rev.ch.31.1.1 predictions Reversi forum

32 replies. Last post: 2013-04-28

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rev.ch.31.1.1 predictions
  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-01-22

    Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1
    I’ve been requested to follow rev.ch.31.1.1 by RoRoRo the Bot
    For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page .

    • Already completed matches:

    Games completed: 0/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 bill 2321 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 30.09% 2.23% 7.17%
    2 alkosan 2302 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 25.30% 2.11% 9.80%
    3 erwin vd berg 2277 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 19.24% 1.85% 13.28%
    4 Guy Plowman 2251 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 13.85% 1.57% 18.67%
    5 skyw7 2133 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 2.45% 0.48% 54.94%
    6 Roel 2132 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 2.57% 0.48% 55.94%
    7 Toptal 2108 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 1.74% 0.30% 64.99%
    8 superwizard 2068 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.70% 0.20% 76.25%
    9 Jeroen 1845 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 98.96%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-02-08

    Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Toptal 0 – 2 Guy Plowman
    • Toptal 2 – 0 Jeroen

    Games completed: 2/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Guy Plowman 2260 - 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 20.62% 2.02% 8.51%
    2 Toptal 2106 0 - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 2 0 0.68% 0.19% 64.52%
    3 superwizard 2048 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.54% 0.14% 76.02%
    4 Roel 2071 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.87% 0.19% 70.45%
    5 skyw7 2133 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 2.72% 0.48% 50.37%
    6 erwin vd berg 2277 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 19.68% 1.88% 12.45%
    7 bill 2302 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 25.49% 2.13% 9.07%
    8 alkosan 2302 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 25.47% 2.05% 9.63%
    9 Jeroen 1866 _ 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.00% 0 98.97%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-02-16

    Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Jeroen 0 – 2 Guy Plowman

    Games completed: 3/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Guy Plowman 2263 - 2 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 4 4 21.93% 2.04% 7.88%
    2 Toptal 2106 0 - 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 0 0.66% 0.22% 64.78%
    3 Jeroen 1878 0 0 - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 99.12%
    4 superwizard 2071 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.93% 0.18% 71.12%
    5 alkosan 2302 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 25.03% 2.29% 8.85%
    6 skyw7 2133 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 2.45% 0.54% 52.20%
    7 erwin vd berg 2277 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 19.15% 1.85% 12.92%
    8 bill 2302 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 24.93% 2.17% 9.57%
    9 Roel 2070 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.81% 0.17% 73.56%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-02-21

    Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Toptal 1 – 1 alkosan

    Games completed: 4/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Guy Plowman 2263 - 2 _ _ _ 2 _ _ _ 4 6 28.34% 0.56% 8.07%
    2 Toptal 2114 0 - 1 _ _ 2 _ _ _ 3 1 0.97% 0.18% 56.95%
    3 alkosan 2294 _ 1 - _ _ _ _ _ _ 1 3 22.06% 0.18% 11.76%
    4 superwizard 2100 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.99% 0.11% 63.72%
    5 erwin vd berg 2277 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 24.07% 0.58% 13.18%
    6 Jeroen 1898 0 0 _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.01% 0 99.09%
    7 Roel 2070 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 1.10% 0.09% 73.73%
    8 skyw7 2133 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 3.54% 0.20% 53.97%
    9 bill 2245 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 16.75% 0.57% 19.53%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-02-27

    Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • skyw7 2 – 0 Guy Plowman

    Games completed: 5/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Guy Plowman 2242 - 2 0 _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 6 11.63% 0.51% 20.76%
    2 Toptal 2114 0 - _ 1 _ _ _ _ 2 3 1 1.36% 0.30% 60.48%
    3 skyw7 2154 2 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 8 11.18% 0.42% 27.79%
    4 alkosan 2294 _ 1 _ - _ _ _ _ _ 1 3 25.65% 0.30% 12.63%
    5 superwizard 2076 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.48% 0.12% 73.05%
    6 bill 2245 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 18.52% 0.59% 20.90%
    7 erwin vd berg 2277 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 27.00% 0.66% 14.53%
    8 Roel 2086 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 1.73% 0.12% 70.67%
    9 Jeroen 1898 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 99.20%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-02-27

    Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Guy Plowman 2 – 0 superwizard

    Games completed: 6/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Guy Plowman 2251 - 2 0 _ 2 2 _ _ _ 6 6 15.56% 0.65% 12.44%
    2 Toptal 2114 0 - _ 1 2 _ _ _ _ 3 1 1.21% 0.27% 60.04%
    3 skyw7 2154 2 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 12 10.89% 0.48% 27.38%
    4 alkosan 2294 _ 1 _ - _ _ _ _ _ 1 3 24.65% 0.27% 12.70%
    5 Jeroen 1898 0 0 _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.00% 0 99.28%
    6 superwizard 2076 0 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.55% 0.05% 80.97%
    7 Roel 2086 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 1.65% 0.13% 71.19%
    8 erwin vd berg 2277 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 25.99% 0.71% 14.70%
    9 bill 2245 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 17.99% 0.60% 21.30%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-02-28

    Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Jeroen 0 – 2 alkosan
    • Guy Plowman 2 – 0 Roel

    Games completed: 8/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Guy Plowman 2259 - 2 _ 0 2 2 2 _ _ 8 6 19.69% 0.71% 5.74%
    2 Toptal 2114 0 - 1 _ 2 _ _ _ _ 3 3 0.88% 0.22% 59.34%
    3 alkosan 2296 _ 1 - _ 2 _ _ _ _ 3 3 25.80% 0.22% 10.29%
    4 skyw7 2154 2 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 2 16 10.39% 0.44% 26.24%
    5 Jeroen 1915 0 0 0 _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.00% 0 99.49%
    6 superwizard 2076 0 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.37% 0.05% 81.39%
    7 Roel 2078 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.39% 0.04% 81.44%
    8 erwin vd berg 2277 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 23.96% 0.69% 14.59%
    9 bill 2245 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 17.11% 0.57% 21.48%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-02-28

    Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • skyw7 2 – 0 Toptal

    Games completed: 9/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Guy Plowman 2259 - 0 2 _ 2 2 2 _ _ 8 6 16.76% 0.69% 5.59%
    2 skyw7 2168 2 - 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 4 22 16.94% 0.58% 11.54%
    3 Toptal 2100 0 0 - 1 2 _ _ _ _ 3 3 0.06% 0.04% 78.64%
    4 alkosan 2296 _ _ 1 - 2 _ _ _ _ 3 3 23.96% 0.04% 10.29%
    5 Jeroen 1915 0 _ 0 0 - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 99.40%
    6 superwizard 2081 0 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.39% 0.05% 79.92%
    7 Roel 2078 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.37% 0.06% 80.66%
    8 erwin vd berg 2277 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 23.58% 0.70% 13.65%
    9 bill 2245 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 16.63% 0.64% 20.30%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-01

    Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • skyw7 2 – 0 Jeroen

    Games completed: 10/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Guy Plowman 2259 - 0 2 _ 2 2 2 _ _ 8 6 15.30% 0.73% 5.69%
    2 skyw7 2174 2 - 2 _ 2 _ _ _ _ 6 22 19.74% 0.69% 8.59%
    3 Toptal 2100 0 0 - 1 2 _ _ _ _ 3 3 0.06% 0.02% 79.66%
    4 alkosan 2296 _ _ 1 - 2 _ _ _ _ 3 3 23.42% 0.02% 10.45%
    5 Jeroen 1909 0 0 0 0 - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 99.87%
    6 superwizard 2096 0 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.59% 0.06% 77.12%
    7 Roel 2063 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.32% 0.03% 83.83%
    8 erwin vd berg 2277 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 22.90% 0.83% 14.26%
    9 bill 2245 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 16.25% 0.68% 20.52%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-01

    Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Jeroen 0 – 2 superwizard

    Games completed: 11/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Guy Plowman 2259 - 0 2 _ 2 2 2 _ _ 8 10 15.07% 0.72% 6.09%
    2 skyw7 2174 2 - 2 _ _ 2 _ _ _ 6 22 19.87% 0.66% 8.58%
    3 Toptal 2100 0 0 - 1 _ 2 _ _ _ 3 3 0.06% 0.03% 79.75%
    4 alkosan 2296 _ _ 1 - _ 2 _ _ _ 3 3 23.19% 0.03% 10.69%
    5 superwizard 2081 0 _ _ _ - 2 _ _ _ 2 0 0.59% 0.05% 76.68%
    6 Jeroen 1901 0 0 0 0 0 - _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 99.98%
    7 Roel 2063 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.29% 0.03% 83.72%
    8 bill 2245 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 16.11% 0.66% 20.67%
    9 erwin vd berg 2277 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 23.43% 0.81% 13.83%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-01

    Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • superwizard 0 – 2 Toptal

    Games completed: 12/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Guy Plowman 2259 - 0 2 _ 2 2 _ _ 2 8 14 15.17% 0.71% 6.00%
    2 skyw7 2174 2 - 2 _ _ 2 _ _ _ 6 26 20.15% 0.74% 7.92%
    3 Toptal 2115 0 0 - 1 2 2 _ _ _ 5 7 0.12% 0.06% 65.56%
    4 alkosan 2296 _ _ 1 - _ 2 _ _ _ 3 5 23.33% 0.06% 10.14%
    5 superwizard 2066 0 _ 0 _ - 2 _ _ _ 2 0 0.12% 0.01% 89.31%
    6 Jeroen 1901 0 0 0 0 0 - _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 99.98%
    7 bill 2245 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 16.21% 0.67% 21.23%
    8 erwin vd berg 2277 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 23.15% 0.82% 14.72%
    9 Roel 2063 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.31% 0.06% 85.14%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-03

    Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • erwin vd berg 2 – 0 Jeroen

    Games completed: 13/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Guy Plowman 2259 - 0 2 _ 2 _ 2 2 _ 8 14 14.70% 0.78% 6.38%
    2 skyw7 2174 2 - 2 _ _ _ _ 2 _ 6 26 19.95% 0.75% 8.09%
    3 Toptal 2115 0 0 - 1 2 _ _ 2 _ 5 7 0.10% 0.06% 66.20%
    4 alkosan 2296 _ _ 1 - _ _ _ 2 _ 3 5 22.73% 0.06% 10.50%
    5 superwizard 2066 0 _ 0 _ - _ _ 2 _ 2 0 0.12% 0.02% 89.39%
    6 erwin vd berg 2280 _ _ _ _ _ - _ 2 _ 2 0 24.94% 0.88% 12.67%
    7 Roel 2063 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.33% 0.05% 84.88%
    8 Jeroen 1917 0 0 0 0 0 0 _ - _ 0 0 0 0 100%
    9 bill 2245 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 15.59% 0.73% 21.88%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-06

    Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • superwizard 0 – 2 skyw7
    • Jeroen 0 – 2 Roel

    Games completed: 15/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 skyw7 2184 - 2 2 _ 2 _ _ 2 _ 8 30 25.85% 0.97% 3.21%
    2 Guy Plowman 2259 0 - 2 _ 2 2 _ 2 _ 8 18 12.03% 0.77% 6.78%
    3 Toptal 2115 0 0 - 1 2 _ _ 2 _ 5 7 0.02% 0.03% 68.31%
    4 alkosan 2296 _ _ 1 - _ _ _ 2 _ 3 5 21.67% 0.03% 10.99%
    5 superwizard 2035 0 0 0 _ - _ _ 2 _ 2 0 0.00% 0 96.99%
    6 Roel 2072 _ 0 _ _ _ - _ 2 _ 2 0 0.46% 0.06% 79.57%
    7 erwin vd berg 2280 _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 _ 2 0 23.64% 0.92% 12.45%
    8 Jeroen 1908 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - _ 0 0 0 0 100%
    9 bill 2245 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 14.70% 0.77% 21.70%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-07

    Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Toptal 2 – 0 Roel

    Games completed: 16/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 skyw7 2184 - 2 2 _ _ 2 _ 2 _ 8 34 26.78% 1.04% 2.98%
    2 Guy Plowman 2259 0 - 2 _ 2 2 _ 2 _ 8 22 11.81% 0.81% 7.34%
    3 Toptal 2129 0 0 - 1 2 2 _ 2 _ 7 11 0.06% 0.05% 51.03%
    4 alkosan 2296 _ _ 1 - _ _ _ 2 _ 3 7 21.58% 0.05% 10.94%
    5 Roel 2058 _ 0 0 _ - _ _ 2 _ 2 0 0.12% 0.01% 91.99%
    6 superwizard 2037 0 0 0 _ _ - _ 2 _ 2 0 0 0 97.49%
    7 erwin vd berg 2280 _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 _ 2 0 23.28% 1.07% 14.19%
    8 Jeroen 1918 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - _ 0 0 0 0 100%
    9 bill 2245 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 14.63% 0.80% 24.04%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-09

    Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • alkosan 2 – 0 Guy Plowman

    Games completed: 17/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 skyw7 2184 - 2 2 _ 2 _ _ 2 _ 8 34 24.12% 0.72% 3.04%
    2 Guy Plowman 2245 0 - 2 0 2 2 _ 2 _ 8 22 2.21% 0.53% 14.17%
    3 Toptal 2129 0 0 - 1 2 2 _ 2 _ 7 13 0.05% 0.06% 52.36%
    4 alkosan 2310 _ 2 1 - _ _ _ 2 _ 5 23 35.59% 0.06% 3.27%
    5 superwizard 2007 0 0 0 _ - _ _ 2 _ 2 0 0 0.00% 98.21%
    6 Roel 2058 _ 0 0 _ _ - _ 2 _ 2 0 0.13% 0.02% 91.40%
    7 erwin vd berg 2280 _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 _ 2 0 22.52% 0.64% 13.88%
    8 Jeroen 1939 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - _ 0 0 0 0 100%
    9 bill 2245 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 14.20% 0.50% 23.66%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-12

    Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Roel 0 – 2 skyw7

    Games completed: 18/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 skyw7 2194 - 2 2 _ 2 2 _ 2 _ 10 38 30.71% 0.86% 0.04%
    2 Guy Plowman 2245 0 - 2 0 2 2 _ 2 _ 8 22 0.95% 0.68% 13.10%
    3 Toptal 2129 0 0 - 1 2 2 _ 2 _ 7 13 0.03% 0.01% 52.57%
    4 alkosan 2310 _ 2 1 - _ _ _ 2 _ 5 23 32.65% 0.01% 2.96%
    5 superwizard 2017 0 0 0 _ - _ _ 2 _ 2 0 0 0 98.07%
    6 Roel 2056 0 0 0 _ _ - _ 2 _ 2 0 0 0 96.74%
    7 erwin vd berg 2280 _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 _ 2 0 21.15% 0.76% 13.32%
    8 Jeroen 1939 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - _ 0 0 0 0 100%
    9 bill 2245 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 13.25% 0.50% 23.21%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-16

    Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Guy Plowman 2 – 0 erwin vd berg

    Games completed: 19/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 skyw7 2194 - 2 2 _ _ 2 2 _ 2 10 42 35.73% 1.17% 0.04%
    2 Guy Plowman 2262 0 - 2 0 2 2 2 _ 2 10 26 2.23% 1.49% 0.31%
    3 Toptal 2129 0 0 - 1 _ 2 2 _ 2 7 13 0.02% 0.02% 52.15%
    4 alkosan 2310 _ 2 1 - _ _ _ _ 2 5 27 37.00% 0.02% 3.03%
    5 erwin vd berg 2263 _ 0 _ _ - _ _ _ 2 2 0 8.89% 0.90% 25.84%
    6 Roel 2056 0 0 0 _ _ - _ _ 2 2 0 0 0 97.11%
    7 superwizard 2017 0 0 0 _ _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0.00% 98.29%
    8 bill 2245 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 14.14% 0.77% 23.22%
    9 Jeroen 1941 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 _ - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-17

    Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • skyw7 0 – 2 alkosan

    Games completed: 20/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 skyw7 2184 - 2 0 2 2 2 _ 2 _ 10 42 18.40% 1.26% 0.06%
    2 Guy Plowman 2262 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 _ 10 26 2.85% 1.55% 0.30%
    3 alkosan 2320 2 2 - 1 _ _ _ 2 _ 7 47 53.76% 0.03% 0.57%
    4 Toptal 2129 0 0 1 - 2 2 _ 2 _ 7 15 0.02% 0.03% 53.83%
    5 Roel 2056 0 0 _ 0 - _ _ 2 _ 2 0 0 0 97.05%
    6 superwizard 2017 0 0 _ 0 _ - _ 2 _ 2 0 0 0 98.25%
    7 erwin vd berg 2263 _ 0 _ _ _ _ - 2 _ 2 0 9.09% 0.69% 26.27%
    8 Jeroen 1941 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - _ 0 0 0 0 100%
    9 bill 2245 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 14.11% 0.62% 23.67%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-17

    Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • alkosan 2 – 0 Roel

    Games completed: 21/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 skyw7 2184 - 2 0 2 2 2 _ 2 _ 10 42 15.01% 0.78% 0.06%
    2 Guy Plowman 2262 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 _ 10 26 1.59% 1.09% 0.36%
    3 alkosan 2325 2 2 - 1 2 _ _ 2 _ 9 51 61.44% 0.04% 0.13%
    4 Toptal 2129 0 0 1 - 2 2 _ 2 _ 7 17 0.01% 0.04% 53.19%
    5 Roel 2051 0 0 0 0 - _ _ 2 _ 2 0 0 0 98.99%
    6 superwizard 2017 0 0 _ 0 _ - _ 2 _ 2 0 0 0 98.30%
    7 erwin vd berg 2263 _ 0 _ _ _ _ - 2 _ 2 0 8.12% 0.48% 25.78%
    8 Jeroen 1941 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - _ 0 0 0 0 100%
    9 bill 2245 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 12.57% 0.44% 23.18%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-19

    Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • erwin vd berg 2 – 0 Toptal

    Games completed: 22/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 skyw7 2184 - 2 0 2 _ 2 2 2 _ 10 42 14.10% 0.81% 0
    2 Guy Plowman 2262 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 _ 10 30 1.21% 0.98% 0.00%
    3 alkosan 2325 2 2 - 1 _ _ 2 2 _ 9 51 59.35% 0 0.03%
    4 Toptal 2119 0 0 1 - 0 2 2 2 _ 7 17 0 0 71.17%
    5 erwin vd berg 2273 _ 0 _ 2 - _ _ 2 _ 4 14 12.33% 0.22% 9.95%
    6 superwizard 2017 0 0 _ 0 _ - _ 2 _ 2 0 0 0 98.15%
    7 Roel 2051 0 0 0 0 _ _ - 2 _ 2 0 0 0 98.75%
    8 Jeroen 1953 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - _ 0 0 0 0 100%
    9 bill 2245 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 11.87% 0.49% 21.95%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-22

    Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Guy Plowman 0 – 2 bill

    Games completed: 23/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 skyw7 2184 - 2 0 2 _ _ 2 2 2 10 42 12.06% 0.18% 0
    2 Guy Plowman 2246 0 - 0 2 2 0 2 2 2 10 30 0 0 0.02%
    3 alkosan 2325 2 2 - 1 _ _ _ 2 2 9 51 54.19% 0 0.02%
    4 Toptal 2119 0 0 1 - 0 _ 2 2 2 7 17 0 0 79.91%
    5 erwin vd berg 2273 _ 0 _ 2 - _ _ _ 2 4 14 11.47% 0.13% 11.60%
    6 bill 2261 _ 2 _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 20 21.97% 0.31% 10.78%
    7 superwizard 2017 0 0 _ 0 _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0 98.61%
    8 Roel 2051 0 0 0 0 _ _ _ - 2 2 0 0 0 99.06%
    9 Jeroen 1953 0 0 0 0 0 _ 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-27

    Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • bill 2 – 0 Toptal

    Games completed: 24/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 skyw7 2184 - 2 0 2 _ _ 2 2 2 10 42 10.78% 0 0
    2 Guy Plowman 2246 0 - 0 2 0 2 2 2 2 10 30 0 0 0.01%
    3 alkosan 2325 2 2 - 1 _ _ _ 2 2 9 51 49.14% 0 0.01%
    4 Toptal 2110 0 0 1 - 0 0 2 2 2 7 17 0 0 95.15%
    5 bill 2272 _ 2 _ 2 - _ _ _ _ 4 34 29.11% 0.11% 1.34%
    6 erwin vd berg 2273 _ 0 _ 2 _ - _ _ 2 4 14 10.86% 0.11% 5.98%
    7 superwizard 1978 0 0 _ 0 _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0 98.87%
    8 Roel 2051 0 0 0 0 _ _ _ - 2 2 0 0 0 98.64%
    9 Jeroen 1961 0 0 0 0 _ 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-29

    Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Roel 2 – 0 superwizard

    Games completed: 25/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 skyw7 2184 - 2 0 2 _ _ 2 2 2 10 46 10.50% 0 0
    2 Guy Plowman 2246 0 - 0 2 0 2 2 2 2 10 34 0 0 0
    3 alkosan 2325 2 2 - 1 _ _ 2 _ 2 9 55 48.76% 0 0
    4 Toptal 2110 0 0 1 - 0 0 2 2 2 7 21 0 0 95.55%
    5 bill 2276 _ 2 _ 2 - _ _ _ _ 4 34 30.11% 0.07% 1.16%
    6 erwin vd berg 2273 _ 0 _ 2 _ - _ _ 2 4 14 10.56% 0.07% 5.86%
    7 Roel 2062 0 0 0 0 _ _ - 2 2 4 4 0 0 97.53%
    8 superwizard 1938 0 0 _ 0 _ _ 0 - 2 2 0 0 0 99.90%
    9 Jeroen 1961 0 0 0 0 _ 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-29

    Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • bill 0 – 2 Jeroen <-— major upset!

    Games completed: 26/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 skyw7 2184 - 2 0 2 _ _ 2 2 2 10 50 12.29% 0 0
    2 Guy Plowman 2246 0 - 0 2 0 2 2 2 2 10 38 0 0 0
    3 alkosan 2325 2 2 - 1 _ _ 2 2 _ 9 59 62.73% 0 0
    4 Toptal 2116 0 0 1 - 0 0 2 2 2 7 25 0 0 91.15%
    5 bill 2249 _ 2 _ 2 - _ _ 0 _ 4 34 12.74% 0.22% 6.39%
    6 erwin vd berg 2273 _ 0 _ 2 _ - _ 2 _ 4 18 12.01% 0.22% 5.48%
    7 Roel 2062 0 0 0 0 _ _ - 2 2 4 8 0 0 97.10%
    8 Jeroen 1988 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 - 0 2 8 0 0 100%
    9 superwizard 1938 0 0 _ 0 _ _ 0 2 - 2 4 0 0 99.88%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-30

    Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • erwin vd berg 0 – 2 skyw7

    Games completed: 27/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 skyw7 2204 - 2 0 2 _ 2 2 2 2 12 58 32.30% 0 0
    2 Guy Plowman 2246 0 - 0 2 0 2 2 2 2 10 38 0 0 0
    3 alkosan 2325 2 2 - 1 _ _ 2 2 _ 9 63 55.55% 0 0
    4 Toptal 2116 0 0 1 - 0 0 2 2 2 7 25 0 0 85.15%
    5 bill 2249 _ 2 _ 2 - _ _ 0 _ 4 34 12.15% 0 6.22%
    6 erwin vd berg 2253 0 0 _ 2 _ - _ 2 _ 4 18 0 0 13.42%
    7 Roel 2062 0 0 0 0 _ _ - 2 2 4 8 0 0 95.35%
    8 Jeroen 2001 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 - 0 2 8 0 0 100%
    9 superwizard 1939 0 0 _ 0 _ _ 0 2 - 2 4 0 0 99.86%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-04-01

    Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • bill 2 – 0 skyw7

    Games completed: 28/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 skyw7 2191 - 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 2 12 58 5.32% 0 0
    2 Guy Plowman 2246 0 - 0 2 0 2 2 2 2 10 38 0 0 0
    3 alkosan 2325 2 2 - 1 _ _ 2 2 _ 9 63 71.01% 0 0
    4 Toptal 2118 0 0 1 - 0 0 2 2 2 7 25 0 0 88.29%
    5 bill 2262 2 2 _ 2 - _ _ 0 _ 6 58 23.67% 0 1.03%
    6 erwin vd berg 2253 0 0 _ 2 _ - _ 2 _ 4 18 0 0 15.18%
    7 Roel 2062 0 0 0 0 _ _ - 2 2 4 8 0 0 95.76%
    8 Jeroen 2001 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 - 0 2 12 0 0 100%
    9 superwizard 1953 0 0 _ 0 _ _ 0 2 - 2 4 0 0 99.74%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-04-09

    Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Roel 0 – 2 erwin vd berg

    Games completed: 29/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 skyw7 2191 - 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 2 12 62 5.28% 0 0
    2 Guy Plowman 2246 0 - 0 2 0 2 2 2 2 10 42 0 0 0
    3 alkosan 2325 2 2 - 1 _ _ 2 2 _ 9 63 71.13% 0 0
    4 Toptal 2121 0 0 1 - 0 0 2 2 2 7 25 0 0 94.85%
    5 bill 2262 2 2 _ 2 - _ _ 0 _ 6 58 23.59% 0 1.00%
    6 erwin vd berg 2260 0 0 _ 2 _ - 2 2 _ 6 26 0 0 4.33%
    7 Roel 2055 0 0 0 0 _ 0 - 2 2 4 8 0 0 100%
    8 Jeroen 1977 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 - 0 2 12 0 0 100%
    9 superwizard 1953 0 0 _ 0 _ _ 0 2 - 2 4 0 0 99.81%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-04-10

    Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • erwin vd berg 2 – 0 alkosan

    Games completed: 30/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 skyw7 2191 - 2 0 2 2 0 2 2 2 12 66 13.09% 0 0
    2 Guy Plowman 2246 0 - 0 2 2 0 2 2 2 10 46 0 0 0
    3 alkosan 2307 2 2 - 0 1 _ 2 2 _ 9 63 49.48% 0 0
    4 erwin vd berg 2278 0 0 2 - 2 _ 2 2 _ 8 44 0 0 0.10%
    5 Toptal 2121 0 0 1 0 - 0 2 2 2 7 25 0 0 99.05%
    6 bill 2262 2 2 _ _ 2 - _ 0 _ 6 58 37.44% 0 0.96%
    7 Roel 2055 0 0 0 0 0 _ - 2 2 4 8 0 0 100%
    8 Jeroen 1977 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 - 0 2 12 0 0 100%
    9 superwizard 1953 0 0 _ _ 0 _ 0 2 - 2 4 0 0 99.89%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-04-14

    Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • superwizard 0 – 2 erwin vd berg

    Games completed: 31/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 skyw7 2191 - 2 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 12 70 14.34% 0 0
    2 Guy Plowman 2246 0 - 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 10 50 0 0 0
    3 erwin vd berg 2283 0 0 - 2 2 _ 2 2 2 10 48 0 0 0
    4 alkosan 2307 2 2 0 - 1 _ 2 2 _ 9 63 49.03% 0 0
    5 Toptal 2127 0 0 0 1 - 0 2 2 2 7 25 0 0 98.74%
    6 bill 2262 2 2 _ _ 2 - _ 0 _ 6 58 36.62% 0 1.26%
    7 Roel 2055 0 0 0 0 0 _ - 2 2 4 8 0 0 100%
    8 Jeroen 1977 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 - 0 2 12 0 0 100%
    9 superwizard 1986 0 0 0 _ 0 _ 0 2 - 2 4 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-04-20

    Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • bill 2 – 0 erwin vd berg

    Games completed: 32/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 skyw7 2191 - 2 2 0 0 2 2 2 2 12 70 4.15% 0 0
    2 Guy Plowman 2246 0 - 2 0 0 2 2 2 2 10 50 0 0 0
    3 erwin vd berg 2267 0 0 - 2 0 2 2 2 2 10 48 0 0 0
    4 alkosan 2307 2 2 0 - _ 1 2 2 _ 9 63 47.03% 0 0
    5 bill 2278 2 2 2 _ - 2 _ 0 _ 8 78 48.82% 0 0
    6 Toptal 2131 0 0 0 1 0 - 2 2 2 7 25 0 0 100%
    7 Roel 2060 0 0 0 0 _ 0 - 2 2 4 8 0 0 100%
    8 Jeroen 2003 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 - 0 2 16 0 0 100%
    9 superwizard 1986 0 0 0 _ _ 0 0 2 - 2 4 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-04-25

    Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • alkosan 2 – 0 superwizard

    Games completed: 33/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 skyw7 2191 - 0 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 12 70 1.70% 0 0
    2 alkosan 2312 2 - 0 2 _ 1 2 2 2 11 67 55.03% 0 0
    3 erwin vd berg 2267 0 2 - 0 0 2 2 2 2 10 52 0 0 0
    4 Guy Plowman 2246 0 0 2 - 0 2 2 2 2 10 50 0 0 0
    5 bill 2278 2 _ 2 2 - 2 _ 0 _ 8 78 43.26% 0 0
    6 Toptal 2131 0 1 0 0 0 - 2 2 2 7 27 0 0 100%
    7 Roel 2060 0 0 0 0 _ 0 - 2 2 4 8 0 0 100%
    8 Jeroen 2015 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 - 0 2 16 0 0 100%
    9 superwizard 2013 0 0 0 0 _ 0 0 2 - 2 4 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-04-28

    Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • alkosan 2 – 0 bill

    Games completed: 34/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 alkosan 2326 - 2 0 2 2 1 2 2 2 13 83 100% 0 0
    2 skyw7 2191 0 - 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 12 70 0 0 0
    3 erwin vd berg 2267 2 0 - 0 0 2 2 2 2 10 56 0 0 0
    4 Guy Plowman 2246 0 0 2 - 0 2 2 2 2 10 50 0 0 0
    5 bill 2264 0 2 2 2 - 2 _ 0 _ 8 78 0 0 0
    6 Toptal 2131 1 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 2 7 29 0 0 100%
    7 Roel 2067 0 0 0 0 _ 0 - 2 2 4 8 0 0 100%
    8 Jeroen 2015 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 - 0 2 16 0 0 100%
    9 superwizard 1988 0 0 0 0 _ 0 0 2 - 2 4 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

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