Hex, Havannah: havannah.ch.8.1.1 predictions

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havannah.ch.8.1.1 predictions 2012-06-19 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.8.1.1 I’ve been requested to follow havannah.ch.8.1.1 by FatPhil For info on how these predictions are calculated see my <a href=‘http://fatphil.org/rororo/predictions/#about’>predictions web page. Already completed matches: Games completed: 0/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Jonathan (1882) - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.93% 0.37% 54.84% 2 bennok (1873) _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.86% 0.34% 58.19% 3 Bernhard Herwig (1821) _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.63% 0.13% 74.63% 4 Orbilin (1796) _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.35% 0.10% 80.83% 5 fritzd (2042) _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 20.46% 1.63% 11.82% 6 cutecat (1953) _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 6.36% 0.87% 33.30% 7 5466 (1849) _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 1.10% 0.19% 67.98% 8 Mirko Rahn (2030) _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 17.64% 1.57% 14.67% 9 Jos Dekker (2126) _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 46.41% 2.03% 3.74% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-07-02 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.8.1.1 Newly completed matches: Mirko Rahn 2 – 0 Orbilin Games completed: 1/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Mirko Rahn (2035) - _ _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 0 21.87% 1.73% 8.54% 2 Jonathan (1882) _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 2.11% 0.34% 53.51% 3 bennok (1873) _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.77% 0.34% 57.84% 4 Bernhard Herwig (1822) _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.63% 0.16% 73.90% 5 Orbilin (1790) 0 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.12% 0.04% 86.65% 6 fritzd (2015) _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 15.03% 1.46% 16.39% 7 cutecat (1953) _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 6.84% 0.96% 32.08% 8 5466 (1849) _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 1.23% 0.21% 67.41% 9 Jos Dekker (2126) _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 47.04% 2.29% 3.68% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-07-03 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.8.1.1 Newly completed matches: Mirko Rahn 2 – 0 Jonathan 5466 2 – 0 Orbilin Games completed: 3/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Mirko Rahn (2044) - _ 2 _ _ 2 _ _ _ 4 0 27.36% 1.87% 4.70% 2 5466 (1862) _ - _ _ _ 2 _ _ _ 2 0 1.79% 0.28% 51.18% 3 Jonathan (1873) 0 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.55% 0.16% 66.29% 4 bennok (1873) _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.62% 0.33% 58.09% 5 Bernhard Herwig (1822) _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.66% 0.12% 74.12% 6 Orbilin (1777) 0 0 _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.02% 0.01% 93.91% 7 fritzd (2015) _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 13.97% 1.50% 16.11% 8 cutecat (1953) _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 6.16% 0.81% 32.12% 9 Jos Dekker (2126) _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 44.68% 2.11% 3.48% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-07-12 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.8.1.1 Newly completed matches: cutecat 2 – 0 Mirko Rahn Games completed: 4/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Mirko Rahn (2040) - 0 _ 2 _ _ 2 _ _ 4 0 13.15% 1.64% 10.48% 2 cutecat (1973) 2 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 8 17.22% 1.73% 11.13% 3 5466 (1862) _ _ - _ _ _ 2 _ _ 2 0 2.13% 0.46% 53.100% 4 Jonathan (1873) 0 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.75% 0.17% 68.46% 5 bennok (1873) _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 2.05% 0.36% 59.72% 6 Bernhard Herwig (1822) _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.74% 0.18% 75.84% 7 Orbilin (1777) 0 _ 0 _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.04% 0.01% 94.73% 8 fritzd (1997) _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 12.34% 1.31% 21.77% 9 Jos Dekker (2126) _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 47.96% 2.25% 3.88% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-07-12 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.8.1.1 Newly completed matches: Games completed: 4/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Mirko Rahn (2040) - 0 _ 2 _ _ 2 _ _ 4 0 12.63% 1.68% 10.70% 2 cutecat (1973) 2 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 8 16.97% 1.78% 10.91% 3 5466 (1862) _ _ - _ _ _ 2 _ _ 2 0 1.94% 0.37% 54.62% 4 Jonathan (1873) 0 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.76% 0.18% 69.35% 5 bennok (1873) _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.89% 0.34% 60.67% 6 Bernhard Herwig (1822) _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.70% 0.16% 75.86% 7 Orbilin (1777) 0 _ 0 _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.04% 0.02% 94.80% 8 fritzd (2011) _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 14.27% 1.53% 19.04% 9 Jos Dekker (2126) _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 47.01% 2.44% 4.04% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-07-12 FatPhil Hmmm, tests were inconclusive. 2012-07-14 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.8.1.1 Newly completed matches: Jos Dekker 0 – 2 Mirko Rahn Games completed: 5/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Mirko Rahn (2059) - 0 _ 2 _ _ 2 _ 2 6 0 33.86% 3.26% 1.85% 2 cutecat (1973) 2 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 12 20.53% 2.35% 10.42% 3 5466 (1862) _ _ - _ _ _ 2 _ _ 2 0 2.31% 0.50% 55.50% 4 Jonathan (1873) 0 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.63% 0.21% 70.01% 5 bennok (1873) _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.99% 0.44% 61.22% 6 Bernhard Herwig (1822) _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.83% 0.18% 76.90% 7 Orbilin (1777) 0 _ 0 _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.01% 0.01% 94.92% 8 fritzd (2011) _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 16.35% 1.69% 19.12% 9 Jos Dekker (2107) 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 18.44% 2.70% 10.08% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-07-18 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.8.1.1 Newly completed matches: Jos Dekker 2 – 0 Orbilin Games completed: 6/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Mirko Rahn (2059) - 0 _ 2 2 _ _ 2 _ 6 4 33.66% 3.26% 1.88% 2 cutecat (1973) 2 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 12 19.74% 2.38% 10.46% 3 5466 (1862) _ _ - _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 0 2.25% 0.45% 55.92% 4 Jos Dekker (2111) 0 _ _ - _ _ _ 2 _ 2 0 20.24% 2.75% 7.08% 5 Jonathan (1873) 0 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.66% 0.17% 69.59% 6 bennok (1873) _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 2.01% 0.38% 61.69% 7 Bernhard Herwig (1822) _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.77% 0.14% 77.04% 8 Orbilin (1773) 0 _ 0 0 _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.00% 0.01% 96.81% 9 fritzd (2011) _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 15.58% 1.81% 19.53% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-07-25 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.8.1.1 Newly completed matches: Mirko Rahn 0 – 2 5466 <-— upset! Games completed: 7/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Mirko Rahn (2049) - 0 0 2 2 _ _ 2 _ 6 4 9.74% 2.69% 6.92% 2 5466 (1886) 2 - _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ 4 12 9.68% 1.62% 26.47% 3 cutecat (1973) 2 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 12 22.36% 2.54% 14.14% 4 Jos Dekker (2111) 0 _ _ - _ _ _ 2 _ 2 0 30.09% 2.95% 8.45% 5 Jonathan (1873) 0 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.11% 0.24% 74.62% 6 bennok (1873) _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 2.34% 0.47% 67.53% 7 Bernhard Herwig (1822) _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.89% 0.21% 81.25% 8 Orbilin (1773) 0 0 _ 0 _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0 0.00% 98.13% 9 fritzd (2013) _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 18.09% 1.86% 22.48% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-07-26 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.8.1.1 Newly completed matches: Mirko Rahn 0 – 2 fritzd Games completed: 8/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Mirko Rahn (2016) - 0 0 0 2 2 _ _ 2 6 4 0.08% 0.17% 16.56% 2 5466 (1886) 2 - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 12 7.40% 1.16% 29.75% 3 fritzd (2046) 2 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 12 36.70% 2.43% 6.21% 4 cutecat (1973) 2 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 2 12 17.65% 1.82% 16.36% 5 Jos Dekker (2111) 0 _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 2 0 29.96% 2.42% 8.31% 6 Jonathan (1873) 0 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 1.15% 0.28% 75.74% 7 bennok (1873) _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 2.12% 0.39% 67.65% 8 Bernhard Herwig (1822) _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.83% 0.17% 81.12% 9 Orbilin (1773) 0 0 _ _ 0 _ _ _ - 0 0 0.00% 0.01% 98.30% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-07-30 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.8.1.1 Newly completed matches: bennok 0 – 2 Mirko Rahn Games completed: 9/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Mirko Rahn (2006) - 0 0 0 2 2 2 _ 2 8 4 0.13% 0.25% 5.75% 2 5466 (1886) 2 - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 16 8.06% 1.12% 27.92% 3 fritzd (2046) 2 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 16 37.77% 2.49% 6.15% 4 cutecat (1973) 2 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 2 16 18.13% 1.85% 15.57% 5 Jos Dekker (2111) 0 _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 2 0 29.06% 2.27% 9.06% 6 Jonathan (1873) 0 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 1.16% 0.22% 76.83% 7 bennok (1863) 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.92% 0.24% 79.17% 8 Bernhard Herwig (1822) _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.80% 0.19% 81.24% 9 Orbilin (1773) 0 0 _ _ 0 _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0 98.30% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-07-31 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.8.1.1 Newly completed matches: Jos Dekker 2 – 0 5466 Games completed: 10/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Mirko Rahn (2006) - 0 2 0 0 2 2 _ 2 8 8 0.13% 0.24% 4.61% 2 5466 (1880) 2 - 0 _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 16 3.35% 0.77% 34.72% 3 Jos Dekker (2117) 0 2 - _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 8 36.86% 2.25% 4.59% 4 fritzd (2046) 2 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 2 16 35.72% 2.27% 5.94% 5 cutecat (1973) 2 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 2 16 17.32% 1.77% 15.56% 6 Jonathan (1873) 0 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 1.19% 0.27% 75.95% 7 bennok (1863) 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.91% 0.19% 79.35% 8 Bernhard Herwig (1822) _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.85% 0.17% 81.02% 9 Orbilin (1773) 0 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 98.26% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-08-03 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.8.1.1 Newly completed matches: bennok 0 – 2 Jonathan Games completed: 11/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Mirko Rahn (1986) - 0 2 0 0 2 2 _ 2 8 12 0.12% 0.17% 5.19% 2 5466 (1880) 2 - 0 _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 16 3.27% 0.66% 35.33% 3 Jos Dekker (2117) 0 2 - _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 8 36.81% 2.38% 4.67% 4 fritzd (2046) 2 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 2 16 35.36% 2.41% 5.96% 5 cutecat (1973) 2 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 2 16 17.45% 1.72% 15.86% 6 Jonathan (1888) 0 _ _ _ _ - 2 _ _ 2 0 2.15% 0.48% 63.75% 7 bennok (1848) 0 _ _ _ _ 0 - _ _ 0 0 0.25% 0.05% 90.38% 8 Bernhard Herwig (1822) _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.89% 0.21% 80.55% 9 Orbilin (1773) 0 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 98.32% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-08-05 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.8.1.1 Newly completed matches: fritzd 2 – 0 bennok Games completed: 12/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Mirko Rahn (1996) - 0 0 2 0 2 2 _ 2 8 12 0.04% 0.11% 5.07% 2 fritzd (2053) 2 - _ _ _ _ 2 _ _ 4 16 40.94% 2.33% 3.34% 3 5466 (1880) 2 _ - 0 _ _ _ _ 2 4 16 3.12% 0.65% 34.29% 4 Jos Dekker (2117) 0 _ 2 - _ _ _ _ 2 4 8 33.84% 2.13% 4.32% 5 cutecat (1973) 2 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 2 16 15.90% 1.52% 15.21% 6 Jonathan (1888) 0 _ _ _ _ - 2 _ _ 2 0 1.91% 0.45% 63.74% 7 bennok (1841) 0 0 _ _ _ 0 - _ _ 0 0 0.00% 0.02% 95.38% 8 Bernhard Herwig (1822) _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.83% 0.15% 80.47% 9 Orbilin (1773) 0 _ 0 0 _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0.00% 98.19% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-08-14 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.8.1.1 Newly completed matches: bennok 0 – 2 Jos Dekker Games completed: 13/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Mirko Rahn 2006 - 2 0 0 0 2 2 _ 2 8 16 0.03% 0.05% 4.51% 2 Jos Dekker 2122 0 - _ 2 _ _ 2 _ 2 6 8 38.35% 2.22% 2.55% 3 fritzd 2053 2 _ - _ _ _ 2 _ _ 4 16 37.99% 2.13% 3.42% 4 5466 1880 2 0 _ - _ _ _ _ 2 4 16 2.73% 0.57% 33.70% 5 cutecat 1973 2 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 2 16 15.21% 1.52% 14.90% 6 Jonathan 1888 0 _ _ _ _ - 2 _ _ 2 0 1.81% 0.40% 64.05% 7 bennok 1836 0 0 0 _ _ 0 - _ _ 0 0 0 0 97.91% 8 Bernhard Herwig 1822 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.64% 0.15% 80.66% 9 Orbilin 1773 0 0 _ 0 _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0.00% 98.31% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-08-15 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.8.1.1 Newly completed matches: fritzd 2 – 0 Jos Dekker Games completed: 14/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Mirko Rahn 2006 - 0 2 0 0 2 2 _ 2 8 16 0.02% 0.04% 5.52% 2 fritzd 2072 2 - 2 _ _ _ 2 _ _ 6 28 74.65% 2.00% 0.41% 3 Jos Dekker 2103 0 0 - 2 _ _ 2 _ 2 6 8 2.58% 1.28% 6.90% 4 5466 1880 2 _ 0 - _ _ _ _ 2 4 16 3.43% 0.72% 33.81% 5 cutecat 1973 2 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 2 16 14.66% 1.37% 14.53% 6 Jonathan 1888 0 _ _ _ _ - 2 _ _ 2 0 1.37% 0.42% 62.65% 7 bennok 1836 0 0 0 _ _ 0 - _ _ 0 0 0 0 97.79% 8 Bernhard Herwig 1822 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.61% 0.12% 80.24% 9 Orbilin 1773 0 _ 0 0 _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0 98.15% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-08-24 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.8.1.1 Newly completed matches: cutecat 0 – 2 Jos Dekker Games completed: 15/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Mirko Rahn 2006 - 2 0 0 0 2 2 _ 2 8 20 0.02% 0.04% 4.90% 2 Jos Dekker 2113 0 - 0 2 2 _ 2 _ 2 8 12 4.02% 1.89% 1.27% 3 fritzd 2072 2 2 - _ _ _ 2 _ _ 6 32 79.28% 2.43% 0.41% 4 5466 1880 2 0 _ - _ _ _ _ 2 4 16 3.36% 0.88% 33.33% 5 cutecat 1963 2 0 _ _ - _ _ _ _ 2 16 8.08% 1.46% 21.69% 6 Jonathan 1888 0 _ _ _ _ - 2 _ _ 2 0 1.34% 0.43% 62.98% 7 bennok 1836 0 0 0 _ _ 0 - _ _ 0 0 0 0 97.65% 8 Bernhard Herwig 1822 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.60% 0.15% 79.73% 9 Orbilin 1773 0 0 _ 0 _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0.00% 98.05% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-08-25 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.8.1.1 Newly completed matches: Orbilin 0 – 2 fritzd Games completed: 16/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 fritzd 2076 - 2 2 _ _ _ 2 _ 2 8 32 81.84% 2.45% 0.17% 2 Mirko Rahn 2006 0 - 2 0 0 2 2 _ 2 8 20 0.01% 0.03% 4.88% 3 Jos Dekker 2113 0 0 - 2 2 _ 2 _ 2 8 12 2.25% 1.89% 1.25% 4 5466 1880 _ 2 0 - _ _ _ _ 2 4 16 3.10% 0.76% 33.43% 5 cutecat 1963 _ 2 0 _ - _ _ _ _ 2 16 7.98% 1.38% 20.89% 6 Jonathan 1888 _ 0 _ _ _ - 2 _ _ 2 0 1.18% 0.49% 62.62% 7 bennok 1836 0 0 0 _ _ 0 - _ _ 0 0 0 0 97.65% 8 Bernhard Herwig 1822 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.51% 0.12% 79.75% 9 Orbilin 1769 0 0 0 0 _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0 99.36% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-08-26 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.8.1.1 Newly completed matches: Bernhard Herwig 2 – 0 5466 Games completed: 17/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 fritzd 2076 - 2 2 _ _ _ _ 2 2 8 32 83.31% 2.41% 0.17% 2 Mirko Rahn 2006 0 - 2 0 0 _ 2 2 2 8 20 0.01% 0.06% 5.11% 3 Jos Dekker 2113 0 0 - 2 2 _ _ 2 2 8 12 2.46% 1.68% 1.67% 4 5466 1862 _ 2 0 - _ 0 _ _ 2 4 16 0.72% 0.33% 55.18% 5 cutecat 1963 _ 2 0 _ - _ _ _ _ 2 16 7.90% 1.50% 20.19% 6 Bernhard Herwig 1840 _ _ _ 2 _ - _ _ _ 2 8 1.42% 0.30% 60.28% 7 Jonathan 1888 _ 0 _ _ _ _ - 2 _ 2 0 1.20% 0.41% 60.59% 8 bennok 1836 0 0 0 _ _ _ 0 - _ 0 0 0 0 97.68% 9 Orbilin 1769 0 0 0 0 _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0 99.14% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-08-27 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.8.1.1 Newly completed matches: Jonathan 2 – 0 cutecat Games completed: 18/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 fritzd 2076 - 2 2 _ _ _ _ 2 2 8 32 86.77% 2.72% 0.17% 2 Mirko Rahn 2006 0 - 2 0 2 0 _ 2 2 8 24 0.02% 0.08% 4.34% 3 Jos Dekker 2113 0 0 - 2 _ 2 _ 2 2 8 12 3.06% 2.30% 2.27% 4 5466 1862 _ 2 0 - _ _ 0 _ 2 4 16 0.77% 0.34% 57.06% 5 Jonathan 1907 _ 0 _ _ - 2 _ 2 _ 4 4 3.42% 1.16% 34.26% 6 cutecat 1944 _ 2 0 _ 0 - _ _ _ 2 16 1.06% 1.01% 42.58% 7 Bernhard Herwig 1840 _ _ _ 2 _ _ - _ _ 2 8 1.49% 0.27% 62.05% 8 bennok 1836 0 0 0 _ 0 _ _ - _ 0 0 0 0 98.12% 9 Orbilin 1769 0 0 0 0 _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0 99.14% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-08-28 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.8.1.1 Newly completed matches: Bernhard Herwig 0 – 2 Mirko Rahn Games completed: 19/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Mirko Rahn 2015 - 0 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 10 28 0.02% 0.11% 0.03% 2 fritzd 2076 2 - 2 _ _ _ _ 2 2 8 36 88.28% 2.03% 0.19% 3 Jos Dekker 2113 0 0 - 2 _ 2 _ 2 2 8 12 3.13% 1.28% 2.36% 4 5466 1862 2 _ 0 - _ _ 0 _ 2 4 20 0.82% 0.30% 54.02% 5 Jonathan 1907 0 _ _ _ - 2 _ 2 _ 4 4 3.38% 0.92% 33.96% 6 cutecat 1944 2 _ 0 _ 0 - _ _ _ 2 20 1.13% 1.14% 40.61% 7 Bernhard Herwig 1841 0 _ _ 2 _ _ - _ _ 2 8 0.71% 0.21% 71.68% 8 bennok 1836 0 0 0 _ 0 _ _ - _ 0 0 0 0 98.04% 9 Orbilin 1769 0 0 0 0 _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0 99.11% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-08-31 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.8.1.1 Newly completed matches: fritzd 2 – 0 Bernhard Herwig Games completed: 20/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 fritzd 2082 - 2 2 _ _ _ 2 2 2 10 40 92.76% 1.61% 0.01% 2 Mirko Rahn 2020 0 - 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 10 28 0 0.04% 0.05% 3 Jos Dekker 2113 0 0 - 2 _ 2 _ 2 2 8 12 1.00% 1.08% 2.16% 4 5466 1862 _ 2 0 - _ _ 0 _ 2 4 20 0.79% 0.17% 51.37% 5 Jonathan 1907 _ 0 _ _ - 2 _ 2 _ 4 4 2.74% 0.88% 31.24% 6 cutecat 1944 _ 2 0 _ 0 - _ _ _ 2 20 0.79% 0.87% 38.26% 7 Bernhard Herwig 1835 0 0 _ 2 _ _ - _ _ 2 8 0.02% 0.01% 80.10% 8 bennok 1836 0 0 0 _ 0 _ _ - _ 0 0 0 0 97.80% 9 Orbilin 1769 0 0 0 0 _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0 99.02% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-08-31 FatPhil the top 3 seeds are all completed against each other – were any of the games exciting or paedogogical? If so, is anyone going to volunteer to do a commentary on that game? fritzd vs. Mirko looks quite punchy, and had some odd moves, I’d like to learn from a commentary of that one. 2012-08-31 christian freeling You could ask Ton van der Valk (Tony). He currently has a 2155 rating and he’s a player, whereas I’m an inventor and more of a streetfighter. I hate analysis. Of course that’s the reason I usually lose against these guys, so I don’t feel all that qualified either ;-) 2012-09-07 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.8.1.1 Newly completed matches: 5466 2 – 0 cutecat Orbilin 2 – 0 cutecat Games completed: 22/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 fritzd 2095 - 2 2 _ _ _ 2 2 2 10 44 94.44% 1.00% 0 2 Mirko Rahn 2007 0 - 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 10 32 0 0.04% 0 3 Jos Dekker 2113 0 0 - 2 _ 2 _ 2 2 8 20 0.66% 0.39% 1.76% 4 5466 1880 _ 2 0 - _ 2 0 2 _ 6 28 1.79% 0.41% 15.36% 5 Jonathan 1907 _ 0 _ _ - 2 _ _ 2 4 4 2.06% 0.62% 30.08% 6 cutecat 1903 _ 2 0 0 0 - _ 0 _ 2 20 0 0 87.20% 7 Bernhard Herwig 1835 0 0 _ 2 _ _ - _ _ 2 12 0.01% 0 72.20% 8 Orbilin 1792 0 0 0 0 _ 2 _ - _ 2 4 0 0 96.56% 9 bennok 1836 0 0 0 _ 0 _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0 96.85% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-09-10 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.8.1.1 Newly completed matches: 5466 0 – 2 bennok Games completed: 23/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 fritzd 2097 - 2 2 _ _ _ 2 2 2 10 48 96.58% 0.37% 0 2 Mirko Rahn 2007 0 - 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 10 36 0 0.05% 0 3 Jos Dekker 2113 0 0 - 2 _ 2 2 _ 2 8 24 0.76% 0.00% 1.06% 4 5466 1862 _ 2 0 - _ 2 0 0 2 6 28 0.12% 0.03% 28.67% 5 Jonathan 1907 _ 0 _ _ - 2 2 _ _ 4 8 2.17% 0.32% 26.78% 6 cutecat 1903 _ 2 0 0 0 - _ _ 0 2 20 0 0 84.07% 7 bennok 1854 0 0 0 2 0 _ - _ _ 2 12 0 0 90.69% 8 Bernhard Herwig 1835 0 0 _ 2 _ _ _ - _ 2 12 0.01% 0.01% 73.12% 9 Orbilin 1792 0 0 0 0 _ 2 _ _ - 2 4 0 0 95.61% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-09-12 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.8.1.1 Newly completed matches: Orbilin 0 – 2 bennok Games completed: 24/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 fritzd 2097 - 2 2 _ 2 _ _ 2 2 10 52 96.45% 0.39% 0 2 Mirko Rahn 2007 0 - 2 0 2 2 0 2 2 10 40 0 0.05% 0 3 Jos Dekker 2113 0 0 - 2 2 _ 2 _ 2 8 28 0.83% 0.00% 0.97% 4 5466 1862 _ 2 0 - 0 _ 2 0 2 6 28 0.10% 0.03% 32.77% 5 bennok 1867 0 0 0 2 - 0 _ _ 2 4 16 0 0 81.78% 6 Jonathan 1907 _ 0 _ _ 2 - 2 _ _ 4 12 2.22% 0.33% 28.17% 7 cutecat 1903 _ 2 0 0 _ 0 - _ 0 2 20 0 0 82.65% 8 Bernhard Herwig 1835 0 0 _ 2 _ _ _ - _ 2 12 0.01% 0.01% 73.71% 9 Orbilin 1779 0 0 0 0 0 _ 2 _ - 2 4 0 0 99.96% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-09-13 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.8.1.1 Newly completed matches: 5466 0 – 2 fritzd Games completed: 25/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 fritzd 2103 - 2 2 2 2 _ _ 2 2 12 64 98.10% 0.26% 0 2 Mirko Rahn 2007 0 - 2 0 2 2 0 2 2 10 40 0 0 0 3 Jos Dekker 2113 0 0 - 2 2 _ 2 _ 2 8 28 0 0 0.73% 4 5466 1856 0 2 0 - 0 _ 2 0 2 6 28 0 0 40.75% 5 bennok 1867 0 0 0 2 - 0 _ _ 2 4 16 0 0 79.81% 6 Jonathan 1907 _ 0 _ _ 2 - 2 _ _ 4 12 1.64% 0.26% 26.08% 7 cutecat 1903 _ 2 0 0 _ 0 - _ 0 2 20 0 0 80.72% 8 Bernhard Herwig 1835 0 0 _ 2 _ _ _ - _ 2 12 0 0 71.97% 9 Orbilin 1779 0 0 0 0 0 _ 2 _ - 2 4 0 0 99.95% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-09-17 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.8.1.1 Newly completed matches: fritzd 2 – 0 cutecat Games completed: 26/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 fritzd 2122 - 2 2 2 2 _ 2 2 2 14 68 98.81% 0 0 2 Mirko Rahn 2011 0 - 2 0 2 2 0 2 2 10 40 0 0 0 3 Jos Dekker 2113 0 0 - 2 2 _ 2 _ 2 8 28 0 0 0.59% 4 5466 1856 0 2 0 - 0 _ 2 0 2 6 28 0 0 35.82% 5 bennok 1867 0 0 0 2 - 0 _ _ 2 4 16 0 0 78.25% 6 Jonathan 1907 _ 0 _ _ 2 - 2 _ _ 4 12 1.19% 0 25.65% 7 cutecat 1896 0 2 0 0 _ 0 - _ 0 2 20 0 0 89.56% 8 Bernhard Herwig 1835 0 0 _ 2 _ _ _ - _ 2 12 0 0 70.18% 9 Orbilin 1779 0 0 0 0 0 _ 2 _ - 2 4 0 0 99.95% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-09-24 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.8.1.1 Newly completed matches: Jonathan 0 – 2 fritzd Games completed: 27/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 fritzd 2129 - 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16 76 100% 0 0 2 Mirko Rahn 1981 0 - 2 0 2 2 0 2 2 10 40 0 0 0 3 Jos Dekker 2113 0 0 - 2 2 _ 2 _ 2 8 28 0 0 0.49% 4 5466 1856 0 2 0 - 0 _ 2 0 2 6 28 0 0 33.57% 5 bennok 1867 0 0 0 2 - 0 _ _ 2 4 16 0 0 75.77% 6 Jonathan 1900 0 0 _ _ 2 - 2 _ _ 4 12 0 0 33.14% 7 cutecat 1896 0 2 0 0 _ 0 - _ 0 2 20 0 0 88.05% 8 Bernhard Herwig 1835 0 0 _ 2 _ _ _ - _ 2 12 0 0 68.97% 9 Orbilin 1779 0 0 0 0 0 _ 2 _ - 2 4 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-09-24 MarleysGhost ★ Let me be the first to congratulate friztd. Most impressive. 2012-09-25 Strange Yeah And let me be the second. A great win for a great player. 2012-09-25 ypercube Congrats fritzd! 2012-10-12 bennok Congrats! hope the image shows....

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