RoRoRo please post your predictions

*Tournament: “polyomino.ch.1.1.1”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/tournament/tournament.jsp?trnid=polyomino.ch.1.1.1*
I've been requested to follow polyomino.ch.1.1.1 by FatPhil

For info on how these predictions are calculated see my “predictions web page”:http://fatphil.org/rororo/predictions/#about .
\ Already completed matches:
\ matjazo 0 - 2 Tellmarch
\ MarleysGhost 0 - 2 matjazo <--- upset!
\ MarleysGhost 2 - 0 z
\ MarleysGhost 2 - 0 Crelo
\ MarleysGhost 2 - 0 LEESD
\ z 2 - 0 matjazo
\ z 0 - 2 vstjrt
\ z 0 - 2 LEESD
\ z 2 - 0 David Scott
\ vstjrt 1 - 1 MarleysGhost
\ vstjrt 2 - 0 Crelo
\ vstjrt 0 - 2 Tellmarch
\ Crelo 2 - 0 matjazo
\ Crelo 0 - 2 z
\ Crelo 0 - 2 LEESD
\ Crelo 0 - 2 David Scott
\ LEESD 0 - 2 Tellmarch
\ LEESD 0 - 2 David Scott <--- upset!
\ Tellmarch 2 - 0 MarleysGhost
\ Tellmarch 2 - 0 z
\ Tellmarch 2 - 0 Crelo
\ Tellmarch 2 - 0 sembazuru
\ sembazuru 0 - 2 MarleysGhost
\ sembazuru 0 - 2 z
\ sembazuru 0 - 2 Crelo
\ David Scott 0 - 2 MarleysGhost
\ David Scott 0 - 2 Tellmarch

Games completed: 27/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. \|_. N \|_. Player \|_. Rating \|_. 1 \|_. 2 \|_. 3 \|_. 4 \|_. 5 \|_. 6 \|_. 7 \|_. 8 \|_. 9 \|_. Score \|_. Son \|_. p(win) \|_. p(draw) \|_. p(down) \|
\| 1 \| Tellmarch \| 1814 \| - \| *“2”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536180* \| *“2”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536169* \| *“2”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536183* \| *“2”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536177* \| *“2”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536181* \| *“2”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536182* \| *“2”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536179* \| *“2”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536178* \| 16 \| 76 \| 100% \| 0 \| 0 \|
\| 2 \| MarleysGhost \| 1677 \| *“0”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536180* \| - \| *“2”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536173* \| *“1”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536201* \| *“2”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536186* \| *“2”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536199* \| *“2”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536200* \| *“0”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536195* \| *“2”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536191* \| 11 \| 45 \| 0 \| 0 \| 0 \|
\| 3 \| z \| 1710 \| *“0”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536169* \| *“0”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536173* \| - \| *“0”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536176* \| *“0”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536170* \| *“2”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536174* \| *“2”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536175* \| *“2”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536172* \| *“2”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536171* \| 8 \| 20 \| 0 \| 0 \| 24.86% \|
\| 4 \| vstjrt \| 1687 \| *“0”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536183* \| *“1”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536201* \| *“2”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536176* \| - \| “_“:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536189 \| “_“:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536203 \| *“2”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536204* \| “_“:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536198 \| “_“:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536194 \| 5 \| 35 \| 0 \| 0 \| 10.26% \|
\| 5 \| LEESD \| 1730 \| *“0”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536177* \| *“0”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536186* \| *“2”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536170* \| “_“:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536189 \| - \| *“0”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536187* \| *“2”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536188* \| “_“:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536185 \| “_“:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536184 \| 4 \| 24 \| 0 \| 0 \| 25.32% \|
\| 6 \| David Scott \| 1571 \| *“0”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536181* \| *“0”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536199* \| *“0”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536174* \| “_“:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536203 \| *“2”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536187* \| - \| *“2”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536202* \| “_“:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536196 \| “_“:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536192 \| 4 \| 16 \| 0 \| 0 \| 60.82% \|
\| 7 \| Crelo \| 1558 \| *“0”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536182* \| *“0”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536200* \| *“0”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536175* \| *“0”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536204* \| *“0”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536188* \| *“0”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536202* \| - \| *“2”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536197* \| *“2”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536193* \| 4 \| 4 \| 0 \| 0 \| 100% \|
\| 8 \| matjazo \| 1541 \| *“0”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536179* \| *“2”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536195* \| *“0”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536172* \| “_“:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536198 \| “_“:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536185 \| “_“:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536196 \| *“0”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536197* \| - \| “_“:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536190 \| 2 \| 22 \| 0 \| 0 \| 79.42% \|
\| 9 \| sembazuru \| 1461 \| *“0”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536178* \| *“0”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536191* \| *“0”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536171* \| “_“:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536194 \| “_“:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536184 \| “_“:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536192 \| *“0”:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536193* \| “_“:http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1536190 \| - \| 0 \| 0 \| 0 \| 0 \| 99.31% \|

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Congrats Tellmarch!

Thanks!
Winning this is quite a nice surprise :-)