Hex, Havannah: havannah.ch.9.1.1 predictions

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havannah.ch.9.1.1 predictions 2012-10-28 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.9.1.1 I’ve been requested to follow havannah.ch.9.1.1 by RoRoRo the Bot For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page . Already completed matches: Games completed: 0/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Bernhard Herwig 1864 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.05% 0.18% 63.08% 2 fritzd 2140 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 42.36% 1.86% 2.90% 3 Kieran O’Donnell 1847 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.77% 0.12% 68.93% 4 Sol 1917 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 2.62% 0.44% 46.91% 5 christian freeling 1986 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 7.38% 1.04% 25.50% 6 5466 1873 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 1.14% 0.22% 63.00% 7 Pascal Huybers 1894 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 1.76% 0.33% 56.34% 8 mirror_man2 1855 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.84% 0.18% 69.35% 9 Jos Dekker 2132 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 39.28% 1.89% 3.99% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-10-31 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.9.1.1 Newly completed matches: christian freeling 2 – 0 Pascal Huybers Games completed: 1/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 christian freeling 1997 - _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ _ 2 0 11.32% 1.26% 13.36% 2 Bernhard Herwig 1864 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.02% 0.21% 63.03% 3 fritzd 2140 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 41.14% 1.90% 2.88% 4 Kieran O’Donnell 1847 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.70% 0.17% 69.08% 5 Sol 1917 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 2.38% 0.45% 46.52% 6 5466 1873 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 1.23% 0.17% 62.06% 7 Pascal Huybers 1883 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.53% 0.13% 70.53% 8 mirror_man2 1855 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.85% 0.14% 68.62% 9 Jos Dekker 2132 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 38.00% 1.90% 3.93% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-10-31 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.9.1.1 Newly completed matches: christian freeling 2 – 0 Jos Dekker Games completed: 2/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 christian freeling 2018 - _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 4 0 31.13% 2.53% 2.89% 2 Bernhard Herwig 1864 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.08% 0.24% 63.38% 3 fritzd 2140 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 44.60% 2.44% 2.93% 4 Kieran O’Donnell 1847 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.80% 0.20% 69.76% 5 Sol 1917 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 2.79% 0.53% 47.21% 6 5466 1873 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 1.29% 0.29% 62.85% 7 Pascal Huybers 1883 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.43% 0.12% 70.66% 8 mirror_man2 1855 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 1.05% 0.20% 68.89% 9 Jos Dekker 2111 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 13.11% 1.85% 11.43% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-11-12 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.9.1.1 Newly completed matches: Pascal Huybers 0 – 2 Jos Dekker Games completed: 3/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 christian freeling 1906 - 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ 4 4 12.27% 1.42% 11.70% 2 Jos Dekker 2118 0 - _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 0 22.27% 1.95% 6.04% 3 Bernhard Herwig 1864 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.54% 0.32% 61.93% 4 fritzd 2146 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 52.65% 2.31% 2.30% 5 Kieran O’Donnell 1852 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.26% 0.19% 66.10% 6 Sol 1917 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 3.53% 0.57% 44.23% 7 5466 1873 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 1.64% 0.37% 60.61% 8 Pascal Huybers 1881 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.15% 0.09% 79.53% 9 mirror_man2 1855 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 1.32% 0.25% 67.56% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-11-17 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.9.1.1 Newly completed matches: Sol 2 – 0 christian freeling Games completed: 4/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 christian freeling 1938 - 0 2 _ _ _ _ 2 _ 4 4 7.91% 1.07% 14.97% 2 Sol 1934 2 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 8 7.74% 1.02% 23.75% 3 Jos Dekker 2118 0 _ - _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 0 23.78% 1.87% 6.77% 4 Bernhard Herwig 1864 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.40% 0.28% 65.50% 5 fritzd 2146 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 51.65% 2.21% 2.93% 6 Kieran O’Donnell 1852 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 1.13% 0.21% 70.23% 7 5466 1873 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 1.66% 0.33% 63.91% 8 Pascal Huybers 1881 0 _ 0 _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.17% 0.07% 81.05% 9 mirror_man2 1855 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 1.19% 0.19% 70.89% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-11-20 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.9.1.1 Newly completed matches: Jos Dekker 2 – 0 Sol Games completed: 5/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 christian freeling 1932 - 2 0 _ _ _ _ 2 _ 4 8 6.95% 0.98% 14.38% 2 Jos Dekker 2132 0 - 2 _ _ _ _ 2 _ 4 4 31.30% 1.98% 2.45% 3 Sol 1926 2 0 - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 8 2.72% 0.65% 31.51% 4 Bernhard Herwig 1864 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.14% 0.21% 65.29% 5 fritzd 2158 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 51.59% 1.87% 2.39% 6 Kieran O’Donnell 1852 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.95% 0.18% 69.77% 7 5466 1873 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 1.34% 0.25% 63.68% 8 Pascal Huybers 1881 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.12% 0.07% 80.55% 9 mirror_man2 1855 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.94% 0.17% 69.99% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-11-26 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.9.1.1 Newly completed matches: fritzd 2 – 0 Pascal Huybers Games completed: 6/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 christian freeling 1925 - 2 0 _ _ _ _ 2 _ 4 8 5.77% 0.72% 15.07% 2 Jos Dekker 2132 0 - 2 _ _ _ _ 2 _ 4 4 28.18% 1.68% 2.51% 3 Sol 1926 2 0 - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 8 2.41% 0.50% 31.24% 4 fritzd 2169 _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 _ 2 0 57.14% 1.65% 1.17% 5 Bernhard Herwig 1864 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.06% 0.21% 64.27% 6 Kieran O’Donnell 1858 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.95% 0.20% 67.16% 7 5466 1873 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 1.18% 0.22% 62.74% 8 Pascal Huybers 1878 0 0 _ 0 _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.00% 0 86.25% 9 mirror_man2 1855 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.83% 0.18% 69.60% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-11-27 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.9.1.1 Newly completed matches: Jos Dekker 2 – 0 5466 fritzd 2 – 0 christian freeling Games completed: 8/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Jos Dekker 2137 - 0 _ 2 _ _ 2 2 _ 6 4 32.81% 1.45% 0.88% 2 christian freeling 1919 2 - 0 0 _ _ _ 2 _ 4 12 0.43% 0.35% 17.43% 3 fritzd 2175 _ 2 - _ _ _ _ 2 _ 4 8 60.44% 1.47% 0.41% 4 Sol 1926 0 2 _ - _ _ _ _ _ 2 8 1.89% 0.37% 29.97% 5 Bernhard Herwig 1864 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.76% 0.18% 63.02% 6 Kieran O’Donnell 1858 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.72% 0.12% 65.79% 7 5466 1868 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.31% 0.06% 69.22% 8 Pascal Huybers 1878 0 0 0 _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0 0 85.15% 9 mirror_man2 1855 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.72% 0.12% 68.14% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-12-02 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.9.1.1 Newly completed matches: Jos Dekker 0 – 2 fritzd Games completed: 9/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 fritzd 2189 - 2 2 _ _ _ _ 2 _ 6 20 92.75% 1.12% 0.04% 2 Jos Dekker 2123 0 - 0 2 _ _ 2 2 _ 6 4 1.27% 0.78% 1.76% 3 christian freeling 1921 0 2 - 0 _ _ _ 2 _ 4 12 0.25% 0.11% 17.88% 4 Sol 1926 _ 0 2 - _ _ _ _ _ 2 8 2.18% 0.39% 29.78% 5 Bernhard Herwig 1864 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.66% 0.12% 62.99% 6 Kieran O’Donnell 1858 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.62% 0.11% 65.65% 7 5466 1868 _ 0 _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.40% 0.10% 68.99% 8 Pascal Huybers 1878 0 0 0 _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0 0.00% 85.07% 9 mirror_man2 1855 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.55% 0.10% 67.83% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-12-08 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.9.1.1 Newly completed matches: 5466 0 – 2 christian freeling Games completed: 10/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 fritzd 2191 - 2 2 _ _ _ _ 2 _ 6 24 93.28% 1.04% 0.03% 2 christian freeling 1912 0 - 2 0 _ _ 2 2 _ 6 12 0.38% 0.15% 8.39% 3 Jos Dekker 2123 0 0 - 2 _ _ 2 2 _ 6 4 0.86% 0.57% 2.21% 4 Sol 1926 _ 2 0 - _ _ _ _ _ 2 12 2.32% 0.46% 28.27% 5 Bernhard Herwig 1864 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.72% 0.10% 61.90% 6 Kieran O’Donnell 1858 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.59% 0.12% 64.11% 7 5466 1854 _ 0 0 _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.03% 0.04% 83.76% 8 Pascal Huybers 1878 0 0 0 _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0 0 85.33% 9 mirror_man2 1855 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.60% 0.14% 66.00% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-12-09 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.9.1.1 Newly completed matches: Sol 2 – 0 fritzd <-— major upset! Games completed: 11/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 fritzd 2165 - 2 2 0 _ _ _ 2 _ 6 24 69.56% 4.14% 0.17% 2 christian freeling 1912 0 - 2 0 _ _ 2 2 _ 6 12 1.26% 0.32% 12.21% 3 Jos Dekker 2123 0 0 - 2 _ _ 2 2 _ 6 8 3.81% 2.44% 2.51% 4 Sol 1952 2 2 0 - _ _ _ _ _ 4 24 16.30% 3.27% 6.75% 5 Bernhard Herwig 1864 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.30% 0.32% 65.84% 6 Kieran O’Donnell 1858 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 1.27% 0.30% 67.75% 7 5466 1854 _ 0 0 _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.12% 0.14% 86.54% 8 Pascal Huybers 1878 0 0 0 _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0 0.00% 88.04% 9 mirror_man2 1855 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 1.24% 0.25% 70.20% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-12-13 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.9.1.1 Newly completed matches: Kieran O’Donnell 2 – 0 Jos Dekker <-— major upset! Games completed: 12/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 fritzd 2165 - 2 2 0 _ _ _ 2 _ 6 24 67.76% 2.32% 0.30% 2 christian freeling 1914 0 - 2 0 _ _ 2 2 _ 6 12 1.25% 0.41% 18.23% 3 Jos Dekker 2097 0 0 - 2 0 _ 2 2 _ 6 8 0.08% 0.17% 12.31% 4 Sol 1952 2 2 0 - _ _ _ _ _ 4 24 19.08% 1.64% 8.09% 5 Kieran O’Donnell 1884 _ _ 2 _ - _ _ _ _ 2 12 5.66% 0.72% 37.08% 6 Bernhard Herwig 1864 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 1.74% 0.23% 70.48% 7 5466 1854 _ 0 0 _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.25% 0.11% 89.21% 8 Pascal Huybers 1878 0 0 0 _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.00% 0.01% 90.43% 9 mirror_man2 1855 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 1.42% 0.25% 73.88% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-12-15 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.9.1.1 Newly completed matches: christian freeling 2 – 0 Kieran O’Donnell Games completed: 13/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 christian freeling 1928 - 0 2 0 2 _ 2 2 _ 8 16 2.27% 0.74% 4.24% 2 fritzd 2167 2 - 2 0 _ _ _ 2 _ 6 28 69.45% 2.42% 0.33% 3 Jos Dekker 2097 0 0 - 2 0 _ 2 2 _ 6 8 0.10% 0.17% 11.67% 4 Sol 1952 2 2 0 - _ _ _ _ _ 4 28 19.99% 1.79% 7.35% 5 Kieran O’Donnell 1870 0 _ 2 _ - _ _ _ _ 2 12 2.09% 0.41% 54.93% 6 Bernhard Herwig 1864 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 1.68% 0.28% 69.82% 7 5466 1854 0 _ 0 _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.18% 0.11% 88.61% 8 Pascal Huybers 1878 0 0 0 _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0 0.01% 89.93% 9 mirror_man2 1855 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 1.42% 0.19% 73.13% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-12-16 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.9.1.1 Newly completed matches: Pascal Huybers 0 – 2 Sol Games completed: 14/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 christian freeling 1928 - 0 0 2 2 _ 2 2 _ 8 16 1.55% 0.46% 4.67% 2 fritzd 2167 2 - 0 2 _ _ _ 2 _ 6 28 59.77% 2.38% 0.33% 3 Sol 1964 2 2 - 0 _ _ _ 2 _ 6 28 30.74% 2.17% 2.35% 4 Jos Dekker 2097 0 0 2 - 0 _ 2 2 _ 6 12 0.05% 0.12% 11.38% 5 Kieran O’Donnell 1870 0 _ _ 2 - _ _ _ _ 2 12 1.95% 0.29% 53.33% 6 Bernhard Herwig 1864 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 1.60% 0.26% 69.20% 7 5466 1854 0 _ _ 0 _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.21% 0.11% 88.67% 8 Pascal Huybers 1866 0 0 0 0 _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0 0 97.35% 9 mirror_man2 1855 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 1.32% 0.21% 72.71% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-12-17 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.9.1.1 Newly completed matches: christian freeling 0 – 2 Bernhard Herwig Games completed: 15/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 christian freeling 1910 - 0 0 2 0 2 2 2 _ 8 16 0.07% 0.16% 13.25% 2 fritzd 2167 2 - 0 2 _ _ _ 2 _ 6 28 58.79% 2.34% 0.52% 3 Sol 1964 2 2 - 0 _ _ _ 2 _ 6 28 29.57% 2.08% 3.19% 4 Jos Dekker 2097 0 0 2 - _ 0 2 2 _ 6 12 0.16% 0.25% 13.22% 5 Bernhard Herwig 1897 2 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 2 16 5.12% 0.46% 42.45% 6 Kieran O’Donnell 1855 0 _ _ 2 _ - _ _ _ 2 12 1.94% 0.24% 64.25% 7 5466 1854 0 _ _ 0 _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.27% 0.08% 90.54% 8 Pascal Huybers 1866 0 0 0 0 _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0 0 98.21% 9 mirror_man2 1855 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 1.35% 0.19% 74.38% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-12-19 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.9.1.1 Newly completed matches: Kieran O’Donnell 2 – 0 5466 Games completed: 16/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 christian freeling 1910 - 0 0 2 2 0 2 2 _ 8 20 0.04% 0.09% 14.34% 2 fritzd 2169 2 - 0 2 _ _ _ 2 _ 6 28 58.63% 2.30% 0.54% 3 Sol 1964 2 2 - 0 _ _ _ 2 _ 6 28 28.90% 2.05% 3.36% 4 Jos Dekker 2097 0 0 2 - 0 _ 2 2 _ 6 12 0.04% 0.14% 16.61% 5 Kieran O’Donnell 1870 0 _ _ 2 - _ 2 _ _ 4 12 3.39% 0.46% 47.98% 6 Bernhard Herwig 1897 2 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 16 4.95% 0.49% 46.15% 7 5466 1839 0 _ _ 0 0 _ - _ _ 0 0 0.01% 0.03% 97.31% 8 Pascal Huybers 1866 0 0 0 0 _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0 0 98.61% 9 mirror_man2 1855 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 1.32% 0.21% 75.09% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2012-12-26 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.9.1.1 Newly completed matches: mirror_man2 0 – 2 christian freeling Games completed: 17/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 christian freeling 1924 - 0 0 2 2 0 2 2 2 10 20 0.07% 0.19% 0.27% 2 Sol 1964 2 - 2 0 _ _ _ _ 2 6 32 30.20% 1.89% 3.12% 3 fritzd 2171 2 0 - 2 _ _ _ _ 2 6 32 59.65% 2.11% 0.49% 4 Jos Dekker 2097 0 2 0 - 0 _ _ 2 2 6 12 0.02% 0.09% 16.10% 5 Kieran O’Donnell 1870 0 _ _ 2 - _ _ 2 _ 4 12 3.27% 0.32% 46.45% 6 Bernhard Herwig 1879 2 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 20 3.97% 0.43% 49.63% 7 mirror_man2 1842 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.39% 0.11% 87.98% 8 5466 1839 0 _ _ 0 0 _ _ - _ 0 0 0.01% 0.02% 97.59% 9 Pascal Huybers 1866 0 0 0 0 _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0 98.36% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-01-03 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.9.1.1 Newly completed matches: 5466 0 – 2 fritzd Games completed: 18/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 christian freeling 1924 - 0 0 2 2 0 2 2 2 10 20 0.02% 0.07% 0.28% 2 fritzd 2175 2 - 0 2 _ _ 2 2 _ 8 32 62.55% 1.50% 0.25% 3 Sol 1964 2 2 - 0 _ _ _ 2 _ 6 36 28.66% 1.32% 2.88% 4 Jos Dekker 2097 0 0 2 - 0 _ 2 2 _ 6 12 0 0.01% 15.75% 5 Kieran O’Donnell 1870 0 _ _ 2 - _ 2 _ _ 4 12 3.17% 0.27% 46.47% 6 Bernhard Herwig 1879 2 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 20 3.58% 0.29% 49.65% 7 5466 1835 0 0 _ 0 0 _ - _ _ 0 0 0 0 98.86% 8 Pascal Huybers 1866 0 0 0 0 _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0 0 98.22% 9 mirror_man2 1842 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.36% 0.06% 87.63% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-01-07 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.9.1.1 Newly completed matches: 5466 0 – 2 Pascal Huybers Games completed: 19/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 christian freeling 1924 - 0 0 2 2 0 2 2 2 10 24 0.02% 0.08% 0.32% 2 fritzd 2175 2 - 0 2 _ _ 2 2 _ 8 36 62.45% 1.37% 0.21% 3 Sol 1964 2 2 - 0 _ _ 2 _ _ 6 40 28.91% 1.21% 2.72% 4 Jos Dekker 2097 0 0 2 - 0 _ 2 2 _ 6 16 0.00% 0.03% 15.45% 5 Kieran O’Donnell 1870 0 _ _ 2 - _ _ 2 _ 4 12 2.97% 0.27% 47.66% 6 Bernhard Herwig 1879 2 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 20 3.67% 0.29% 49.58% 7 Pascal Huybers 1880 0 0 0 0 _ _ - 2 _ 2 0 0 0 96.48% 8 5466 1821 0 0 _ 0 0 _ 0 - _ 0 0 0 0 99.80% 9 mirror_man2 1842 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.44% 0.05% 87.79% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-01-08 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.9.1.1 Newly completed matches: fritzd 2 – 0 Bernhard Herwig mirror_man2 0 – 2 fritzd Games completed: 21/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 fritzd 2186 - 2 0 2 _ 2 2 2 2 12 40 73.69% 0.44% 0 2 christian freeling 1924 0 - 0 2 2 0 2 2 2 10 24 0 0 0.15% 3 Sol 1964 2 2 - 0 _ _ 2 _ _ 6 48 22.86% 0.32% 2.12% 4 Jos Dekker 2097 0 0 2 - 0 _ 2 2 _ 6 16 0 0 13.28% 5 Kieran O’Donnell 1870 _ 0 _ 2 - _ _ 2 _ 4 12 2.73% 0.14% 44.46% 6 Bernhard Herwig 1875 0 2 _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 20 0.25% 0.11% 53.52% 7 Pascal Huybers 1880 0 0 0 0 _ _ - 2 _ 2 0 0 0 96.03% 8 5466 1821 0 0 _ 0 0 _ 0 - _ 0 0 0 0 99.78% 9 mirror_man2 1839 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0.00% 90.67% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-01-08 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.9.1.1 Newly completed matches: fritzd 2 – 0 Kieran O’Donnell Games completed: 22/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 fritzd 2190 - 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 14 48 81.49% 0 0 2 christian freeling 1924 0 - 0 2 2 0 2 2 2 10 24 0 0 0 3 Sol 1964 2 2 - 0 _ _ 2 _ _ 6 52 18.51% 0 1.71% 4 Jos Dekker 2097 0 0 2 - 0 _ 2 2 _ 6 16 0 0 11.61% 5 Kieran O’Donnell 1866 0 0 _ 2 - _ _ 2 _ 4 12 0 0 50.27% 6 Bernhard Herwig 1875 0 2 _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 20 0 0 51.61% 7 Pascal Huybers 1880 0 0 0 0 _ _ - 2 _ 2 0 0 0 95.30% 8 5466 1821 0 0 _ 0 0 _ 0 - _ 0 0 0 0 99.71% 9 mirror_man2 1839 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0 89.79% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-01-09 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.9.1.1 Newly completed matches: Jos Dekker 2 – 0 mirror_man2 Games completed: 23/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 fritzd 2190 - 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 14 52 81.09% 0 0 2 christian freeling 1924 0 - 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 10 28 0 0 0 3 Jos Dekker 2102 0 0 - 2 0 _ 2 2 2 8 16 0 0 6.88% 4 Sol 1964 2 2 0 - _ _ 2 _ _ 6 52 18.91% 0 2.01% 5 Kieran O’Donnell 1866 0 0 2 _ - _ _ 2 _ 4 16 0 0 48.98% 6 Bernhard Herwig 1875 0 2 _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 20 0 0 52.18% 7 Pascal Huybers 1880 0 0 0 0 _ _ - 2 _ 2 0 0 0 95.89% 8 5466 1821 0 0 0 _ 0 _ 0 - _ 0 0 0 0 99.76% 9 mirror_man2 1834 0 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0 94.30% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-01-14 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.9.1.1 Newly completed matches: Pascal Huybers 0 – 2 Kieran O’Donnell Games completed: 24/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 fritzd 2193 - 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 14 56 81.65% 0 0 2 christian freeling 1924 0 - 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 10 32 0 0 0 3 Jos Dekker 2102 0 0 - 2 0 _ 2 2 2 8 16 0 0 9.45% 4 Sol 1964 2 2 0 - _ _ 2 _ _ 6 52 18.35% 0 2.72% 5 Kieran O’Donnell 1882 0 0 2 _ - _ 2 2 _ 6 20 0 0 34.23% 6 Bernhard Herwig 1875 0 2 _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 20 0 0 58.19% 7 Pascal Huybers 1864 0 0 0 0 0 _ - 2 _ 2 0 0 0 100% 8 5466 1821 0 0 0 _ 0 _ 0 - _ 0 0 0 0 99.86% 9 mirror_man2 1834 0 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0 95.55% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-01-20 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.9.1.1 Newly completed matches: Bernhard Herwig 0 – 2 Jos Dekker Games completed: 25/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 fritzd 2193 - 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 14 60 81.80% 0 0 2 christian freeling 1924 0 - 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 10 36 0 0 0 3 Jos Dekker 2108 0 0 - 2 0 2 2 2 2 10 20 0 0 0 4 Sol 1964 2 2 0 - _ _ 2 _ _ 6 52 18.20% 0 3.07% 5 Kieran O’Donnell 1882 0 0 2 _ - _ 2 2 _ 6 24 0 0 32.68% 6 Bernhard Herwig 1869 0 2 0 _ _ - _ _ _ 2 20 0 0 68.95% 7 Pascal Huybers 1864 0 0 0 0 0 _ - 2 _ 2 0 0 0 100% 8 5466 1821 0 0 0 _ 0 _ 0 - _ 0 0 0 0 99.83% 9 mirror_man2 1834 0 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0 95.47% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-01-28 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.9.1.1 Newly completed matches: Pascal Huybers 0 – 2 Bernhard Herwig Games completed: 26/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 fritzd 2165 - 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 14 64 81.86% 0 0 2 christian freeling 1924 0 - 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 10 36 0 0 0 3 Jos Dekker 2108 0 0 - 2 0 2 2 2 2 10 24 0 0 0 4 Sol 1964 2 2 0 - _ _ 2 _ _ 6 52 18.14% 0 4.63% 5 Kieran O’Donnell 1882 0 0 2 _ - _ 2 2 _ 6 24 0 0 42.72% 6 Bernhard Herwig 1884 0 2 0 _ _ - 2 _ _ 4 24 0 0 56.71% 7 Pascal Huybers 1849 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 2 _ 2 0 0 0 100% 8 5466 1821 0 0 0 _ 0 _ 0 - _ 0 0 0 0 99.81% 9 mirror_man2 1834 0 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0 96.12% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-01-29 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.9.1.1 Newly completed matches: Kieran O’Donnell 0 – 2 Sol Games completed: 27/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 fritzd 2165 - 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 14 64 69.25% 0 0 2 christian freeling 1924 0 - 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 10 36 0 0 0 3 Jos Dekker 2108 0 0 - 2 0 2 2 2 2 10 28 0 0 0 4 Sol 1976 2 2 0 - 2 _ 2 _ _ 8 64 30.75% 0 0.39% 5 Kieran O’Donnell 1870 0 0 2 0 - _ 2 2 _ 6 24 0 0 58.70% 6 Bernhard Herwig 1884 0 2 0 _ _ - 2 _ _ 4 24 0 0 46.28% 7 Pascal Huybers 1849 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 2 _ 2 0 0 0 100% 8 5466 1821 0 0 0 _ 0 _ 0 - _ 0 0 0 0 99.70% 9 mirror_man2 1834 0 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0 94.93% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-01-31 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.9.1.1 Newly completed matches: 5466 2 – 0 mirror_man2 Games completed: 28/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 fritzd 2165 - 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 14 68 69.06% 0 0 2 christian freeling 1924 0 - 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 10 40 0 0 0 3 Jos Dekker 2108 0 0 - 2 0 2 2 2 2 10 32 0 0 0 4 Sol 1976 2 2 0 - 2 _ 2 _ _ 8 64 30.94% 0 0.34% 5 Kieran O’Donnell 1870 0 0 2 0 - _ 2 2 _ 6 28 0 0 57.00% 6 Bernhard Herwig 1884 0 2 0 _ _ - 2 _ _ 4 24 0 0 45.38% 7 Pascal Huybers 1849 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 2 _ 2 4 0 0 100% 8 5466 1837 0 0 0 _ 0 _ 0 - 2 2 0 0 0 99.38% 9 mirror_man2 1818 0 0 0 _ _ _ _ 0 - 0 0 0 0 97.91% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-02-08 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.9.1.1 Newly completed matches: Kieran O’Donnell 2 – 0 mirror_man2 Sol 2 – 0 5466 Games completed: 30/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 fritzd 2167 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 14 72 52.89% 0 0 2 Sol 1985 2 - 2 0 2 _ 2 2 _ 10 72 47.11% 0 0 3 christian freeling 1947 0 0 - 2 2 0 2 2 2 10 44 0 0 0 4 Jos Dekker 2085 0 2 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 10 36 0 0 0 5 Kieran O’Donnell 1883 0 0 0 2 - _ 2 2 2 8 28 0 0 49.41% 6 Bernhard Herwig 1884 0 _ 2 0 _ - 2 _ _ 4 24 0 0 50.59% 7 Pascal Huybers 1849 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 2 _ 2 4 0 0 100% 8 5466 1828 0 0 0 0 0 _ 0 - 2 2 0 0 0 100% 9 mirror_man2 1805 0 _ 0 0 0 _ _ 0 - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-02-15 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.9.1.1 Newly completed matches: Bernhard Herwig 2 – 0 5466 Games completed: 31/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 fritzd 2169 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 14 76 54.14% 0 0 2 Sol 1985 2 - 2 0 2 _ 2 2 _ 10 72 45.86% 0 0 3 christian freeling 1947 0 0 - 2 2 0 2 2 2 10 44 0 0 0 4 Jos Dekker 2085 0 2 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 10 40 0 0 0 5 Kieran O’Donnell 1883 0 0 0 2 - _ 2 2 2 8 28 0 0 60.62% 6 Bernhard Herwig 1897 0 _ 2 0 _ - 2 2 _ 6 28 0 0 39.38% 7 Pascal Huybers 1849 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 2 _ 2 4 0 0 100% 8 5466 1815 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 0 0 0 100% 9 mirror_man2 1805 0 _ 0 0 0 _ _ 0 - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-02-20 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.9.1.1 Newly completed matches: mirror_man2 0 – 2 Pascal Huybers Games completed: 32/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 fritzd 2175 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 14 80 53.24% 0 0 2 Sol 1985 2 - 2 0 2 _ 2 2 _ 10 76 46.76% 0 0 3 christian freeling 1923 0 0 - 2 2 0 2 2 2 10 48 0 0 0 4 Jos Dekker 2085 0 2 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 10 44 0 0 0 5 Kieran O’Donnell 1901 0 0 0 2 - _ 2 2 2 8 32 0 0 58.58% 6 Bernhard Herwig 1897 0 _ 2 0 _ - 2 2 _ 6 32 0 0 41.42% 7 Pascal Huybers 1862 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 4 4 0 0 100% 8 5466 1815 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 0 0 0 100% 9 mirror_man2 1792 0 _ 0 0 0 _ 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-03-05 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.9.1.1 Newly completed matches: Sol 2 – 0 mirror_man2 Games completed: 33/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 fritzd 2145 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 14 80 36.93% 0 0 2 Sol 1992 2 - 2 0 2 _ 2 2 2 12 76 63.07% 0 0 3 christian freeling 1923 0 0 - 2 2 0 2 2 2 10 48 0 0 0 4 Jos Dekker 2085 0 2 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 10 48 0 0 0 5 Kieran O’Donnell 1901 0 0 0 2 - _ 2 2 2 8 32 0 0 61.46% 6 Bernhard Herwig 1897 0 _ 2 0 _ - 2 2 _ 6 32 0 0 38.54% 7 Pascal Huybers 1837 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 4 4 0 0 100% 8 5466 1815 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 0 0 0 100% 9 mirror_man2 1785 0 0 0 0 0 _ 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-03-15 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: havannah.ch.9.1.1 Newly completed matches: Bernhard Herwig 0 – 2 Sol Games completed: 34/36 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Sol 2003 - 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 14 88 100% 0 0 2 fritzd 2132 0 - 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 14 80 0 0 0 3 Jos Dekker 2103 2 0 - 0 0 2 2 2 2 10 52 0 0 0 4 christian freeling 1909 0 0 2 - 2 0 2 2 2 10 48 0 0 0 5 Kieran O’Donnell 1901 0 0 2 0 - _ 2 2 2 8 32 0 0 48.02% 6 Bernhard Herwig 1886 0 0 0 2 _ - 2 2 _ 6 32 0 0 51.98% 7 Pascal Huybers 1838 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 4 4 0 0 100% 8 5466 1815 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 0 0 0 100% 9 mirror_man2 1785 0 0 0 0 0 _ 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted 2013-03-15 Mirko Rahn Congratulations to Sol! 2013-03-17 fritzd Congrats to the new Champion! Well done Sol! 2013-03-17 christian freeling Congrats Ed :) 2013-03-26 Sol Thanks guys :) There have been some interesting, well played games. Though I felt like a beginner against Jos Dekker – that might have made me the proverbial warned man ;) cheers, Ed