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Word games: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1 predictions

42 replies. Last post: 2013-04-14
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wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1 predictions
2013-01-22
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
I’ve been requested to follow wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1 by RoRoRo the Bot
For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page .

  • Already completed matches:

Games completed: 0/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 MarleysGhost 1891 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 25.30% 1.47% 13.89%
2 Matteo A. 1584 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.08% 0.01% 95.33%
3 bloke 1651 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.37% 0.07% 86.74%
4 chianti 1659 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.50% 0.10% 85.59%
5 Malaj 1714 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.54% 0.19% 71.69%
6 Paradoxx 1794 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 6.31% 0.67% 43.55%
7 Ray Garrison 1810 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 8.66% 0.83% 37.56%
8 Luca Bruzzi 1833 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 12.01% 0.96% 29.96%
9 Nevermind 1859 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 17.24% 1.26% 22.80%
10 na_wspak 1889 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 24.57% 1.56% 15.40%
11 Nagy Fathy 1556 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.03% 0.01% 97.49%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-01-31
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Nagy Fathy 0 – 2 Luca Bruzzi

Games completed: 1/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Luca Bruzzi 1838 - 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 0 14.31% 1.09% 23.33%
2 Nagy Fathy 1551 0 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.02% 0 98.37%
3 MarleysGhost 1891 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 25.29% 1.62% 13.52%
4 Nevermind 1859 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 17.15% 1.30% 21.20%
5 Ray Garrison 1785 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 5.75% 0.63% 45.37%
6 Paradoxx 1794 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 6.79% 0.71% 42.52%
7 Malaj 1714 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.66% 0.22% 71.62%
8 chianti 1659 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.46% 0.08% 85.73%
9 bloke 1651 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.46% 0.08% 87.47%
10 Matteo A. 1584 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.09% 0.01% 95.62%
11 na_wspak 1889 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 24.59% 1.58% 15.25%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-02-01
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Nagy Fathy 0 – 2 na_wspak

Games completed: 2/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Luca Bruzzi 1838 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 2 0 13.71% 1.15% 23.72%
2 na_wspak 1893 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 2 0 27.16% 1.62% 11.84%
3 MarleysGhost 1891 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 24.79% 1.55% 13.92%
4 Nevermind 1859 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 16.49% 1.27% 21.36%
5 Ray Garrison 1785 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 5.62% 0.64% 45.72%
6 Paradoxx 1794 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 6.45% 0.68% 42.81%
7 Malaj 1714 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.41% 0.23% 72.00%
8 chianti 1659 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.50% 0.08% 86.00%
9 bloke 1651 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.35% 0.04% 87.57%
10 Matteo A. 1584 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.06% 0.01% 95.87%
11 Nagy Fathy 1547 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.00% 0 99.20%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-02-08
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • MarleysGhost 2 – 0 Nagy Fathy

Games completed: 3/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 MarleysGhost 1870 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ _ 2 0 22.10% 1.54% 15.07%
2 Luca Bruzzi 1838 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ _ 2 0 14.61% 1.17% 22.86%
3 na_wspak 1893 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ _ 2 0 28.38% 1.67% 11.54%
4 bloke 1651 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.42% 0.08% 85.94%
5 chianti 1659 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.53% 0.08% 84.82%
6 Matteo A. 1608 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.16% 0.04% 92.89%
7 Paradoxx 1794 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 7.12% 0.68% 40.80%
8 Ray Garrison 1761 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 3.97% 0.51% 53.87%
9 Nagy Fathy 1543 0 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0 0 99.57%
10 Nevermind 1859 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 17.58% 1.30% 21.06%
11 Malaj 1714 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 1.68% 0.21% 71.57%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-02-12
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Malaj 2 – 0 Nagy Fathy

Games completed: 4/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 na_wspak 1893 - _ _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 0 28.26% 1.59% 11.59%
2 Malaj 1722 _ - _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 0 2.43% 0.33% 63.19%
3 MarleysGhost 1870 _ _ - _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 0 21.88% 1.49% 16.06%
4 Luca Bruzzi 1838 _ _ _ - 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 0 14.42% 1.14% 23.98%
5 Nagy Fathy 1541 0 0 0 0 - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 99.85%
6 Nevermind 1859 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 17.48% 1.17% 21.38%
7 Ray Garrison 1761 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 4.03% 0.45% 54.85%
8 Paradoxx 1794 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 7.02% 0.75% 42.13%
9 chianti 1659 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.49% 0.09% 85.99%
10 bloke 1651 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.45% 0.06% 87.36%
11 Matteo A. 1608 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.16% 0.03% 93.61%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-02-14
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • na_wspak 2 – 0 Luca Bruzzi
  • bloke 2 – 0 Luca Bruzzi <-— upset!

Games completed: 6/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 na_wspak 1905 - _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ 4 4 41.82% 1.83% 5.10%
2 bloke 1674 _ - _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 1.54% 0.20% 66.47%
3 Malaj 1722 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 0 2.27% 0.35% 61.38%
4 Luca Bruzzi 1803 0 0 _ - _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 0 1.13% 0.30% 60.50%
5 MarleysGhost 1870 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 0 21.23% 1.47% 15.16%
6 chianti 1659 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.50% 0.06% 84.37%
7 Nevermind 1859 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 17.35% 1.25% 20.28%
8 Ray Garrison 1761 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 3.93% 0.47% 52.86%
9 Matteo A. 1608 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.16% 0.03% 92.88%
10 Nagy Fathy 1541 0 _ 0 0 0 _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0 0 99.84%
11 Paradoxx 1794 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 6.88% 0.73% 41.16%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-02-16
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Luca Bruzzi 0 – 2 Paradoxx

Games completed: 7/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 na_wspak 1905 - _ _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 4 39.06% 1.87% 5.24%
2 Paradoxx 1810 _ - _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 12.48% 1.12% 21.49%
3 bloke 1674 _ _ - _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 1.40% 0.21% 67.74%
4 MarleysGhost 1870 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 2 0 20.74% 1.40% 14.64%
5 Luca Bruzzi 1787 0 0 0 _ - _ _ _ _ _ 2 2 0 0.10% 0.05% 79.33%
6 Malaj 1722 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 2 2 0 2.08% 0.30% 62.26%
7 chianti 1659 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.43% 0.08% 83.99%
8 Matteo A. 1608 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.13% 0.03% 92.63%
9 Ray Garrison 1761 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 3.65% 0.44% 52.94%
10 Nevermind 1859 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 16.73% 1.27% 19.92%
11 Nagy Fathy 1541 0 _ _ 0 0 0 _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0 99.82%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-02-18
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Matteo A. 0 – 2 MarleysGhost

Games completed: 8/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 na_wspak 1905 - _ _ _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 4 4 37.67% 1.77% 5.35%
2 MarleysGhost 1875 _ - _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ _ 2 4 0 23.58% 1.52% 11.17%
3 Paradoxx 1810 _ _ - _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 11.92% 1.06% 22.27%
4 bloke 1674 _ _ _ - _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 1.30% 0.18% 67.90%
5 Malaj 1722 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 2 2 0 2.02% 0.28% 61.77%
6 Luca Bruzzi 1787 0 _ 0 0 _ - _ _ _ _ 2 2 0 0.10% 0.06% 79.75%
7 chianti 1659 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.44% 0.07% 84.01%
8 Matteo A. 1603 _ 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.04% 0.01% 95.28%
9 Ray Garrison 1761 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 3.67% 0.42% 52.60%
10 Nevermind 1859 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 16.20% 1.16% 20.09%
11 Nagy Fathy 1541 0 0 _ _ 0 0 _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0 99.81%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-02-20
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • MarleysGhost 0 – 2 Malaj

Games completed: 9/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Malaj 1744 - _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 8 7.10% 0.79% 34.03%
2 na_wspak 1905 _ - _ _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 4 4 41.78% 1.90% 5.83%
3 MarleysGhost 1853 0 _ - _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 4 0 9.63% 1.07% 27.42%
4 bloke 1674 _ _ _ - _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 1.43% 0.22% 69.82%
5 Paradoxx 1810 _ _ _ _ - 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 13.70% 1.11% 24.76%
6 Luca Bruzzi 1787 _ 0 _ 0 0 - _ _ _ _ 2 2 0 0.10% 0.06% 81.01%
7 chianti 1659 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.53% 0.09% 85.45%
8 Ray Garrison 1761 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 4.18% 0.50% 54.59%
9 Matteo A. 1603 _ _ 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.05% 0.02% 95.90%
10 Nevermind 1859 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 18.12% 1.38% 21.30%
11 Nagy Fathy 1541 0 0 0 _ _ 0 _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0 99.87%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-02-20
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Malaj 2 – 0 Luca Bruzzi

Games completed: 10/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Malaj 1761 - _ 2 _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 6 12 13.29% 1.23% 18.27%
2 na_wspak 1905 _ - _ _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 4 4 39.10% 1.88% 6.35%
3 MarleysGhost 1853 0 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 2 4 0 8.17% 1.04% 27.67%
4 bloke 1674 _ _ _ - _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 1.33% 0.17% 71.23%
5 Paradoxx 1810 _ _ _ _ - 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 12.48% 1.12% 25.63%
6 Luca Bruzzi 1770 0 0 _ 0 0 - _ _ _ _ 2 2 0 0 0 94.33%
7 chianti 1659 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.50% 0.08% 85.17%
8 Ray Garrison 1761 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 3.96% 0.49% 54.49%
9 Nevermind 1859 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 17.66% 1.32% 21.10%
10 Matteo A. 1603 _ _ 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.06% 0.00% 95.88%
11 Nagy Fathy 1541 0 0 0 _ _ 0 _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0 99.87%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-02-21
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • bloke 2 – 0 Nagy Fathy

Games completed: 11/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Malaj 1761 - _ _ 2 _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 6 12 13.13% 1.26% 19.10%
2 na_wspak 1905 _ - _ _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 4 4 38.66% 1.84% 6.63%
3 bloke 1684 _ _ - _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 4 4 1.96% 0.27% 64.26%
4 MarleysGhost 1853 0 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 2 2 4 0 8.39% 1.00% 29.22%
5 Paradoxx 1810 _ _ _ _ - 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 12.14% 0.99% 26.74%
6 Luca Bruzzi 1770 0 0 0 _ 0 - _ _ _ _ 2 2 0 0 0.00% 94.96%
7 Nevermind 1859 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 17.75% 1.31% 21.52%
8 chianti 1659 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.52% 0.12% 85.71%
9 Ray Garrison 1761 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 3.99% 0.43% 55.58%
10 Matteo A. 1603 _ _ _ 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.06% 0.01% 96.30%
11 Nagy Fathy 1531 0 0 0 0 _ 0 _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0 99.97%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-02-21
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Nagy Fathy 2 – 0 chianti

Games completed: 12/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Malaj 1761 - _ _ 2 _ 2 2 _ _ _ _ 6 16 13.37% 1.25% 17.24%
2 bloke 1684 _ - _ _ _ 2 2 _ _ _ _ 4 8 1.86% 0.24% 61.96%
3 na_wspak 1905 _ _ - _ _ 2 2 _ _ _ _ 4 8 39.28% 1.86% 6.46%
4 MarleysGhost 1853 0 _ _ - _ _ 2 _ _ 2 _ 4 4 8.42% 0.93% 28.07%
5 Paradoxx 1810 _ _ _ _ - 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 12.27% 1.02% 26.14%
6 Luca Bruzzi 1770 0 0 0 _ 0 - 2 _ _ _ _ 2 4 0 0 94.74%
7 Nagy Fathy 1552 0 0 0 0 _ 0 - _ _ _ 2 2 0 0 0 99.92%
8 Ray Garrison 1761 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 3.87% 0.46% 54.82%
9 Nevermind 1859 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 17.42% 1.28% 20.85%
10 Matteo A. 1603 _ _ _ 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.06% 0.01% 96.09%
11 chianti 1638 _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 _ _ _ - 0 0 0.11% 0.01% 93.71%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-02-21
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • na_wspak 2 – 0 Matteo A.
  • Nagy Fathy 0 – 2 Paradoxx

Games completed: 14/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Malaj 1761 - _ _ _ 2 2 2 _ _ _ _ 6 16 12.05% 1.23% 17.93%
2 na_wspak 1909 _ - _ _ _ 2 2 _ _ _ 2 6 8 42.03% 1.86% 4.90%
3 Paradoxx 1815 _ _ - _ _ 2 2 _ _ _ _ 4 8 13.40% 1.16% 21.37%
4 bloke 1684 _ _ _ - _ 2 2 _ _ _ _ 4 8 1.83% 0.27% 63.54%
5 MarleysGhost 1853 0 _ _ _ - _ 2 _ _ _ 2 4 4 7.31% 1.04% 28.92%
6 Luca Bruzzi 1770 0 0 0 0 _ - 2 _ _ _ _ 2 4 0 0 95.16%
7 Nagy Fathy 1547 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 2 _ _ _ 2 0 0 0 100.00%
8 chianti 1638 _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 - _ _ _ 0 0 0.14% 0.01% 93.67%
9 Ray Garrison 1761 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 3.56% 0.40% 55.64%
10 Nevermind 1859 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 16.30% 1.25% 21.26%
11 Matteo A. 1599 _ 0 _ _ 0 _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 97.61%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-02-23
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Paradoxx 0 – 2 MarleysGhost

Games completed: 15/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Malaj 1761 - 2 _ _ _ 2 2 _ _ _ _ 6 20 12.65% 1.22% 18.27%
2 MarleysGhost 1867 0 - _ 2 _ _ 2 _ _ _ 2 6 12 14.01% 1.42% 14.12%
3 na_wspak 1909 _ _ - _ _ 2 2 _ _ _ 2 6 8 41.50% 1.79% 5.49%
4 Paradoxx 1801 _ 0 _ - _ 2 2 _ _ _ _ 4 8 5.50% 0.72% 35.52%
5 bloke 1684 _ _ _ _ - 2 2 _ _ _ _ 4 8 1.81% 0.27% 65.96%
6 Luca Bruzzi 1770 0 _ 0 0 0 - 2 _ _ _ _ 2 4 0 0 95.54%
7 Nagy Fathy 1529 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 2 _ _ _ 2 0 0 0 100.00%
8 chianti 1638 _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 - _ _ _ 0 0 0.15% 0.00% 94.24%
9 Ray Garrison 1776 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 4.55% 0.46% 50.84%
10 Nevermind 1859 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 16.49% 1.23% 22.20%
11 Matteo A. 1599 _ 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.01% 0.00% 97.83%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-02-23
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Ray Garrison 2 – 0 Luca Bruzzi
  • Ray Garrison 2 – 0 Nagy Fathy

Games completed: 17/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Malaj 1761 - 2 _ _ _ _ 2 2 _ _ _ 6 20 11.66% 1.16% 21.07%
2 MarleysGhost 1867 0 - _ _ 2 _ _ 2 _ _ 2 6 12 13.59% 1.42% 15.48%
3 na_wspak 1909 _ _ - _ _ _ 2 2 _ _ 2 6 8 38.98% 1.96% 6.45%
4 Ray Garrison 1797 _ _ _ - _ _ 2 2 _ _ _ 4 8 9.83% 1.00% 31.04%
5 Paradoxx 1801 _ 0 _ _ - _ 2 2 _ _ _ 4 8 4.79% 0.63% 40.08%
6 bloke 1684 _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 _ _ _ 4 8 1.62% 0.24% 69.38%
7 Luca Bruzzi 1755 0 _ 0 0 0 0 - 2 _ _ _ 2 4 0 0 99.57%
8 Nagy Fathy 1523 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 2 _ _ 2 0 0 0 100%
9 chianti 1638 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 - _ _ 0 0 0.12% 0.00% 94.73%
10 Nevermind 1859 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 15.89% 1.16% 24.22%
11 Matteo A. 1599 _ 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.01% 0.00% 97.99%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-02-24
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Luca Bruzzi 2 – 0 chianti

Games completed: 18/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Malaj 1761 - 2 _ _ _ _ 2 2 _ _ _ 6 24 11.73% 1.15% 20.45%
2 MarleysGhost 1867 0 - _ _ 2 _ _ 2 _ _ 2 6 12 13.24% 1.38% 15.66%
3 na_wspak 1909 _ _ - _ _ _ 2 2 _ _ 2 6 12 39.15% 1.99% 6.40%
4 Ray Garrison 1797 _ _ _ - _ _ 2 2 _ _ _ 4 12 9.92% 1.03% 30.22%
5 Paradoxx 1801 _ 0 _ _ - _ 2 2 _ _ _ 4 12 5.17% 0.71% 40.01%
6 bloke 1684 _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 _ _ _ 4 12 1.58% 0.25% 68.85%
7 Luca Bruzzi 1765 0 _ 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 _ _ 4 4 0 0 99.32%
8 Nagy Fathy 1523 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 2 _ _ 2 0 0 0 100%
9 chianti 1628 _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 - _ _ 0 0 0.03% 0 97.37%
10 Nevermind 1859 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 15.59% 1.22% 23.74%
11 Matteo A. 1599 _ 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 97.98%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-02-26
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Luca Bruzzi 2 – 0 Matteo A.

Games completed: 19/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Malaj 1761 - _ 2 2 _ _ _ 2 _ _ _ 6 28 11.84% 1.21% 20.49%
2 na_wspak 1909 _ - _ 2 _ _ _ 2 _ _ 2 6 16 39.22% 2.00% 6.32%
3 MarleysGhost 1867 0 _ - _ _ 2 _ 2 _ _ 2 6 12 12.92% 1.55% 16.23%
4 Luca Bruzzi 1773 0 0 _ - 0 0 0 2 2 _ 2 6 4 0 0 98.78%
5 Ray Garrison 1797 _ _ _ 2 - _ _ 2 _ _ _ 4 16 10.06% 0.98% 29.97%
6 Paradoxx 1801 _ _ 0 2 _ - _ 2 _ _ _ 4 16 5.22% 0.75% 39.26%
7 bloke 1684 _ _ _ 2 _ _ - 2 _ _ _ 4 16 1.65% 0.25% 68.58%
8 Nagy Fathy 1523 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 2 _ _ 2 0 0 0 100%
9 chianti 1628 _ _ _ 0 _ _ _ 0 - _ _ 0 0 0.04% 0 97.24%
10 Nevermind 1859 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 15.30% 1.35% 24.10%
11 Matteo A. 1591 _ 0 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.00% 0 99.04%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-02-26
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Nevermind 2 – 0 Nagy Fathy

Games completed: 20/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Malaj 1761 - _ 2 2 _ _ _ _ 2 _ _ 6 28 12.01% 1.15% 20.29%
2 na_wspak 1909 _ - _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 6 16 38.61% 1.89% 6.56%
3 MarleysGhost 1867 0 _ - _ _ 2 _ _ 2 _ 2 6 12 12.45% 1.43% 16.49%
4 Luca Bruzzi 1773 0 0 _ - 0 0 0 _ 2 2 2 6 4 0 0 98.76%
5 Ray Garrison 1797 _ _ _ 2 - _ _ _ 2 _ _ 4 16 9.81% 0.91% 30.51%
6 Paradoxx 1801 _ _ 0 2 _ - _ _ 2 _ _ 4 16 4.94% 0.70% 39.88%
7 bloke 1684 _ _ _ 2 _ _ - _ 2 _ _ 4 16 1.51% 0.26% 69.32%
8 Nevermind 1863 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 _ _ 2 4 17.09% 1.31% 21.74%
9 Nagy Fathy 1540 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 2 _ 2 0 0 0 100%
10 chianti 1628 _ _ _ 0 _ _ _ _ 0 - _ 0 0 0.03% 0 97.49%
11 Matteo A. 1591 _ 0 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.00% 0 98.95%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-02-26
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Matteo A. 0 – 2 Ray Garrison
  • Nagy Fathy 2 – 0 Matteo A.

Games completed: 22/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Malaj 1761 - _ _ 2 2 _ _ 2 _ _ _ 6 32 11.60% 1.17% 21.04%
2 na_wspak 1909 _ - _ _ 2 _ _ 2 _ _ 2 6 20 37.50% 1.92% 6.84%
3 Ray Garrison 1804 _ _ - _ 2 _ _ 2 _ _ 2 6 20 11.89% 1.12% 24.99%
4 MarleysGhost 1867 0 _ _ - _ 2 _ 2 _ _ 2 6 16 11.84% 1.38% 17.92%
5 Luca Bruzzi 1773 0 0 0 _ - 0 0 2 _ 2 2 6 8 0 0 99.15%
6 Paradoxx 1801 _ _ _ 0 2 - _ 2 _ _ _ 4 20 4.97% 0.70% 40.77%
7 bloke 1684 _ _ _ _ 2 _ - 2 _ _ _ 4 20 1.55% 0.22% 69.57%
8 Nagy Fathy 1558 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 2 2 4 0 0 0 100%
9 Nevermind 1863 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 - _ _ 2 8 16.99% 1.39% 22.06%
10 chianti 1628 _ _ _ _ 0 _ _ 0 _ - _ 0 0 0.03% 0 97.70%
11 Matteo A. 1566 _ 0 0 0 0 _ _ 0 _ _ - 0 0 0 0 99.96%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-03-05
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • na_wspak 2 – 0 Paradoxx
  • na_wspak 2 – 0 MarleysGhost

Games completed: 24/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 na_wspak 1933 - _ _ 2 2 2 _ 2 _ _ 2 10 40 66.03% 1.47% 0.37%
2 Malaj 1761 _ - _ 2 2 _ _ 2 _ _ _ 6 32 8.31% 0.71% 18.51%
3 Ray Garrison 1804 _ _ - _ 2 _ _ 2 _ _ 2 6 20 8.75% 0.77% 21.87%
4 MarleysGhost 1859 0 0 _ - _ 2 _ 2 _ _ 2 6 16 0.81% 0.40% 26.41%
5 Luca Bruzzi 1773 0 0 0 _ - 0 0 2 _ 2 2 6 8 0 0 98.56%
6 Paradoxx 1791 0 _ _ 0 2 - _ 2 _ _ _ 4 20 0.44% 0.18% 51.07%
7 bloke 1684 _ _ _ _ 2 _ - 2 _ _ _ 4 20 1.01% 0.16% 66.29%
8 Nagy Fathy 1558 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 2 2 4 0 0 0 100%
9 Nevermind 1863 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 - _ _ 2 8 12.60% 0.85% 19.90%
10 chianti 1628 _ _ _ _ 0 _ _ 0 _ - _ 0 0 0.01% 0 97.10%
11 Matteo A. 1566 0 _ 0 0 0 _ _ 0 _ _ - 0 0 0 0 99.93%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-03-05
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • chianti 2 – 0 MarleysGhost <-— upset!

Games completed: 25/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 na_wspak 1933 - _ _ 2 2 2 _ 2 _ _ 2 10 40 64.88% 1.45% 0.37%
2 Malaj 1761 _ - _ 2 2 _ _ 2 _ _ _ 6 32 8.24% 0.72% 18.19%
3 Ray Garrison 1804 _ _ - _ 2 _ _ 2 _ _ 2 6 20 9.59% 0.86% 19.86%
4 MarleysGhost 1834 0 0 _ - _ 2 _ 2 0 _ 2 6 16 0.06% 0.06% 48.25%
5 Luca Bruzzi 1773 0 0 0 _ - 0 0 2 2 _ 2 6 12 0 0 97.93%
6 Paradoxx 1791 0 _ _ 0 2 - _ 2 _ _ _ 4 20 0.62% 0.25% 46.27%
7 bloke 1684 _ _ _ _ 2 _ - 2 _ _ _ 4 20 1.07% 0.16% 62.78%
8 Nagy Fathy 1558 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 2 0 2 4 4 0 0 100%
9 chianti 1653 _ _ _ 2 0 _ _ 0 - _ _ 2 12 0.10% 0.00% 88.60%
10 Nevermind 1863 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ - _ 2 8 13.43% 0.88% 17.85%
11 Matteo A. 1566 0 _ 0 0 0 _ _ 0 _ _ - 0 0 0 0 99.91%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-03-05
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • MarleysGhost 2 – 0 bloke

Games completed: 26/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 na_wspak 1933 - 2 _ _ 2 2 _ 2 _ _ 2 10 44 65.74% 1.50% 0.36%
2 MarleysGhost 1843 0 - 0 _ _ 2 2 2 0 _ 2 8 24 0.12% 0.12% 34.93%
3 Malaj 1761 _ 2 - _ 2 _ _ 2 _ _ _ 6 36 8.22% 0.69% 18.02%
4 Ray Garrison 1804 _ _ _ - 2 _ _ 2 _ _ 2 6 20 9.40% 0.79% 20.92%
5 Luca Bruzzi 1773 0 _ 0 0 - 0 0 2 2 _ 2 6 12 0 0 97.76%
6 Paradoxx 1791 0 0 _ _ 2 - _ 2 _ _ _ 4 20 0.52% 0.22% 47.31%
7 bloke 1675 _ 0 _ _ 2 _ - 2 _ _ _ 4 20 0.55% 0.08% 73.41%
8 Nagy Fathy 1558 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 2 0 2 4 4 0 0 100%
9 chianti 1653 _ 2 _ _ 0 _ _ 0 - _ _ 2 16 0.10% 0.00% 88.93%
10 Nevermind 1863 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ - _ 2 8 13.36% 0.90% 18.43%
11 Matteo A. 1566 0 0 _ 0 0 _ _ 0 _ _ - 0 0 0 0 99.92%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-03-07
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • na_wspak 0 – 2 chianti <-— major upset!

Games completed: 27/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 na_wspak 1907 - 2 _ _ 2 0 2 _ 2 _ 2 10 44 47.09% 3.08% 1.71%
2 MarleysGhost 1843 0 - 0 _ _ 0 2 2 2 _ 2 8 24 0.29% 0.36% 40.09%
3 Malaj 1761 _ 2 - _ 2 _ _ _ 2 _ _ 6 36 12.39% 1.24% 21.09%
4 Ray Garrison 1804 _ _ _ - 2 _ _ _ 2 _ 2 6 20 13.51% 1.41% 23.04%
5 Luca Bruzzi 1773 0 _ 0 0 - 2 0 0 2 _ 2 6 16 0 0 98.24%
6 chianti 1679 2 2 _ _ 0 - _ _ 0 _ _ 4 36 0.78% 0.01% 69.13%
7 Paradoxx 1791 0 0 _ _ 2 _ - _ 2 _ _ 4 20 1.48% 0.31% 50.88%
8 bloke 1675 _ 0 _ _ 2 _ _ - 2 _ _ 4 20 0.96% 0.20% 76.24%
9 Nagy Fathy 1558 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 - 0 2 4 8 0 0 100%
10 Nevermind 1863 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 - _ 2 8 19.52% 1.79% 19.66%
11 Matteo A. 1566 0 0 _ 0 0 _ _ _ 0 _ - 0 0 0 0 99.91%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-03-07
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Luca Bruzzi 0 – 2 MarleysGhost

Games completed: 28/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 na_wspak 1907 - 2 _ _ 2 0 2 _ 2 _ 2 10 48 47.39% 3.20% 1.91%
2 MarleysGhost 1855 0 - 0 _ 2 0 2 2 2 _ 2 10 36 0.49% 0.75% 24.49%
3 Malaj 1761 _ 2 - _ 2 _ _ _ 2 _ _ 6 40 12.23% 1.32% 22.20%
4 Ray Garrison 1804 _ _ _ - 2 _ _ _ 2 _ 2 6 20 13.30% 1.40% 24.51%
5 Luca Bruzzi 1761 0 0 0 0 - 2 0 0 2 _ 2 6 16 0 0 100%
6 chianti 1679 2 2 _ _ 0 - _ _ 0 _ _ 4 40 0.84% 0.00% 72.43%
7 Paradoxx 1791 0 0 _ _ 2 _ - _ 2 _ _ 4 20 1.41% 0.31% 54.93%
8 bloke 1675 _ 0 _ _ 2 _ _ - 2 _ _ 4 20 0.76% 0.18% 78.77%
9 Nagy Fathy 1558 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 - 0 2 4 8 0 0 100%
10 Nevermind 1863 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 - _ 2 8 19.45% 1.72% 20.83%
11 Matteo A. 1566 0 0 _ 0 0 _ _ _ 0 _ - 0 0 0 0 99.94%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-03-10
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Luca Bruzzi 2 – 0 Nevermind

Games completed: 29/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 na_wspak 1907 - 2 2 _ _ 0 2 _ 2 _ 2 10 52 52.32% 3.00% 1.51%
2 MarleysGhost 1861 0 - 2 0 _ 0 2 2 2 _ 2 10 40 0.62% 0.72% 21.77%
3 Luca Bruzzi 1781 0 0 - 0 0 2 0 0 2 2 2 8 20 0 0 100.00%
4 Malaj 1761 _ 2 2 - _ _ _ _ 2 _ _ 6 44 14.42% 1.32% 20.08%
5 Ray Garrison 1804 _ _ 2 _ - _ _ _ 2 _ 2 6 24 14.82% 1.51% 23.41%
6 chianti 1679 2 2 0 _ _ - _ _ 0 _ _ 4 40 1.20% 0.01% 69.46%
7 Paradoxx 1791 0 0 2 _ _ _ - _ 2 _ _ 4 24 1.50% 0.33% 51.95%
8 bloke 1675 _ 0 2 _ _ _ _ - 2 _ _ 4 24 0.96% 0.23% 76.94%
9 Nagy Fathy 1558 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 - 0 2 4 8 0 0 100%
10 Nevermind 1843 _ _ 0 _ _ _ _ _ 2 - _ 2 8 10.14% 1.39% 34.93%
11 Matteo A. 1555 0 0 0 _ 0 _ _ _ 0 _ - 0 0 0 0 99.96%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-03-13
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • MarleysGhost 0 – 2 Nevermind

Games completed: 30/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 na_wspak 1907 - 2 2 _ _ 0 _ 2 _ 2 2 10 52 48.14% 2.89% 1.72%
2 MarleysGhost 1845 0 - 2 0 _ 0 0 2 2 2 2 10 40 0 0.00% 42.61%
3 Luca Bruzzi 1781 0 0 - 0 0 2 2 0 0 2 2 8 24 0 0 100.00%
4 Malaj 1761 _ 2 2 - _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ 6 44 12.88% 1.22% 20.58%
5 Ray Garrison 1804 _ _ 2 _ - _ _ _ _ 2 2 6 24 13.91% 1.32% 23.18%
6 chianti 1679 2 2 0 _ _ - _ _ _ 0 _ 4 40 0.93% 0.02% 68.76%
7 Nevermind 1859 _ 2 0 _ _ _ - _ _ 2 _ 4 28 17.85% 2.05% 16.44%
8 Paradoxx 1791 0 0 2 _ _ _ _ - _ 2 _ 4 24 1.42% 0.37% 50.87%
9 bloke 1675 _ 0 2 _ _ _ _ _ - 2 _ 4 24 0.95% 0.21% 75.91%
10 Nagy Fathy 1578 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 - 2 4 8 0 0 100%
11 Matteo A. 1555 0 0 0 _ 0 _ _ _ _ 0 - 0 0 0 0 99.94%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-03-16
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Nevermind 2 – 0 na_wspak

Games completed: 31/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 na_wspak 1889 - 2 2 0 _ _ 0 2 _ 2 2 10 52 19.10% 2.31% 4.24%
2 MarleysGhost 1845 0 - 2 0 0 _ 0 2 2 2 2 10 40 0 0 44.54%
3 Luca Bruzzi 1781 0 0 - 2 0 0 2 0 0 2 2 8 28 0 0 100.00%
4 Nevermind 1877 2 2 0 - _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ 6 48 42.39% 3.35% 4.98%
5 Malaj 1761 _ 2 2 _ - _ _ _ _ 2 _ 6 44 14.16% 1.24% 21.79%
6 Ray Garrison 1804 _ _ 2 _ _ - _ _ _ 2 2 6 24 15.27% 1.23% 24.50%
7 chianti 1679 2 2 0 _ _ _ - _ _ 0 _ 4 40 1.33% 0.03% 70.77%
8 Paradoxx 1791 0 0 2 _ _ _ _ - _ 2 _ 4 24 2.31% 0.67% 52.25%
9 bloke 1675 _ 0 2 _ _ _ _ _ - 2 _ 4 24 1.07% 0.21% 76.98%
10 Nagy Fathy 1585 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 - 2 4 8 0 0 100%
11 Matteo A. 1555 0 0 0 _ _ 0 _ _ _ 0 - 0 0 0 0 99.96%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-03-24
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • bloke 0 – 2 na_wspak

Games completed: 32/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 na_wspak 1896 - 2 2 0 _ _ 0 2 2 2 2 12 60 23.98% 2.67% 1.68%
2 MarleysGhost ★ 1855 0 - 2 0 0 _ 0 2 2 2 2 10 40 0 0 42.23%
3 Luca Bruzzi 1781 0 0 - 2 0 0 2 0 0 2 2 8 28 0 0 100%
4 Nevermind 1877 2 2 0 - _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ 6 52 41.33% 3.14% 4.75%
5 Malaj 1761 _ 2 2 _ - _ _ _ _ 2 _ 6 44 13.21% 1.23% 20.40%
6 Ray Garrison ★ 1804 _ _ 2 _ _ - _ _ _ 2 2 6 24 13.96% 1.16% 24.09%
7 chianti 1679 2 2 0 _ _ _ - _ _ 0 _ 4 44 1.15% 0.03% 70.51%
8 Paradoxx 1791 0 0 2 _ _ _ _ - _ 2 _ 4 24 1.94% 0.54% 51.61%
9 bloke 1668 0 0 2 _ _ _ _ _ - 2 _ 4 24 0.18% 0.07% 84.77%
10 Nagy Fathy 1587 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 - 2 4 8 0 0 100%
11 Matteo A. 1561 0 0 0 _ _ 0 _ _ _ 0 - 0 0 0 0 99.95%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-03-24
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Ray Garrison ★ 0 – 2 na_wspak

Games completed: 33/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 na_wspak 1907 - 2 2 0 _ 2 0 2 2 2 2 14 72 37.70% 3.44% 0
2 MarleysGhost ★ 1855 0 - 2 0 0 _ 0 2 2 2 2 10 40 0 0 40.44%
3 Luca Bruzzi 1781 0 0 - 2 0 0 2 0 0 2 2 8 28 0 0 100%
4 Nevermind 1877 2 2 0 - _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ 6 56 40.68% 3.38% 4.31%
5 Malaj 1761 _ 2 2 _ - _ _ _ _ 2 _ 6 44 11.77% 1.18% 19.68%
6 Ray Garrison ★ 1793 0 _ 2 _ _ - _ _ _ 2 2 6 24 3.69% 0.55% 34.36%
7 chianti 1679 2 2 0 _ _ _ - _ _ 0 _ 4 48 0.80% 0.01% 68.71%
8 Paradoxx 1791 0 0 2 _ _ _ _ - _ 2 _ 4 24 0.92% 0.33% 49.19%
9 bloke 1668 0 0 2 _ _ _ _ _ - 2 _ 4 24 0.12% 0.03% 83.37%
10 Nagy Fathy 1587 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 - 2 4 8 0 0 100%
11 Matteo A. 1561 0 0 0 _ _ 0 _ _ _ 0 - 0 0 0 0 99.94%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-03-25
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Malaj 2 – 0 na_wspak
  • MarleysGhost ★ 0 – 2 Ray Garrison ★

Games completed: 35/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 na_wspak 1885 - 2 0 2 2 0 0 2 2 2 2 14 76 1.36% 1.24% 0
2 MarleysGhost ★ 1837 0 - 0 0 2 0 0 2 2 2 2 10 40 0 0 89.59%
3 Malaj 1783 2 2 - _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 _ 8 72 34.74% 2.30% 3.61%
4 Ray Garrison ★ 1811 0 2 _ - 2 _ _ _ _ 2 2 8 44 16.15% 1.69% 12.16%
5 Luca Bruzzi 1781 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 0 0 2 2 8 28 0 0 100%
6 Nevermind 1877 2 2 _ _ 0 - _ _ _ 2 _ 6 56 38.49% 3.18% 3.84%
7 chianti 1679 2 2 _ _ 0 _ - _ _ 0 _ 4 48 1.48% 0.05% 65.79%
8 Paradoxx 1791 0 0 _ _ 2 _ _ - _ 2 _ 4 24 2.78% 1.13% 43.69%
9 bloke 1668 0 0 _ _ 2 _ _ _ - 2 _ 4 24 0.33% 0.14% 81.37%
10 Nagy Fathy 1587 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 - 2 4 8 0 0 100%
11 Matteo A. 1561 0 0 _ 0 0 _ _ _ _ 0 - 0 0 0 0 99.95%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-03-25
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Matteo A. 0 – 2 Malaj

Games completed: 36/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 na_wspak 1885 - 0 2 2 2 0 0 2 2 2 2 14 76 0.87% 1.17% 0
2 Malaj 1789 2 - 2 _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 2 10 72 37.62% 2.52% 2.23%
3 MarleysGhost ★ 1837 0 0 - 0 2 0 0 2 2 2 2 10 40 0 0 89.73%
4 Ray Garrison ★ 1811 0 _ 2 - 2 _ _ _ _ 2 2 8 44 15.21% 1.75% 12.09%
5 Luca Bruzzi 1781 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 0 0 2 2 8 28 0 0 100%
6 Nevermind 1877 2 _ 2 _ 0 - _ _ _ 2 _ 6 56 37.23% 3.03% 3.84%
7 chianti 1679 2 _ 2 _ 0 _ - _ _ 0 _ 4 48 1.22% 0.02% 66.39%
8 Paradoxx 1791 0 _ 0 _ 2 _ _ - _ 2 _ 4 24 2.90% 1.13% 44.58%
9 bloke 1668 0 _ 0 _ 2 _ _ _ - 2 _ 4 24 0.29% 0.15% 81.14%
10 Nagy Fathy 1587 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 - 2 4 8 0 0 100%
11 Matteo A. 1555 0 0 0 0 0 _ _ _ _ 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-03-30
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Matteo A. 2 – 0 Nevermind <-— major upset!

Games completed: 37/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 na_wspak 1885 - 0 2 2 2 0 0 2 2 2 2 14 80 3.07% 2.42% 0
2 Malaj 1789 2 - 2 _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 2 10 76 48.72% 2.52% 1.86%
3 MarleysGhost ★ 1837 0 0 - 0 2 0 0 2 2 2 2 10 44 0 0 88.53%
4 Ray Garrison ★ 1811 0 _ 2 - 2 _ _ _ _ 2 2 8 48 20.24% 1.73% 11.29%
5 Luca Bruzzi 1781 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 0 0 2 2 8 32 0 0 100%
6 Nevermind 1850 2 _ 2 _ 0 - _ _ _ 2 0 6 56 18.71% 0.16% 11.30%
7 chianti 1679 2 _ 2 _ 0 _ - _ _ 0 _ 4 48 1.56% 0.10% 63.86%
8 Paradoxx 1791 0 _ 0 _ 2 _ _ - _ 2 _ 4 24 3.67% 0.86% 42.93%
9 bloke 1668 0 _ 0 _ 2 _ _ _ - 2 _ 4 24 0.39% 0.14% 80.23%
10 Nagy Fathy 1587 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 - 2 4 12 0 0 100%
11 Matteo A. 1567 0 0 0 0 0 2 _ _ _ 0 - 2 12 0 0 100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-03-30
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • chianti 0 – 2 Ray Garrison ★

Games completed: 38/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 na_wspak 1885 - 0 2 2 2 0 0 2 2 2 2 14 84 2.78% 1.66% 0
2 Malaj 1789 2 - _ 2 2 _ _ _ _ 2 2 10 76 45.29% 2.30% 1.59%
3 Ray Garrison ★ 1821 0 _ - 2 2 _ 2 _ _ 2 2 10 56 28.22% 1.44% 4.37%
4 MarleysGhost ★ 1837 0 0 0 - 2 0 0 2 2 2 2 10 44 0 0 87.18%
5 Luca Bruzzi 1781 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 0 0 2 2 8 32 0 0 100%
6 Nevermind 1850 2 _ _ 2 0 - _ _ _ 2 0 6 56 16.56% 0.05% 10.21%
7 chianti 1669 2 _ 0 2 0 _ - _ _ 0 _ 4 48 0.32% 0.02% 76.29%
8 Paradoxx 1791 0 _ _ 0 2 _ _ - _ 2 _ 4 24 3.59% 0.65% 41.01%
9 bloke 1668 0 _ _ 0 2 _ _ _ - 2 _ 4 24 0.33% 0.09% 79.35%
10 Nagy Fathy 1587 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 - 2 4 12 0 0 100%
11 Matteo A. 1567 0 0 0 0 0 2 _ _ _ 0 - 2 12 0 0 100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-04-01
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Paradoxx 2 – 0 Matteo A.

Games completed: 39/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 na_wspak 1885 - 0 2 2 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 14 88 2.80% 1.75% 0
2 Malaj 1789 2 - _ 2 2 _ _ _ _ 2 2 10 76 45.13% 2.39% 1.88%
3 Ray Garrison ★ 1821 0 _ - 2 2 _ _ 2 _ 2 2 10 56 27.41% 1.39% 4.96%
4 MarleysGhost ★ 1837 0 0 0 - 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 10 48 0 0 88.32%
5 Luca Bruzzi 1781 0 0 0 0 - 2 0 2 0 2 2 8 32 0 0 100%
6 Nevermind 1850 2 _ _ 2 0 - _ _ _ 2 0 6 56 16.48% 0.04% 10.88%
7 Paradoxx 1797 0 _ _ 0 2 _ - _ _ 2 2 6 28 4.59% 0.80% 35.78%
8 chianti 1669 2 _ 0 2 0 _ _ - _ 0 _ 4 48 0.27% 0.02% 77.89%
9 bloke 1668 0 _ _ 0 2 _ _ _ - 2 _ 4 24 0.27% 0.12% 80.29%
10 Nagy Fathy 1587 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 - 2 4 12 0 0 100%
11 Matteo A. 1561 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 _ _ 0 - 2 12 0 0 100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-04-03
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Matteo A. 2 – 0 bloke
  • Ray Garrison ★ 0 – 2 bloke <-— upset!

Games completed: 41/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 na_wspak 1885 - 0 2 2 2 0 2 2 0 2 2 14 96 5.17% 2.82% 0
2 Malaj 1789 2 - _ 2 2 _ _ _ _ 2 2 10 80 52.81% 2.24% 1.84%
3 Ray Garrison ★ 1798 0 _ - 2 2 _ 0 _ 2 2 2 10 60 10.82% 1.23% 14.03%
4 MarleysGhost ★ 1837 0 0 0 - 2 0 2 2 0 2 2 10 56 0 0 86.53%
5 Luca Bruzzi 1781 0 0 0 0 - 2 0 0 2 2 2 8 36 0 0 100%
6 Nevermind 1850 2 _ _ 2 0 - _ _ _ 0 2 6 56 21.94% 0.08% 10.65%
7 bloke 1671 0 _ 2 0 2 _ - _ _ 0 2 6 44 0.45% 0.12% 72.27%
8 Paradoxx 1797 0 _ _ 0 2 _ _ - _ 2 2 6 32 4.79% 1.01% 36.99%
9 chianti 1669 2 _ 0 2 0 _ _ _ - _ 0 4 48 0.51% 0.03% 77.68%
10 Matteo A. 1581 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 _ - 0 4 24 0 0 100%
11 Nagy Fathy 1587 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 - 4 16 0 0 100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-04-04
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Ray Garrison ★ 2 – 0 Malaj

Games completed: 42/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 na_wspak 1885 - 2 0 2 2 0 2 2 0 2 2 14 100 8.85% 4.12% 0
2 Ray Garrison ★ 1813 0 - 2 2 2 _ 0 _ 2 2 2 12 80 23.16% 2.40% 1.44%
3 Malaj 1774 2 0 - 2 2 _ _ _ _ 2 2 10 80 28.77% 2.67% 4.29%
4 MarleysGhost ★ 1837 0 0 0 - 2 0 2 2 0 2 2 10 56 0 0 93.40%
5 Luca Bruzzi 1781 0 0 0 0 - 2 0 0 2 2 2 8 36 0 0 100%
6 Nevermind 1850 2 _ _ 2 0 - _ _ _ 0 2 6 56 27.70% 0.12% 11.37%
7 bloke 1671 0 2 _ 0 2 _ - _ _ 0 2 6 48 0.53% 0.17% 72.92%
8 Paradoxx 1797 0 _ _ 0 2 _ _ - _ 2 2 6 32 5.38% 1.13% 37.83%
9 chianti 1669 2 0 _ 2 0 _ _ _ - _ 0 4 48 0.58% 0.10% 78.75%
10 Matteo A. 1581 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 _ - 0 4 24 0 0 100%
11 Nagy Fathy 1587 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 - 4 16 0 0 100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-04-07
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Nevermind 2 – 0 Malaj

Games completed: 43/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 na_wspak 1885 - 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 0 2 2 14 100 9.33% 3.90% 0
2 Ray Garrison ★ 1813 0 - 2 2 _ 2 0 _ 2 2 2 12 80 24.55% 2.03% 1.57%
3 Malaj 1762 2 0 - 2 0 2 _ _ _ 2 2 10 80 11.16% 1.96% 7.89%
4 MarleysGhost ★ 1837 0 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 0 2 2 10 56 0 0 94.79%
5 Nevermind 1862 2 _ 2 2 - 0 _ _ _ 0 2 8 76 44.11% 0.13% 4.29%
6 Luca Bruzzi 1781 0 0 0 0 2 - 0 0 2 2 2 8 40 0 0 100%
7 bloke 1671 0 2 _ 0 _ 2 - _ _ 0 2 6 48 0.53% 0.15% 73.80%
8 Paradoxx 1797 0 _ _ 0 _ 2 _ - _ 2 2 6 32 5.35% 1.14% 37.98%
9 chianti 1669 2 0 _ 2 _ 0 _ _ - _ 0 4 48 0.59% 0.13% 79.68%
10 Matteo A. 1581 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 _ - 0 4 28 0 0 100%
11 Nagy Fathy 1587 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 - 4 16 0 0 100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-04-07
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • chianti 2 – 0 Matteo A.

Games completed: 44/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 na_wspak 1885 - 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 2 14 100 8.05% 3.22% 0
2 Ray Garrison ★ 1813 0 - 2 2 _ 2 2 0 _ 2 2 12 84 25.87% 1.53% 1.67%
3 Malaj 1762 2 0 - 2 0 2 _ _ _ 2 2 10 80 11.08% 1.83% 9.40%
4 MarleysGhost ★ 1837 0 0 0 - 0 2 0 2 2 2 2 10 56 0 0 96.63%
5 Nevermind 1862 2 _ 2 2 - 0 _ _ _ 0 2 8 76 43.97% 0.21% 4.46%
6 Luca Bruzzi 1781 0 0 0 0 2 - 2 0 0 2 2 8 44 0 0 100%
7 chianti 1681 2 0 _ 2 _ 0 - _ _ 2 0 6 56 1.03% 0.21% 70.76%
8 bloke 1671 0 2 _ 0 _ 2 _ - _ 0 2 6 48 0.72% 0.06% 76.56%
9 Paradoxx 1797 0 _ _ 0 _ 2 _ _ - 2 2 6 32 5.38% 1.13% 40.53%
10 Matteo A. 1569 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 - 0 4 28 0 0 100%
11 Nagy Fathy 1587 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 - 4 20 0 0 100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-04-11
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • chianti 0 – 2 Malaj

Games completed: 45/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 na_wspak 1885 - 0 2 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 2 14 100 7.39% 2.78% 0
2 Malaj 1774 2 - 0 2 0 2 2 _ _ 2 2 12 92 18.26% 1.84% 0.94%
3 Ray Garrison ★ 1813 0 2 - 2 _ 2 2 0 _ 2 2 12 88 24.36% 1.83% 1.97%
4 MarleysGhost ★ 1843 0 0 0 - 0 2 0 2 2 2 2 10 56 0 0 94.88%
5 Nevermind 1862 2 2 _ 2 - 0 _ _ _ 0 2 8 80 40.21% 0 3.31%
6 Luca Bruzzi 1781 0 0 0 0 2 - 2 0 0 2 2 8 44 0 0 100%
7 chianti 1669 2 0 0 2 _ 0 - _ _ 2 0 6 56 0 0 85.06%
8 bloke 1671 0 _ 2 0 _ 2 _ - _ 0 2 6 48 0.71% 0.04% 75.35%
9 Paradoxx 1797 0 _ _ 0 _ 2 _ _ - 2 2 6 32 5.45% 1.15% 38.50%
10 Matteo A. 1562 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 - 0 4 28 0 0 100%
11 Nagy Fathy 1587 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 - 4 20 0 0 100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-04-12
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Malaj 2 – 0 bloke

Games completed: 46/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Malaj 1785 - 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 _ 2 2 14 104 28.14% 0.92% 0
2 na_wspak 1885 0 - 2 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 2 14 100 3.78% 1.97% 0
3 Ray Garrison ★ 1813 2 0 - 2 _ 2 2 0 _ 2 2 12 92 24.84% 1.51% 0.55%
4 MarleysGhost ★ 1843 0 0 0 - 0 2 0 2 2 2 2 10 56 0 0 92.62%
5 Nevermind 1862 2 2 _ 2 - 0 _ _ _ 0 2 8 84 34.82% 0 2.13%
6 Luca Bruzzi 1781 0 0 0 0 2 - 2 0 0 2 2 8 44 0 0 100%
7 chianti 1669 0 2 0 2 _ 0 - _ _ 2 0 6 56 0 0 82.80%
8 bloke 1660 0 0 2 0 _ 2 _ - _ 0 2 6 48 0 0 85.79%
9 Paradoxx 1797 _ 0 _ 0 _ 2 _ _ - 2 2 6 32 5.78% 1.15% 36.12%
10 Matteo A. 1562 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 - 0 4 28 0 0 100%
11 Nagy Fathy 1587 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 - 4 20 0 0 100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-04-13
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Malaj 2 – 0 Paradoxx

Games completed: 47/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Malaj 1801 - 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 16 116 56.51% 0.71% 0
2 na_wspak 1885 0 - 2 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 2 14 100 0 0 0
3 Ray Garrison ★ 1813 2 0 - 2 _ 2 2 0 _ 2 2 12 96 22.82% 0.71% 0
4 MarleysGhost ★ 1843 0 0 0 - 0 2 0 2 2 2 2 10 56 0 0 84.76%
5 Nevermind 1862 2 2 _ 2 - 0 _ _ _ 0 2 8 88 19.96% 0 1.44%
6 Luca Bruzzi 1781 0 0 0 0 2 - 2 0 0 2 2 8 44 0 0 100%
7 chianti 1669 0 2 0 2 _ 0 - _ _ 2 0 6 56 0 0 76.44%
8 bloke 1660 0 0 2 0 _ 2 _ - _ 0 2 6 48 0 0 80.42%
9 Paradoxx 1781 0 0 _ 0 _ 2 _ _ - 2 2 6 32 0 0 56.93%
10 Matteo A. 1562 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 - 0 4 28 0 0 100%
11 Nagy Fathy 1587 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 - 4 20 0 0 100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted
2013-04-14
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: wyps.cv.nb.11.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Nevermind 2 – 0 Ray Garrison ★
  • chianti 0 – 2 Nevermind
  • Paradoxx 0 – 2 Nevermind
  • Paradoxx 0 – 2 Ray Garrison ★
  • Nevermind 2 – 0 bloke
  • bloke 0 – 2 Paradoxx

Games completed: 53/55

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Nevermind 1899 - 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 2 0 2 16 156 100% 0 0
2 Malaj 1801 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16 120 0 0 0
3 Ray Garrison ★ 1814 0 2 - 0 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 14 112 0 0 0
4 na_wspak 1885 0 0 2 - 2 2 2 0 2 2 2 14 108 0 0 0
5 MarleysGhost ★ 1843 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 0 2 2 2 10 60 0 0 18.71%
6 Luca Bruzzi 1781 2 0 0 0 0 - 0 2 0 2 2 8 60 0 0 100%
7 Paradoxx 1767 0 0 0 0 0 2 - _ 2 2 2 8 44 0 0 100%
8 chianti 1662 0 0 0 2 2 0 _ - _ 2 0 6 56 0 0 81.29%
9 bloke 1643 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 _ - 0 2 6 52 0 0 100%
10 Matteo A. 1562 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 - 0 4 44 0 0 100%
11 Nagy Fathy 1587 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 - 4 20 0 0 100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted

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