Hex, Havannah: hex.ch.30.1.1 predictions

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hex.ch.30.1.1 predictions 2013-01-22 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1 I’ve been requested to follow hex.ch.30.1.1 by RoRoRo the Bot For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page . Already completed matches: Games completed: 0/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Daniel Sepczuk 2415 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 22.97% 1.00% 1.61% 2 Piotr Karas 2035 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.04% 0.01% 82.79% 3 Jonathan 2042 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.06% 0.01% 81.45% 4 Zeycus 2067 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.09% 0.02% 75.58% 5 Marius Halsor 2125 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.35% 0.07% 58.21% 6 Bill LeBoeuf 2130 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.33% 0.06% 57.11% 7 Art Duval 2202 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 1.39% 0.24% 32.98% 8 Frode Lillevold 2253 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 3.21% 0.58% 20.01% 9 Maciej Celuch 2565 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 70.29% 1.08% 0.07% 10 Arty Sandler 1999 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.02% 0 90.20% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-01-30 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1 Newly completed matches: Bill LeBoeuf 0 – 2 Daniel Sepczuk Games completed: 1/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Daniel Sepczuk 2420 - _ _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 0 25.62% 0.96% 0.75% 2 Arty Sandler 1999 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.02% 0 88.27% 3 Frode Lillevold 2253 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 3.01% 0.61% 17.31% 4 Art Duval 2202 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.39% 0.26% 30.46% 5 Bill LeBoeuf 2125 0 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.10% 0.02% 62.86% 6 Marius Halsor 2125 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.29% 0.05% 57.87% 7 Zeycus 2067 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.07% 0.02% 76.25% 8 Jonathan 2042 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.03% 0.01% 82.14% 9 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.05% 0.02% 83.98% 10 Maciej Celuch 2565 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 68.22% 1.05% 0.10% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-02-02 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1 Newly completed matches: Frode Lillevold 0 – 2 Daniel Sepczuk Games completed: 2/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Daniel Sepczuk 2428 - 2 _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 4 0 31.22% 0.90% 0.15% 2 Bill LeBoeuf 2125 0 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.05% 0.02% 60.65% 3 Maciej Celuch 2565 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 65.47% 0.87% 0.06% 4 Frode Lillevold 2245 0 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.69% 0.36% 23.74% 5 Art Duval 2202 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.20% 0.30% 29.81% 6 Marius Halsor 2125 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.24% 0.05% 56.68% 7 Zeycus 2067 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.07% 0.01% 75.04% 8 Jonathan 2042 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.03% 0.00% 81.21% 9 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.02% 0.01% 83.33% 10 Arty Sandler 1999 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.01% 0 89.33% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-02-03 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1 Newly completed matches: Daniel Sepczuk 0 – 2 Maciej Celuch Games completed: 3/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Daniel Sepczuk 2419 - 0 2 _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ 4 0 4.91% 0.86% 0.30% 2 Maciej Celuch 2574 2 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 8 91.70% 0.93% 0.00% 3 Frode Lillevold 2245 0 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.92% 0.45% 23.52% 4 Art Duval 2202 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.02% 0.20% 29.06% 5 Bill LeBoeuf 2125 0 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.09% 0.05% 61.62% 6 Marius Halsor 2125 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.21% 0.04% 56.21% 7 Zeycus 2067 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.08% 0.02% 74.91% 8 Jonathan 2042 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.03% 0.00% 81.40% 9 Arty Sandler 1999 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.01% 0.00% 89.50% 10 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.03% 0.01% 83.46% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-02-08 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1 Newly completed matches: Maciej Celuch 2 – 0 Frode Lillevold Games completed: 4/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Maciej Celuch 2578 - 2 _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ 4 8 95.43% 0.40% 0 2 Daniel Sepczuk 2419 0 - _ 2 2 _ _ _ _ _ 4 0 2.80% 0.38% 0.26% 3 Art Duval 2202 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.97% 0.24% 28.70% 4 Bill LeBoeuf 2125 _ 0 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.07% 0.03% 60.06% 5 Frode Lillevold 2241 0 0 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.01% 0.00% 27.78% 6 Arty Sandler 1999 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 88.41% 7 Zeycus 2067 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.06% 0.01% 74.23% 8 Jonathan 2042 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.02% 0.00% 80.93% 9 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.02% 0 82.73% 10 Marius Halsor 2126 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.18% 0.04% 56.89% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-02-14 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1 Newly completed matches: Daniel Sepczuk 2 – 0 Marius Halsor Games completed: 5/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Daniel Sepczuk 2423 - 0 _ 2 2 _ _ _ _ 2 6 0 3.27% 0.41% 0.06% 2 Maciej Celuch 2578 2 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 12 95.22% 0.44% 0.00% 3 Art Duval 2202 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.83% 0.21% 27.59% 4 Bill LeBoeuf 2125 0 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.07% 0.05% 59.42% 5 Marius Halsor 2122 0 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.06% 0.03% 60.96% 6 Zeycus 2067 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.05% 0.01% 73.17% 7 Jonathan 2042 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.01% 0.00% 79.88% 8 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.03% 0.01% 81.44% 9 Arty Sandler 1999 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.00% 0 88.42% 10 Frode Lillevold 2241 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.00% 0 29.06% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-02-15 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1 Newly completed matches: Marius Halsor 0 – 2 Bill LeBoeuf Games completed: 6/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Daniel Sepczuk 2423 - 0 2 _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 6 4 3.23% 0.41% 0.06% 2 Maciej Celuch 2578 2 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 12 95.25% 0.45% 0 3 Bill LeBoeuf 2140 0 _ - _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 0 0.13% 0.10% 40.05% 4 Art Duval 2202 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.84% 0.22% 28.01% 5 Marius Halsor 2107 0 _ 0 _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0 0.01% 78.87% 6 Zeycus 2067 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.04% 0.00% 73.11% 7 Jonathan 2042 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.02% 0.01% 80.09% 8 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.01% 0.01% 81.91% 9 Arty Sandler 1999 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.01% 0.01% 88.73% 10 Frode Lillevold 2241 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.00% 0 29.18% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-02-16 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1 Newly completed matches: Arty Sandler 0 – 2 Frode Lillevold Zeycus 0 – 2 Daniel Sepczuk Arty Sandler 0 – 2 Bill LeBoeuf Games completed: 9/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Daniel Sepczuk 2426 - 0 2 2 2 2 _ _ _ _ 8 12 3.81% 0.47% 0.01% 2 Maciej Celuch 2578 2 - _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 4 20 94.71% 0.49% 0 3 Bill LeBoeuf 2149 0 _ - _ _ 2 _ _ _ 2 4 0 0.14% 0.14% 30.01% 4 Frode Lillevold 2247 0 0 _ - _ _ _ _ _ 2 2 0 0.01% 0.00% 21.65% 5 Zeycus 2064 0 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.01% 0.01% 78.41% 6 Marius Halsor 2115 0 _ 0 _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.00% 0 78.94% 7 Jonathan 2042 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.02% 0.00% 80.48% 8 Art Duval 2202 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.78% 0.25% 30.59% 9 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.02% 0.01% 82.77% 10 Arty Sandler 1984 _ _ 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0 97.13% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-02-16 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1 Newly completed matches: Maciej Celuch 2 – 0 Bill LeBoeuf Games completed: 10/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Daniel Sepczuk 2426 - 0 2 2 _ 2 _ _ 2 _ 8 12 2.44% 0.30% 0.02% 2 Maciej Celuch 2580 2 - 2 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 6 28 96.49% 0.33% 0 3 Bill LeBoeuf 2147 0 0 - _ _ 2 _ _ _ 2 4 0 0 0 32.64% 4 Frode Lillevold 2247 0 0 _ - _ _ _ _ _ 2 2 0 0 0 20.99% 5 Art Duval 2202 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.69% 0.25% 28.93% 6 Marius Halsor 2115 0 _ 0 _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.01% 0.00% 78.47% 7 Jonathan 2042 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.02% 0.01% 80.25% 8 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.01% 0 82.26% 9 Zeycus 2064 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.01% 0.01% 79.41% 10 Arty Sandler 1984 _ _ 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0 97.03% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-02-16 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1 Newly completed matches: Frode Lillevold 0 – 2 Bill LeBoeuf Games completed: 11/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Daniel Sepczuk 2426 - 0 2 2 _ 2 _ 2 _ _ 8 16 2.29% 0.36% 0.01% 2 Maciej Celuch 2580 2 - 2 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 6 32 96.59% 0.37% 0.00% 3 Bill LeBoeuf 2167 0 0 - 2 2 2 _ _ _ _ 6 4 0 0.00% 9.92% 4 Frode Lillevold 2227 0 0 0 - 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 0 0 0 42.57% 5 Arty Sandler 1984 _ _ 0 0 - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 96.54% 6 Marius Halsor 2115 0 _ 0 _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0 0.00% 78.43% 7 Art Duval 2202 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.70% 0.27% 29.62% 8 Zeycus 2064 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.01% 0.01% 79.14% 9 Jonathan 2042 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.02% 0.01% 80.96% 10 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.01% 0.01% 82.80% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-02-18 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1 Newly completed matches: Daniel Sepczuk 2 – 0 Jonathan Games completed: 12/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Daniel Sepczuk 2429 - 0 2 2 _ 2 _ 2 _ 2 10 16 2.72% 0.30% 0 2 Maciej Celuch 2580 2 - 2 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 6 36 96.27% 0.32% 0.00% 3 Bill LeBoeuf 2167 0 0 - 2 _ 2 2 _ _ _ 6 4 0.00% 0 9.50% 4 Frode Lillevold 2227 0 0 0 - _ _ 2 _ _ _ 2 0 0 0 42.07% 5 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.01% 0.01% 80.88% 6 Marius Halsor 2115 0 _ 0 _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0 0.00% 78.17% 7 Arty Sandler 1984 _ _ 0 0 _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 97.02% 8 Jonathan 2039 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 83.37% 9 Art Duval 2202 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.67% 0.27% 29.78% 10 Zeycus 2064 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0 79.22% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-02-22 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1 Newly completed matches: Daniel Sepczuk 2 – 0 Arty Sandler Games completed: 13/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Daniel Sepczuk 2431 - 0 2 2 _ _ 2 2 2 2 12 16 2.70% 0.30% 0 2 Maciej Celuch 2580 2 - 2 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 6 40 96.25% 0.31% 0 3 Bill LeBoeuf 2167 0 0 - 2 _ _ _ _ 2 2 6 4 0 0 9.56% 4 Frode Lillevold 2227 0 0 0 - _ _ _ _ _ 2 2 0 0 0 42.25% 5 Art Duval 2202 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.72% 0.26% 28.02% 6 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.01% 0.00% 81.35% 7 Jonathan 2039 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 83.57% 8 Zeycus 2064 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.01% 0 78.37% 9 Marius Halsor 2115 0 _ 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0 0.00% 78.87% 10 Arty Sandler 1982 0 _ 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0 98.00% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-02-24 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1 Newly completed matches: Arty Sandler 0 – 2 Maciej Celuch Games completed: 14/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Daniel Sepczuk 2434 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 _ _ 12 16 2.25% 0.35% 0 2 Maciej Celuch 2580 2 - 2 2 _ 2 _ _ _ _ 8 40 96.81% 0.36% 0 3 Bill LeBoeuf 2167 0 0 - 2 _ 2 _ 2 _ _ 6 4 0 0.00% 9.30% 4 Frode Lillevold 2227 0 0 0 - _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 0 0 0 41.86% 5 Jonathan 2039 0 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 83.15% 6 Arty Sandler 1982 0 0 0 0 _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 98.20% 7 Zeycus 2064 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0 0.02% 77.70% 8 Marius Halsor 2115 0 _ 0 _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0 0.00% 77.95% 9 Art Duval 2202 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.57% 0.30% 29.54% 10 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.02% 0.00% 82.29% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-02-24 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1 Newly completed matches: Jonathan 2 – 0 Frode Lillevold <-— upset! Games completed: 15/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Daniel Sepczuk 2434 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 _ _ 12 20 2.29% 0.38% 0 2 Maciej Celuch 2580 2 - 2 _ 2 _ 2 _ _ _ 8 40 96.68% 0.39% 0 3 Bill LeBoeuf 2167 0 0 - _ 2 _ 2 2 _ _ 6 4 0 0 10.70% 4 Jonathan 2062 0 _ _ - 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 0.00% 0.03% 57.27% 5 Frode Lillevold 2204 0 0 0 0 - _ 2 _ _ _ 2 0 0 0 72.25% 6 Zeycus 2064 0 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 76.32% 7 Arty Sandler 1982 0 0 0 _ 0 _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 97.67% 8 Marius Halsor 2115 0 _ 0 _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0 0.00% 76.91% 9 Art Duval 2202 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.62% 0.31% 28.13% 10 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.02% 0.00% 80.75% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-02-25 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1 Newly completed matches: Bill LeBoeuf 0 – 2 Zeycus Games completed: 16/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Daniel Sepczuk 2434 - 0 2 2 2 2 _ _ 2 2 12 24 2.47% 0.40% 0 2 Maciej Celuch 2580 2 - 2 _ _ 2 _ _ _ 2 8 40 96.39% 0.41% 0 3 Bill LeBoeuf 2147 0 0 - 0 _ 2 _ _ 2 2 6 4 0 0 26.54% 4 Zeycus 2084 0 _ 2 - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 12 0.02% 0.04% 51.77% 5 Jonathan 2062 0 _ _ _ - 2 _ _ _ _ 2 4 0.01% 0.03% 60.05% 6 Frode Lillevold 2204 0 0 0 _ 0 - _ _ _ 2 2 0 0 0 74.35% 7 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.01% 0.00% 80.89% 8 Art Duval 2202 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.68% 0.31% 29.79% 9 Marius Halsor 2115 0 _ 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0 0 78.45% 10 Arty Sandler 1982 0 0 0 _ _ 0 _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0 98.17% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-02-26 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1 Newly completed matches: Bill LeBoeuf 0 – 2 Art Duval Games completed: 17/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Daniel Sepczuk 2434 - 0 2 2 _ 2 2 _ 2 2 12 24 2.51% 0.68% 0 2 Maciej Celuch 2580 2 - 2 _ _ _ 2 _ _ 2 8 40 95.56% 0.69% 0 3 Bill LeBoeuf 2134 0 0 - 0 0 _ 2 _ 2 2 6 4 0 0 42.96% 4 Zeycus 2084 0 _ 2 - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 12 0.02% 0.04% 52.57% 5 Art Duval 2215 _ _ 2 _ - _ _ _ _ _ 2 12 1.18% 0.60% 14.07% 6 Jonathan 2062 0 _ _ _ _ - 2 _ _ _ 2 4 0.01% 0.02% 59.68% 7 Frode Lillevold 2204 0 0 0 _ _ 0 - _ _ 2 2 0 0 0 73.76% 8 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.01% 0.01% 81.12% 9 Marius Halsor 2115 0 _ 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.01% 0 77.72% 10 Arty Sandler 1982 0 0 0 _ _ _ 0 _ _ - 0 0 0 0 98.11% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-02-26 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1 Newly completed matches: Marius Halsor 2 – 0 Arty Sandler Games completed: 18/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Daniel Sepczuk 2434 - 0 2 2 _ 2 2 2 _ 2 12 28 2.56% 0.73% 0 2 Maciej Celuch 2580 2 - 2 _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 8 40 95.48% 0.74% 0 3 Bill LeBoeuf 2134 0 0 - 0 0 _ 2 2 _ 2 6 8 0 0 42.89% 4 Zeycus 2084 0 _ 2 - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 12 0.03% 0.04% 53.93% 5 Art Duval 2215 _ _ 2 _ - _ _ _ _ _ 2 12 1.15% 0.63% 14.72% 6 Jonathan 2062 0 _ _ _ _ - _ 2 _ _ 2 4 0.02% 0.03% 61.33% 7 Marius Halsor 2125 0 _ 0 _ _ _ - _ _ 2 2 0 0.01% 0 70.56% 8 Frode Lillevold 2204 0 0 0 _ _ 0 _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0 75.49% 9 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.01% 0.01% 81.63% 10 Arty Sandler 1972 0 0 0 _ _ _ 0 0 _ - 0 0 0 0 99.45% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-03-01 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1 Newly completed matches: Marius Halsor 0 – 2 Frode Lillevold Marius Halsor 0 – 2 Jonathan Games completed: 20/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Daniel Sepczuk 2434 - 0 2 2 2 2 _ 2 _ 2 12 36 2.57% 0.68% 0 2 Maciej Celuch 2580 2 - 2 _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 8 44 95.56% 0.68% 0 3 Bill LeBoeuf 2134 0 0 - _ 2 0 0 2 _ 2 6 12 0 0 47.27% 4 Jonathan 2080 0 _ _ - 2 _ _ 2 _ _ 4 12 0.05% 0.08% 37.96% 5 Frode Lillevold 2215 0 0 0 0 - _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 0 0 65.91% 6 Zeycus 2084 0 _ 2 _ _ - _ _ _ _ 2 12 0.02% 0.02% 55.79% 7 Art Duval 2215 _ _ 2 _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 12 1.09% 0.58% 16.45% 8 Marius Halsor 2096 0 _ 0 0 0 _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0 95.52% 9 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.01% 0 81.69% 10 Arty Sandler 1972 0 0 0 _ 0 _ _ 0 _ - 0 0 0 0 99.41% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-03-03 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1 Newly completed matches: Arty Sandler 0 – 2 Zeycus Games completed: 21/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Daniel Sepczuk 2434 - 0 2 2 2 2 _ 2 _ 2 12 40 2.61% 0.73% 0 2 Maciej Celuch 2580 2 - 2 _ _ 2 _ _ _ 2 8 44 95.48% 0.73% 0 3 Bill LeBoeuf 2134 0 0 - 0 _ 2 0 2 _ 2 6 12 0 0 51.16% 4 Zeycus 2095 0 _ 2 - _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 12 0.06% 0.05% 45.25% 5 Jonathan 2080 0 _ _ _ - 2 _ 2 _ _ 4 12 0.04% 0.08% 40.38% 6 Frode Lillevold 2215 0 0 0 _ 0 - _ 2 _ 2 4 4 0 0 68.19% 7 Art Duval 2215 _ _ 2 _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 12 1.04% 0.60% 16.99% 8 Marius Halsor 2096 0 _ 0 _ 0 0 _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0 95.62% 9 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.01% 0.00% 82.42% 10 Arty Sandler 1961 0 0 0 0 _ 0 _ 0 _ - 0 0 0 0 99.98% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-03-04 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1 Newly completed matches: Frode Lillevold 2 – 0 Zeycus Games completed: 22/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Daniel Sepczuk 2434 - 0 2 2 2 2 _ 2 _ 2 12 44 2.44% 0.71% 0 2 Maciej Celuch 2580 2 - 2 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 8 48 95.71% 0.71% 0 3 Bill LeBoeuf 2134 0 0 - 2 _ 0 0 2 _ 2 6 16 0 0 49.02% 4 Frode Lillevold 2225 0 0 0 - 0 2 _ 2 _ 2 6 12 0 0 51.61% 5 Jonathan 2080 0 _ _ 2 - _ _ 2 _ _ 4 16 0.05% 0.08% 40.04% 6 Zeycus 2085 0 _ 2 0 _ - _ _ _ 2 4 12 0.00% 0.00% 62.17% 7 Art Duval 2215 _ _ 2 _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 12 1.05% 0.62% 18.47% 8 Marius Halsor 2096 0 _ 0 0 0 _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0 96.00% 9 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.02% 0 82.70% 10 Arty Sandler 1961 0 0 0 0 _ 0 _ 0 _ - 0 0 0 0 99.98% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-03-05 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1 Newly completed matches: Marius Halsor 2 – 0 Maciej Celuch <-— astonishing! [°_°] Games completed: 23/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Daniel Sepczuk 2434 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 _ _ 2 12 48 19.67% 0.29% 0 2 Maciej Celuch 2550 2 - 2 2 _ 0 _ _ _ 2 8 48 77.46% 0.45% 0.00% 3 Bill LeBoeuf 2134 0 0 - 2 _ 2 0 0 _ 2 6 20 0 0 55.31% 4 Frode Lillevold 2225 0 0 0 - 0 2 2 _ _ 2 6 16 0 0 56.28% 5 Jonathan 2080 0 _ _ 2 - 2 _ _ _ _ 4 20 0.11% 0.05% 44.09% 6 Marius Halsor 2126 0 2 0 0 0 - _ _ _ 2 4 16 0 0 65.52% 7 Zeycus 2085 0 _ 2 0 _ _ - _ _ 2 4 12 0.01% 0.01% 69.63% 8 Art Duval 2215 _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 12 2.25% 0.18% 23.13% 9 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.03% 0.01% 86.03% 10 Arty Sandler 1961 0 0 0 0 _ 0 0 _ _ - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-03-06 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1 Newly completed matches: Jonathan 0 – 2 Zeycus Jonathan 0 – 2 Bill LeBoeuf Games completed: 25/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Daniel Sepczuk 2434 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 _ _ 2 12 56 19.39% 0.25% 0 2 Maciej Celuch 2550 2 - 2 _ 2 _ 0 _ _ 2 8 52 77.81% 0.37% 0.00% 3 Bill LeBoeuf 2147 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 0 _ 2 8 28 0 0 31.24% 4 Zeycus 2100 0 _ 2 - 0 2 _ _ _ 2 6 24 0.01% 0.05% 49.74% 5 Frode Lillevold 2225 0 0 0 2 - 0 2 _ _ 2 6 20 0 0 55.79% 6 Jonathan 2052 0 _ 0 0 2 - 2 _ _ _ 4 20 0 0 86.30% 7 Marius Halsor 2126 0 2 0 _ 0 0 - _ _ 2 4 16 0 0 67.59% 8 Art Duval 2215 _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 16 2.36% 0.14% 23.27% 9 Piotr Karas 2035 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.04% 0.01% 86.06% 10 Arty Sandler 1961 0 0 0 0 0 _ 0 _ _ - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-03-06 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1 Newly completed matches: Arty Sandler 2 – 0 Piotr Karas Games completed: 26/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Daniel Sepczuk 2434 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 _ 2 _ 12 60 19.40% 0.29% 0 2 Maciej Celuch 2550 2 - 2 _ 2 0 _ _ 2 _ 8 56 77.96% 0.38% 0.00% 3 Bill LeBoeuf 2147 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 0 2 _ 8 32 0 0 25.88% 4 Zeycus 2100 0 _ 2 - 0 _ 2 _ 2 _ 6 28 0.00% 0.02% 48.72% 5 Frode Lillevold 2225 0 0 0 2 - 2 0 _ 2 _ 6 24 0 0 54.88% 6 Marius Halsor 2126 0 2 0 _ 0 - 0 _ 2 _ 4 20 0 0 67.65% 7 Jonathan 2052 0 _ 0 0 2 2 - _ _ _ 4 20 0 0 86.87% 8 Art Duval 2215 _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 16 2.23% 0.12% 23.59% 9 Arty Sandler 1980 0 0 0 0 0 0 _ _ - 2 2 0 0 0 100% 10 Piotr Karas 2016 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 - 0 0 0.01% 0.00% 92.42% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-03-09 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1 Newly completed matches: Jonathan 0 – 2 Maciej Celuch Games completed: 27/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Daniel Sepczuk 2434 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 _ 2 _ 12 60 16.21% 0.28% 0 2 Maciej Celuch 2551 2 - 2 _ 2 0 2 _ 2 _ 10 64 81.09% 0.41% 0 3 Bill LeBoeuf 2147 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 0 2 _ 8 32 0 0 25.40% 4 Zeycus 2100 0 _ 2 - 0 _ 2 _ 2 _ 6 28 0.02% 0.06% 48.28% 5 Frode Lillevold 2225 0 0 0 2 - 2 0 _ 2 _ 6 24 0 0 54.50% 6 Marius Halsor 2126 0 2 0 _ 0 - 0 _ 2 _ 4 24 0 0 66.54% 7 Jonathan 2051 0 0 0 0 2 2 - _ _ _ 4 20 0 0 89.54% 8 Art Duval 2215 _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 16 2.24% 0.14% 23.73% 9 Arty Sandler 1980 0 0 0 0 0 0 _ _ - 2 2 0 0 0 100% 10 Piotr Karas 2016 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 - 0 0 0.01% 0.00% 92.01% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-03-10 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1 Newly completed matches: Maciej Celuch 2 – 0 Zeycus Games completed: 28/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Maciej Celuch 2553 - 2 2 2 2 0 2 _ 2 _ 12 76 85.82% 0.24% 0 2 Daniel Sepczuk 2434 0 - 2 2 2 2 2 _ 2 _ 12 60 11.94% 0.16% 0 3 Bill LeBoeuf 2147 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 0 2 _ 8 32 0 0 23.95% 4 Zeycus 2098 0 0 2 - 0 _ 2 _ 2 _ 6 28 0 0 51.46% 5 Frode Lillevold 2225 0 0 0 2 - 2 0 _ 2 _ 6 24 0 0 54.33% 6 Marius Halsor 2126 2 0 0 _ 0 - 0 _ 2 _ 4 28 0 0 65.63% 7 Jonathan 2051 0 0 0 0 2 2 - _ _ _ 4 20 0 0 89.59% 8 Art Duval 2215 _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 16 1.99% 0.11% 23.23% 9 Arty Sandler 1980 0 0 0 0 0 0 _ _ - 2 2 0 0 0 100% 10 Piotr Karas 2016 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 - 0 0 0.01% 0 91.82% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-03-10 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1 Newly completed matches: Jonathan 0 – 2 Arty Sandler Games completed: 29/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Maciej Celuch 2553 - 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 _ _ 12 80 85.74% 0.23% 0 2 Daniel Sepczuk 2434 0 - 2 2 2 2 2 2 _ _ 12 64 12.00% 0.18% 0 3 Bill LeBoeuf 2147 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 0 _ 8 36 0 0 23.73% 4 Zeycus 2098 0 0 2 - 0 _ 2 2 _ _ 6 32 0 0 50.98% 5 Frode Lillevold 2225 0 0 0 2 - 2 0 2 _ _ 6 28 0 0 50.57% 6 Marius Halsor 2126 2 0 0 _ 0 - 0 2 _ _ 4 32 0 0 62.77% 7 Jonathan 2032 0 0 0 0 2 2 - 0 _ _ 4 20 0 0 96.70% 8 Arty Sandler 1999 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 - _ 2 4 8 0 0 100% 9 Art Duval 2215 _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ - _ 2 16 2.01% 0.09% 22.51% 10 Piotr Karas 2016 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 _ - 0 0 0.01% 0 92.73% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-03-12 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1 Newly completed matches: Art Duval 2 – 0 Arty Sandler Games completed: 30/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Maciej Celuch 2553 - 2 2 2 2 0 _ 2 2 _ 12 80 85.29% 0.27% 0 2 Daniel Sepczuk 2434 0 - 2 2 2 2 _ 2 2 _ 12 64 11.94% 0.17% 0 3 Bill LeBoeuf 2147 0 0 - 0 2 2 0 2 2 _ 8 36 0 0 25.59% 4 Zeycus 2098 0 0 2 - 0 _ _ 2 2 _ 6 32 0 0 52.81% 5 Frode Lillevold 2225 0 0 0 2 - 2 _ 0 2 _ 6 28 0 0 51.89% 6 Marius Halsor 2131 2 0 0 _ 0 - _ 0 2 _ 4 32 0 0 63.52% 7 Art Duval 2222 _ _ 2 _ _ _ - _ 2 _ 4 24 2.49% 0.13% 17.30% 8 Jonathan 2032 0 0 0 0 2 2 _ - 0 _ 4 20 0 0 96.34% 9 Arty Sandler 1992 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 - 2 4 8 0 0 100% 10 Piotr Karas 2016 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 - 0 0 0.00% 0 92.54% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-03-12 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1 Newly completed matches: Zeycus 2 – 0 Marius Halsor Games completed: 31/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Maciej Celuch 2553 - 2 2 2 2 0 _ 2 2 _ 12 84 85.09% 0.26% 0 2 Daniel Sepczuk 2434 0 - 2 2 2 2 _ 2 2 _ 12 68 12.32% 0.14% 0 3 Zeycus 2115 0 0 - 2 0 2 _ 2 2 _ 8 40 0 0 15.75% 4 Bill LeBoeuf 2147 0 0 0 - 2 2 0 2 2 _ 8 36 0 0 37.49% 5 Frode Lillevold 2225 0 0 2 0 - 2 _ 0 2 _ 6 32 0 0 51.12% 6 Marius Halsor 2114 2 0 0 0 0 - _ 0 2 _ 4 32 0 0 90.51% 7 Art Duval 2222 _ _ _ 2 _ _ - _ 2 _ 4 24 2.33% 0.14% 15.79% 8 Jonathan 2032 0 0 0 0 2 2 _ - 0 _ 4 20 0 0 97.26% 9 Arty Sandler 1992 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 - 2 4 8 0 0 100% 10 Piotr Karas 2016 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 - 0 0 0 0 92.08% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-03-16 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1 Newly completed matches: Piotr Karas 0 – 2 Daniel Sepczuk Maciej Celuch 2 – 0 Piotr Karas Games completed: 33/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Maciej Celuch 2554 - 2 2 2 2 0 _ 2 2 2 14 88 88.16% 0.13% 0 2 Daniel Sepczuk 2436 0 - 2 2 2 2 _ 2 2 2 14 68 9.81% 0 0 3 Zeycus 2115 0 0 - 2 0 2 _ 2 2 _ 8 40 0 0 14.97% 4 Bill LeBoeuf 2147 0 0 0 - 2 2 0 2 2 _ 8 36 0 0 36.28% 5 Frode Lillevold 2225 0 0 2 0 - 2 _ 0 2 _ 6 32 0 0 50.60% 6 Marius Halsor 2114 2 0 0 0 0 - _ 0 2 _ 4 36 0 0 90.62% 7 Art Duval 2222 _ _ _ 2 _ _ - _ 2 _ 4 24 1.90% 0.13% 15.55% 8 Jonathan 2032 0 0 0 0 2 2 _ - 0 _ 4 20 0 0 97.40% 9 Arty Sandler 1992 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 - 2 4 8 0 0 100% 10 Piotr Karas 2013 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 - 0 0 0 0 94.59% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted 2013-03-18 RoRoRo the Bot Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1 Newly completed matches: Art Duval 0 – 2 Maciej Celuch Games completed: 34/45 N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Maciej Celuch 2558 - 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 16 96 100% 0 0 2 Daniel Sepczuk 2436 0 - 2 2 2 2 _ 2 2 2 14 68 0 0 0 3 Zeycus 2115 0 0 - 2 0 2 _ 2 2 _ 8 40 0 0 14.61% 4 Bill LeBoeuf 2147 0 0 0 - 2 2 0 2 2 _ 8 36 0 0 35.41% 5 Frode Lillevold 2225 0 0 2 0 - 2 _ 0 2 _ 6 32 0 0 49.81% 6 Marius Halsor 2114 2 0 0 0 0 - _ 0 2 _ 4 40 0 0 90.12% 7 Art Duval 2218 0 _ _ 2 _ _ - _ 2 _ 4 24 0 0 18.28% 8 Jonathan 2032 0 0 0 0 2 2 _ - 0 _ 4 20 0 0 97.51% 9 Arty Sandler 1992 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 - 2 4 8 0 0 100% 10 Piotr Karas 2013 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 - 0 0 0 0 94.25% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted