.94% 30.14%
    5 Omo321 1768 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 2 2 = > > 8 28 0.02% 0.03% 70.29%
    6 luiser 1760 0 0 2 2 0 - 0 0 > = = < 4 36 0 0 97.09%
    7 kpato 1760 2 0 0 0 0 2 - < > = = = 4 32 0.01% 0.01% 94.59%
    8 simon craddock 1802 0 0 < 2 0 2 > - < = > < 4 24 0.42% 0.11% 86.86%
    9 hershoff 1629 2 0 0 = 0 < < > - = < < 2 24 0 0.00% 99.58%
    10 Luca Bruzzi 1771 = = = = = = = = = - = = 0 0 4.37% 0.62% 71.15%
    11 CHJ 1796 0 > < = < = = < > = - = 0 0 1.79% 0.24% 80.08%
    12 Ragnar Wikman 1804 > 0 < > < > = > > = = - 0 0 9.20% 1.03% 50.10%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-01-04

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • simon craddock 2 – 0 kpato

    Games completed: 33/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 jano_wol 1847 - 2 0 2 2 2 2 0 0 = 2 < 12 76 11.98% 1.56% 4.48%
    2 RoRoRo the Bot 1898 0 - 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 > < 2 12 48 6.36% 0.52% 7.53%
    3 Carroll 1841 2 2 - 0 2 = 0 2 2 = > > 10 76 56.44% 2.69% 2.50%
    4 Martyn Hamer 1869 0 2 2 - 2 0 0 2 = = = = 8 68 10.39% 1.17% 23.98%
    5 Omo321 1783 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 2 2 = > = 8 32 0.00% 0.01% 77.74%
    6 simon craddock 1816 0 0 = 2 0 - 2 2 < = > = 6 32 1.56% 0.51% 67.37%
    7 luiser 1775 0 0 2 2 0 0 - 0 > = = < 4 36 0 0 97.12%
    8 kpato 1746 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 - > = = < 4 32 0 0 99.16%
    9 hershoff 1607 2 0 0 = 0 > < < - = < < 2 24 0 0 99.68%
    10 Luca Bruzzi 1771 = < = = = = = = = - = = 0 0 2.92% 0.44% 77.84%
    11 CHJ 1796 0 > < = < < = = > = - = 0 0 1.81% 0.22% 82.15%
    12 Ragnar Wikman 1804 > 0 < = = = > > > = = - 0 0 4.86% 0.38% 60.44%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-01-07

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Martyn Hamer 2 – 0 hershoff
    • Carroll 0 – 2 simon craddock

    Games completed: 35/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 jano_wol 1847 - 2 0 2 2 2 2 0 0 2 = < 12 84 17.95% 1.88% 5.11%
    2 RoRoRo the Bot 1910 0 - 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 < > 2 12 52 9.71% 0.93% 7.01%
    3 Carroll 1821 2 2 - 0 0 2 0 2 2 > = > 10 76 26.21% 2.51% 5.23%
    4 Martyn Hamer 1895 0 2 2 - 0 2 0 2 2 > = = 10 72 30.26% 1.86% 10.01%
    5 simon craddock 1832 0 0 2 2 - 0 2 2 < > = = 8 56 2.48% 1.16% 48.06%
    6 Omo321 1783 0 0 0 0 2 - 2 2 2 > = = 8 36 0.00% 0 82.47%
    7 luiser 1768 0 0 2 2 0 0 - 0 > = = = 4 40 0 0 97.50%
    8 kpato 1760 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 - > > = < 4 32 0 0 99.43%
    9 hershoff 1749 2 0 0 0 > 0 < < - = = < 2 24 0 0 99.82%
    10 CHJ 1796 0 > < < < < = < = - = = 0 0 0.65% 0.08% 93.20%
    11 Luca Bruzzi 1771 = < = = = = = = = = - = 0 0 3.13% 0.36% 83.02%
    12 Ragnar Wikman 1804 > 0 < = = = = > > = = - 0 0 5.24% 0.45% 69.14%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-01-08

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • luiser 2 – 0 hershoff

    Games completed: 36/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 jano_wol 1847 - 2 0 2 2 2 2 0 0 = 2 < 12 88 18.79% 1.85% 4.85%
    2 RoRoRo the Bot 1910 0 - 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 > < 2 12 56 9.85% 1.05% 7.31%
    3 Carroll 1821 2 2 - 0 0 2 0 2 2 = > > 10 76 25.62% 2.51% 5.38%
    4 Martyn Hamer 1895 0 2 2 - 0 2 0 2 2 = > = 10 72 29.77% 1.77% 10.34%
    5 simon craddock 1832 0 0 2 2 - 0 2 2 < = > = 8 60 2.75% 1.23% 47.64%
    6 Omo321 1783 0 0 0 0 2 - 2 2 2 = > = 8 40 0.01% 0.01% 82.24%
    7 luiser 1783 0 0 2 2 0 0 - 0 2 = = = 6 44 0 0 96.75%
    8 kpato 1760 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 - > = > < 4 36 0 0 99.45%
    9 hershoff 1734 2 0 0 0 > 0 0 < - = = < 2 24 0 0 99.93%
    10 Luca Bruzzi 1771 = < = = = = = = = - = = 0 0 3.09% 0.40% 82.86%
    11 CHJ 1796 0 > < < < < = < = = - = 0 0 0.62% 0.08% 93.38%
    12 Ragnar Wikman 1804 > 0 < = = = = > > = = - 0 0 5.01% 0.53% 69.85%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-01-08

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • luiser 2 – 0 Ragnar Wikman

    Games completed: 37/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 jano_wol 1847 - 2 0 2 2 2 2 0 0 = 2 < 12 92 22.81% 0.78% 3.84%
    2 RoRoRo the Bot 1910 0 - 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 > < 2 12 60 10.63% 1.33% 7.18%
    3 Carroll 1821 2 2 - 0 0 2 0 2 2 = > > 10 76 23.74% 1.64% 6.01%
    4 Martyn Hamer 1895 0 2 2 - 0 2 0 2 2 = > = 10 72 28.04% 1.70% 10.06%
    5 simon craddock 1832 0 0 2 2 - 0 2 2 < = > > 8 64 6.57% 2.25% 24.93%
    6 Omo321 1783 0 0 0 0 2 - 2 2 2 = > = 8 44 0.01% 0.00% 83.81%
    7 luiser 1812 0 0 2 2 0 0 - 0 2 = > 2 8 44 0 0 92.93%
    8 kpato 1760 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 - > = > < 4 40 0 0 99.77%
    9 hershoff 1705 2 0 0 0 > 0 0 < - = = < 2 24 0 0 99.98%
    10 Luca Bruzzi 1771 = < = = = = = = = - = = 0 0 3.14% 0.38% 83.81%
    11 CHJ 1796 0 > < < < < < < = = - > 0 0 0.38% 0.06% 96.14%
    12 Ragnar Wikman 1788 > 0 < = < = 0 > > = < - 0 0 0.66% 0.19% 91.55%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-01-08

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Ragnar Wikman 2 – 0 Martyn Hamer

    Games completed: 38/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 jano_wol 1847 - 2 0 2 2 2 2 0 0 _ _ 2 12 92 46.29% 1.29% 1.18%
    2 RoRoRo the Bot 1910 0 - 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 _ _ 12 64 22.59% 1.63% 6.32%
    3 Carroll 1821 2 2 - 0 0 0 2 2 2 _ _ _ 10 76 11.35% 1.47% 18.03%
    4 Martyn Hamer 1875 0 2 2 - 0 0 2 2 2 0 _ _ 10 72 1.03% 0.51% 30.32%
    5 simon craddock 1832 0 0 2 2 - 2 0 2 _ _ _ _ 8 64 4.84% 1.43% 38.17%
    6 luiser 1812 0 0 2 2 0 - 0 0 2 2 _ _ 8 48 0 0.00% 89.20%
    7 Omo321 1783 0 0 0 0 2 2 - 2 2 _ _ _ 8 44 0.02% 0.02% 85.43%
    8 kpato 1760 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 - _ _ _ _ 4 40 0 0.00% 99.00%
    9 hershoff 1705 2 0 0 0 _ 0 0 _ - _ _ _ 2 24 0 0 99.76%
    10 Ragnar Wikman 1808 _ 0 _ 2 _ 0 _ _ _ - _ _ 2 20 3.90% 0.71% 72.99%
    11 Luca Bruzzi 1771 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 3.76% 0.43% 78.50%
    12 CHJ 1796 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 2.50% 0.19% 81.09%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • Carroll at 2014-01-09

    Is something wrong with you Rororo that you don’t put game outcome predictions anymore?
    And how does the result of Ragnar against Martyn manage to drop my chances from 23% to 11%?

  • Marius Halsor at 2014-01-09

    I’m guessing the two issues are connected, Carroll. If RoRoRo no longer uses the match info in his calculations, your chances will decrease, since in the last post, you were ahead in two of your three remaining matches, with a “=” in the last match. Using that information obviously gives you a higher win probability than not using it.

  • FatPhil at 2014-01-09

    I was in that bit of the code yesterday. Looks like I broke something. It may just be cosmetic, I hope it’s not made the predictions invalid.

    Thanks for the prompt report!

  • FatPhil at 2014-01-09

    Here’s one of the lines I typed yesterday:
    # PHIL!!!! FIX THIS!!!!!
    And sure enough, the following line needs to change...

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-01-12

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Ragnar Wikman 0 – 2 Carroll

    Games completed: 39/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 jano_wol 1847 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 < = 2 12 92 31.32% 1.66% 1.65%
    2 Carroll 1843 2 - 2 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 = = 12 80 28.69% 2.72% 2.37%
    3 RoRoRo the Bot 1910 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 > = 12 64 26.47% 1.90% 3.79%
    4 Martyn Hamer 1816 0 2 2 - 0 0 2 2 2 0 = > 10 76 0.94% 0.74% 25.02%
    5 simon craddock 1832 0 2 0 2 - 2 0 2 < = = > 8 68 3.92% 1.55% 36.89%
    6 luiser 1834 0 2 0 2 0 - 0 0 2 2 > > 8 52 0 0 85.49%
    7 Omo321 1766 0 0 0 0 2 2 - 2 2 < > > 8 44 0.01% 0.01% 87.70%
    8 kpato 1760 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 - > < = > 4 40 0 0 99.48%
    9 hershoff 1718 2 0 0 0 > 0 0 < - < = = 2 24 0 0 99.97%
    10 Ragnar Wikman 1793 > 0 0 2 = 0 > > > - = < 2 20 1.37% 0.64% 75.20%
    11 Luca Bruzzi 1771 = = < = = < < = = = - = 0 0 2.12% 0.30% 87.55%
    12 CHJ 1796 0 = = < < < < < = > = - 0 0 0.53% 0.10% 94.89%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-01-12

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • CHJ 0 – 2 RoRoRo the Bot

    Games completed: 40/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 RoRoRo the Bot 1920 - 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 > 2 14 64 43.19% 1.76% 0.07%
    2 jano_wol 1847 2 - 0 2 2 2 2 0 0 < = 2 12 96 21.72% 0.79% 1.62%
    3 Carroll 1843 2 2 - 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 = = 12 84 27.50% 1.40% 1.82%
    4 Martyn Hamer 1816 2 0 2 - 0 0 2 2 2 0 = > 10 80 0.25% 0.24% 22.48%
    5 simon craddock 1832 0 0 2 2 - 2 0 2 < = = > 8 68 1.84% 1.47% 38.26%
    6 luiser 1834 0 0 2 2 0 - 0 0 2 2 > > 8 52 0 0 88.09%
    7 Omo321 1766 0 0 0 0 2 2 - 2 2 < > > 8 44 0 0.00% 87.76%
    8 kpato 1760 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 - > < = > 4 40 0 0 99.52%
    9 hershoff 1718 0 2 0 0 > 0 0 < - < = = 2 24 0 0 99.98%
    10 Ragnar Wikman 1793 0 > 0 2 = 0 > > > - = < 2 20 0.64% 0.62% 74.28%
    11 Luca Bruzzi 1771 < = = = = < < = = = - = 0 0 1.63% 0.31% 87.56%
    12 CHJ 1786 0 0 = < < < < < = > = - 0 0 0.02% 0.01% 98.56%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-01-14

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • simon craddock 0 – 2 hershoff

    Games completed: 41/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 RoRoRo the Bot 1920 - 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 > 14 68 47.76% 1.08% 0.04%
    2 jano_wol 1847 2 - 0 2 2 2 2 0 0 < 2 = 12 96 22.14% 0.96% 1.31%
    3 Carroll 1804 2 2 - 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 = = 12 88 24.35% 1.14% 1.80%
    4 Martyn Hamer 1806 2 0 2 - 0 0 2 2 2 0 > > 10 84 0.48% 0.39% 14.24%
    5 simon craddock 1812 0 0 2 2 - 2 0 2 0 = > = 8 68 0.52% 0.20% 44.15%
    6 luiser 1866 0 0 2 2 0 - 0 0 2 2 = > 8 56 0 0 89.09%
    7 Omo321 1777 0 0 0 0 2 2 - 2 2 < = > 8 48 0 0 90.74%
    8 kpato 1750 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 - > < > = 4 40 0 0 99.40%
    9 hershoff 1759 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 < - < = = 4 40 0 0 99.92%
    10 Ragnar Wikman 1793 0 > 0 2 = 0 > > > - < = 2 20 0.88% 0.80% 73.77%
    11 CHJ 1786 0 0 = < < = = < = > - = 0 0 0.09% 0.04% 96.11%
    12 Luca Bruzzi 1771 < = = < = < < = = = = - 0 0 1.39% 0.27% 89.45%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-01-15

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • CHJ 0 – 2 Carroll

    Games completed: 42/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Carroll 1819 - 2 2 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 = 2 14 88 47.73% 1.44% 0.01%
    2 RoRoRo the Bot 1920 0 - 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 > 2 14 68 28.55% 0.56% 0.09%
    3 jano_wol 1847 0 2 - 2 2 2 2 0 0 < = 2 12 96 19.24% 1.32% 1.71%
    4 Martyn Hamer 1806 2 2 0 - 0 0 2 2 2 0 > > 10 88 0.33% 0.24% 12.43%
    5 simon craddock 1812 2 0 0 2 - 2 0 2 0 = = > 8 72 0.34% 0.14% 43.40%
    6 luiser 1877 2 0 0 2 0 - 0 0 2 2 > = 8 60 0 0 89.12%
    7 Omo321 1777 0 0 0 0 2 2 - 2 2 < > = 8 48 0 0 90.16%
    8 kpato 1750 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 - > < = > 4 40 0 0 99.51%
    9 hershoff 1782 0 0 2 0 2 0 0 < - < = = 4 40 0 0 99.90%
    10 Ragnar Wikman 1793 0 0 > 2 = 0 > > > - = < 2 20 0.52% 0.48% 73.65%
    11 Luca Bruzzi 1771 = < = < = < < = = = - < 0 0 1.12% 0.22% 91.24%
    12 CHJ 1771 0 0 0 < < = = < = > > - 0 0 0.00% 0 98.79%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • FatPhil at 2014-01-15

    Oooh, that’s a bug!

    RoRoRo hasn’t seen that Carroll has won a frame in the final remaining match, and therefore has an advantage.

    Fixed, but it will take 6 or more hours before the next update comes...

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-01-16

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • CHJ 2 – 0 Omo321

    Games completed: 43/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Carroll 1819 - 2 2 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 > 14 92 50.55% 2.39% 0.00%
    2 RoRoRo the Bot 1923 0 - 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 > 14 72 15.54% 0.31% 0.02%
    3 jano_wol 1847 0 2 - 2 2 2 2 0 0 = 2 = 12 100 30.41% 2.40% 0.54%
    4 Martyn Hamer 1825 2 2 0 - 0 0 2 2 2 0 = > 10 88 0.02% 0.04% 16.71%
    5 simon craddock 1812 2 0 0 2 - 2 0 2 0 = > < 8 72 0.02% 0.02% 41.71%
    6 luiser 1877 2 0 0 2 0 - 0 0 2 2 = > 8 60 0 0 80.54%
    7 Omo321 1738 0 0 0 0 2 2 - 2 2 < 0 > 8 48 0 0 97.78%
    8 kpato 1750 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 - > < > < 4 40 0 0 99.31%
    9 hershoff 1733 0 0 2 0 2 0 0 < - < = = 4 40 0 0 99.91%
    10 Ragnar Wikman 1793 0 0 = 2 = 0 > > > - < = 2 20 0.14% 0.17% 78.73%
    11 CHJ 1786 0 0 0 = < = 2 < = > - > 2 16 0.00% 0 94.28%
    12 Luca Bruzzi 1771 < < = < > < < > = = < - 0 0 0.58% 0.17% 90.47%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-01-18

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • hershoff 0 – 2 Ragnar Wikman

    Games completed: 44/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Carroll 1828 - 2 2 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 > 14 96 51.52% 2.18% 0.01%
    2 RoRoRo the Bot 1923 0 - 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 > 14 76 15.23% 0.36% 0.01%
    3 jano_wol 1847 0 2 - 2 2 2 2 0 0 = 2 = 12 100 29.69% 2.18% 0.64%
    4 Martyn Hamer 1781 2 2 0 - 0 0 2 2 2 0 = > 10 88 0.03% 0.02% 21.73%
    5 simon craddock 1812 2 0 0 2 - 2 0 0 2 = > < 8 72 0.04% 0.00% 44.00%
    6 luiser 1833 2 0 0 2 0 - 0 2 0 2 = > 8 64 0 0 79.90%
    7 Omo321 1728 0 0 0 0 2 2 - 2 2 < 0 > 8 48 0 0 98.05%
    8 hershoff 1697 0 0 2 0 2 0 0 - = 0 = = 4 40 0 0 100.00%
    9 kpato 1712 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 = - < > < 4 40 0 0 99.60%
    10 Ragnar Wikman 1805 0 0 = 2 = 0 > 2 > - < = 4 28 0.14% 0.21% 74.42%
    11 CHJ 1786 0 0 0 = < = 2 = < > - > 2 16 0.00% 0 93.12%
    12 Luca Bruzzi 1771 < < = < > < < = > = < - 0 0 0.77% 0.20% 88.53%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-01-18

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Ragnar Wikman 0 – 2 jano_wol

    Games completed: 45/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 jano_wol 1861 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 2 2 = 14 108 56.63% 4.10% 0
    2 Carroll 1828 2 - 2 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 > 14 100 30.00% 4.06% 0.00%
    3 RoRoRo the Bot 1923 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 > 14 76 8.24% 0.17% 0.02%
    4 Martyn Hamer 1790 0 2 2 - 0 0 2 2 2 0 = > 10 88 0.01% 0.01% 16.00%
    5 simon craddock 1812 0 2 0 2 - 2 0 2 0 = > < 8 72 0.00% 0.00% 39.92%
    6 luiser 1833 0 2 0 2 0 - 0 0 2 2 = > 8 64 0 0 79.44%
    7 Omo321 1728 0 0 0 0 2 2 - 2 2 = 0 > 8 48 0 0 94.47%
    8 kpato 1722 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 - = < > < 4 44 0 0 99.49%
    9 hershoff 1697 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 = - 0 = = 4 44 0 0 99.99%
    10 Ragnar Wikman 1791 0 0 0 2 = 0 = > 2 - < = 4 28 0 0 91.30%
    11 CHJ 1786 0 0 0 = < = 2 < = > - > 2 16 0 0 91.93%
    12 Luca Bruzzi 1771 = < < < > < < > = = < - 0 0 0.83% 0.21% 87.43%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-01-19

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • CHJ 2 – 0 luiser

    Games completed: 46/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 jano_wol 1861 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 2 2 = 14 112 54.46% 5.55% 0
    2 Carroll 1838 2 - 2 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 > 14 104 31.05% 5.51% 0
    3 RoRoRo the Bot 1923 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 > 14 80 8.05% 0.13% 0.02%
    4 Martyn Hamer 1790 0 2 2 - 0 0 2 2 2 = 0 > 10 88 0.01% 0.02% 17.47%
    5 simon craddock 1812 0 2 0 2 - 2 0 2 0 > = < 8 72 0 0.00% 38.47%
    6 luiser 1808 0 2 0 2 0 - 0 0 2 0 2 > 8 64 0 0 99.31%
    7 Omo321 1728 0 0 0 0 2 2 - 2 2 0 = > 8 48 0 0 94.10%
    8 kpato 1736 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 - = = = < 4 44 0 0 98.76%
    9 hershoff 1697 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 = - < 0 = 4 44 0 0 99.98%
    10 CHJ 1803 0 0 0 = < 2 2 = > - > > 4 32 0.00% 0 73.17%
    11 Ragnar Wikman 1791 0 0 0 2 = 0 = = 2 < - = 4 28 0 0 92.32%
    12 Luca Bruzzi 1771 = < < < > < < > = < = - 0 0 0.73% 0.17% 86.39%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-01-21

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • CHJ 0 – 2 simon craddock

    Games completed: 47/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 jano_wol 1861 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 2 2 = 14 116 55.74% 4.92% 0
    2 Carroll 1838 2 - 2 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 > 14 104 30.77% 4.91% 0.00%
    3 RoRoRo the Bot 1923 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 > 14 84 7.86% 0.10% 0.02%
    4 Martyn Hamer 1783 0 2 2 - 0 0 2 2 2 = 0 > 10 88 0.01% 0.01% 18.53%
    5 simon craddock 1827 0 2 0 2 - 2 0 0 2 2 = < 10 80 0.00% 0.01% 30.43%
    6 luiser 1808 0 2 0 2 0 - 0 2 0 0 2 > 8 64 0 0 99.55%
    7 Omo321 1711 0 0 0 0 2 2 - 2 2 0 = > 8 52 0 0 94.33%
    8 hershoff 1682 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 - = < 0 = 4 48 0 0 99.99%
    9 kpato 1736 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 = - = = < 4 44 0 0 98.86%
    10 CHJ 1788 0 0 0 = 0 2 2 > = - > > 4 32 0 0 79.55%
    11 Ragnar Wikman 1791 0 0 0 2 = 0 = 2 = < - > 4 28 0 0 90.27%
    12 Luca Bruzzi 1771 = < < < > < < = > < < - 0 0 0.59% 0.11% 88.46%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-01-23

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • CHJ 2 – 0 Martyn Hamer

    Games completed: 48/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 jano_wol 1861 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 2 = 14 120 53.72% 6.19% 0
    2 Carroll 1850 2 - 2 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 > 14 108 31.70% 6.16% 0
    3 RoRoRo the Bot 1927 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 > 14 88 7.62% 0.20% 0
    4 Martyn Hamer 1731 0 2 2 - 0 0 2 0 2 2 0 > 10 88 0 0 38.59%
    5 simon craddock 1827 0 2 0 2 - 2 0 2 0 2 = < 10 84 0.00% 0.01% 30.39%
    6 luiser 1811 0 2 0 2 0 - 0 0 2 0 2 > 8 64 0 0 99.65%
    7 Omo321 1711 0 0 0 0 2 2 - 0 2 2 = > 8 52 0 0 91.93%
    8 CHJ 1802 0 0 0 2 0 2 2 - > = = > 6 52 0 0 69.15%
    9 hershoff 1668 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 < - = 0 < 4 48 0 0 100.00%
    10 kpato 1736 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 = = - = < 4 44 0 0 98.56%
    11 Ragnar Wikman 1791 0 0 0 2 = 0 = = 2 = - > 4 28 0 0 86.37%
    12 Luca Bruzzi 1771 = < < < > < < < > > < - 0 0 0.57% 0.23% 85.37%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-01-23

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Ragnar Wikman 2 – 0 Omo321
    • simon craddock 0 – 2 Ragnar Wikman

    Games completed: 50/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 jano_wol 1861 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 > 14 128 57.53% 13.38% 0
    2 Carroll 1868 2 - 2 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 > 14 116 24.72% 13.37% 0
    3 RoRoRo the Bot 1927 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 > 14 96 3.81% 0.14% 0
    4 Martyn Hamer 1731 0 2 2 - 0 0 0 2 0 2 2 > 10 88 0 0 35.83%
    5 simon craddock 1810 0 2 0 2 - 2 0 0 2 0 2 < 10 84 0 0 63.05%
    6 luiser 1811 0 2 0 2 0 - 2 0 0 2 0 = 8 72 0 0 99.19%
    7 Ragnar Wikman 1820 0 0 0 2 2 0 - 2 = 2 = > 8 64 0 0 54.60%
    8 Omo321 1699 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 - 0 2 2 > 8 52 0 0 100%
    9 CHJ 1802 0 0 0 2 0 2 = 2 - > = > 6 52 0 0 65.38%
    10 hershoff 1655 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 < - = < 4 48 0 0 99.99%
    11 kpato 1748 2 0 0 0 0 2 = 0 = = - < 4 44 0 0 97.33%
    12 Luca Bruzzi 1771 < < < < > = < < < > > - 0 0 0.42% 0.15% 84.62%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-01-26

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • kpato 0 – 2 Ragnar Wikman

    Games completed: 51/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 jano_wol 1861 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 > 14 132 65.27% 9.66% 0
    2 Carroll 1874 2 - 2 0 0 2 0 2 2 2 2 > 14 120 20.68% 9.66% 0
    3 RoRoRo the Bot 1927 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 > 14 100 3.85% 0.16% 0
    4 Martyn Hamer 1723 0 2 2 - 0 0 0 2 0 2 2 > 10 88 0 0 40.50%
    5 simon craddock 1810 0 2 0 2 - 0 2 0 2 0 2 < 10 84 0 0 68.29%
    6 Ragnar Wikman 1832 0 0 0 2 2 - 0 2 = 2 2 > 10 72 0 0 38.97%
    7 luiser 1795 0 2 0 2 0 2 - 0 0 2 0 = 8 76 0 0 98.93%
    8 Omo321 1704 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 - 0 2 2 > 8 52 0 0 100%
    9 CHJ 1802 0 0 0 2 0 = 2 2 - > = > 6 52 0 0 67.67%
    10 hershoff 1655 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 < - = < 4 48 0 0 100.00%
    11 kpato 1736 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 = = - < 4 44 0 0 100%
    12 Luca Bruzzi 1771 < < < < > < = < < > > - 0 0 0.37% 0.16% 85.65%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-02-04

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • kpato 2 – 0 CHJ

    Games completed: 52/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 jano_wol 1861 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 2 0 > 14 132 61.71% 12.47% 0
    2 Carroll 1842 2 - 2 0 0 2 0 2 2 2 2 > 14 124 20.96% 12.46% 0
    3 RoRoRo the Bot 1914 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 > 14 104 4.68% 0.03% 0
    4 Martyn Hamer 1811 0 2 2 - 0 0 0 2 2 0 2 > 10 92 0 0 10.00%
    5 simon craddock 1810 0 2 0 2 - 0 2 0 2 2 0 < 10 88 0 0 73.69%
    6 Ragnar Wikman 1832 0 0 0 2 2 - 0 2 2 = 2 > 10 76 0 0 39.20%
    7 luiser 1799 0 2 0 2 0 2 - 0 0 0 2 = 8 76 0 0 99.61%
    8 Omo321 1773 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 - 2 0 2 > 8 56 0 0 100%
    9 kpato 1755 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 - 2 = < 6 56 0 0 100%
    10 CHJ 1784 0 0 0 2 0 = 2 2 0 - > > 6 52 0 0 84.23%
    11 hershoff 1699 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 = < - < 4 48 0 0 99.98%
    12 Luca Bruzzi 1771 < < < < > < = < > < > - 0 0 0.17% 0.03% 93.29%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-02-06

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • hershoff 0 – 2 CHJ
    • kpato 2 – 0 hershoff

    Games completed: 54/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 jano_wol 1861 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 0 > 14 136 69.24% 8.35% 0
    2 Carroll 1842 2 - 2 0 0 2 0 2 2 2 2 = 14 132 14.66% 8.31% 0
    3 RoRoRo the Bot 1892 0 0 - 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 > 14 112 7.40% 0.03% 0
    4 simon craddock 1810 0 2 0 - 2 0 2 2 0 2 0 < 10 96 0 0 63.72%
    5 Martyn Hamer 1803 0 2 2 0 - 0 0 2 2 0 2 > 10 96 0 0 21.71%
    6 Ragnar Wikman 1832 0 0 0 2 2 - 0 2 2 = 2 > 10 80 0 0 45.03%
    7 luiser 1799 0 2 0 0 2 2 - 0 0 0 2 = 8 76 0 0 99.98%
    8 kpato 1777 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 - 0 2 2 < 8 68 0 0 100%
    9 Omo321 1773 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 2 - 0 2 > 8 60 0 0 100%
    10 CHJ 1796 0 0 0 0 2 = 2 0 2 - 2 > 8 60 0 0 77.18%
    11 hershoff 1693 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 - < 4 48 0 0 100%
    12 Luca Bruzzi 1771 < = < > < < = > < < > - 0 0 0.32% 0.07% 92.39%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-02-18

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Ragnar Wikman 2 – 0 CHJ

    Games completed: 55/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 janowol 1861 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 0 > 14 140 85.30% 6.67% 0
    2 Carroll 1832 2 - 2 2 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 = 14 136 5.27% 6.63% 0
    3 RoRoRo the Bot 1912 0 0 - 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 = 14 116 2.00% 0.00% 0
    4 Ragnar Wikman 1846 0 0 0 - 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 = 12 96 0 0 20.38%
    5 simon craddock 1810 0 2 0 0 - 2 2 2 0 2 0 < 10 96 0 0 83.24%
    6 Martyn Hamer 1766 0 2 2 0 0 - 0 2 2 0 2 > 10 96 0 0 20.48%
    7 luiser 1728 0 2 0 2 0 2 - 0 0 0 2 = 8 80 0 0 99.97%
    8 kpato 1675 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 - 0 2 2 < 8 68 0 0 100%
    9 Omo321 1733 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 2 - 0 2 > 8 60 0 0 100%
    10 CHJ 1782 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 2 - 2 > 8 60 0 0 100%
    11 hershoff 1708 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 - < 4 48 0 0 100%
    12 Luca Bruzzi 1771 < = = = > < = > < < > - 0 0 0.75% 0.05% 75.93%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-02-22

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Martyn Hamer 2 – 0 Luca Bruzzi

    Games completed: 56/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 jano_wol 1861 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 0 > 14 144 89.17% 3.97% 0
    2 Carroll 1812 2 - 2 2 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 = 14 136 4.40% 3.94% 0
    3 RoRoRo the Bot 1920 0 0 - 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 = 14 116 1.89% 0.00% 0
    4 Ragnar Wikman 1846 0 0 0 - 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 = 12 100 0 0 22.52%
    5 Martyn Hamer 1816 0 2 2 0 - 0 0 2 0 2 2 2 12 96 0 0 8.86%
    6 simon craddock 1810 0 2 0 0 2 - 2 2 2 0 0 < 10 100 0 0 87.49%
    7 luiser 1731 0 2 0 2 2 0 - 0 0 0 2 = 8 84 0 0 100%
    8 kpato 1690 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 - 2 0 2 < 8 68 0 0 100%
    9 CHJ 1798 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 - 2 2 > 8 64 0 0 100%
    10 Omo321 1764 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 0 - 2 > 8 60 0 0 100%
    11 hershoff 1697 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 - < 4 48 0 0 100%
    12 Luca Bruzzi 1757 < = = = 0 > = > < < > - 0 0 0.57% 0.03% 81.13%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-02-23

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Luca Bruzzi 0 – 2 jano_wol

    Games completed: 57/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 jano_wol 1872 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 0 2 16 144 95.12% 4.60% 0
    2 Carroll 1812 2 - 2 2 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 = 14 140 0.24% 4.60% 0
    3 RoRoRo the Bot 1920 0 0 - 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 = 14 116 0 0 0
    4 Ragnar Wikman 1846 0 0 0 - 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 = 12 100 0 0 20.36%
    5 Martyn Hamer 1816 0 2 2 0 - 0 0 2 0 2 2 2 12 96 0 0 8.30%
    6 simon craddock 1810 0 2 0 0 2 - 2 2 2 0 0 < 10 100 0 0 86.82%
    7 luiser 1731 0 2 0 2 2 0 - 0 0 0 2 = 8 84 0 0 100%
    8 kpato 1705 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 - 2 0 2 < 8 72 0 0 100%
    9 CHJ 1798 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 - 2 2 > 8 64 0 0 100%
    10 Omo321 1764 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 0 - 2 > 8 60 0 0 100%
    11 hershoff 1680 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 - < 4 52 0 0 100%
    12 Luca Bruzzi 1746 0 = = = 0 > = > < < > - 0 0 0.05% 0 84.52%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-02-28

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • RoRoRo the Bot 2 – 0 Luca Bruzzi

    Games completed: 58/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 jano_wol 1872 - 2 0 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 0 2 16 148 98.42% 1.50% 0
    2 RoRoRo the Bot 1941 0 - 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16 116 0 0 0
    3 Carroll 1814 2 2 - 0 2 0 0 2 2 2 2 < 14 144 0.07% 1.50% 0
    4 Martyn Hamer 1834 0 2 2 - 0 0 0 2 0 2 2 2 12 100 0 0 7.54%
    5 Ragnar Wikman 1846 0 0 0 2 - 2 0 2 2 2 2 = 12 100 0 0 14.17%
    6 simon craddock 1810 0 0 2 2 0 - 2 2 2 0 0 < 10 100 0 0 86.26%
    7 luiser 1758 0 0 2 2 2 0 - 0 0 0 2 > 8 84 0 0 100%
    8 kpato 1702 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 - 2 0 2 < 8 72 0 0 100%
    9 CHJ 1798 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 - 2 2 > 8 64 0 0 100%
    10 Omo321 1794 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 0 - 2 > 8 60 0 0 100%
    11 hershoff 1742 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 - < 4 52 0 0 100%
    12 Luca Bruzzi 1738 0 0 > 0 = > < > < < > - 0 0 0 0 92.03%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-03-10

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • kpato 0 – 2 Luca Bruzzi
    • Luca Bruzzi 0 – 2 Omo321

    Games completed: 60/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 jano_wol 1872 - 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 0 2 0 2 16 156 98.95% 1.05% 0
    2 RoRoRo the Bot 1946 0 - 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16 124 0 0 0
    3 Carroll 1810 2 2 - 0 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 < 14 148 0 1.05% 0
    4 Martyn Hamer 1862 0 2 2 - 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 2 12 108 0 0 5.02%
    5 Ragnar Wikman 1846 0 0 0 2 - 2 2 0 2 2 2 < 12 104 0 0 29.57%
    6 simon craddock 1810 0 0 2 2 0 - 0 2 2 2 0 < 10 100 0 0 74.44%
    7 Omo321 1731 0 0 0 0 0 2 - 2 2 0 2 2 10 64 0 0 100%
    8 luiser 1809 0 0 2 2 2 0 0 - 0 0 2 > 8 84 0 0 100%
    9 kpato 1733 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 - 2 2 0 8 72 0 0 100%
    10 CHJ 1805 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 2 0 - 2 > 8 68 0 0 100%
    11 hershoff 1743 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 - < 4 52 0 0 100%
    12 Luca Bruzzi 1736 0 0 > 0 > > 0 < 2 < > - 2 16 0 0 90.97%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-03-13

    Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • luiser 2 – 0 Luca Bruzzi

    Games completed: 61/66

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 jano_wol 1872 - 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 0 2 0 2 16 160 100% 0 0
    2 RoRoRo the Bot 1946 0 - 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16 128 0 0 0
    3 Carroll 1785 2 2 - 0 2 0 0 2 2 2 2 < 14 148 0 0 0
    4 Martyn Hamer 1868 0 2 2 - 0 0 0 2 2 0 2 2 12 108 0 0 6.65%
    5 Ragnar Wikman 1846 0 0 0 2 - 2 0 2 2 2 2 < 12 104 0 0 24.96%
    6 simon craddock 1810 0 0 2 2 0 - 2 0 2 2 0 < 10 104 0 0 72.55%
    7 luiser 1811 0 0 2 2 2 0 - 0 0 0 2 2 10 88 0 0 100%
    8 Omo321 1709 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 - 2 0 2 2 10 68 0 0 100%
    9 kpato 1733 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 - 2 2 0 8 76 0 0 100%
    10 CHJ 1805 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 2 0 - 2 > 8 72 0 0 100%
    11 hershoff 1775 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 - < 4 52 0 0 100%
    12 Luca Bruzzi 1722 0 0 > 0 > > 0 0 2 < > - 2 16 0 0 95.84%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

Return to forum

Reply to this topic




Include game board: [game;id:123456] or [game;id:123456;move:20] or [game;id:123456;move:20;title:some text]