hex.ch.30.1.1 predictions Hex, Havannah

30 replies. Last post: 2013-03-18

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hex.ch.30.1.1 predictions
  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-01-22

    Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
    I’ve been requested to follow hex.ch.30.1.1 by RoRoRo the Bot
    For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page .

    • Already completed matches:

    Games completed: 0/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Daniel Sepczuk 2415 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 22.97% 1.00% 1.61%
    2 Piotr Karas 2035 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.04% 0.01% 82.79%
    3 Jonathan 2042 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.06% 0.01% 81.45%
    4 Zeycus 2067 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.09% 0.02% 75.58%
    5 Marius Halsor 2125 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.35% 0.07% 58.21%
    6 Bill LeBoeuf 2130 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.33% 0.06% 57.11%
    7 Art Duval 2202 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 1.39% 0.24% 32.98%
    8 Frode Lillevold 2253 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 3.21% 0.58% 20.01%
    9 Maciej Celuch 2565 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 70.29% 1.08% 0.07%
    10 Arty Sandler 1999 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.02% 0 90.20%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-01-30

    Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Bill LeBoeuf 0 – 2 Daniel Sepczuk

    Games completed: 1/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Daniel Sepczuk 2420 - _ _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 0 25.62% 0.96% 0.75%
    2 Arty Sandler 1999 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.02% 0 88.27%
    3 Frode Lillevold 2253 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 3.01% 0.61% 17.31%
    4 Art Duval 2202 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.39% 0.26% 30.46%
    5 Bill LeBoeuf 2125 0 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.10% 0.02% 62.86%
    6 Marius Halsor 2125 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.29% 0.05% 57.87%
    7 Zeycus 2067 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.07% 0.02% 76.25%
    8 Jonathan 2042 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.03% 0.01% 82.14%
    9 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.05% 0.02% 83.98%
    10 Maciej Celuch 2565 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 68.22% 1.05% 0.10%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-02-02

    Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Frode Lillevold 0 – 2 Daniel Sepczuk

    Games completed: 2/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Daniel Sepczuk 2428 - 2 _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 4 0 31.22% 0.90% 0.15%
    2 Bill LeBoeuf 2125 0 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.05% 0.02% 60.65%
    3 Maciej Celuch 2565 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 65.47% 0.87% 0.06%
    4 Frode Lillevold 2245 0 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.69% 0.36% 23.74%
    5 Art Duval 2202 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.20% 0.30% 29.81%
    6 Marius Halsor 2125 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.24% 0.05% 56.68%
    7 Zeycus 2067 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.07% 0.01% 75.04%
    8 Jonathan 2042 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.03% 0.00% 81.21%
    9 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.02% 0.01% 83.33%
    10 Arty Sandler 1999 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.01% 0 89.33%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-02-03

    Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Daniel Sepczuk 0 – 2 Maciej Celuch

    Games completed: 3/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Daniel Sepczuk 2419 - 0 2 _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ 4 0 4.91% 0.86% 0.30%
    2 Maciej Celuch 2574 2 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 8 91.70% 0.93% 0.00%
    3 Frode Lillevold 2245 0 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.92% 0.45% 23.52%
    4 Art Duval 2202 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.02% 0.20% 29.06%
    5 Bill LeBoeuf 2125 0 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.09% 0.05% 61.62%
    6 Marius Halsor 2125 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.21% 0.04% 56.21%
    7 Zeycus 2067 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.08% 0.02% 74.91%
    8 Jonathan 2042 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.03% 0.00% 81.40%
    9 Arty Sandler 1999 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.01% 0.00% 89.50%
    10 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.03% 0.01% 83.46%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-02-08

    Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Maciej Celuch 2 – 0 Frode Lillevold

    Games completed: 4/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Maciej Celuch 2578 - 2 _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ 4 8 95.43% 0.40% 0
    2 Daniel Sepczuk 2419 0 - _ 2 2 _ _ _ _ _ 4 0 2.80% 0.38% 0.26%
    3 Art Duval 2202 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.97% 0.24% 28.70%
    4 Bill LeBoeuf 2125 _ 0 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.07% 0.03% 60.06%
    5 Frode Lillevold 2241 0 0 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.01% 0.00% 27.78%
    6 Arty Sandler 1999 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 88.41%
    7 Zeycus 2067 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.06% 0.01% 74.23%
    8 Jonathan 2042 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.02% 0.00% 80.93%
    9 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.02% 0 82.73%
    10 Marius Halsor 2126 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.18% 0.04% 56.89%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-02-14

    Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Daniel Sepczuk 2 – 0 Marius Halsor

    Games completed: 5/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Daniel Sepczuk 2423 - 0 _ 2 2 _ _ _ _ 2 6 0 3.27% 0.41% 0.06%
    2 Maciej Celuch 2578 2 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 12 95.22% 0.44% 0.00%
    3 Art Duval 2202 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.83% 0.21% 27.59%
    4 Bill LeBoeuf 2125 0 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.07% 0.05% 59.42%
    5 Marius Halsor 2122 0 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.06% 0.03% 60.96%
    6 Zeycus 2067 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.05% 0.01% 73.17%
    7 Jonathan 2042 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.01% 0.00% 79.88%
    8 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.03% 0.01% 81.44%
    9 Arty Sandler 1999 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.00% 0 88.42%
    10 Frode Lillevold 2241 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.00% 0 29.06%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-02-15

    Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Marius Halsor 0 – 2 Bill LeBoeuf

    Games completed: 6/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Daniel Sepczuk 2423 - 0 2 _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 6 4 3.23% 0.41% 0.06%
    2 Maciej Celuch 2578 2 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 12 95.25% 0.45% 0
    3 Bill LeBoeuf 2140 0 _ - _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 0 0.13% 0.10% 40.05%
    4 Art Duval 2202 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.84% 0.22% 28.01%
    5 Marius Halsor 2107 0 _ 0 _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0 0.01% 78.87%
    6 Zeycus 2067 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.04% 0.00% 73.11%
    7 Jonathan 2042 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.02% 0.01% 80.09%
    8 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.01% 0.01% 81.91%
    9 Arty Sandler 1999 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.01% 0.01% 88.73%
    10 Frode Lillevold 2241 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.00% 0 29.18%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-02-16

    Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Arty Sandler 0 – 2 Frode Lillevold
    • Zeycus 0 – 2 Daniel Sepczuk
    • Arty Sandler 0 – 2 Bill LeBoeuf

    Games completed: 9/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Daniel Sepczuk 2426 - 0 2 2 2 2 _ _ _ _ 8 12 3.81% 0.47% 0.01%
    2 Maciej Celuch 2578 2 - _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 4 20 94.71% 0.49% 0
    3 Bill LeBoeuf 2149 0 _ - _ _ 2 _ _ _ 2 4 0 0.14% 0.14% 30.01%
    4 Frode Lillevold 2247 0 0 _ - _ _ _ _ _ 2 2 0 0.01% 0.00% 21.65%
    5 Zeycus 2064 0 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.01% 0.01% 78.41%
    6 Marius Halsor 2115 0 _ 0 _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.00% 0 78.94%
    7 Jonathan 2042 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.02% 0.00% 80.48%
    8 Art Duval 2202 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.78% 0.25% 30.59%
    9 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.02% 0.01% 82.77%
    10 Arty Sandler 1984 _ _ 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0 97.13%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-02-16

    Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Maciej Celuch 2 – 0 Bill LeBoeuf

    Games completed: 10/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Daniel Sepczuk 2426 - 0 2 2 _ 2 _ _ 2 _ 8 12 2.44% 0.30% 0.02%
    2 Maciej Celuch 2580 2 - 2 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 6 28 96.49% 0.33% 0
    3 Bill LeBoeuf 2147 0 0 - _ _ 2 _ _ _ 2 4 0 0 0 32.64%
    4 Frode Lillevold 2247 0 0 _ - _ _ _ _ _ 2 2 0 0 0 20.99%
    5 Art Duval 2202 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.69% 0.25% 28.93%
    6 Marius Halsor 2115 0 _ 0 _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.01% 0.00% 78.47%
    7 Jonathan 2042 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.02% 0.01% 80.25%
    8 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.01% 0 82.26%
    9 Zeycus 2064 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.01% 0.01% 79.41%
    10 Arty Sandler 1984 _ _ 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0 97.03%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-02-16

    Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Frode Lillevold 0 – 2 Bill LeBoeuf

    Games completed: 11/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Daniel Sepczuk 2426 - 0 2 2 _ 2 _ 2 _ _ 8 16 2.29% 0.36% 0.01%
    2 Maciej Celuch 2580 2 - 2 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 6 32 96.59% 0.37% 0.00%
    3 Bill LeBoeuf 2167 0 0 - 2 2 2 _ _ _ _ 6 4 0 0.00% 9.92%
    4 Frode Lillevold 2227 0 0 0 - 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 0 0 0 42.57%
    5 Arty Sandler 1984 _ _ 0 0 - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 96.54%
    6 Marius Halsor 2115 0 _ 0 _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0 0.00% 78.43%
    7 Art Duval 2202 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.70% 0.27% 29.62%
    8 Zeycus 2064 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.01% 0.01% 79.14%
    9 Jonathan 2042 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.02% 0.01% 80.96%
    10 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.01% 0.01% 82.80%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-02-18

    Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Daniel Sepczuk 2 – 0 Jonathan

    Games completed: 12/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Daniel Sepczuk 2429 - 0 2 2 _ 2 _ 2 _ 2 10 16 2.72% 0.30% 0
    2 Maciej Celuch 2580 2 - 2 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 6 36 96.27% 0.32% 0.00%
    3 Bill LeBoeuf 2167 0 0 - 2 _ 2 2 _ _ _ 6 4 0.00% 0 9.50%
    4 Frode Lillevold 2227 0 0 0 - _ _ 2 _ _ _ 2 0 0 0 42.07%
    5 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.01% 0.01% 80.88%
    6 Marius Halsor 2115 0 _ 0 _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0 0.00% 78.17%
    7 Arty Sandler 1984 _ _ 0 0 _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 97.02%
    8 Jonathan 2039 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 83.37%
    9 Art Duval 2202 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.67% 0.27% 29.78%
    10 Zeycus 2064 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0 79.22%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-02-22

    Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Daniel Sepczuk 2 – 0 Arty Sandler

    Games completed: 13/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Daniel Sepczuk 2431 - 0 2 2 _ _ 2 2 2 2 12 16 2.70% 0.30% 0
    2 Maciej Celuch 2580 2 - 2 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 6 40 96.25% 0.31% 0
    3 Bill LeBoeuf 2167 0 0 - 2 _ _ _ _ 2 2 6 4 0 0 9.56%
    4 Frode Lillevold 2227 0 0 0 - _ _ _ _ _ 2 2 0 0 0 42.25%
    5 Art Duval 2202 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.72% 0.26% 28.02%
    6 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.01% 0.00% 81.35%
    7 Jonathan 2039 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 83.57%
    8 Zeycus 2064 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.01% 0 78.37%
    9 Marius Halsor 2115 0 _ 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0 0.00% 78.87%
    10 Arty Sandler 1982 0 _ 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0 98.00%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-02-24

    Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Arty Sandler 0 – 2 Maciej Celuch

    Games completed: 14/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Daniel Sepczuk 2434 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 _ _ 12 16 2.25% 0.35% 0
    2 Maciej Celuch 2580 2 - 2 2 _ 2 _ _ _ _ 8 40 96.81% 0.36% 0
    3 Bill LeBoeuf 2167 0 0 - 2 _ 2 _ 2 _ _ 6 4 0 0.00% 9.30%
    4 Frode Lillevold 2227 0 0 0 - _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 0 0 0 41.86%
    5 Jonathan 2039 0 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 83.15%
    6 Arty Sandler 1982 0 0 0 0 _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 98.20%
    7 Zeycus 2064 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0 0.02% 77.70%
    8 Marius Halsor 2115 0 _ 0 _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0 0.00% 77.95%
    9 Art Duval 2202 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.57% 0.30% 29.54%
    10 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.02% 0.00% 82.29%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-02-24

    Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Jonathan 2 – 0 Frode Lillevold <-— upset!

    Games completed: 15/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Daniel Sepczuk 2434 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 _ _ 12 20 2.29% 0.38% 0
    2 Maciej Celuch 2580 2 - 2 _ 2 _ 2 _ _ _ 8 40 96.68% 0.39% 0
    3 Bill LeBoeuf 2167 0 0 - _ 2 _ 2 2 _ _ 6 4 0 0 10.70%
    4 Jonathan 2062 0 _ _ - 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 0.00% 0.03% 57.27%
    5 Frode Lillevold 2204 0 0 0 0 - _ 2 _ _ _ 2 0 0 0 72.25%
    6 Zeycus 2064 0 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 76.32%
    7 Arty Sandler 1982 0 0 0 _ 0 _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 97.67%
    8 Marius Halsor 2115 0 _ 0 _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0 0.00% 76.91%
    9 Art Duval 2202 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.62% 0.31% 28.13%
    10 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.02% 0.00% 80.75%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-02-25

    Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Bill LeBoeuf 0 – 2 Zeycus

    Games completed: 16/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Daniel Sepczuk 2434 - 0 2 2 2 2 _ _ 2 2 12 24 2.47% 0.40% 0
    2 Maciej Celuch 2580 2 - 2 _ _ 2 _ _ _ 2 8 40 96.39% 0.41% 0
    3 Bill LeBoeuf 2147 0 0 - 0 _ 2 _ _ 2 2 6 4 0 0 26.54%
    4 Zeycus 2084 0 _ 2 - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 12 0.02% 0.04% 51.77%
    5 Jonathan 2062 0 _ _ _ - 2 _ _ _ _ 2 4 0.01% 0.03% 60.05%
    6 Frode Lillevold 2204 0 0 0 _ 0 - _ _ _ 2 2 0 0 0 74.35%
    7 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.01% 0.00% 80.89%
    8 Art Duval 2202 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.68% 0.31% 29.79%
    9 Marius Halsor 2115 0 _ 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0 0 78.45%
    10 Arty Sandler 1982 0 0 0 _ _ 0 _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0 98.17%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-02-26

    Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Bill LeBoeuf 0 – 2 Art Duval

    Games completed: 17/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Daniel Sepczuk 2434 - 0 2 2 _ 2 2 _ 2 2 12 24 2.51% 0.68% 0
    2 Maciej Celuch 2580 2 - 2 _ _ _ 2 _ _ 2 8 40 95.56% 0.69% 0
    3 Bill LeBoeuf 2134 0 0 - 0 0 _ 2 _ 2 2 6 4 0 0 42.96%
    4 Zeycus 2084 0 _ 2 - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 12 0.02% 0.04% 52.57%
    5 Art Duval 2215 _ _ 2 _ - _ _ _ _ _ 2 12 1.18% 0.60% 14.07%
    6 Jonathan 2062 0 _ _ _ _ - 2 _ _ _ 2 4 0.01% 0.02% 59.68%
    7 Frode Lillevold 2204 0 0 0 _ _ 0 - _ _ 2 2 0 0 0 73.76%
    8 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.01% 0.01% 81.12%
    9 Marius Halsor 2115 0 _ 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.01% 0 77.72%
    10 Arty Sandler 1982 0 0 0 _ _ _ 0 _ _ - 0 0 0 0 98.11%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-02-26

    Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Marius Halsor 2 – 0 Arty Sandler

    Games completed: 18/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Daniel Sepczuk 2434 - 0 2 2 _ 2 2 2 _ 2 12 28 2.56% 0.73% 0
    2 Maciej Celuch 2580 2 - 2 _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 8 40 95.48% 0.74% 0
    3 Bill LeBoeuf 2134 0 0 - 0 0 _ 2 2 _ 2 6 8 0 0 42.89%
    4 Zeycus 2084 0 _ 2 - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 12 0.03% 0.04% 53.93%
    5 Art Duval 2215 _ _ 2 _ - _ _ _ _ _ 2 12 1.15% 0.63% 14.72%
    6 Jonathan 2062 0 _ _ _ _ - _ 2 _ _ 2 4 0.02% 0.03% 61.33%
    7 Marius Halsor 2125 0 _ 0 _ _ _ - _ _ 2 2 0 0.01% 0 70.56%
    8 Frode Lillevold 2204 0 0 0 _ _ 0 _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0 75.49%
    9 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.01% 0.01% 81.63%
    10 Arty Sandler 1972 0 0 0 _ _ _ 0 0 _ - 0 0 0 0 99.45%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-01

    Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Marius Halsor 0 – 2 Frode Lillevold
    • Marius Halsor 0 – 2 Jonathan

    Games completed: 20/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Daniel Sepczuk 2434 - 0 2 2 2 2 _ 2 _ 2 12 36 2.57% 0.68% 0
    2 Maciej Celuch 2580 2 - 2 _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 8 44 95.56% 0.68% 0
    3 Bill LeBoeuf 2134 0 0 - _ 2 0 0 2 _ 2 6 12 0 0 47.27%
    4 Jonathan 2080 0 _ _ - 2 _ _ 2 _ _ 4 12 0.05% 0.08% 37.96%
    5 Frode Lillevold 2215 0 0 0 0 - _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 0 0 65.91%
    6 Zeycus 2084 0 _ 2 _ _ - _ _ _ _ 2 12 0.02% 0.02% 55.79%
    7 Art Duval 2215 _ _ 2 _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 12 1.09% 0.58% 16.45%
    8 Marius Halsor 2096 0 _ 0 0 0 _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0 95.52%
    9 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.01% 0 81.69%
    10 Arty Sandler 1972 0 0 0 _ 0 _ _ 0 _ - 0 0 0 0 99.41%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-03

    Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Arty Sandler 0 – 2 Zeycus

    Games completed: 21/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Daniel Sepczuk 2434 - 0 2 2 2 2 _ 2 _ 2 12 40 2.61% 0.73% 0
    2 Maciej Celuch 2580 2 - 2 _ _ 2 _ _ _ 2 8 44 95.48% 0.73% 0
    3 Bill LeBoeuf 2134 0 0 - 0 _ 2 0 2 _ 2 6 12 0 0 51.16%
    4 Zeycus 2095 0 _ 2 - _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 12 0.06% 0.05% 45.25%
    5 Jonathan 2080 0 _ _ _ - 2 _ 2 _ _ 4 12 0.04% 0.08% 40.38%
    6 Frode Lillevold 2215 0 0 0 _ 0 - _ 2 _ 2 4 4 0 0 68.19%
    7 Art Duval 2215 _ _ 2 _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 12 1.04% 0.60% 16.99%
    8 Marius Halsor 2096 0 _ 0 _ 0 0 _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0 95.62%
    9 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.01% 0.00% 82.42%
    10 Arty Sandler 1961 0 0 0 0 _ 0 _ 0 _ - 0 0 0 0 99.98%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-04

    Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Frode Lillevold 2 – 0 Zeycus

    Games completed: 22/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Daniel Sepczuk 2434 - 0 2 2 2 2 _ 2 _ 2 12 44 2.44% 0.71% 0
    2 Maciej Celuch 2580 2 - 2 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 8 48 95.71% 0.71% 0
    3 Bill LeBoeuf 2134 0 0 - 2 _ 0 0 2 _ 2 6 16 0 0 49.02%
    4 Frode Lillevold 2225 0 0 0 - 0 2 _ 2 _ 2 6 12 0 0 51.61%
    5 Jonathan 2080 0 _ _ 2 - _ _ 2 _ _ 4 16 0.05% 0.08% 40.04%
    6 Zeycus 2085 0 _ 2 0 _ - _ _ _ 2 4 12 0.00% 0.00% 62.17%
    7 Art Duval 2215 _ _ 2 _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 12 1.05% 0.62% 18.47%
    8 Marius Halsor 2096 0 _ 0 0 0 _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0 96.00%
    9 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.02% 0 82.70%
    10 Arty Sandler 1961 0 0 0 0 _ 0 _ 0 _ - 0 0 0 0 99.98%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-05

    Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Marius Halsor 2 – 0 Maciej Celuch <-— astonishing! [°_°]

    Games completed: 23/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Daniel Sepczuk 2434 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 _ _ 2 12 48 19.67% 0.29% 0
    2 Maciej Celuch 2550 2 - 2 2 _ 0 _ _ _ 2 8 48 77.46% 0.45% 0.00%
    3 Bill LeBoeuf 2134 0 0 - 2 _ 2 0 0 _ 2 6 20 0 0 55.31%
    4 Frode Lillevold 2225 0 0 0 - 0 2 2 _ _ 2 6 16 0 0 56.28%
    5 Jonathan 2080 0 _ _ 2 - 2 _ _ _ _ 4 20 0.11% 0.05% 44.09%
    6 Marius Halsor 2126 0 2 0 0 0 - _ _ _ 2 4 16 0 0 65.52%
    7 Zeycus 2085 0 _ 2 0 _ _ - _ _ 2 4 12 0.01% 0.01% 69.63%
    8 Art Duval 2215 _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 12 2.25% 0.18% 23.13%
    9 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.03% 0.01% 86.03%
    10 Arty Sandler 1961 0 0 0 0 _ 0 0 _ _ - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-06

    Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Jonathan 0 – 2 Zeycus
    • Jonathan 0 – 2 Bill LeBoeuf

    Games completed: 25/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Daniel Sepczuk 2434 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 _ _ 2 12 56 19.39% 0.25% 0
    2 Maciej Celuch 2550 2 - 2 _ 2 _ 0 _ _ 2 8 52 77.81% 0.37% 0.00%
    3 Bill LeBoeuf 2147 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 0 _ 2 8 28 0 0 31.24%
    4 Zeycus 2100 0 _ 2 - 0 2 _ _ _ 2 6 24 0.01% 0.05% 49.74%
    5 Frode Lillevold 2225 0 0 0 2 - 0 2 _ _ 2 6 20 0 0 55.79%
    6 Jonathan 2052 0 _ 0 0 2 - 2 _ _ _ 4 20 0 0 86.30%
    7 Marius Halsor 2126 0 2 0 _ 0 0 - _ _ 2 4 16 0 0 67.59%
    8 Art Duval 2215 _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 16 2.36% 0.14% 23.27%
    9 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.04% 0.01% 86.06%
    10 Arty Sandler 1961 0 0 0 0 0 _ 0 _ _ - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-06

    Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Arty Sandler 2 – 0 Piotr Karas

    Games completed: 26/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Daniel Sepczuk 2434 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 _ 2 _ 12 60 19.40% 0.29% 0
    2 Maciej Celuch 2550 2 - 2 _ 2 0 _ _ 2 _ 8 56 77.96% 0.38% 0.00%
    3 Bill LeBoeuf 2147 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 0 2 _ 8 32 0 0 25.88%
    4 Zeycus 2100 0 _ 2 - 0 _ 2 _ 2 _ 6 28 0.00% 0.02% 48.72%
    5 Frode Lillevold 2225 0 0 0 2 - 2 0 _ 2 _ 6 24 0 0 54.88%
    6 Marius Halsor 2126 0 2 0 _ 0 - 0 _ 2 _ 4 20 0 0 67.65%
    7 Jonathan 2052 0 _ 0 0 2 2 - _ _ _ 4 20 0 0 86.87%
    8 Art Duval 2215 _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 16 2.23% 0.12% 23.59%
    9 Arty Sandler 1980 0 0 0 0 0 0 _ _ - 2 2 0 0 0 100%
    10 Piotr Karas 2016 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 - 0 0 0.01% 0.00% 92.42%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-09

    Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Jonathan 0 – 2 Maciej Celuch

    Games completed: 27/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Daniel Sepczuk 2434 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 _ 2 _ 12 60 16.21% 0.28% 0
    2 Maciej Celuch 2551 2 - 2 _ 2 0 2 _ 2 _ 10 64 81.09% 0.41% 0
    3 Bill LeBoeuf 2147 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 0 2 _ 8 32 0 0 25.40%
    4 Zeycus 2100 0 _ 2 - 0 _ 2 _ 2 _ 6 28 0.02% 0.06% 48.28%
    5 Frode Lillevold 2225 0 0 0 2 - 2 0 _ 2 _ 6 24 0 0 54.50%
    6 Marius Halsor 2126 0 2 0 _ 0 - 0 _ 2 _ 4 24 0 0 66.54%
    7 Jonathan 2051 0 0 0 0 2 2 - _ _ _ 4 20 0 0 89.54%
    8 Art Duval 2215 _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 16 2.24% 0.14% 23.73%
    9 Arty Sandler 1980 0 0 0 0 0 0 _ _ - 2 2 0 0 0 100%
    10 Piotr Karas 2016 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 - 0 0 0.01% 0.00% 92.01%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-10

    Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Maciej Celuch 2 – 0 Zeycus

    Games completed: 28/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Maciej Celuch 2553 - 2 2 2 2 0 2 _ 2 _ 12 76 85.82% 0.24% 0
    2 Daniel Sepczuk 2434 0 - 2 2 2 2 2 _ 2 _ 12 60 11.94% 0.16% 0
    3 Bill LeBoeuf 2147 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 0 2 _ 8 32 0 0 23.95%
    4 Zeycus 2098 0 0 2 - 0 _ 2 _ 2 _ 6 28 0 0 51.46%
    5 Frode Lillevold 2225 0 0 0 2 - 2 0 _ 2 _ 6 24 0 0 54.33%
    6 Marius Halsor 2126 2 0 0 _ 0 - 0 _ 2 _ 4 28 0 0 65.63%
    7 Jonathan 2051 0 0 0 0 2 2 - _ _ _ 4 20 0 0 89.59%
    8 Art Duval 2215 _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 16 1.99% 0.11% 23.23%
    9 Arty Sandler 1980 0 0 0 0 0 0 _ _ - 2 2 0 0 0 100%
    10 Piotr Karas 2016 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 - 0 0 0.01% 0 91.82%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-10

    Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Jonathan 0 – 2 Arty Sandler

    Games completed: 29/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Maciej Celuch 2553 - 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 _ _ 12 80 85.74% 0.23% 0
    2 Daniel Sepczuk 2434 0 - 2 2 2 2 2 2 _ _ 12 64 12.00% 0.18% 0
    3 Bill LeBoeuf 2147 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 0 _ 8 36 0 0 23.73%
    4 Zeycus 2098 0 0 2 - 0 _ 2 2 _ _ 6 32 0 0 50.98%
    5 Frode Lillevold 2225 0 0 0 2 - 2 0 2 _ _ 6 28 0 0 50.57%
    6 Marius Halsor 2126 2 0 0 _ 0 - 0 2 _ _ 4 32 0 0 62.77%
    7 Jonathan 2032 0 0 0 0 2 2 - 0 _ _ 4 20 0 0 96.70%
    8 Arty Sandler 1999 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 - _ 2 4 8 0 0 100%
    9 Art Duval 2215 _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ - _ 2 16 2.01% 0.09% 22.51%
    10 Piotr Karas 2016 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 _ - 0 0 0.01% 0 92.73%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-12

    Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Art Duval 2 – 0 Arty Sandler

    Games completed: 30/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Maciej Celuch 2553 - 2 2 2 2 0 _ 2 2 _ 12 80 85.29% 0.27% 0
    2 Daniel Sepczuk 2434 0 - 2 2 2 2 _ 2 2 _ 12 64 11.94% 0.17% 0
    3 Bill LeBoeuf 2147 0 0 - 0 2 2 0 2 2 _ 8 36 0 0 25.59%
    4 Zeycus 2098 0 0 2 - 0 _ _ 2 2 _ 6 32 0 0 52.81%
    5 Frode Lillevold 2225 0 0 0 2 - 2 _ 0 2 _ 6 28 0 0 51.89%
    6 Marius Halsor 2131 2 0 0 _ 0 - _ 0 2 _ 4 32 0 0 63.52%
    7 Art Duval 2222 _ _ 2 _ _ _ - _ 2 _ 4 24 2.49% 0.13% 17.30%
    8 Jonathan 2032 0 0 0 0 2 2 _ - 0 _ 4 20 0 0 96.34%
    9 Arty Sandler 1992 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 - 2 4 8 0 0 100%
    10 Piotr Karas 2016 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 - 0 0 0.00% 0 92.54%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-12

    Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Zeycus 2 – 0 Marius Halsor

    Games completed: 31/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Maciej Celuch 2553 - 2 2 2 2 0 _ 2 2 _ 12 84 85.09% 0.26% 0
    2 Daniel Sepczuk 2434 0 - 2 2 2 2 _ 2 2 _ 12 68 12.32% 0.14% 0
    3 Zeycus 2115 0 0 - 2 0 2 _ 2 2 _ 8 40 0 0 15.75%
    4 Bill LeBoeuf 2147 0 0 0 - 2 2 0 2 2 _ 8 36 0 0 37.49%
    5 Frode Lillevold 2225 0 0 2 0 - 2 _ 0 2 _ 6 32 0 0 51.12%
    6 Marius Halsor 2114 2 0 0 0 0 - _ 0 2 _ 4 32 0 0 90.51%
    7 Art Duval 2222 _ _ _ 2 _ _ - _ 2 _ 4 24 2.33% 0.14% 15.79%
    8 Jonathan 2032 0 0 0 0 2 2 _ - 0 _ 4 20 0 0 97.26%
    9 Arty Sandler 1992 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 - 2 4 8 0 0 100%
    10 Piotr Karas 2016 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 - 0 0 0 0 92.08%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-16

    Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Piotr Karas 0 – 2 Daniel Sepczuk
    • Maciej Celuch 2 – 0 Piotr Karas

    Games completed: 33/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Maciej Celuch 2554 - 2 2 2 2 0 _ 2 2 2 14 88 88.16% 0.13% 0
    2 Daniel Sepczuk 2436 0 - 2 2 2 2 _ 2 2 2 14 68 9.81% 0 0
    3 Zeycus 2115 0 0 - 2 0 2 _ 2 2 _ 8 40 0 0 14.97%
    4 Bill LeBoeuf 2147 0 0 0 - 2 2 0 2 2 _ 8 36 0 0 36.28%
    5 Frode Lillevold 2225 0 0 2 0 - 2 _ 0 2 _ 6 32 0 0 50.60%
    6 Marius Halsor 2114 2 0 0 0 0 - _ 0 2 _ 4 36 0 0 90.62%
    7 Art Duval 2222 _ _ _ 2 _ _ - _ 2 _ 4 24 1.90% 0.13% 15.55%
    8 Jonathan 2032 0 0 0 0 2 2 _ - 0 _ 4 20 0 0 97.40%
    9 Arty Sandler 1992 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 - 2 4 8 0 0 100%
    10 Piotr Karas 2013 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 - 0 0 0 0 94.59%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-18

    Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Art Duval 0 – 2 Maciej Celuch

    Games completed: 34/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Maciej Celuch 2558 - 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 16 96 100% 0 0
    2 Daniel Sepczuk 2436 0 - 2 2 2 2 _ 2 2 2 14 68 0 0 0
    3 Zeycus 2115 0 0 - 2 0 2 _ 2 2 _ 8 40 0 0 14.61%
    4 Bill LeBoeuf 2147 0 0 0 - 2 2 0 2 2 _ 8 36 0 0 35.41%
    5 Frode Lillevold 2225 0 0 2 0 - 2 _ 0 2 _ 6 32 0 0 49.81%
    6 Marius Halsor 2114 2 0 0 0 0 - _ 0 2 _ 4 40 0 0 90.12%
    7 Art Duval 2218 0 _ _ 2 _ _ - _ 2 _ 4 24 0 0 18.28%
    8 Jonathan 2032 0 0 0 0 2 2 _ - 0 _ 4 20 0 0 97.51%
    9 Arty Sandler 1992 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 - 2 4 8 0 0 100%
    10 Piotr Karas 2013 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 - 0 0 0 0 94.25%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

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