Reversi forum: rev.ch.31.1.1 predictions

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rev.ch.31.1.1 predictions 2013-01-22 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1 I’ve been requested to follow rev.ch.31.1.1 by RoRoRo the Bot For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page . Already completed matches: Games completed: 0/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 bill 2321 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 30.09% 2.23% 7.17% 2 alkosan 2302 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 25.30% 2.11% 9.80% 3 erwin vd berg 2277 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 19.24% 1.85% 13.28% 4 Guy Plowman 2251 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 13.85% 1.57% 18.67% 5 skyw7 2133 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 2.45% 0.48% 54.94% 6 Roel 2132 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 2.57% 0.48% 55.94% 7 Toptal 2108 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 1.74% 0.30% 64.99% 8 superwizard 2068 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.70% 0.20% 76.25% 9 Jeroen 1845 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 98.96% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-02-08 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: Toptal 0 – 2 Guy Plowman Toptal 2 – 0 Jeroen Games completed: 2/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Guy Plowman 2260 - 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 20.62% 2.02% 8.51% 2 Toptal 2106 0 - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 2 0 0.68% 0.19% 64.52% 3 superwizard 2048 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.54% 0.14% 76.02% 4 Roel 2071 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.87% 0.19% 70.45% 5 skyw7 2133 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 2.72% 0.48% 50.37% 6 erwin vd berg 2277 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 19.68% 1.88% 12.45% 7 bill 2302 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 25.49% 2.13% 9.07% 8 alkosan 2302 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 25.47% 2.05% 9.63% 9 Jeroen 1866 _ 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.00% 0 98.97% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-02-16 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: Jeroen 0 – 2 Guy Plowman Games completed: 3/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Guy Plowman 2263 - 2 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 4 4 21.93% 2.04% 7.88% 2 Toptal 2106 0 - 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 0 0.66% 0.22% 64.78% 3 Jeroen 1878 0 0 - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 99.12% 4 superwizard 2071 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.93% 0.18% 71.12% 5 alkosan 2302 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 25.03% 2.29% 8.85% 6 skyw7 2133 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 2.45% 0.54% 52.20% 7 erwin vd berg 2277 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 19.15% 1.85% 12.92% 8 bill 2302 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 24.93% 2.17% 9.57% 9 Roel 2070 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.81% 0.17% 73.56% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-02-21 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: Toptal 1 – 1 alkosan Games completed: 4/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Guy Plowman 2263 - 2 _ _ _ 2 _ _ _ 4 6 28.34% 0.56% 8.07% 2 Toptal 2114 0 - 1 _ _ 2 _ _ _ 3 1 0.97% 0.18% 56.95% 3 alkosan 2294 _ 1 - _ _ _ _ _ _ 1 3 22.06% 0.18% 11.76% 4 superwizard 2100 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.99% 0.11% 63.72% 5 erwin vd berg 2277 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 24.07% 0.58% 13.18% 6 Jeroen 1898 0 0 _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.01% 0 99.09% 7 Roel 2070 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 1.10% 0.09% 73.73% 8 skyw7 2133 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 3.54% 0.20% 53.97% 9 bill 2245 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 16.75% 0.57% 19.53% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-02-27 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: skyw7 2 – 0 Guy Plowman Games completed: 5/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Guy Plowman 2242 - 2 0 _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 6 11.63% 0.51% 20.76% 2 Toptal 2114 0 - _ 1 _ _ _ _ 2 3 1 1.36% 0.30% 60.48% 3 skyw7 2154 2 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 8 11.18% 0.42% 27.79% 4 alkosan 2294 _ 1 _ - _ _ _ _ _ 1 3 25.65% 0.30% 12.63% 5 superwizard 2076 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.48% 0.12% 73.05% 6 bill 2245 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 18.52% 0.59% 20.90% 7 erwin vd berg 2277 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 27.00% 0.66% 14.53% 8 Roel 2086 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 1.73% 0.12% 70.67% 9 Jeroen 1898 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 99.20% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-02-27 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: Guy Plowman 2 – 0 superwizard Games completed: 6/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Guy Plowman 2251 - 2 0 _ 2 2 _ _ _ 6 6 15.56% 0.65% 12.44% 2 Toptal 2114 0 - _ 1 2 _ _ _ _ 3 1 1.21% 0.27% 60.04% 3 skyw7 2154 2 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 12 10.89% 0.48% 27.38% 4 alkosan 2294 _ 1 _ - _ _ _ _ _ 1 3 24.65% 0.27% 12.70% 5 Jeroen 1898 0 0 _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.00% 0 99.28% 6 superwizard 2076 0 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.55% 0.05% 80.97% 7 Roel 2086 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 1.65% 0.13% 71.19% 8 erwin vd berg 2277 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 25.99% 0.71% 14.70% 9 bill 2245 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 17.99% 0.60% 21.30% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-02-28 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: Jeroen 0 – 2 alkosan Guy Plowman 2 – 0 Roel Games completed: 8/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Guy Plowman 2259 - 2 _ 0 2 2 2 _ _ 8 6 19.69% 0.71% 5.74% 2 Toptal 2114 0 - 1 _ 2 _ _ _ _ 3 3 0.88% 0.22% 59.34% 3 alkosan 2296 _ 1 - _ 2 _ _ _ _ 3 3 25.80% 0.22% 10.29% 4 skyw7 2154 2 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 2 16 10.39% 0.44% 26.24% 5 Jeroen 1915 0 0 0 _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.00% 0 99.49% 6 superwizard 2076 0 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.37% 0.05% 81.39% 7 Roel 2078 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.39% 0.04% 81.44% 8 erwin vd berg 2277 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 23.96% 0.69% 14.59% 9 bill 2245 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 17.11% 0.57% 21.48% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-02-28 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: skyw7 2 – 0 Toptal Games completed: 9/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Guy Plowman 2259 - 0 2 _ 2 2 2 _ _ 8 6 16.76% 0.69% 5.59% 2 skyw7 2168 2 - 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 4 22 16.94% 0.58% 11.54% 3 Toptal 2100 0 0 - 1 2 _ _ _ _ 3 3 0.06% 0.04% 78.64% 4 alkosan 2296 _ _ 1 - 2 _ _ _ _ 3 3 23.96% 0.04% 10.29% 5 Jeroen 1915 0 _ 0 0 - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 99.40% 6 superwizard 2081 0 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.39% 0.05% 79.92% 7 Roel 2078 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.37% 0.06% 80.66% 8 erwin vd berg 2277 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 23.58% 0.70% 13.65% 9 bill 2245 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 16.63% 0.64% 20.30% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-03-01 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: skyw7 2 – 0 Jeroen Games completed: 10/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Guy Plowman 2259 - 0 2 _ 2 2 2 _ _ 8 6 15.30% 0.73% 5.69% 2 skyw7 2174 2 - 2 _ 2 _ _ _ _ 6 22 19.74% 0.69% 8.59% 3 Toptal 2100 0 0 - 1 2 _ _ _ _ 3 3 0.06% 0.02% 79.66% 4 alkosan 2296 _ _ 1 - 2 _ _ _ _ 3 3 23.42% 0.02% 10.45% 5 Jeroen 1909 0 0 0 0 - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 99.87% 6 superwizard 2096 0 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.59% 0.06% 77.12% 7 Roel 2063 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.32% 0.03% 83.83% 8 erwin vd berg 2277 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 22.90% 0.83% 14.26% 9 bill 2245 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 16.25% 0.68% 20.52% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-03-01 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: Jeroen 0 – 2 superwizard Games completed: 11/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Guy Plowman 2259 - 0 2 _ 2 2 2 _ _ 8 10 15.07% 0.72% 6.09% 2 skyw7 2174 2 - 2 _ _ 2 _ _ _ 6 22 19.87% 0.66% 8.58% 3 Toptal 2100 0 0 - 1 _ 2 _ _ _ 3 3 0.06% 0.03% 79.75% 4 alkosan 2296 _ _ 1 - _ 2 _ _ _ 3 3 23.19% 0.03% 10.69% 5 superwizard 2081 0 _ _ _ - 2 _ _ _ 2 0 0.59% 0.05% 76.68% 6 Jeroen 1901 0 0 0 0 0 - _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 99.98% 7 Roel 2063 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.29% 0.03% 83.72% 8 bill 2245 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 16.11% 0.66% 20.67% 9 erwin vd berg 2277 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 23.43% 0.81% 13.83% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-03-01 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: superwizard 0 – 2 Toptal Games completed: 12/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Guy Plowman 2259 - 0 2 _ 2 2 _ _ 2 8 14 15.17% 0.71% 6.00% 2 skyw7 2174 2 - 2 _ _ 2 _ _ _ 6 26 20.15% 0.74% 7.92% 3 Toptal 2115 0 0 - 1 2 2 _ _ _ 5 7 0.12% 0.06% 65.56% 4 alkosan 2296 _ _ 1 - _ 2 _ _ _ 3 5 23.33% 0.06% 10.14% 5 superwizard 2066 0 _ 0 _ - 2 _ _ _ 2 0 0.12% 0.01% 89.31% 6 Jeroen 1901 0 0 0 0 0 - _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 99.98% 7 bill 2245 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 16.21% 0.67% 21.23% 8 erwin vd berg 2277 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 23.15% 0.82% 14.72% 9 Roel 2063 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.31% 0.06% 85.14% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-03-03 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: erwin vd berg 2 – 0 Jeroen Games completed: 13/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Guy Plowman 2259 - 0 2 _ 2 _ 2 2 _ 8 14 14.70% 0.78% 6.38% 2 skyw7 2174 2 - 2 _ _ _ _ 2 _ 6 26 19.95% 0.75% 8.09% 3 Toptal 2115 0 0 - 1 2 _ _ 2 _ 5 7 0.10% 0.06% 66.20% 4 alkosan 2296 _ _ 1 - _ _ _ 2 _ 3 5 22.73% 0.06% 10.50% 5 superwizard 2066 0 _ 0 _ - _ _ 2 _ 2 0 0.12% 0.02% 89.39% 6 erwin vd berg 2280 _ _ _ _ _ - _ 2 _ 2 0 24.94% 0.88% 12.67% 7 Roel 2063 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.33% 0.05% 84.88% 8 Jeroen 1917 0 0 0 0 0 0 _ - _ 0 0 0 0 100% 9 bill 2245 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 15.59% 0.73% 21.88% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-03-06 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: superwizard 0 – 2 skyw7 Jeroen 0 – 2 Roel Games completed: 15/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 skyw7 2184 - 2 2 _ 2 _ _ 2 _ 8 30 25.85% 0.97% 3.21% 2 Guy Plowman 2259 0 - 2 _ 2 2 _ 2 _ 8 18 12.03% 0.77% 6.78% 3 Toptal 2115 0 0 - 1 2 _ _ 2 _ 5 7 0.02% 0.03% 68.31% 4 alkosan 2296 _ _ 1 - _ _ _ 2 _ 3 5 21.67% 0.03% 10.99% 5 superwizard 2035 0 0 0 _ - _ _ 2 _ 2 0 0.00% 0 96.99% 6 Roel 2072 _ 0 _ _ _ - _ 2 _ 2 0 0.46% 0.06% 79.57% 7 erwin vd berg 2280 _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 _ 2 0 23.64% 0.92% 12.45% 8 Jeroen 1908 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - _ 0 0 0 0 100% 9 bill 2245 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 14.70% 0.77% 21.70% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-03-07 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: Toptal 2 – 0 Roel Games completed: 16/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 skyw7 2184 - 2 2 _ _ 2 _ 2 _ 8 34 26.78% 1.04% 2.98% 2 Guy Plowman 2259 0 - 2 _ 2 2 _ 2 _ 8 22 11.81% 0.81% 7.34% 3 Toptal 2129 0 0 - 1 2 2 _ 2 _ 7 11 0.06% 0.05% 51.03% 4 alkosan 2296 _ _ 1 - _ _ _ 2 _ 3 7 21.58% 0.05% 10.94% 5 Roel 2058 _ 0 0 _ - _ _ 2 _ 2 0 0.12% 0.01% 91.99% 6 superwizard 2037 0 0 0 _ _ - _ 2 _ 2 0 0 0 97.49% 7 erwin vd berg 2280 _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 _ 2 0 23.28% 1.07% 14.19% 8 Jeroen 1918 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - _ 0 0 0 0 100% 9 bill 2245 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 14.63% 0.80% 24.04% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-03-09 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: alkosan 2 – 0 Guy Plowman Games completed: 17/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 skyw7 2184 - 2 2 _ 2 _ _ 2 _ 8 34 24.12% 0.72% 3.04% 2 Guy Plowman 2245 0 - 2 0 2 2 _ 2 _ 8 22 2.21% 0.53% 14.17% 3 Toptal 2129 0 0 - 1 2 2 _ 2 _ 7 13 0.05% 0.06% 52.36% 4 alkosan 2310 _ 2 1 - _ _ _ 2 _ 5 23 35.59% 0.06% 3.27% 5 superwizard 2007 0 0 0 _ - _ _ 2 _ 2 0 0 0.00% 98.21% 6 Roel 2058 _ 0 0 _ _ - _ 2 _ 2 0 0.13% 0.02% 91.40% 7 erwin vd berg 2280 _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 _ 2 0 22.52% 0.64% 13.88% 8 Jeroen 1939 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - _ 0 0 0 0 100% 9 bill 2245 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 14.20% 0.50% 23.66% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-03-12 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: Roel 0 – 2 skyw7 Games completed: 18/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 skyw7 2194 - 2 2 _ 2 2 _ 2 _ 10 38 30.71% 0.86% 0.04% 2 Guy Plowman 2245 0 - 2 0 2 2 _ 2 _ 8 22 0.95% 0.68% 13.10% 3 Toptal 2129 0 0 - 1 2 2 _ 2 _ 7 13 0.03% 0.01% 52.57% 4 alkosan 2310 _ 2 1 - _ _ _ 2 _ 5 23 32.65% 0.01% 2.96% 5 superwizard 2017 0 0 0 _ - _ _ 2 _ 2 0 0 0 98.07% 6 Roel 2056 0 0 0 _ _ - _ 2 _ 2 0 0 0 96.74% 7 erwin vd berg 2280 _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 _ 2 0 21.15% 0.76% 13.32% 8 Jeroen 1939 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - _ 0 0 0 0 100% 9 bill 2245 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 13.25% 0.50% 23.21% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-03-16 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: Guy Plowman 2 – 0 erwin vd berg Games completed: 19/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 skyw7 2194 - 2 2 _ _ 2 2 _ 2 10 42 35.73% 1.17% 0.04% 2 Guy Plowman 2262 0 - 2 0 2 2 2 _ 2 10 26 2.23% 1.49% 0.31% 3 Toptal 2129 0 0 - 1 _ 2 2 _ 2 7 13 0.02% 0.02% 52.15% 4 alkosan 2310 _ 2 1 - _ _ _ _ 2 5 27 37.00% 0.02% 3.03% 5 erwin vd berg 2263 _ 0 _ _ - _ _ _ 2 2 0 8.89% 0.90% 25.84% 6 Roel 2056 0 0 0 _ _ - _ _ 2 2 0 0 0 97.11% 7 superwizard 2017 0 0 0 _ _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0.00% 98.29% 8 bill 2245 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 14.14% 0.77% 23.22% 9 Jeroen 1941 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 _ - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-03-17 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: skyw7 0 – 2 alkosan Games completed: 20/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 skyw7 2184 - 2 0 2 2 2 _ 2 _ 10 42 18.40% 1.26% 0.06% 2 Guy Plowman 2262 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 _ 10 26 2.85% 1.55% 0.30% 3 alkosan 2320 2 2 - 1 _ _ _ 2 _ 7 47 53.76% 0.03% 0.57% 4 Toptal 2129 0 0 1 - 2 2 _ 2 _ 7 15 0.02% 0.03% 53.83% 5 Roel 2056 0 0 _ 0 - _ _ 2 _ 2 0 0 0 97.05% 6 superwizard 2017 0 0 _ 0 _ - _ 2 _ 2 0 0 0 98.25% 7 erwin vd berg 2263 _ 0 _ _ _ _ - 2 _ 2 0 9.09% 0.69% 26.27% 8 Jeroen 1941 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - _ 0 0 0 0 100% 9 bill 2245 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 14.11% 0.62% 23.67% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-03-17 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: alkosan 2 – 0 Roel Games completed: 21/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 skyw7 2184 - 2 0 2 2 2 _ 2 _ 10 42 15.01% 0.78% 0.06% 2 Guy Plowman 2262 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 _ 10 26 1.59% 1.09% 0.36% 3 alkosan 2325 2 2 - 1 2 _ _ 2 _ 9 51 61.44% 0.04% 0.13% 4 Toptal 2129 0 0 1 - 2 2 _ 2 _ 7 17 0.01% 0.04% 53.19% 5 Roel 2051 0 0 0 0 - _ _ 2 _ 2 0 0 0 98.99% 6 superwizard 2017 0 0 _ 0 _ - _ 2 _ 2 0 0 0 98.30% 7 erwin vd berg 2263 _ 0 _ _ _ _ - 2 _ 2 0 8.12% 0.48% 25.78% 8 Jeroen 1941 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - _ 0 0 0 0 100% 9 bill 2245 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 12.57% 0.44% 23.18% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-03-19 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: erwin vd berg 2 – 0 Toptal Games completed: 22/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 skyw7 2184 - 2 0 2 _ 2 2 2 _ 10 42 14.10% 0.81% 0 2 Guy Plowman 2262 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 _ 10 30 1.21% 0.98% 0.00% 3 alkosan 2325 2 2 - 1 _ _ 2 2 _ 9 51 59.35% 0 0.03% 4 Toptal 2119 0 0 1 - 0 2 2 2 _ 7 17 0 0 71.17% 5 erwin vd berg 2273 _ 0 _ 2 - _ _ 2 _ 4 14 12.33% 0.22% 9.95% 6 superwizard 2017 0 0 _ 0 _ - _ 2 _ 2 0 0 0 98.15% 7 Roel 2051 0 0 0 0 _ _ - 2 _ 2 0 0 0 98.75% 8 Jeroen 1953 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - _ 0 0 0 0 100% 9 bill 2245 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 11.87% 0.49% 21.95% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-03-22 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: Guy Plowman 0 – 2 bill Games completed: 23/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 skyw7 2184 - 2 0 2 _ _ 2 2 2 10 42 12.06% 0.18% 0 2 Guy Plowman 2246 0 - 0 2 2 0 2 2 2 10 30 0 0 0.02% 3 alkosan 2325 2 2 - 1 _ _ _ 2 2 9 51 54.19% 0 0.02% 4 Toptal 2119 0 0 1 - 0 _ 2 2 2 7 17 0 0 79.91% 5 erwin vd berg 2273 _ 0 _ 2 - _ _ _ 2 4 14 11.47% 0.13% 11.60% 6 bill 2261 _ 2 _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 20 21.97% 0.31% 10.78% 7 superwizard 2017 0 0 _ 0 _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0 98.61% 8 Roel 2051 0 0 0 0 _ _ _ - 2 2 0 0 0 99.06% 9 Jeroen 1953 0 0 0 0 0 _ 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-03-27 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: bill 2 – 0 Toptal Games completed: 24/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 skyw7 2184 - 2 0 2 _ _ 2 2 2 10 42 10.78% 0 0 2 Guy Plowman 2246 0 - 0 2 0 2 2 2 2 10 30 0 0 0.01% 3 alkosan 2325 2 2 - 1 _ _ _ 2 2 9 51 49.14% 0 0.01% 4 Toptal 2110 0 0 1 - 0 0 2 2 2 7 17 0 0 95.15% 5 bill 2272 _ 2 _ 2 - _ _ _ _ 4 34 29.11% 0.11% 1.34% 6 erwin vd berg 2273 _ 0 _ 2 _ - _ _ 2 4 14 10.86% 0.11% 5.98% 7 superwizard 1978 0 0 _ 0 _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0 98.87% 8 Roel 2051 0 0 0 0 _ _ _ - 2 2 0 0 0 98.64% 9 Jeroen 1961 0 0 0 0 _ 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-03-29 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: Roel 2 – 0 superwizard Games completed: 25/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 skyw7 2184 - 2 0 2 _ _ 2 2 2 10 46 10.50% 0 0 2 Guy Plowman 2246 0 - 0 2 0 2 2 2 2 10 34 0 0 0 3 alkosan 2325 2 2 - 1 _ _ 2 _ 2 9 55 48.76% 0 0 4 Toptal 2110 0 0 1 - 0 0 2 2 2 7 21 0 0 95.55% 5 bill 2276 _ 2 _ 2 - _ _ _ _ 4 34 30.11% 0.07% 1.16% 6 erwin vd berg 2273 _ 0 _ 2 _ - _ _ 2 4 14 10.56% 0.07% 5.86% 7 Roel 2062 0 0 0 0 _ _ - 2 2 4 4 0 0 97.53% 8 superwizard 1938 0 0 _ 0 _ _ 0 - 2 2 0 0 0 99.90% 9 Jeroen 1961 0 0 0 0 _ 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-03-29 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: bill 0 – 2 Jeroen <-— major upset! Games completed: 26/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 skyw7 2184 - 2 0 2 _ _ 2 2 2 10 50 12.29% 0 0 2 Guy Plowman 2246 0 - 0 2 0 2 2 2 2 10 38 0 0 0 3 alkosan 2325 2 2 - 1 _ _ 2 2 _ 9 59 62.73% 0 0 4 Toptal 2116 0 0 1 - 0 0 2 2 2 7 25 0 0 91.15% 5 bill 2249 _ 2 _ 2 - _ _ 0 _ 4 34 12.74% 0.22% 6.39% 6 erwin vd berg 2273 _ 0 _ 2 _ - _ 2 _ 4 18 12.01% 0.22% 5.48% 7 Roel 2062 0 0 0 0 _ _ - 2 2 4 8 0 0 97.10% 8 Jeroen 1988 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 - 0 2 8 0 0 100% 9 superwizard 1938 0 0 _ 0 _ _ 0 2 - 2 4 0 0 99.88% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-03-30 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: erwin vd berg 0 – 2 skyw7 Games completed: 27/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 skyw7 2204 - 2 0 2 _ 2 2 2 2 12 58 32.30% 0 0 2 Guy Plowman 2246 0 - 0 2 0 2 2 2 2 10 38 0 0 0 3 alkosan 2325 2 2 - 1 _ _ 2 2 _ 9 63 55.55% 0 0 4 Toptal 2116 0 0 1 - 0 0 2 2 2 7 25 0 0 85.15% 5 bill 2249 _ 2 _ 2 - _ _ 0 _ 4 34 12.15% 0 6.22% 6 erwin vd berg 2253 0 0 _ 2 _ - _ 2 _ 4 18 0 0 13.42% 7 Roel 2062 0 0 0 0 _ _ - 2 2 4 8 0 0 95.35% 8 Jeroen 2001 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 - 0 2 8 0 0 100% 9 superwizard 1939 0 0 _ 0 _ _ 0 2 - 2 4 0 0 99.86% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-04-01 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: bill 2 – 0 skyw7 Games completed: 28/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 skyw7 2191 - 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 2 12 58 5.32% 0 0 2 Guy Plowman 2246 0 - 0 2 0 2 2 2 2 10 38 0 0 0 3 alkosan 2325 2 2 - 1 _ _ 2 2 _ 9 63 71.01% 0 0 4 Toptal 2118 0 0 1 - 0 0 2 2 2 7 25 0 0 88.29% 5 bill 2262 2 2 _ 2 - _ _ 0 _ 6 58 23.67% 0 1.03% 6 erwin vd berg 2253 0 0 _ 2 _ - _ 2 _ 4 18 0 0 15.18% 7 Roel 2062 0 0 0 0 _ _ - 2 2 4 8 0 0 95.76% 8 Jeroen 2001 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 - 0 2 12 0 0 100% 9 superwizard 1953 0 0 _ 0 _ _ 0 2 - 2 4 0 0 99.74% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-04-09 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: Roel 0 – 2 erwin vd berg Games completed: 29/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 skyw7 2191 - 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 2 12 62 5.28% 0 0 2 Guy Plowman 2246 0 - 0 2 0 2 2 2 2 10 42 0 0 0 3 alkosan 2325 2 2 - 1 _ _ 2 2 _ 9 63 71.13% 0 0 4 Toptal 2121 0 0 1 - 0 0 2 2 2 7 25 0 0 94.85% 5 bill 2262 2 2 _ 2 - _ _ 0 _ 6 58 23.59% 0 1.00% 6 erwin vd berg 2260 0 0 _ 2 _ - 2 2 _ 6 26 0 0 4.33% 7 Roel 2055 0 0 0 0 _ 0 - 2 2 4 8 0 0 100% 8 Jeroen 1977 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 - 0 2 12 0 0 100% 9 superwizard 1953 0 0 _ 0 _ _ 0 2 - 2 4 0 0 99.81% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-04-10 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: erwin vd berg 2 – 0 alkosan Games completed: 30/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 skyw7 2191 - 2 0 2 2 0 2 2 2 12 66 13.09% 0 0 2 Guy Plowman 2246 0 - 0 2 2 0 2 2 2 10 46 0 0 0 3 alkosan 2307 2 2 - 0 1 _ 2 2 _ 9 63 49.48% 0 0 4 erwin vd berg 2278 0 0 2 - 2 _ 2 2 _ 8 44 0 0 0.10% 5 Toptal 2121 0 0 1 0 - 0 2 2 2 7 25 0 0 99.05% 6 bill 2262 2 2 _ _ 2 - _ 0 _ 6 58 37.44% 0 0.96% 7 Roel 2055 0 0 0 0 0 _ - 2 2 4 8 0 0 100% 8 Jeroen 1977 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 - 0 2 12 0 0 100% 9 superwizard 1953 0 0 _ _ 0 _ 0 2 - 2 4 0 0 99.89% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-04-14 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: superwizard 0 – 2 erwin vd berg Games completed: 31/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 skyw7 2191 - 2 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 12 70 14.34% 0 0 2 Guy Plowman 2246 0 - 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 10 50 0 0 0 3 erwin vd berg 2283 0 0 - 2 2 _ 2 2 2 10 48 0 0 0 4 alkosan 2307 2 2 0 - 1 _ 2 2 _ 9 63 49.03% 0 0 5 Toptal 2127 0 0 0 1 - 0 2 2 2 7 25 0 0 98.74% 6 bill 2262 2 2 _ _ 2 - _ 0 _ 6 58 36.62% 0 1.26% 7 Roel 2055 0 0 0 0 0 _ - 2 2 4 8 0 0 100% 8 Jeroen 1977 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 - 0 2 12 0 0 100% 9 superwizard 1986 0 0 0 _ 0 _ 0 2 - 2 4 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-04-20 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: bill 2 – 0 erwin vd berg Games completed: 32/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 skyw7 2191 - 2 2 0 0 2 2 2 2 12 70 4.15% 0 0 2 Guy Plowman 2246 0 - 2 0 0 2 2 2 2 10 50 0 0 0 3 erwin vd berg 2267 0 0 - 2 0 2 2 2 2 10 48 0 0 0 4 alkosan 2307 2 2 0 - _ 1 2 2 _ 9 63 47.03% 0 0 5 bill 2278 2 2 2 _ - 2 _ 0 _ 8 78 48.82% 0 0 6 Toptal 2131 0 0 0 1 0 - 2 2 2 7 25 0 0 100% 7 Roel 2060 0 0 0 0 _ 0 - 2 2 4 8 0 0 100% 8 Jeroen 2003 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 - 0 2 16 0 0 100% 9 superwizard 1986 0 0 0 _ _ 0 0 2 - 2 4 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-04-25 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: alkosan 2 – 0 superwizard Games completed: 33/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 skyw7 2191 - 0 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 12 70 1.70% 0 0 2 alkosan 2312 2 - 0 2 _ 1 2 2 2 11 67 55.03% 0 0 3 erwin vd berg 2267 0 2 - 0 0 2 2 2 2 10 52 0 0 0 4 Guy Plowman 2246 0 0 2 - 0 2 2 2 2 10 50 0 0 0 5 bill 2278 2 _ 2 2 - 2 _ 0 _ 8 78 43.26% 0 0 6 Toptal 2131 0 1 0 0 0 - 2 2 2 7 27 0 0 100% 7 Roel 2060 0 0 0 0 _ 0 - 2 2 4 8 0 0 100% 8 Jeroen 2015 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 - 0 2 16 0 0 100% 9 superwizard 2013 0 0 0 0 _ 0 0 2 - 2 4 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-04-28 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: rev.ch.31.1.1 Newly completed matches: alkosan 2 – 0 bill Games completed: 34/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 alkosan 2326 - 2 0 2 2 1 2 2 2 13 83 100% 0 0 2 skyw7 2191 0 - 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 12 70 0 0 0 3 erwin vd berg 2267 2 0 - 0 0 2 2 2 2 10 56 0 0 0 4 Guy Plowman 2246 0 0 2 - 0 2 2 2 2 10 50 0 0 0 5 bill 2264 0 2 2 2 - 2 _ 0 _ 8 78 0 0 0 6 Toptal 2131 1 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 2 7 29 0 0 100% 7 Roel 2067 0 0 0 0 _ 0 - 2 2 4 8 0 0 100% 8 Jeroen 2015 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 - 0 2 16 0 0 100% 9 superwizard 1988 0 0 0 0 _ 0 0 2 - 2 4 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted