amzn.ch.32.1.1 predictions Amazons forum

30 replies. Last post: 2014-05-08

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amzn.ch.32.1.1 predictions
  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-02-24

    Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
    I’ve been requested to follow amzn.ch.32.1.1 by RoRoRo the Bot
    For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page .

    • Already completed matches:

    Games completed: 0/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 p_a_k_o 1965 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 6.80% 0.83% 34.44%
    2 mungo 2036 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 17.16% 1.58% 16.41%
    3 Tobias Lang 1988 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 9.18% 1.08% 28.44%
    4 Arrow2_bot 1977 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 7.79% 0.97% 32.41%
    5 _Rafael_ 1955 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 5.84% 0.77% 40.00%
    6 Vladek 2138 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 47.77% 2.33% 4.41%
    7 bennok 1856 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 1.05% 0.23% 73.15%
    8 eaeaeapepe 1826 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.60% 0.12% 80.55%
    9 pim 1773 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.20% 0.07% 90.19%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-03-10

    Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Arrow2_bot 0 – 2 Tobias Lang
    • Arrow2_bot 2 – 0 eaeaeapepe
    • bennok 0 – 2 pim

    Games completed: 3/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Tobias Lang 2003 - _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 16.04% 1.66% 12.45%
    2 pim 1792 _ - _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 0 0.46% 0.13% 77.68%
    3 Arrow2_bot 1972 0 _ - 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 0 3.42% 0.69% 38.00%
    4 eaeaeapepe 1816 _ _ 0 - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.16% 0.06% 87.78%
    5 bennok 1837 _ 0 _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.31% 0.06% 86.44%
    6 _Rafael_ 1962 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 5.98% 0.83% 37.37%
    7 p_a_k_o 1965 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 6.21% 1.00% 37.67%
    8 Vladek 2143 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 47.65% 2.37% 4.21%
    9 mungo 2036 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 16.00% 1.57% 18.41%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-03-12

    Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Arrow2_bot 0 – 2 Vladek

    Games completed: 4/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Tobias Lang 2003 - _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 13.92% 1.29% 11.99%
    2 Vladek 2151 _ - 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 56.89% 2.04% 1.33%
    3 Arrow2_bot 1964 0 0 - _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 0 0.39% 0.20% 47.09%
    4 pim 1792 _ _ _ - _ 2 _ _ _ 2 0 0.41% 0.09% 77.21%
    5 eaeaeapepe 1816 _ _ 0 _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.19% 0.04% 86.99%
    6 bennok 1837 _ _ _ 0 _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.21% 0.04% 85.97%
    7 _Rafael_ 1962 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 5.36% 0.70% 36.34%
    8 p_a_k_o 1965 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 5.46% 0.79% 36.04%
    9 mungo 2036 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 14.26% 1.40% 17.03%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-03-24

    Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Arrow2_bot 0 – 2 _Rafael_

    Games completed: 5/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Vladek 2159 - _ _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 4 56.43% 2.08% 1.12%
    2 _Rafael_ 1970 _ - _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 4 8.31% 1.03% 18.80%
    3 Tobias Lang 2003 _ _ - _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 4 12.58% 1.28% 13.16%
    4 pim 1792 _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 _ 2 0 0.35% 0.06% 77.00%
    5 Arrow2_bot 1948 0 0 0 _ - _ 2 _ _ 2 0 0.00% 0.01% 69.98%
    6 mungo 2036 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 13.76% 1.35% 16.05%
    7 eaeaeapepe 1840 _ _ _ _ 0 _ - _ _ 0 0 0.30% 0.06% 82.70%
    8 bennok 1837 _ _ _ 0 _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.15% 0.03% 85.84%
    9 p_a_k_o 1965 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 5.20% 0.72% 35.35%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-03-25

    Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • _Rafael_ 2 – 0 eaeaeapepe

    Games completed: 6/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 _Rafael_ 1980 - _ _ _ 2 _ _ 2 _ 4 4 11.28% 1.30% 10.94%
    2 Tobias Lang 2003 _ - _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 4 12.32% 1.36% 12.66%
    3 Vladek 2159 _ _ - _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 4 54.79% 2.05% 1.28%
    4 pim 1792 _ _ _ - _ 2 _ _ _ 2 0 0.30% 0.08% 76.18%
    5 Arrow2_bot 1948 0 0 0 _ - _ _ 2 _ 2 0 0.00% 0.00% 71.18%
    6 bennok 1837 _ _ _ 0 _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.20% 0.03% 85.56%
    7 mungo 2036 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 13.17% 1.32% 16.04%
    8 eaeaeapepe 1830 0 _ _ _ 0 _ _ - _ 0 0 0.05% 0.02% 91.17%
    9 p_a_k_o 1965 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 4.87% 0.72% 34.98%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-03-26

    Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • p_a_k_o 2 – 0 Arrow2_bot

    Games completed: 7/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 _Rafael_ 1980 - _ _ _ 2 _ _ 2 _ 4 4 10.22% 1.28% 11.19%
    2 p_a_k_o 1980 _ - _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 4 8.64% 1.10% 16.73%
    3 Tobias Lang 2003 _ _ - _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 4 11.46% 1.22% 12.78%
    4 Vladek 2159 _ _ _ - 2 _ _ _ _ 2 4 53.06% 2.11% 1.27%
    5 Arrow2_bot 1933 0 0 0 0 - _ _ 2 _ 2 0 0 0 89.67%
    6 pim 1792 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 2 0 0.34% 0.08% 77.30%
    7 mungo 2036 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 12.99% 1.28% 14.35%
    8 eaeaeapepe 1830 0 _ _ _ 0 _ _ - _ 0 0 0.04% 0.01% 90.56%
    9 bennok 1837 _ _ _ _ _ 0 _ _ - 0 0 0.17% 0.03% 86.15%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-03-29

    Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • _Rafael_ 2 – 0 Vladek <-— upset!

    Games completed: 8/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 _Rafael_ 2003 - _ _ 2 _ 2 2 _ _ 6 8 36.33% 2.78% 1.82%
    2 p_a_k_o 1980 _ - _ _ _ 2 _ _ _ 2 4 10.22% 1.40% 17.16%
    3 Tobias Lang 2003 _ _ - _ _ 2 _ _ _ 2 4 13.51% 1.78% 13.36%
    4 Vladek 2140 0 _ _ - _ 2 _ _ _ 2 4 19.49% 2.32% 4.60%
    5 pim 1792 _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 _ 2 0 0.50% 0.12% 78.73%
    6 Arrow2_bot 1933 0 0 0 0 _ - 2 _ _ 2 0 0 0 91.40%
    7 eaeaeapepe 1836 0 _ _ _ _ 0 - _ _ 0 0 0.05% 0.02% 90.22%
    8 bennok 1837 _ _ _ _ 0 _ _ - _ 0 0 0.24% 0.04% 87.26%
    9 mungo 2036 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 15.17% 1.77% 15.45%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-03-30

    Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • eaeaeapepe 0 – 2 Vladek

    Games completed: 9/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 _Rafael_ 2003 - 2 _ _ _ 2 _ 2 _ 6 12 35.72% 2.89% 1.62%
    2 Vladek 2148 0 - _ _ _ 2 _ 2 _ 4 4 22.09% 2.45% 2.77%
    3 p_a_k_o 1980 _ _ - _ _ 2 _ _ _ 2 4 9.77% 1.37% 16.88%
    4 Tobias Lang 2003 _ _ _ - _ 2 _ _ _ 2 4 12.82% 1.69% 13.23%
    5 pim 1792 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 2 0 0.39% 0.11% 78.51%
    6 Arrow2_bot 1933 0 0 0 0 _ - _ 2 _ 2 0 0 0 91.15%
    7 mungo 2036 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 14.58% 1.72% 14.81%
    8 eaeaeapepe 1832 0 0 _ _ _ 0 _ - _ 0 0 0.00% 0.01% 93.86%
    9 bennok 1837 _ _ _ _ 0 _ _ _ - 0 0 0.21% 0.05% 87.15%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-03-31

    Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • mungo 2 – 0 Arrow2_bot

    Games completed: 10/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 _Rafael_ 2003 - 2 _ _ _ _ 2 2 _ 6 12 33.49% 2.80% 1.86%
    2 Vladek 2148 0 - _ _ _ _ 2 2 _ 4 4 20.83% 2.51% 2.72%
    3 p_a_k_o 1980 _ _ - _ _ _ 2 _ _ 2 4 9.00% 1.36% 16.74%
    4 Tobias Lang 2003 _ _ _ - _ _ 2 _ _ 2 4 11.87% 1.72% 12.91%
    5 mungo 2047 _ _ _ _ - _ 2 _ _ 2 4 19.65% 2.28% 7.53%
    6 pim 1792 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 2 0 0.38% 0.10% 78.45%
    7 Arrow2_bot 1922 0 0 0 0 0 _ - 2 _ 2 0 0 0 99.37%
    8 eaeaeapepe 1832 0 0 _ _ _ _ 0 - _ 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 93.29%
    9 bennok 1837 _ _ _ _ _ 0 _ _ - 0 0 0.19% 0.03% 87.13%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-04-03

    Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • pim 0 – 2 Arrow2_bot

    Games completed: 11/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 _Rafael_ 2003 - 2 2 _ _ _ _ 2 _ 6 16 33.81% 2.94% 1.37%
    2 Vladek 2148 0 - 2 _ _ _ _ 2 _ 4 8 20.58% 2.57% 2.29%
    3 Arrow2_bot 1932 0 0 - 0 0 0 2 2 _ 4 4 0 0 98.16%
    4 mungo 2047 _ _ 2 - _ _ _ _ _ 2 8 19.88% 2.19% 6.26%
    5 p_a_k_o 1980 _ _ 2 _ - _ _ _ _ 2 8 8.87% 1.37% 15.18%
    6 Tobias Lang 2003 _ _ 2 _ _ - _ _ _ 2 8 11.98% 1.63% 11.78%
    7 pim 1782 _ _ 0 _ _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0.15% 0.03% 85.05%
    8 eaeaeapepe 1832 0 0 0 _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.00% 0.01% 93.43%
    9 bennok 1837 _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 _ - 0 0 0.20% 0.04% 86.49%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-04-05

    Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • pim 0 – 2 mungo

    Games completed: 12/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 _Rafael_ 2003 - _ 2 2 _ _ _ 2 _ 6 16 32.69% 3.01% 1.24%
    2 mungo 2052 _ - _ 2 _ _ 2 _ _ 4 12 21.99% 2.39% 3.79%
    3 Vladek 2148 0 _ - 2 _ _ _ 2 _ 4 8 20.40% 2.56% 2.02%
    4 Arrow2_bot 1932 0 0 0 - 0 0 2 2 _ 4 4 0 0 98.24%
    5 p_a_k_o 1980 _ _ _ 2 - _ _ _ _ 2 8 8.76% 1.31% 14.10%
    6 Tobias Lang 2003 _ _ _ 2 _ - _ _ _ 2 8 11.42% 1.63% 10.96%
    7 pim 1777 _ 0 _ 0 _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0.02% 0.01% 90.27%
    8 eaeaeapepe 1832 0 _ 0 0 _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 93.44%
    9 bennok 1837 _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 _ - 0 0 0.18% 0.04% 85.93%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-04-08

    Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • mungo 0 – 2 _Rafael_

    Games completed: 13/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 _Rafael_ 2042 - 2 2 2 _ _ _ _ 2 8 24 64.01% 2.71% 0.05%
    2 mungo 2035 0 - _ 2 _ _ 2 _ _ 4 12 4.01% 0.84% 7.80%
    3 Vladek 2098 0 _ - 2 _ _ _ _ 2 4 8 8.38% 1.57% 3.72%
    4 Arrow2_bot 1932 0 0 0 - 0 0 2 _ 2 4 4 0 0 98.28%
    5 p_a_k_o 1980 _ _ _ 2 - _ _ _ _ 2 8 8.57% 1.18% 13.49%
    6 Tobias Lang 2003 _ _ _ 2 _ - _ _ _ 2 8 11.57% 1.57% 10.38%
    7 pim 1777 _ 0 _ 0 _ _ - 2 _ 2 0 0.04% 0.01% 89.42%
    8 bennok 1837 _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 - _ 0 0 0.17% 0.02% 84.24%
    9 eaeaeapepe 1832 0 _ 0 0 _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0.00% 92.62%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-04-12

    Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Vladek 2 – 0 pim

    Games completed: 14/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 _Rafael_ 2044 - 2 2 2 _ _ _ 2 _ 8 28 64.37% 2.64% 0.04%
    2 Vladek 2102 0 - _ 2 _ _ 2 2 _ 6 12 9.10% 1.52% 2.04%
    3 mungo 2035 0 _ - 2 _ _ 2 _ _ 4 12 3.83% 0.83% 7.68%
    4 Arrow2_bot 1932 0 0 0 - 0 0 2 2 _ 4 4 0 0 98.10%
    5 p_a_k_o 1980 _ _ _ 2 - _ _ _ _ 2 8 8.24% 1.35% 12.93%
    6 Tobias Lang 2003 _ _ _ 2 _ - _ _ _ 2 8 11.10% 1.58% 9.97%
    7 pim 1773 _ 0 0 0 _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0.00% 0 92.77%
    8 eaeaeapepe 1832 0 0 _ 0 _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0 0 92.27%
    9 bennok 1837 _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 _ - 0 0 0.15% 0.02% 84.18%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • ypercube at 2014-04-12

    Wow, Rafael started with 1955 and 5.84% (estimated) chance and is now at 2044 and if I’m reading well, has already winning positions in 2 or 3 of his (4) remaining games.

    Well played.

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-04-14

    Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • bennok 0 – 2 _Rafael_

    Games completed: 15/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 _Rafael_ 2054 - 2 2 2 _ _ _ 2 2 10 28 71.19% 2.58% 0
    2 Vladek 2103 0 - _ 2 _ _ 2 2 _ 6 12 5.85% 1.49% 1.42%
    3 mungo 2035 0 _ - 2 _ _ 2 _ _ 4 12 2.49% 0.77% 6.35%
    4 Arrow2_bot 1932 0 0 0 - 0 0 2 2 _ 4 4 0 0 97.78%
    5 p_a_k_o 1980 _ _ _ 2 - _ _ _ _ 2 8 7.43% 1.13% 11.36%
    6 Tobias Lang 2003 _ _ _ 2 _ - _ _ _ 2 8 10.07% 1.57% 8.60%
    7 pim 1773 _ 0 0 0 _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0.00% 92.65%
    8 eaeaeapepe 1832 0 0 _ 0 _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0 0 91.86%
    9 bennok 1830 0 _ _ _ _ _ 0 _ - 0 0 0.01% 0.01% 90.00%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-04-15

    Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • mungo 2 – 0 eaeaeapepe

    Games completed: 16/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 _Rafael_ 2054 - 2 2 2 _ _ _ 2 2 10 32 70.86% 2.66% 0
    2 Vladek 2103 0 - _ 2 _ _ 2 2 _ 6 12 5.80% 1.45% 1.44%
    3 mungo 2042 0 _ - 2 _ _ 2 2 _ 6 12 3.12% 0.94% 3.16%
    4 Arrow2_bot 1932 0 0 0 - 0 0 2 2 _ 4 4 0 0 97.50%
    5 p_a_k_o 1980 _ _ _ 2 - _ _ _ _ 2 8 7.34% 1.24% 10.31%
    6 Tobias Lang 2003 _ _ _ 2 _ - _ _ _ 2 8 9.87% 1.56% 7.88%
    7 pim 1773 _ 0 0 0 _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0.00% 0 92.85%
    8 eaeaeapepe 1825 0 0 0 0 _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0 0 96.71%
    9 bennok 1830 0 _ _ _ _ _ 0 _ - 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 90.16%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-04-15

    Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • eaeaeapepe 0 – 2 p_a_k_o
    • eaeaeapepe 2 – 0 bennok
    • bennok 0 – 2 Arrow2_bot

    Games completed: 19/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 _Rafael_ 2054 - 2 2 2 _ _ _ 2 2 10 40 67.91% 2.88% 0
    2 Vladek 2103 0 - _ 2 _ _ 2 2 _ 6 20 6.02% 1.75% 0.46%
    3 mungo 2042 0 _ - 2 _ _ 2 2 _ 6 20 3.04% 1.06% 1.08%
    4 Arrow2_bot 1942 0 0 0 - 0 0 2 2 2 6 8 0 0 96.45%
    5 p_a_k_o 1989 _ _ _ 2 - _ _ 2 _ 4 16 10.17% 1.71% 3.98%
    6 Tobias Lang 2003 _ _ _ 2 _ - _ _ _ 2 12 9.62% 1.54% 5.49%
    7 pim 1773 _ 0 0 0 _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0 94.46%
    8 eaeaeapepe 1832 0 0 0 0 0 _ _ - 2 2 0 0 0 99.43%
    9 bennok 1804 0 _ _ 0 _ _ 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 98.66%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-04-17

    Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • pim 0 – 2 _Rafael_

    Games completed: 20/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 _Rafael_ 2059 - 2 2 2 _ _ 2 2 2 12 44 72.89% 3.01% 0
    2 mungo 2042 0 - _ 2 _ _ 2 2 _ 6 20 2.01% 1.01% 0.66%
    3 Vladek 2111 0 _ - 2 _ _ 2 2 _ 6 20 4.29% 2.02% 0.28%
    4 Arrow2_bot 1942 0 0 0 - 0 0 2 2 2 6 8 0 0 95.97%
    5 p_a_k_o 1989 _ _ _ 2 - _ _ 2 _ 4 16 9.03% 1.83% 2.97%
    6 Tobias Lang 2003 _ _ _ 2 _ - _ _ _ 2 12 8.54% 1.61% 4.51%
    7 pim 1768 0 0 0 0 _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0 97.61%
    8 eaeaeapepe 1832 0 0 0 0 0 _ _ - 2 2 0 0 0 99.41%
    9 bennok 1804 0 _ _ 0 _ _ 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 98.59%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-04-18

    Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • _Rafael_ 2 – 0 Tobias Lang

    Games completed: 21/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 _Rafael_ 2072 - 2 2 2 _ 2 2 2 2 14 48 90.84% 1.48% 0
    2 Vladek 2111 0 - _ 2 _ _ 2 2 _ 6 20 0 1.01% 0.21%
    3 mungo 2042 0 _ - 2 _ _ 2 2 _ 6 20 0 0.39% 0.62%
    4 Arrow2_bot 1942 0 0 0 - 0 0 2 2 2 6 8 0 0 93.51%
    5 p_a_k_o 1989 _ _ _ 2 - _ _ 2 _ 4 16 7.68% 1.48% 2.60%
    6 Tobias Lang 1990 0 _ _ 2 _ - _ _ _ 2 12 0 0.08% 8.54%
    7 pim 1768 0 0 0 0 _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0 96.82%
    8 eaeaeapepe 1832 0 0 0 0 0 _ _ - 2 2 0 0 0 99.59%
    9 bennok 1804 0 _ _ 0 _ _ 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 98.10%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-04-19

    Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • pim 0 – 2 eaeaeapepe

    Games completed: 22/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 _Rafael_ 2072 - 2 2 2 _ 2 2 2 2 14 52 90.52% 1.56% 0
    2 Vladek 2111 0 - _ 2 _ 2 _ 2 _ 6 24 0 1.05% 0.18%
    3 mungo 2042 0 _ - 2 _ 2 _ 2 _ 6 24 0 0.40% 0.51%
    4 Arrow2_bot 1942 0 0 0 - 0 2 0 2 2 6 12 0 0 93.00%
    5 p_a_k_o 1989 _ _ _ 2 - 2 _ _ _ 4 20 7.93% 1.56% 1.72%
    6 eaeaeapepe 1848 0 0 0 0 0 - _ 2 2 4 4 0 0 99.17%
    7 Tobias Lang 1990 0 _ _ 2 _ _ - _ _ 2 12 0 0.11% 8.58%
    8 pim 1756 0 0 0 0 _ 0 _ - 2 2 0 0 0 98.68%
    9 bennok 1804 0 _ _ 0 _ 0 _ 0 - 0 0 0 0 98.15%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-04-23

    Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • mungo 0 – 2 Vladek

    Games completed: 23/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 _Rafael_ 2080 - 2 2 2 _ 2 2 2 2 14 56 90.86% 2.06% 0
    2 Vladek 2123 0 - 2 2 _ 2 _ 2 _ 8 36 0 1.96% 0
    3 mungo 2030 0 0 - 2 _ 2 _ 2 _ 6 24 0 0 0.85%
    4 Arrow2_bot 1942 0 0 0 - 0 2 0 2 2 6 12 0 0 93.16%
    5 p_a_k_o 1989 _ _ _ 2 - 2 _ _ _ 4 20 7.08% 2.06% 1.79%
    6 eaeaeapepe 1848 0 0 0 0 0 - _ 2 2 4 4 0 0 99.12%
    7 Tobias Lang 1990 0 _ _ 2 _ _ - _ _ 2 12 0 0.10% 8.40%
    8 pim 1756 0 0 0 0 _ 0 _ - 2 2 0 0 0 98.68%
    9 bennok 1804 0 _ _ 0 _ 0 _ 0 - 0 0 0 0 98.01%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-04-26

    Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Tobias Lang 0 – 2 p_a_k_o
    • Tobias Lang 0 – 2 mungo

    Games completed: 25/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 _Rafael_ 2080 - 2 2 _ 2 2 2 2 2 14 60 82.77% 4.33% 0
    2 Vladek 2123 0 - 2 _ 2 2 _ 2 _ 8 40 0 4.33% 0
    3 mungo 2044 0 0 - _ 2 2 2 2 _ 8 28 0 0 0.01%
    4 p_a_k_o 2004 _ _ _ - 2 2 2 _ _ 6 24 12.90% 4.33% 0.05%
    5 Arrow2_bot 1942 0 0 0 0 - 2 0 2 2 6 12 0 0 73.56%
    6 eaeaeapepe 1853 0 0 0 0 0 - _ 2 2 4 4 0 0 100%
    7 Tobias Lang 1961 0 _ 0 0 2 _ - _ _ 2 12 0 0 31.76%
    8 pim 1756 0 0 0 _ 0 0 _ - 2 2 0 0 0 97.24%
    9 bennok 1804 0 _ _ _ 0 0 _ 0 - 0 0 0 0 97.39%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-04-27

    Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Vladek 0 – 2 Tobias Lang
    • Vladek 2 – 0 bennok

    Games completed: 27/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 _Rafael_ 2080 - 2 2 _ 2 2 2 2 2 14 68 82.56% 0 0
    2 Vladek 2105 0 - 2 _ 2 0 2 2 2 10 40 0 0 0
    3 mungo 2044 0 0 - _ 2 2 2 2 _ 8 32 0 0 0
    4 p_a_k_o 2004 _ _ _ - 2 2 2 _ _ 6 28 17.44% 0 0.04%
    5 Arrow2_bot 1942 0 0 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 6 12 0 0 98.54%
    6 Tobias Lang 1983 0 2 0 0 2 - _ _ _ 4 32 0 0 2.49%
    7 eaeaeapepe 1853 0 0 0 0 0 _ - 2 2 4 4 0 0 100%
    8 pim 1756 0 0 0 _ 0 _ 0 - 2 2 0 0 0 99.51%
    9 bennok 1800 0 0 _ _ 0 _ 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 99.41%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-04-28

    Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Tobias Lang 0 – 2 bennok <-— upset!

    Games completed: 28/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 _Rafael_ 2080 - 2 2 _ 2 2 2 2 2 14 72 82.89% 0 0
    2 Vladek 2105 0 - 2 _ 2 0 2 2 2 10 44 0 0 0
    3 mungo 2044 0 0 - _ 2 2 2 _ 2 8 32 0 0 0
    4 p_a_k_o 2004 _ _ _ - 2 2 2 _ _ 6 28 17.11% 0 0.22%
    5 Arrow2_bot 1942 0 0 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 6 16 0 0 93.27%
    6 Tobias Lang 1960 0 2 0 0 2 - _ 0 _ 4 32 0 0 10.85%
    7 eaeaeapepe 1853 0 0 0 0 0 _ - 2 2 4 8 0 0 100%
    8 bennok 1823 0 0 _ _ 0 2 0 - 0 2 8 0 0 96.98%
    9 pim 1756 0 0 0 _ 0 _ 0 2 - 2 4 0 0 98.68%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-04-29

    Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • bennok 0 – 2 mungo

    Games completed: 29/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 _Rafael_ 2080 - 2 2 _ 2 2 2 2 2 14 76 82.96% 0 0
    2 Vladek 2105 0 - 2 _ 2 0 2 2 2 10 48 0 0 0
    3 mungo 2051 0 0 - _ 2 2 2 2 2 10 36 0 0 0
    4 p_a_k_o 2004 _ _ _ - 2 2 2 _ _ 6 28 17.04% 0 0
    5 Arrow2_bot 1942 0 0 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 6 16 0 0 92.74%
    6 Tobias Lang 1960 0 2 0 0 2 - _ 0 _ 4 32 0 0 8.45%
    7 eaeaeapepe 1853 0 0 0 0 0 _ - 2 2 4 8 0 0 100%
    8 bennok 1816 0 0 0 _ 0 2 0 - 0 2 8 0 0 100%
    9 pim 1756 0 0 0 _ 0 _ 0 2 - 2 4 0 0 98.81%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-05-04

    Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • eaeaeapepe 0 – 2 Tobias Lang

    Games completed: 30/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 _Rafael_ 2082 - 2 2 2 _ 2 2 2 2 14 80 83.16% 0 0
    2 Vladek 2105 0 - 2 0 _ 2 2 2 2 10 48 0 0 0
    3 mungo 2051 0 0 - 2 _ 2 2 2 2 10 40 0 0 0
    4 Tobias Lang 1971 0 2 0 - 0 2 2 0 _ 6 40 0 0 0.26%
    5 p_a_k_o 2004 _ _ _ 2 - 2 2 _ _ 6 32 16.84% 0 0
    6 Arrow2_bot 1942 0 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 2 6 16 0 0 100%
    7 eaeaeapepe 1842 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 4 8 0 0 100%
    8 bennok 1816 0 0 0 2 _ 0 0 - 0 2 12 0 0 100%
    9 pim 1756 0 0 0 _ _ 0 0 2 - 2 4 0 0 99.74%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • ypercube at 2014-05-05

    Congrats to @_Rafael_ !

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-05-08

    Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • _Rafael_ 2 – 0 p_a_k_o

    Games completed: 31/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 _Rafael_ 2100 - 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16 92 100% 0 0
    2 Vladek 2105 0 - 2 0 _ 2 2 2 2 10 48 0 0 0
    3 mungo 2051 0 0 - 2 _ 2 2 2 2 10 40 0 0 0
    4 Tobias Lang 1971 0 2 0 - 0 2 2 0 _ 6 40 0 0 0
    5 p_a_k_o 1992 0 _ _ 2 - 2 2 _ _ 6 32 0 0 0
    6 Arrow2_bot 1942 0 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 2 6 16 0 0 100%
    7 eaeaeapepe 1836 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 4 8 0 0 100%
    8 bennok 1816 0 0 0 2 _ 0 0 - 0 2 12 0 0 100%
    9 pim 1756 0 0 0 _ _ 0 0 2 - 2 4 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • Tobias Lang at 2014-05-08

    Congrats Rafael, incredible first time!

  • wanderer_bot at 2014-05-08

    And have you noticed how well he’s doing in his other games? After just 5 months of playing here?! Incredible indeed!!

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