amzn.ch.29.1.1 predictions Amazons forum

38 replies. Last post: 2012-12-27

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amzn.ch.29.1.1 predictions
  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-10-14

    Tournament: amzn.ch.29.1.1
    I’ve been requested to follow amzn.ch.29.1.1 by RoRoRo the Bot
    For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page .

    • Already completed matches:

    Games completed: 0/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2056 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 23.75% 2.05% 11.51%
    2 Dvd Avins 1757 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.13% 0.05% 90.16%
    3 p_a_k_o 1920 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 3.59% 0.59% 48.79%
    4 mungo 2006 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 12.90% 1.50% 22.04%
    5 cutecat 1992 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 10.76% 1.31% 26.44%
    6 Kisoul 2080 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 30.47% 2.15% 9.23%
    7 plici 1784 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.25% 0.10% 87.33%
    8 JJ10 2007 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 13.42% 1.48% 23.13%
    9 Arrow2_bot 1818 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.56% 0.15% 81.36%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • FatPhil at 2012-10-14

    Good luck to the humans – and may the bot be bug-free!

  • mungo at 2012-10-15

    I’m a bit nervous about the bot. I tried it in a couple of private games and lost miserably...

  • FatPhil at 2012-10-15

    I had a peek at its history, and it does appear that it can take some pretty big scalps occasionally. Assuming your previous games were non-rated, I’m sure you’ll treat these ones with more care. Please do – they’re for the dignity of our species!

  • mungo at 2012-10-16

    Now I am even more nervous

  • Martin Mueller at 2012-10-17

    Sorry, the machine running Arrow2 is currently down. I am trying to get it started as soon as possible. It will be very interesting to see how it does. Arrow2 still has some big weaknesses, but it can count empty squares well :)

    Martin
  • mungo at 2012-10-17

    Any tips on the weaknesses ;) ?

  • Martin Mueller at 2012-10-17

    Sure :)
    I think the opening play can be weak. Also, it seems to be over-aggressive in the pruning, so it sometimes completely misses a good move. But I have no real idea when and how that happens. The program has changed a lot when students worked on it last year, so it is hard to predict for me. If you look through the program’s losses, you can find both types of errors – bad openings and sudden blunders.

    Martin
  • Martin Mueller at 2012-10-17

    I have restarted Arrow2. It will take 3 minutes per move. I hope it can show some decent games in the tournament.

    Martin
  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-10-17

    Tournament: amzn.ch.29.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Kisoul 0 – 2 Arrow2_bot <-— major upset!
    • Arrow2_bot 2 – 0 Dvd Avins

    Games completed: 2/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Arrow2_bot 1856 - _ 2 _ _ _ 2 _ _ 4 0 5.10% 1.01% 38.84%
    2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2056 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 27.48% 2.26% 13.46%
    3 Dvd Avins 1744 0 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.06% 0.02% 96.37%
    4 p_a_k_o 1920 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 4.72% 0.69% 52.35%
    5 mungo 2006 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 15.63% 1.79% 25.56%
    6 cutecat 1992 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 13.18% 1.64% 29.68%
    7 Kisoul 2055 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 12.71% 1.81% 28.03%
    8 plici 1784 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.35% 0.11% 88.73%
    9 JJ10 2007 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 15.74% 1.71% 26.98%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-10-18

    Tournament: amzn.ch.29.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Kisoul 2 – 0 Dvd Avins
    • mungo 2 – 0 plici

    Games completed: 4/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Arrow2_bot 1856 - _ 2 _ 2 _ _ _ _ 4 4 5.15% 0.90% 39.12%
    2 mungo 2012 _ - _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 0 17.98% 1.91% 19.73%
    3 Kisoul 2059 0 _ - _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 0 13.87% 1.85% 23.06%
    4 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2056 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 26.33% 2.26% 14.33%
    5 Dvd Avins 1740 0 _ 0 _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.01% 0.01% 98.05%
    6 p_a_k_o 1920 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 4.44% 0.63% 54.29%
    7 cutecat 1992 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 12.34% 1.44% 30.84%
    8 plici 1778 _ 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.09% 0.04% 93.34%
    9 JJ10 2007 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 14.96% 1.60% 27.25%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-10-18

    Tournament: amzn.ch.29.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • plici 2 – 0 Arrow2_bot

    Games completed: 5/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Arrow2_bot 1837 - 0 _ 2 _ 2 _ _ _ 4 4 1.76% 0.33% 58.10%
    2 plici 1797 2 - 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 8 0.37% 0.11% 82.60%
    3 mungo 2012 _ 2 - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 19.00% 1.89% 17.51%
    4 Kisoul 2059 0 _ _ - _ 2 _ _ _ 2 0 15.52% 1.91% 21.00%
    5 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2056 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 26.68% 2.12% 14.08%
    6 Dvd Avins 1740 0 _ _ 0 _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.01% 0.01% 97.81%
    7 p_a_k_o 1920 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 4.38% 0.77% 53.24%
    8 cutecat 1992 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 12.51% 1.51% 29.65%
    9 JJ10 2007 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 15.06% 1.62% 26.01%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-10-18

    Tournament: amzn.ch.29.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Dvd Avins 0 – 2 plici

    Games completed: 6/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 plici 1810 - 2 0 _ _ 2 _ _ _ 4 8 0.57% 0.16% 74.24%
    2 Arrow2_bot 1837 0 - _ 2 _ 2 _ _ _ 4 4 1.73% 0.38% 60.97%
    3 mungo 2012 2 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 8 19.31% 1.95% 17.62%
    4 Kisoul 2059 _ 0 _ - _ 2 _ _ _ 2 0 15.27% 1.90% 22.25%
    5 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2056 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 26.75% 2.22% 14.36%
    6 Dvd Avins 1727 0 0 _ 0 _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.00% 0 99.40%
    7 p_a_k_o 1920 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 4.39% 0.69% 53.71%
    8 cutecat 1992 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 12.33% 1.47% 30.74%
    9 JJ10 2007 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 14.92% 1.61% 26.72%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-10-20

    Tournament: amzn.ch.29.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • JJ10 2 – 0 Arrow2_bot

    Games completed: 7/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 plici 1810 - 2 0 _ _ _ 2 _ _ 4 8 0.51% 0.20% 74.87%
    2 Arrow2_bot 1829 0 - _ 0 2 _ 2 _ _ 4 4 0.37% 0.14% 72.97%
    3 mungo 2012 2 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 8 18.31% 1.74% 17.28%
    4 JJ10 2015 _ 2 _ - _ _ _ _ _ 2 8 19.47% 1.73% 16.55%
    5 Kisoul 2059 _ 0 _ _ - _ 2 _ _ 2 0 15.36% 1.79% 20.99%
    6 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2056 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 25.18% 2.03% 14.25%
    7 Dvd Avins 1727 0 0 _ _ 0 _ - _ _ 0 0 0 0 99.37%
    8 p_a_k_o 1920 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 4.16% 0.69% 53.41%
    9 cutecat 1992 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 12.19% 1.36% 30.32%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-10-21

    Tournament: amzn.ch.29.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • JJ10 2 – 0 Dvd Avins

    Games completed: 8/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 plici 1810 - _ 2 0 _ _ 2 _ _ 4 8 0.50% 0.14% 75.18%
    2 JJ10 2020 _ - 2 _ _ _ 2 _ _ 4 8 21.52% 1.95% 13.69%
    3 Arrow2_bot 1829 0 0 - _ 2 _ 2 _ _ 4 4 0.40% 0.12% 73.07%
    4 mungo 2012 2 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 2 8 17.95% 1.77% 17.85%
    5 Kisoul 2059 _ _ 0 _ - _ 2 _ _ 2 0 14.87% 1.71% 21.42%
    6 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2056 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 24.97% 2.02% 14.75%
    7 Dvd Avins 1722 0 0 0 _ 0 _ - _ _ 0 0 0 0 99.80%
    8 p_a_k_o 1920 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 4.04% 0.72% 53.56%
    9 cutecat 1992 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 11.23% 1.41% 30.69%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-10-24

    Tournament: amzn.ch.29.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Dvd Avins 0 – 2 mungo

    Games completed: 9/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 mungo 2017 - 2 _ _ _ _ 2 _ _ 4 8 19.95% 1.92% 14.49%
    2 plici 1810 0 - _ 2 _ _ 2 _ _ 4 8 0.49% 0.13% 75.92%
    3 JJ10 2020 _ _ - 2 _ _ 2 _ _ 4 8 20.54% 1.97% 14.23%
    4 Arrow2_bot 1829 _ 0 0 - 2 _ 2 _ _ 4 4 0.38% 0.15% 74.25%
    5 Kisoul 2059 _ _ _ 0 - _ 2 _ _ 2 0 14.59% 1.68% 21.71%
    6 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2056 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 24.18% 2.09% 14.71%
    7 Dvd Avins 1717 0 0 0 0 0 _ - _ _ 0 0 0 0 99.95%
    8 p_a_k_o 1920 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 3.95% 0.67% 54.13%
    9 cutecat 1992 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 11.40% 1.34% 30.60%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-10-26

    Tournament: amzn.ch.29.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Arrow2_bot 0 – 2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW)

    Games completed: 10/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 mungo 2017 - 2 _ _ _ _ 2 _ _ 4 8 18.78% 1.92% 13.31%
    2 plici 1810 0 - _ 2 _ _ 2 _ _ 4 8 0.41% 0.12% 76.19%
    3 JJ10 2020 _ _ - 2 _ _ 2 _ _ 4 8 19.25% 1.99% 14.15%
    4 Arrow2_bot 1823 _ 0 0 - 0 2 2 _ _ 4 4 0.02% 0.03% 83.21%
    5 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2062 _ _ _ 2 - _ _ _ _ 2 8 28.37% 2.26% 9.50%
    6 Kisoul 2059 _ _ _ 0 _ - 2 _ _ 2 0 14.30% 1.61% 20.45%
    7 Dvd Avins 1717 0 0 0 0 _ 0 - _ _ 0 0 0 0 99.95%
    8 p_a_k_o 1920 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 3.71% 0.59% 53.41%
    9 cutecat 1992 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 10.65% 1.36% 29.83%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-10-27

    Tournament: amzn.ch.29.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Dvd Avins 0 – 2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW)

    Games completed: 11/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2065 - _ _ _ 2 _ 2 _ _ 4 8 30.03% 2.33% 7.85%
    2 mungo 2017 _ - 2 _ _ _ 2 _ _ 4 8 18.29% 1.99% 13.97%
    3 plici 1810 _ 0 - _ 2 _ 2 _ _ 4 8 0.32% 0.12% 77.08%
    4 JJ10 2020 _ _ _ - 2 _ 2 _ _ 4 8 18.71% 2.02% 14.52%
    5 Arrow2_bot 1823 0 _ 0 0 - 2 2 _ _ 4 4 0.01% 0.02% 83.25%
    6 Kisoul 2059 _ _ _ _ 0 - 2 _ _ 2 0 14.25% 1.59% 20.64%
    7 Dvd Avins 1714 0 0 0 0 0 0 - _ _ 0 0 0 0 100%
    8 p_a_k_o 1920 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 3.57% 0.64% 53.06%
    9 cutecat 1992 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 10.25% 1.35% 29.63%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-10-30

    Tournament: amzn.ch.29.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Kisoul 0 – 2 JJ10

    Games completed: 12/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 JJ10 2037 - _ _ _ 2 2 2 _ _ 6 12 32.78% 2.53% 3.71%
    2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2065 _ - _ _ 2 _ 2 _ _ 4 8 28.81% 2.35% 6.98%
    3 mungo 2017 _ _ - 2 _ _ 2 _ _ 4 8 17.77% 2.03% 12.76%
    4 plici 1810 _ _ 0 - 2 _ 2 _ _ 4 8 0.29% 0.12% 75.11%
    5 Arrow2_bot 1823 0 0 _ 0 - 2 2 _ _ 4 4 0.01% 0.02% 83.69%
    6 Kisoul 2042 0 _ _ _ 0 - 2 _ _ 2 0 2.90% 0.64% 37.45%
    7 Dvd Avins 1714 0 0 0 0 0 0 - _ _ 0 0 0 0 100%
    8 p_a_k_o 1920 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 3.48% 0.59% 51.49%
    9 cutecat 1992 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 9.69% 1.34% 28.82%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-10-31

    Tournament: amzn.ch.29.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • plici 0 – 2 Kisoul

    Games completed: 13/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 JJ10 2037 - _ _ 2 _ 2 2 _ _ 6 16 33.33% 2.78% 3.26%
    2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2065 _ - _ _ _ 2 2 _ _ 4 8 28.30% 2.31% 6.98%
    3 mungo 2017 _ _ - _ 2 _ 2 _ _ 4 8 17.12% 1.87% 13.50%
    4 Kisoul 2048 0 _ _ - 2 0 2 _ _ 4 8 3.79% 0.92% 28.64%
    5 plici 1804 _ _ 0 0 - 2 2 _ _ 4 8 0.13% 0.05% 83.52%
    6 Arrow2_bot 1823 0 0 _ 2 0 - 2 _ _ 4 8 0.01% 0.01% 82.94%
    7 Dvd Avins 1714 0 0 0 0 0 0 - _ _ 0 0 0 0 100%
    8 p_a_k_o 1920 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 3.34% 0.65% 51.99%
    9 cutecat 1992 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 9.56% 1.30% 29.15%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-11-01

    Tournament: amzn.ch.29.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • plici 0 – 2 JJ10

    Games completed: 14/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 JJ10 2043 - _ _ 2 2 2 2 _ _ 8 24 37.95% 2.58% 1.60%
    2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2065 _ - _ _ _ 2 2 _ _ 4 8 26.85% 2.20% 6.63%
    3 mungo 2017 _ _ - _ 2 _ 2 _ _ 4 8 15.88% 1.86% 13.10%
    4 Kisoul 2048 0 _ _ - 2 0 2 _ _ 4 8 3.11% 0.82% 27.46%
    5 plici 1798 0 _ 0 0 - 2 2 _ _ 4 8 0.00% 0.01% 90.95%
    6 Arrow2_bot 1823 0 0 _ 2 0 - 2 _ _ 4 8 0.02% 0.01% 81.72%
    7 Dvd Avins 1714 0 0 0 0 0 0 - _ _ 0 0 0 0 100%
    8 p_a_k_o 1920 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 3.11% 0.62% 51.06%
    9 cutecat 1992 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 8.92% 1.34% 27.48%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-11-08

    Tournament: amzn.ch.29.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • mungo 0 – 2 JJ10

    Games completed: 15/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 JJ10 2062 - _ 2 2 2 2 2 _ _ 10 32 58.39% 2.35% 0.02%
    2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2065 _ - _ _ _ 2 2 _ _ 4 8 24.40% 1.74% 6.00%
    3 mungo 2003 0 _ - _ 2 _ 2 _ _ 4 8 2.03% 0.93% 22.89%
    4 Kisoul 2048 0 _ _ - 2 0 2 _ _ 4 8 1.65% 0.64% 25.90%
    5 plici 1798 0 _ 0 0 - 2 2 _ _ 4 8 0.00% 0.00% 89.26%
    6 Arrow2_bot 1823 0 0 _ 2 0 - 2 _ _ 4 8 0.00% 0.01% 79.87%
    7 Dvd Avins 1714 0 0 0 0 0 0 - _ _ 0 0 0 0 100%
    8 p_a_k_o 1920 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 2.53% 0.41% 49.43%
    9 cutecat 1992 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 7.91% 1.06% 26.63%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-11-14

    Tournament: amzn.ch.29.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2 – 0 plici
    • mungo 0 – 2 Kisoul

    Games completed: 17/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 JJ10 2065 - _ 2 2 2 2 2 _ _ 10 36 56.02% 2.23% 0.02%
    2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2070 _ - _ 2 _ 2 2 _ _ 6 16 27.82% 1.62% 4.02%
    3 Kisoul 2061 0 _ - 0 2 2 2 _ _ 6 16 3.08% 1.08% 10.39%
    4 Arrow2_bot 1823 0 0 2 - _ 0 2 _ _ 4 12 0 0 76.90%
    5 mungo 1990 0 _ 0 _ - 2 2 _ _ 4 8 0.30% 0.41% 37.04%
    6 plici 1793 0 0 0 2 0 - 2 _ _ 4 8 0 0 95.43%
    7 Dvd Avins 1714 0 0 0 0 0 0 - _ _ 0 0 0 0 100%
    8 p_a_k_o 1920 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 2.34% 0.37% 49.47%
    9 cutecat 1992 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 7.48% 0.93% 26.71%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-11-14

    Tournament: amzn.ch.29.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • cutecat 2 – 0 Dvd Avins

    Games completed: 18/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 JJ10 2065 - _ 2 2 2 2 _ 2 _ 10 36 54.74% 2.24% 0.03%
    2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2070 _ - _ 2 _ 2 _ 2 _ 6 16 27.54% 1.64% 4.24%
    3 Kisoul 2061 0 _ - 0 2 2 _ 2 _ 6 16 3.05% 1.05% 10.81%
    4 Arrow2_bot 1823 0 0 2 - _ 0 _ 2 _ 4 12 0.00% 0.00% 77.46%
    5 mungo 1990 0 _ 0 _ - 2 _ 2 _ 4 8 0.39% 0.47% 38.04%
    6 plici 1793 0 0 0 2 0 - _ 2 _ 4 8 0 0 95.71%
    7 cutecat 1997 _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 _ 2 0 8.73% 1.17% 22.59%
    8 Dvd Avins 1709 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - _ 0 0 0 0 100%
    9 p_a_k_o 1920 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 2.46% 0.45% 51.12%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-11-22

    Tournament: amzn.ch.29.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Arrow2_bot 2 – 0 mungo

    Games completed: 19/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 JJ10 2065 - _ 2 2 2 2 _ 2 _ 10 40 54.63% 2.18% 0
    2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2070 _ - 2 _ 2 _ _ 2 _ 6 20 29.12% 1.74% 3.89%
    3 Arrow2_bot 1846 0 0 - 2 0 2 _ 2 _ 6 20 0.01% 0.01% 42.99%
    4 Kisoul 2061 0 _ 0 - 2 2 _ 2 _ 6 16 1.96% 1.34% 16.65%
    5 plici 1793 0 0 2 0 - 0 _ 2 _ 4 12 0 0 93.91%
    6 mungo 1967 0 _ 0 0 2 - _ 2 _ 4 8 0 0.02% 68.49%
    7 cutecat 1997 _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 _ 2 0 8.68% 1.21% 23.68%
    8 Dvd Avins 1709 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - _ 0 0 0 0 100%
    9 p_a_k_o 1920 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 2.54% 0.43% 50.40%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-11-23

    Tournament: amzn.ch.29.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • p_a_k_o 2 – 0 plici

    Games completed: 20/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 JJ10 2065 - _ 2 2 2 2 _ _ 2 10 40 53.13% 2.21% 0.01%
    2 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2070 _ - 2 _ 2 _ _ _ 2 6 20 28.90% 1.86% 4.11%
    3 Arrow2_bot 1846 0 0 - 2 0 2 _ _ 2 6 20 0.01% 0.01% 44.46%
    4 Kisoul 2061 0 _ 0 - 2 2 _ _ 2 6 16 2.14% 1.53% 17.84%
    5 plici 1783 0 0 2 0 - 0 0 _ 2 4 12 0 0 99.16%
    6 mungo 1967 0 _ 0 0 2 - _ _ 2 4 8 0 0.01% 69.50%
    7 p_a_k_o 1930 _ _ _ _ 2 _ - _ _ 2 8 3.72% 0.59% 39.88%
    8 cutecat 1997 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 8.83% 1.22% 25.04%
    9 Dvd Avins 1709 0 0 0 0 0 0 _ 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-11-26

    Tournament: amzn.ch.29.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Kisoul 2 – 0 cutecat

    Games completed: 21/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 JJ10 2065 - 2 2 _ 2 2 _ _ 2 10 44 56.60% 2.50% 0.01%
    2 Kisoul 2074 0 - 0 _ 2 2 _ 2 2 8 20 3.59% 2.55% 5.49%
    3 Arrow2_bot 1846 0 2 - 0 0 2 _ _ 2 6 24 0.01% 0.00% 43.27%
    4 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2070 _ _ 2 - 2 _ _ _ 2 6 20 28.59% 1.79% 4.37%
    5 plici 1783 0 0 2 0 - 0 0 _ 2 4 12 0 0 99.54%
    6 mungo 1967 0 0 0 _ 2 - _ _ 2 4 8 0 0.01% 70.42%
    7 p_a_k_o 1930 _ _ _ _ 2 _ - _ _ 2 8 3.67% 0.73% 39.74%
    8 cutecat 1984 _ 0 _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 3.75% 0.82% 37.17%
    9 Dvd Avins 1709 0 0 0 0 0 0 _ 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-11-29

    Tournament: amzn.ch.29.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Arrow2_bot 2 – 0 p_a_k_o
    • Dvd Avins 0 – 2 p_a_k_o

    Games completed: 23/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 JJ10 2065 - 2 2 _ 2 _ 2 _ 2 10 48 59.10% 2.86% 0.01%
    2 Arrow2_bot 1866 0 - 2 0 0 2 2 _ 2 8 32 0.04% 0.01% 6.85%
    3 Kisoul 2074 0 0 - _ 2 _ 2 2 2 8 20 1.57% 2.71% 7.17%
    4 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2070 _ 2 _ - 2 _ _ _ 2 6 24 29.88% 2.17% 4.77%
    5 plici 1783 0 2 0 0 - 0 0 _ 2 4 16 0 0 99.19%
    6 p_a_k_o 1917 _ 0 _ _ 2 - _ _ 2 4 8 1.34% 0.43% 61.52%
    7 mungo 1967 0 0 0 _ 2 _ - _ 2 4 8 0 0.01% 78.75%
    8 cutecat 1984 _ _ 0 _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 3.95% 0.95% 41.75%
    9 Dvd Avins 1702 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-12-03

    Tournament: amzn.ch.29.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • JJ10 2 – 0 cutecat

    Games completed: 24/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 JJ10 2077 - 2 2 _ 2 _ 2 2 2 12 52 70.09% 1.43% 0
    2 Arrow2_bot 1866 0 - 2 0 0 2 2 _ 2 8 32 0 0 3.65%
    3 Kisoul 2074 0 0 - _ 2 _ 2 2 2 8 20 0.24% 1.32% 5.85%
    4 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2070 _ 2 _ - 2 _ _ _ 2 6 24 26.82% 1.02% 3.79%
    5 plici 1783 0 2 0 0 - 0 0 _ 2 4 16 0 0 98.51%
    6 p_a_k_o 1917 _ 0 _ _ 2 - _ _ 2 4 8 1.02% 0.37% 55.12%
    7 mungo 1967 0 0 0 _ 2 _ - _ 2 4 8 0 0 73.58%
    8 cutecat 1972 0 _ 0 _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 0.01% 0.06% 59.50%
    9 Dvd Avins 1702 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-12-04

    Tournament: amzn.ch.29.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • plici 0 – 2 cutecat

    Games completed: 25/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 JJ10 2077 - 2 2 _ 2 _ 2 2 2 12 56 70.27% 1.63% 0
    2 Arrow2_bot 1866 0 - 2 0 0 2 2 _ 2 8 32 0 0 4.28%
    3 Kisoul 2074 0 0 - _ 2 _ 2 2 2 8 24 0.24% 1.35% 6.43%
    4 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2070 _ 2 _ - 2 _ _ _ 2 6 24 26.48% 1.12% 4.16%
    5 plici 1775 0 2 0 0 - 0 0 0 2 4 16 0 0 100%
    6 p_a_k_o 1917 _ 0 _ _ 2 - _ _ 2 4 8 0.99% 0.33% 57.17%
    7 mungo 1967 0 0 0 _ 2 _ - _ 2 4 8 0 0 75.57%
    8 cutecat 1980 0 _ 0 _ 2 _ _ - 2 4 8 0.03% 0.09% 52.40%
    9 Dvd Avins 1702 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-12-06

    Tournament: amzn.ch.29.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • p_a_k_o 0 – 2 Kisoul

    Games completed: 26/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 JJ10 2077 - 2 2 _ 2 _ 2 2 2 12 60 70.86% 1.88% 0
    2 Kisoul 2083 0 - 0 _ 2 2 2 2 2 10 32 0.34% 1.70% 0.04%
    3 Arrow2_bot 1866 0 2 - 0 0 2 2 _ 2 8 36 0 0 3.86%
    4 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2070 _ _ 2 - 2 _ _ _ 2 6 24 26.46% 1.19% 3.37%
    5 plici 1775 0 0 2 0 - 0 0 0 2 4 16 0 0 100%
    6 p_a_k_o 1908 _ 0 0 _ 2 - _ _ 2 4 8 0.11% 0.31% 68.08%
    7 mungo 1967 0 0 0 _ 2 _ - _ 2 4 8 0 0 73.94%
    8 cutecat 1980 0 0 _ _ 2 _ _ - 2 4 8 0 0.04% 50.70%
    9 Dvd Avins 1702 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-12-08

    Tournament: amzn.ch.29.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • cutecat 0 – 2 mungo

    Games completed: 27/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 JJ10 2086 - 2 2 _ 2 2 _ 2 2 12 64 71.78% 1.75% 0
    2 Kisoul 2083 0 - 0 _ 2 2 2 2 2 10 36 0.26% 1.84% 0.05%
    3 Arrow2_bot 1866 0 2 - 0 2 0 2 _ 2 8 40 0 0 2.67%
    4 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2070 _ _ 2 - _ 2 _ _ 2 6 24 25.59% 1.24% 3.76%
    5 mungo 1983 0 0 0 _ - 2 _ 2 2 6 16 0 0 46.02%
    6 plici 1775 0 0 2 0 0 - 0 0 2 4 16 0 0 100%
    7 p_a_k_o 1908 _ 0 0 _ _ 2 - _ 2 4 8 0.16% 0.32% 71.35%
    8 cutecat 1964 0 0 _ _ 0 2 _ - 2 4 8 0 0 76.15%
    9 Dvd Avins 1702 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-12-11

    Tournament: amzn.ch.29.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • cutecat 2 – 0 Arrow2_bot

    Games completed: 28/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 JJ10 2086 - 2 2 _ 2 2 2 _ 2 12 68 72.49% 1.83% 0
    2 Kisoul 2083 0 - 0 _ 2 2 2 2 2 10 40 0.32% 2.40% 0
    3 Arrow2_bot 1855 0 2 - 0 0 2 0 2 2 8 40 0 0 4.34%
    4 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2070 _ _ 2 - _ _ 2 _ 2 6 24 24.60% 1.09% 5.45%
    5 cutecat 1975 0 0 2 _ - 0 2 _ 2 6 24 0 0 50.20%
    6 mungo 1983 0 0 0 _ 2 - 2 _ 2 6 20 0 0 64.46%
    7 plici 1775 0 0 2 0 0 0 - 0 2 4 16 0 0 100%
    8 p_a_k_o 1908 _ 0 0 _ _ _ 2 - 2 4 8 0.19% 0.29% 75.55%
    9 Dvd Avins 1702 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-12-11

    Tournament: amzn.ch.29.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • p_a_k_o 0 – 2 JJ10

    Games completed: 29/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 JJ10 2094 - 2 2 _ 2 2 2 2 2 14 76 76.57% 0 0
    2 Kisoul 2083 0 - 0 _ 2 2 2 2 2 10 40 0 0 0
    3 Arrow2_bot 1855 0 2 - 0 0 2 0 2 2 8 40 0 0 3.55%
    4 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2070 _ _ 2 - _ _ 2 _ 2 6 24 23.43% 0 4.27%
    5 cutecat 1975 0 0 2 _ - 0 2 _ 2 6 24 0 0 44.05%
    6 mungo 1983 0 0 0 _ 2 - 2 _ 2 6 20 0 0 60.82%
    7 plici 1775 0 0 2 0 0 0 - 0 2 4 16 0 0 100%
    8 p_a_k_o 1900 0 0 0 _ _ _ 2 - 2 4 8 0 0 87.30%
    9 Dvd Avins 1702 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-12-12

    Tournament: amzn.ch.29.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • mungo 0 – 2 p_a_k_o

    Games completed: 30/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 JJ10 2094 - 2 2 _ 2 2 2 2 2 14 80 76.63% 0 0
    2 Kisoul 2083 0 - 0 _ 2 2 2 2 2 10 44 0 0 0
    3 Arrow2_bot 1855 0 2 - 0 0 2 2 0 2 8 44 0 0 1.10%
    4 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2070 _ _ 2 - _ _ _ 2 2 6 24 23.37% 0 3.23%
    5 cutecat 1975 0 0 2 _ - _ 0 2 2 6 24 0 0 46.78%
    6 p_a_k_o 1919 0 0 0 _ _ - 2 2 2 6 20 0 0 67.53%
    7 mungo 1964 0 0 0 _ 2 0 - 2 2 6 20 0 0 81.36%
    8 plici 1775 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 - 2 4 16 0 0 100%
    9 Dvd Avins 1702 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-12-22

    Tournament: amzn.ch.29.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 0 – 2 Kisoul

    Games completed: 31/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 JJ10 2094 - 2 2 _ 2 2 2 2 2 14 84 88.27% 0 0
    2 Kisoul 2098 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 12 56 0 0 0
    3 Arrow2_bot 1855 0 2 - 0 0 2 2 0 2 8 48 0 0 0
    4 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2055 _ 0 2 - _ _ _ 2 2 6 24 11.73% 0 7.63%
    5 cutecat 1975 0 0 2 _ - _ 0 2 2 6 24 0 0 42.09%
    6 p_a_k_o 1919 0 0 0 _ _ - 2 2 2 6 20 0 0 70.92%
    7 mungo 1964 0 0 0 _ 2 0 - 2 2 6 20 0 0 79.36%
    8 plici 1775 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 - 2 4 16 0 0 100%
    9 Dvd Avins 1702 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-12-27

    Tournament: amzn.ch.29.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • JJ10 2 – 0 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW)

    Games completed: 32/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 JJ10 2110 - 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16 96 100% 0 0
    2 Kisoul 2098 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 12 56 0 0 0
    3 Arrow2_bot 1855 0 2 - 0 0 2 2 0 2 8 48 0 0 0
    4 Tobias (TORBEN .BSW) 2041 0 0 2 - _ _ _ 2 2 6 24 0 0 15.04%
    5 cutecat 1975 0 0 2 _ - _ 0 2 2 6 24 0 0 33.88%
    6 p_a_k_o 1919 0 0 0 _ _ - 2 2 2 6 20 0 0 76.18%
    7 mungo 1964 0 0 0 _ 2 0 - 2 2 6 20 0 0 74.90%
    8 plici 1775 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 - 2 4 16 0 0 100%
    9 Dvd Avins 1702 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • ypercube ★ at 2012-12-27

    congrats JJ10 !

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