Tournament: 'BlitzStein VI 2013'
[EinStein würfelt nicht! 1-point game]
start on Jun 1, 2013

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Amazons forum: amzn.ch.28.1.1 predictions

38 replies. Last post: 2012-08-28
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amzn.ch.28.1.1 predictions

2012-06-23
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: amzn.ch.28.1.1
I’ve been requested to follow amzn.ch.28.1.1 by RoRoRo the Bot
For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page .

  • Already completed matches:

Games completed: 0/45

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Kisoul (2070) -_________ 0 0 33.22% 1.89% 5.52%
2 Eowyn (1729)_ -________ 0 0 0.12% 0.04% 90.96%
3 Pierre Trudelle (1736)__ -_______ 0 0 0.12% 0.03% 90.01%
4 FatPhil (1806)___ -______ 0 0 0.58% 0.11% 76.67%
5 Orbilin (1803)____ -_____ 0 0 0.59% 0.10% 77.31%
6 cutecat (1991)_____ -____ 0 0 13.89% 1.22% 17.56%
7 mungo (1997)______ -___ 0 0 14.79% 1.31% 16.79%
8 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) (2001)_______ -__ 0 0 15.88% 1.27% 15.91%
9 sleepywind (2011)________ -_ 0 0 17.40% 1.44% 14.26%
10 Arty Sandler (1698)_________ - 0 0 0.06% 0.01% 95.01%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

2012-06-29
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: amzn.ch.28.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2 – 0 FatPhil

Games completed: 1/45

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) (2007) -_____2___ 2 0 18.60% 1.56% 9.28%
2 Arty Sandler (1698)_ -________ 0 0 0.05% 0.01% 93.48%
3 sleepywind (2011)__ -_______ 0 0 17.04% 1.44% 12.03%
4 mungo (1997)___ -______ 0 0 14.33% 1.35% 14.42%
5 cutecat (1991)____ -_____ 0 0 13.48% 1.31% 15.70%
6 Orbilin (1803)_____ -____ 0 0 0.55% 0.10% 77.02%
7 FatPhil (1757)0_____ -___ 0 0 0.06% 0.01% 90.69%
8 Pierre Trudelle (1736)_______ -__ 0 0 0.13% 0.03% 90.24%
9 Eowyn (1729)________ -_ 0 0 0.09% 0.03% 91.31%
10 Kisoul (2070)_________ - 0 0 32.20% 1.94% 5.85%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

2012-07-01
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: amzn.ch.28.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Kisoul 2 – 0 FatPhil

Games completed: 2/45

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) (2007) -_____2___ 2 0 17.44% 1.45% 9.33%
2 Kisoul (2075)_ -____2___ 2 0 35.34% 2.07% 3.52%
3 sleepywind (2011)__ -_______ 0 0 16.63% 1.47% 11.42%
4 mungo (1997)___ -______ 0 0 13.82% 1.36% 14.31%
5 cutecat (1991)____ -_____ 0 0 12.48% 1.31% 15.82%
6 Orbilin (1803)_____ -____ 0 0 0.53% 0.12% 76.52%
7 FatPhil (1753)00____ -___ 0 0 0.01% 0.01% 93.90%
8 Pierre Trudelle (1736)_______ -__ 0 0 0.14% 0.02% 89.74%
9 Eowyn (1729)________ -_ 0 0 0.12% 0.02% 91.14%
10 Arty Sandler (1698)_________ - 0 0 0.05% 0.02% 94.28%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

2012-07-02
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: amzn.ch.28.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Orbilin 0 – 2 Kisoul

Games completed: 3/45

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Kisoul (2080) -___2____2 4 0 39.48% 1.85% 1.91%
2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) (2007)_ -_______2 2 0 16.49% 1.29% 8.91%
3 mungo (1997)__ -_______ 0 0 13.09% 1.17% 13.39%
4 cutecat (1991)___ -______ 0 0 12.08% 1.14% 14.34%
5 Orbilin (1798)0___ -_____ 0 0 0.14% 0.03% 81.60%
6 Pierre Trudelle (1736)_____ -____ 0 0 0.10% 0.03% 89.57%
7 Eowyn (1729)______ -___ 0 0 0.10% 0.02% 90.45%
8 Arty Sandler (1698)_______ -__ 0 0 0.04% 0.01% 94.12%
9 sleepywind (2011)________ -_ 0 0 15.49% 1.32% 11.100%
10 FatPhil (1753)00_______ - 0 0 0.00% 0.01% 93.71%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

2012-07-03
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: amzn.ch.28.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Eowyn 0 – 2 mungo
  • Eowyn 0 – 2 sleepywind
  • Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2 – 0 Eowyn
  • Eowyn 0 – 2 Pierre Trudelle
  • Eowyn 0 – 2 Orbilin

Games completed: 8/45

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Kisoul (2080) -_2_____2_ 4 4 37.43% 2.16% 2.18%
2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) (2011)_ -_____22_ 4 0 17.20% 1.75% 8.05%
3 Orbilin (1810)0_ -____2__ 2 0 0.22% 0.06% 76.14%
4 Pierre Trudelle (1750)___ -___2__ 2 0 0.18% 0.04% 84.20%
5 mungo (2002)____ -__2__ 2 0 13.80% 1.59% 12.80%
6 sleepywind (2016)_____ -_2__ 2 0 16.47% 1.60% 10.95%
7 Arty Sandler (1698)______ -___ 0 0 0.04% 0.01% 94.45%
8 Eowyn (1689)_00000_ -__ 0 0 0 0 99.92%
9 FatPhil (1753)00______ -_ 0 0 0.01% 0.00% 94.16%
10 cutecat (1991)_________ - 0 0 11.11% 1.22% 17.14%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

2012-07-03
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: amzn.ch.28.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • FatPhil 2 – 0 Eowyn

Games completed: 9/45

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Kisoul (2080) -__22_____ 4 8 37.74% 1.98% 2.02%
2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) (2011)_ -_2____2_ 4 4 17.43% 1.59% 8.53%
3 Pierre Trudelle (1750)__ -_____2_ 2 0 0.18% 0.04% 84.51%
4 FatPhil (1767)00_ -____2_ 2 0 0.03% 0.00% 89.100%
5 Orbilin (1810)0___ -___2_ 2 0 0.15% 0.09% 77.06%
6 sleepywind (2016)_____ -__2_ 2 0 16.17% 1.57% 11.42%
7 mungo (2002)______ -_2_ 2 0 13.68% 1.47% 13.87%
8 cutecat (1991)_______ -__ 0 0 11.17% 1.18% 17.80%
9 Eowyn (1677)_000000_ -_ 0 0 0 0 99.100%
10 Arty Sandler (1698)_________ - 0 0 0.03% 0.00% 94.80%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

2012-07-04
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: amzn.ch.28.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Arty Sandler 2 – 0 Eowyn

Games completed: 10/45

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Kisoul (2080) -__22_____ 4 8 37.74% 2.09% 2.17%
2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) (2011)_ -__2____2 4 4 17.36% 1.68% 8.50%
3 mungo (2002)__ -______2 2 0 13.65% 1.46% 13.22%
4 Orbilin (1810)0__ -_____2 2 0 0.19% 0.06% 77.56%
5 FatPhil (1767)00__ -____2 2 0 0.02% 0.01% 90.72%
6 Pierre Trudelle (1750)_____ -___2 2 0 0.19% 0.04% 85.91%
7 Arty Sandler (1713)______ -__2 2 0 0.07% 0.01% 91.31%
8 sleepywind (2016)_______ -_2 2 0 16.13% 1.51% 12.30%
9 cutecat (1991)________ -_ 0 0 11.19% 1.26% 18.30%
10 Eowyn (1662)_0000000_ - 0 0 0 0 100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

2012-07-04
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: amzn.ch.28.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • mungo 2 – 0 Orbilin

Games completed: 11/45

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Kisoul (2080) -___22____ 4 8 36.14% 2.18% 2.29%
2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) (2011)_ -___2__2_ 4 4 16.68% 1.82% 8.12%
3 mungo (2009)__ -_2___2_ 4 4 16.66% 1.82% 8.12%
4 sleepywind (2016)___ -____2_ 2 0 15.66% 1.70% 10.53%
5 Orbilin (1803)0_0_ -___2_ 2 0 0.03% 0.01% 86.67%
6 FatPhil (1767)00___ -__2_ 2 0 0.01% 0.01% 91.15%
7 Pierre Trudelle (1762)______ -_2_ 2 0 0.22% 0.07% 84.12%
8 Arty Sandler (1713)_______ -2_ 2 0 0.05% 0.02% 91.41%
9 Eowyn (1662)_0000000 -_ 0 0 0 0 100.00%
10 cutecat (1991)_________ - 0 0 10.81% 1.35% 17.58%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

2012-07-06
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: amzn.ch.28.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Arty Sandler 0 – 2 FatPhil

Games completed: 12/45

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Kisoul (2085) -__2_2____ 4 12 37.34% 2.17% 1.86%
2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) (2011)_ -_2____2_ 4 8 16.56% 1.70% 7.88%
3 mungo (2009)__ -__2__2_ 4 4 16.82% 1.76% 8.17%
4 FatPhil (1780)00_ -___22_ 4 4 0.03% 0.02% 85.46%
5 Pierre Trudelle (1762)____ -___2_ 2 0 0.22% 0.06% 83.84%
6 Orbilin (1803)0_0__ -__2_ 2 0 0.02% 0.01% 86.56%
7 sleepywind (2016)______ -_2_ 2 0 15.09% 1.65% 11.87%
8 Arty Sandler (1700)___0___ -2_ 2 0 0.02% 0 96.15%
9 Eowyn (1662)_0000000 -_ 0 0 0 0 100.00%
10 cutecat (1991)_________ - 0 0 10.29% 1.21% 18.22%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

2012-07-06
FatPhil

Due to excessive rain, the championship’s been called off.

Who’s going to award me my bronze medal?!

2012-07-07
Tobias (TORBEN .BSW)

Hehe :)

U stll have a chance for Gold ;)

2012-07-09
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: amzn.ch.28.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • cutecat 2 – 0 Eowyn
  • Kisoul 2 – 0 Eowyn

Games completed: 14/45

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Kisoul (2087) -__2_2___2 6 12 38.08% 2.51% 1.79%
2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) (2011)_ -_2_____2 4 8 15.69% 1.95% 8.37%
3 mungo (2009)__ -__2___2 4 4 15.91% 1.83% 8.16%
4 FatPhil (1763)00_ -__2__2 4 4 0.01% 0.01% 87.81%
5 Pierre Trudelle (1766)____ -____2 2 0 0.20% 0.06% 83.13%
6 Orbilin (1803)0_0__ -___2 2 0 0.01% 0.02% 86.73%
7 Arty Sandler (1700)___0__ -__2 2 0 0.02% 0.00% 96.04%
8 sleepywind (2016)_______ -_2 2 0 14.76% 1.82% 11.95%
9 cutecat (1995)________ -2 2 0 11.34% 1.45% 16.02%
10 Eowyn (1656)000000000 - 0 0 0 0 100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

2012-07-09
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: amzn.ch.28.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Kisoul 2 – 0 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW)

Games completed: 15/45

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Kisoul (2099) -22___2__2 8 20 54.34% 2.35% 0.33%
2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) (1999)0 -2______2 4 8 3.55% 1.09% 13.57%
3 FatPhil (1763)00 -_____22 4 4 0.01% 0.01% 86.73%
4 mungo (2009)___ -__2__2 4 4 14.77% 1.55% 8.26%
5 sleepywind (2016)____ -____2 2 0 13.71% 1.59% 10.79%
6 cutecat (1995)_____ -___2 2 0 10.19% 1.25% 14.57%
7 Orbilin (1803)0__0__ -__2 2 0 0.01% 0.01% 86.67%
8 Pierre Trudelle (1766)_______ -_2 2 0 0.18% 0.04% 83.13%
9 Arty Sandler (1700)__0_____ -2 2 0 0.02% 0 95.94%
10 Eowyn (1656)000000000 - 0 0 0 0 100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

2012-07-10
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: amzn.ch.28.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Pierre Trudelle 0 – 2 Kisoul

Games completed: 16/45

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Kisoul (2103) -2_2___222 10 24 57.54% 2.08% 0.06%
2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) (1999)0 -_2_____2 4 8 2.93% 0.91% 12.79%
3 mungo (2009)__ -_____22 4 4 13.85% 1.44% 7.31%
4 FatPhil (1763)00_ -__2__2 4 4 0.01% 0.00% 86.77%
5 sleepywind (2016)____ -____2 2 0 12.91% 1.42% 10.31%
6 cutecat (1995)_____ -___2 2 0 9.93% 1.14% 13.73%
7 Arty Sandler (1700)___0__ -__2 2 0 0.01% 0.00% 95.76%
8 Pierre Trudelle (1762)0______ -_2 2 0 0.02% 0.01% 86.76%
9 Orbilin (1803)0_0_____ -2 2 0 0.01% 0.01% 86.52%
10 Eowyn (1656)000000000 - 0 0 0 0 100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

2012-07-11
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: amzn.ch.28.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • cutecat 2 – 0 FatPhil

Games completed: 17/45

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Kisoul (2103) -2_2_22__2 10 24 55.33% 2.27% 0.08%
2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) (1999)0 -_2_____2 4 8 2.79% 0.97% 12.02%
3 cutecat (2001)__ -2_____2 4 8 12.17% 1.49% 8.11%
4 FatPhil (1757)000 -____22 4 4 0 0 92.43%
5 mungo (2009)____ -_2__2 4 4 13.65% 1.60% 7.06%
6 Pierre Trudelle (1739)0____ -___2 2 0 0.01% 0.01% 89.28%
7 Orbilin (1803)0___0_ -__2 2 0 0.01% 0.01% 85.45%
8 sleepywind (2016)_______ -_2 2 0 12.92% 1.56% 10.11%
9 Arty Sandler (1700)___0____ -2 2 0 0.02% 0 95.46%
10 Eowyn (1656)000000000 - 0 0 0 0 100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

2012-07-11
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: amzn.ch.28.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • FatPhil 0 – 2 Orbilin
  • Orbilin 0 – 2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW)

Games completed: 19/45

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Kisoul (2103) -2_2_22__2 10 32 55.69% 2.37% 0.05%
2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) (2006)0 -_2_2___2 6 16 3.85% 1.16% 6.66%
3 mungo (2009)__ -2_____2 4 8 13.45% 1.75% 5.91%
4 Orbilin (1810)000 -_2___2 4 8 0 0 86.07%
5 cutecat (2001)____ -2___2 4 8 11.40% 1.51% 8.93%
6 FatPhil (1743)00_00 -__22 4 4 0 0 97.50%
7 Pierre Trudelle (1739)0_____ -__2 2 0 0.01% 0.01% 89.76%
8 sleepywind (2016)_______ -_2 2 0 12.42% 1.50% 9.66%
9 Arty Sandler (1700)_____0__ -2 2 0 0.03% 0 95.47%
10 Eowyn (1656)000000000 - 0 0 0 0 100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

2012-07-12
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: amzn.ch.28.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Arty Sandler 0 – 2 Kisoul

Games completed: 20/45

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Kisoul (2105) -2_2_22_22 12 36 57.28% 2.33% 0.01%
2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) (2006)0 -_2_2___2 6 16 3.27% 1.24% 6.48%
3 mungo (2009)__ -2_____2 4 8 13.12% 1.68% 5.62%
4 Orbilin (1810)000 -_2___2 4 8 0 0 86.32%
5 cutecat (2001)____ -2___2 4 8 11.25% 1.51% 8.48%
6 FatPhil (1743)00_00 -__22 4 4 0 0 97.39%
7 Pierre Trudelle (1739)0_____ -__2 2 0 0.01% 0.01% 89.44%
8 sleepywind (2016)_______ -_2 2 0 12.01% 1.46% 9.61%
9 Arty Sandler (1698)0____0__ -2 2 0 0 0 96.66%
10 Eowyn (1656)000000000 - 0 0 0 0 100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

2012-07-13
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: amzn.ch.28.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Orbilin 0 – 2 cutecat

Games completed: 21/45

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Kisoul (2106) -_2_222_22 12 36 55.39% 2.54% 0.00%
2 cutecat (2008)_ -__22___2 6 16 14.16% 1.90% 3.51%
3 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) (2006)0_ -_22___2 6 16 3.09% 1.36% 5.59%
4 mungo (2009)___ -2____2 4 8 12.44% 1.76% 5.09%
5 Orbilin (1803)0000 -2___2 4 8 0 0 94.39%
6 FatPhil (1754)000_0 -__22 4 4 0 0 96.99%
7 Pierre Trudelle (1739)0_____ -__2 2 0 0.01% 0.01% 89.66%
8 sleepywind (2016)_______ -_2 2 0 11.64% 1.46% 8.17%
9 Arty Sandler (1698)0____0__ -2 2 0 0.00% 0 96.61%
10 Eowyn (1656)000000000 - 0 0 0 0 100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

2012-07-14
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: amzn.ch.28.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Pierre Trudelle 0 – 2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW)

Games completed: 22/45

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Kisoul (2106) -2__22_222 12 40 55.42% 2.77% 0.00%
2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) (2011)0 -__22_2_2 8 20 3.66% 1.53% 2.77%
3 cutecat (2008)__ -_22___2 6 16 14.01% 1.94% 3.17%
4 mungo (2009)___ -2____2 4 8 12.21% 1.79% 4.84%
5 Orbilin (1803)0000 -2___2 4 8 0 0 94.23%
6 FatPhil (1764)000_0 -__22 4 4 0 0 96.72%
7 sleepywind (2016)______ -__2 2 0 11.27% 1.52% 7.67%
8 Pierre Trudelle (1734)00_____ -_2 2 0 0.00% 0 93.99%
9 Arty Sandler (1698)0____0__ -2 2 0 0 0 96.61%
10 Eowyn (1656)000000000 - 0 0 0 0 100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

2012-07-15
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: amzn.ch.28.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Pierre Trudelle 0 – 2 FatPhil

Games completed: 23/45

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Kisoul (2106) -2_22__222 12 44 55.57% 2.78% 0
2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) (2011)0 -_22__2_2 8 24 3.71% 1.48% 2.60%
3 cutecat (2008)__ -22____2 6 20 13.75% 1.94% 2.70%
4 FatPhil (1763)000 -0__222 6 8 0 0 93.89%
5 Orbilin (1803)0002 -0___2 4 12 0 0 94.12%
6 mungo (2009)____2 -___2 4 8 12.23% 1.73% 5.14%
7 sleepywind (2016)______ -__2 2 0 11.36% 1.51% 7.37%
8 Pierre Trudelle (1719)00_0___ -_2 2 0 0 0 97.54%
9 Arty Sandler (1698)0__0____ -2 2 0 0 0 96.64%
10 Eowyn (1656)000000000 - 0 0 0 0 100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

2012-07-17
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: amzn.ch.28.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Orbilin 0 – 2 Arty Sandler

Games completed: 24/45

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Kisoul (2106) -2_22_22_2 12 48 55.95% 2.75% 0
2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) (2011)0 -_22__2_2 8 24 3.59% 1.53% 3.09%
3 cutecat (2008)__ -22____2 6 20 13.56% 1.93% 3.26%
4 FatPhil (1763)000 -0_22_2 6 12 0 0 93.22%
5 Orbilin (1783)0002 -00__2 4 12 0 0 98.55%
6 mungo (2009)____2 -___2 4 8 12.13% 1.74% 5.76%
7 Arty Sandler (1718)0__02_ -__2 4 8 0.00% 0.00% 91.49%
8 Pierre Trudelle (1719)00_0___ -_2 2 0 0 0 97.34%
9 sleepywind (2016)________ -2 2 0 11.39% 1.67% 7.28%
10 Eowyn (1656)000000000 - 0 0 0 0 100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

2012-07-18
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: amzn.ch.28.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • mungo 2 – 0 Arty Sandler

Games completed: 25/45

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Kisoul (2106) -2__2222_2 12 48 54.47% 3.09% 0
2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) (2011)0 -__22_2_2 8 24 3.60% 1.60% 2.63%
3 cutecat (2008)__ -_22___2 6 20 13.42% 2.09% 2.79%
4 mungo (2014)___ -_22__2 6 16 13.58% 2.13% 3.34%
5 FatPhil (1763)000_ -022_2 6 12 0 0 93.27%
6 Orbilin (1783)00002 -0__2 4 12 0 0 98.73%
7 Arty Sandler (1713)0__002 -__2 4 8 0 0 94.89%
8 Pierre Trudelle (1719)00__0__ -_2 2 0 0 0 97.58%
9 sleepywind (2016)________ -2 2 0 11.22% 1.73% 6.78%
10 Eowyn (1656)000000000 - 0 0 0 0 100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

2012-07-18
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: amzn.ch.28.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Arty Sandler 0 – 2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW)

Games completed: 26/45

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Kisoul (2106) -2__2222_2 12 52 54.93% 3.17% 0
2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) (2015)0 -__2222_2 10 32 3.97% 1.78% 0.49%
3 cutecat (2008)__ -_22___2 6 20 12.97% 2.14% 2.62%
4 mungo (2014)___ -_22__2 6 16 13.44% 2.10% 3.20%
5 FatPhil (1763)000_ -022_2 6 12 0 0 93.66%
6 Orbilin (1783)00002 -0__2 4 12 0 0 98.69%
7 Arty Sandler (1709)00_002 -__2 4 8 0 0 97.77%
8 Pierre Trudelle (1719)00__0__ -_2 2 0 0 0 97.52%
9 sleepywind (2016)________ -2 2 0 10.93% 1.64% 6.06%
10 Eowyn (1656)000000000 - 0 0 0 0 100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

2012-07-19
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: amzn.ch.28.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • FatPhil 2 – 0 mungo <-— major upset!

Games completed: 27/45

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Kisoul (2106) -22__222_2 12 56 60.34% 2.16% 0
2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) (2015)0 -2__222_2 10 36 4.31% 1.42% 1.70%
3 FatPhil (1788)00 -02022_2 8 24 0 0 71.54%
4 cutecat (2008)__2 -_2___2 6 24 14.89% 1.65% 4.22%
5 mungo (1989)__0_ -22__2 6 16 5.65% 0.60% 16.95%
6 Orbilin (1783)00200 -0__2 4 16 0 0 98.61%
7 Arty Sandler (1709)000_02 -__2 4 8 0 0 98.38%
8 Pierre Trudelle (1719)000____ -_2 2 0 0 0 97.90%
9 sleepywind (2016)________ -2 2 0 11.86% 1.57% 10.69%
10 Eowyn (1656)000000000 - 0 0 0 0 100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

2012-07-19
mungo

Major upset. Yes, I am certainly upset!

2012-07-19
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: amzn.ch.28.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • mungo 0 – 2 Kisoul

Games completed: 28/45

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Kisoul (2116) -22_2222_2 14 68 71.42% 2.04% 0
2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) (2015)0 -2__222_2 10 36 1.75% 1.53% 1.41%
3 FatPhil (1788)00 -02022_2 8 24 0 0 66.57%
4 cutecat (2008)__2 -_2___2 6 24 13.30% 1.72% 3.68%
5 mungo (1979)0_0_ -22__2 6 16 0.36% 0.18% 25.02%
6 Orbilin (1783)00200 -0__2 4 16 0 0 97.97%
7 Arty Sandler (1709)000_02 -__2 4 8 0 0 97.82%
8 Pierre Trudelle (1719)000____ -_2 2 0 0 0 97.46%
9 sleepywind (2016)________ -2 2 0 10.66% 1.41% 10.09%
10 Eowyn (1656)000000000 - 0 0 0 0 100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

2012-07-26
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: amzn.ch.28.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Pierre Trudelle 2 – 0 Arty Sandler

Games completed: 29/45

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Kisoul (2116) -22_2222_2 14 72 71.75% 1.99% 0
2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) (2015)0 -2__222_2 10 40 1.87% 1.46% 1.49%
3 FatPhil (1788)00 -02022_2 8 28 0 0 65.74%
4 cutecat (2008)__2 -_2___2 6 24 13.16% 1.75% 3.67%
5 mungo (1979)0_0_ -22__2 6 16 0.38% 0.15% 26.68%
6 Orbilin (1783)00200 -0__2 4 16 0 0 97.60%
7 Arty Sandler (1694)000_02 -0_2 4 8 0 0 99.53%
8 Pierre Trudelle (1734)000___2 -_2 4 8 0 0 95.23%
9 sleepywind (2016)________ -2 2 0 10.38% 1.40% 10.05%
10 Eowyn (1656)000000000 - 0 0 0 0 100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

2012-07-28
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: amzn.ch.28.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Arty Sandler 0 – 2 cutecat

Games completed: 30/45

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Kisoul (2116) -2_22222_2 14 72 70.21% 2.15% 0
2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) (2015)0 -_2_222_2 10 40 1.78% 1.57% 1.49%
3 cutecat (2012)__ -2_22__2 8 32 14.80% 1.96% 2.37%
4 FatPhil (1788)000 -2022_2 8 28 0 0 66.69%
5 mungo (1979)0__0 -22__2 6 16 0.44% 0.14% 26.85%
6 Orbilin (1783)00020 -0__2 4 16 0 0 97.56%
7 Arty Sandler (1690)000002 -0_2 4 8 0 0 100%
8 Pierre Trudelle (1734)00_0__2 -_2 4 8 0 0 95.28%
9 sleepywind (2016)________ -2 2 0 10.12% 1.47% 9.76%
10 Eowyn (1656)000000000 - 0 0 0 0 100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

2012-08-07
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: amzn.ch.28.1.1
Games completed: 31/45

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Kisoul 2127 - 2 _ 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16 76 84.58% 1.51% 0
2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2015 0 - _ 2 _ 2 2 2 _ 2 10 40 0 1.09% 1.32%
3 cutecat 2012 _ _ - 2 _ 2 _ 2 _ 2 8 32 13.91% 1.51% 2.29%
4 FatPhil 1794 0 0 0 - 2 0 2 2 _ 2 8 28 0 0 62.45%
5 mungo 1979 0 _ _ 0 - 2 _ 2 _ 2 6 16 0 0 26.22%
6 Orbilin 1783 0 0 0 2 0 - _ 0 _ 2 4 16 0 0 97.27%
7 Pierre Trudelle 1750 0 0 _ 0 _ _ - 2 _ 2 4 8 0 0 94.13%
8 Arty Sandler 1690 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 - _ 2 4 8 0 0 100%
9 sleepywind 2005 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 0 0.41% 16.31%
10 Eowyn 1656 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

2012-08-09
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: amzn.ch.28.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • sleepywind 2 – 0 Arty Sandler

Games completed: 32/45

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Kisoul 2127 - 2 _ 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16 80 84.70% 1.51% 0
2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2015 0 - _ 2 _ 2 _ 2 2 2 10 40 0 1.03% 1.39%
3 cutecat 2012 _ _ - 2 _ 2 _ _ 2 2 8 32 13.79% 1.51% 2.61%
4 FatPhil 1794 0 0 0 - 2 0 _ 2 2 2 8 28 0 0 64.43%
5 mungo 1979 0 _ _ 0 - 2 _ _ 2 2 6 16 0 0 26.85%
6 Orbilin 1783 0 0 0 2 0 - _ _ 0 2 4 16 0 0 97.30%
7 sleepywind 2009 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ 2 2 4 8 0 0.48% 14.08%
8 Pierre Trudelle 1767 0 0 _ 0 _ _ _ - 2 2 4 8 0 0 93.33%
9 Arty Sandler 1686 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 - 2 4 8 0 0 100%
10 Eowyn 1656 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

2012-08-14
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: amzn.ch.28.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • mungo 0 – 2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW)

Games completed: 33/45

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Kisoul 2127 - 2 _ 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16 84 84.94% 2.46% 0
2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2029 0 - _ 2 2 2 2 _ 2 2 12 52 0 2.04% 0
3 cutecat 2012 _ _ - 2 _ 2 _ _ 2 2 8 32 12.60% 2.46% 2.12%
4 FatPhil 1794 0 0 0 - 2 0 2 _ 2 2 8 28 0 0 54.74%
5 mungo 1965 0 0 _ 0 - 2 _ _ 2 2 6 16 0 0 45.85%
6 Orbilin 1783 0 0 0 2 0 - _ _ 0 2 4 16 0 0 95.63%
7 Pierre Trudelle 1795 0 0 _ 0 _ _ - _ 2 2 4 8 0 0 88.96%
8 sleepywind 2009 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 4 8 0 0.42% 12.70%
9 Arty Sandler 1686 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 - 2 4 8 0 0 100%
10 Eowyn 1656 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

2012-08-16
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: amzn.ch.28.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Kisoul 0 – 2 cutecat

Games completed: 34/45

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Kisoul 2106 - 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16 84 51.44% 8.16% 0
2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2029 0 - _ 2 2 2 _ 2 2 2 12 52 0 6.76% 0
3 cutecat 2033 2 _ - 2 _ 2 _ _ 2 2 10 64 40.40% 8.16% 0.01%
4 FatPhil 1794 0 0 0 - 2 0 _ 2 2 2 8 28 0 0 55.33%
5 mungo 1965 0 0 _ 0 - 2 _ _ 2 2 6 16 0 0 47.18%
6 Orbilin 1783 0 0 0 2 0 - _ _ 0 2 4 16 0 0 95.88%
7 sleepywind 2009 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ 2 2 4 8 0 1.39% 12.92%
8 Pierre Trudelle 1800 0 0 _ 0 _ _ _ - 2 2 4 8 0 0 88.67%
9 Arty Sandler 1686 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 - 2 4 8 0 0 100%
10 Eowyn 1656 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

2012-08-17
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: amzn.ch.28.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • mungo 2 – 0 Pierre Trudelle

Games completed: 35/45

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Kisoul 2106 - 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16 88 51.65% 7.88% 0
2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2029 0 - _ 2 2 2 2 _ 2 2 12 56 0 6.45% 0
3 cutecat 2033 2 _ - 2 _ 2 _ _ 2 2 10 64 40.47% 7.88% 0.03%
4 FatPhil 1794 0 0 0 - 2 0 2 _ 2 2 8 32 0 0 55.79%
5 mungo 1973 0 0 _ 0 - 2 2 _ 2 2 8 24 0 0 39.04%
6 Orbilin 1783 0 0 0 2 0 - _ _ 0 2 4 16 0 0 96.79%
7 Pierre Trudelle 1792 0 0 _ 0 0 _ - _ 2 2 4 8 0 0 95.08%
8 sleepywind 2009 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 4 8 0 1.43% 13.27%
9 Arty Sandler 1686 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 - 2 4 8 0 0 100%
10 Eowyn 1656 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

2012-08-25
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: amzn.ch.28.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • sleepywind 0 – 2 Pierre Trudelle <-— upset!
  • Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2 – 0 sleepywind

Games completed: 37/45

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Kisoul 2106 - 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16 96 51.33% 13.45% 0
2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2042 0 - _ 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 14 68 0 13.45% 0
3 cutecat 2033 2 _ - 2 _ _ 2 _ 2 2 10 64 35.21% 13.45% 0
4 FatPhil 1794 0 0 0 - 2 2 0 _ 2 2 8 36 0 0 39.71%
5 mungo 1973 0 0 _ 0 - 2 2 _ 2 2 8 28 0 0 30.57%
6 Pierre Trudelle 1816 0 0 _ 0 0 - _ 2 2 2 6 16 0 0 84.56%
7 Orbilin 1783 0 0 0 2 0 _ - _ 0 2 4 16 0 0 96.52%
8 sleepywind 1972 0 0 _ _ _ 0 _ - 2 2 4 8 0 0 48.64%
9 Arty Sandler 1686 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 - 2 4 8 0 0 100%
10 Eowyn 1656 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

2012-08-28
RoRoRo the Bot

Tournament: amzn.ch.28.1.1
Newly completed matches:

  • Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2 – 0 cutecat
  • cutecat 0 – 2 mungo

Games completed: 39/45

N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
1 Kisoul 2106 - 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16 104 100% 0 0
2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2056 0 - 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16 92 0 0 0
3 cutecat 2001 2 0 - 0 2 _ 2 _ 2 2 10 64 0 0 0
4 mungo 1991 0 0 2 - 0 2 2 _ 2 2 10 48 0 0 5.21%
5 FatPhil 1794 0 0 0 2 - 2 0 _ 2 2 8 40 0 0 51.46%
6 Pierre Trudelle 1816 0 0 _ 0 0 - _ 2 2 2 6 16 0 0 89.52%
7 Orbilin 1783 0 0 0 0 2 _ - _ 0 2 4 16 0 0 98.41%
8 sleepywind 1972 0 0 _ _ _ 0 _ - 2 2 4 8 0 0 55.40%
9 Arty Sandler 1686 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 - 2 4 8 0 0 100%
10 Eowyn 1656 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

2012-08-28
FatPhil

Congrats Kisoul! And commiserations to Tobias who was so close.

2012-08-28
mungo

Congratulations Kisoul! You did it again. And congratulations to Tobias' second consecutive Silver medal.

I predict Tobias will win the next championship.

2012-08-28
Tobias (TORBEN .BSW)

Congrats to Kisoul!

The best player won! For me, I think, it is the fourth time to finish 2nd place in Amazon. While playing here at LG for nearly 10 years now the actual dvonn championship was the first and only I won.

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