Shogi championship #2

roro, please post your vegas odds for this tournament.

Tournament: shogi.ch.2.1.1

I've been requested to follow shogi.ch.2.1.1 by Ray Garrison

For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page.

• Already completed matches:
  

Games completed: 0/36

NPlayerRating123456789ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1takodori(2023)-________0040.07%2.01%1.71%2CalvinB(2014)_-_______0036.71%2.00%2.07%3Ray Garrison(1891)__-______0010.11%1.26%12.63%4Karthum(1863)___-_____007.06%1.05%18.41%5Aganju(1786)____-____002.25%0.38%39.38%6mstrategic(1713)_____-___000.66%0.11%65.72%7Kisoul(1639)______-__000.13%0.03%84.14%8Zandor(1633)_______-_000.12%0.03%85.22%9kimagure(1596)________-000.04%0.02%90.72%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Tournament: shogi.ch.2.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Karthum 2 - 0 Zandor
  

Games completed: 1/36

NPlayerRating123456789ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Karthum(1872)-_2______208.39%1.32%12.89%2kimagure(1596)_-_______000.04%0.01%90.14%3Zandor(1627)0_-______000.01%0.01%90.38%4Kisoul(1639)___-_____000.12%0.03%83.95%5mstrategic(1713)____-____000.51%0.13%66.77%6Aganju(1795)_____-___002.39%0.44%39.04%7Ray Garrison(1912)______-__0012.08%1.61%11.62%8CalvinB(2014)_______-_0034.91%2.39%2.72%9takodori(2023)________-0038.17%2.33%2.49%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Tournament: shogi.ch.2.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• mstrategic 0 - 2 Ray Garrison
  
• mstrategic 0 - 2 Aganju
  
• Karthum 2 - 0 mstrategic
  
• mstrategic 0 - 2 Zandor
  
• mstrategic 0 - 2 takodori
  

Games completed: 6/36

NPlayerRating123456789ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Karthum(1880)-2_____2_449.74%1.58%7.07%2Zandor(1645)0-_____2_200.05%0.02%81.85%3Aganju(1806)__-____2_202.98%0.69%25.12%4Ray Garrison(1928)___-___2_2014.34%1.98%6.44%5takodori(2027)____-__2_2037.40%2.74%1.56%6kimagure(1596)_____-___000.03%0.01%91.00%7Kisoul(1639)______-__000.11%0.03%84.98%8mstrategic(1665)00000__-_000099.60%9CalvinB(2014)________-0031.65%2.61%2.38%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Tournament: shogi.ch.2.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Kisoul 2 - 0 mstrategic
  

Games completed: 7/36

NPlayerRating123456789ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Karthum(1880)-__2__2__449.37%1.70%8.49%2Aganju(1806)_-____2__203.06%0.73%27.00%3Kisoul(1656)__-___2__200.19%0.07%75.26%4Zandor(1645)0__-__2__200.05%0.04%84.55%5Ray Garrison(1928)____-_2__2014.41%2.12%8.02%6takodori(2027)_____-2__2037.28%2.81%1.94%7mstrategic(1648)000000-__0000100.00%8kimagure(1596)_______-_000.02%0.01%91.87%9CalvinB(2014)________-0031.77%2.55%2.88%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Tournament: shogi.ch.2.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• kimagure 2 - 0 mstrategic
  

Games completed: 8/36

NPlayerRating123456789ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Karthum(1880)-2______2449.51%1.64%9.52%2Zandor(1645)0-______2200.05%0.02%83.89%3Ray Garrison(1928)__-_____22014.32%2.05%7.61%4Kisoul(1656)___-____2200.18%0.09%76.29%5Aganju(1806)____-___2202.90%0.72%31.76%6takodori(2027)_____-__22037.12%2.80%2.17%7kimagure(1614)______-_2200.08%0.04%85.74%8CalvinB(2014)_______-_0031.93%2.71%3.02%9mstrategic(1630)0000000_-0000100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Tournament: shogi.ch.2.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Kisoul 0 - 2 Karthum
  

Games completed: 9/36

NPlayerRating123456789ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Karthum(1878)-_22___2_6810.20%1.71%5.76%2kimagure(1614)_-_____2_200.09%0.05%83.25%3Zandor(1645)0_-____2_200.04%0.03%84.12%4Kisoul(1649)0__-___2_200.07%0.02%84.13%5Aganju(1806)____-__2_202.83%0.70%29.99%6Ray Garrison(1928)_____-_2_2014.01%2.09%8.21%7takodori(2036)______-2_2038.46%2.93%1.83%8mstrategic(1630)0000000-_0000100.00%9CalvinB(2014)________-0030.41%2.68%2.71%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Tournament: shogi.ch.2.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• CalvinB 2 - 0 mstrategic
  
• takodori 2 - 0 kimagure
  
• Karthum 0 - 2 takodori
  

Games completed: 12/36

NPlayerRating123456789ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1takodori(2064)-22_____261651.68%3.10%0.16%2Karthum(1880)0-_22___2682.24%0.99%8.04%3kimagure(1612)0_-_____2200.00%0.01%86.66%4Zandor(1645)_0_-____2200.05%0.02%85.42%5Kisoul(1649)_0__-___2200.04%0.02%85.55%6Aganju(1837)_____-__2203.09%0.75%23.96%7Ray Garrison(1941)______-_22011.63%2.17%7.62%8CalvinB(2022)_______-22027.72%2.71%2.60%9mstrategic(1627)00000000-0000100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Tournament: shogi.ch.2.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• kimagure 0 - 2 Karthum
  

Games completed: 13/36

NPlayerRating123456789ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Karthum(1885)-0222___28122.63%1.18%4.77%2takodori(2067)2-2_____262051.75%3.19%0.20%3kimagure(1607)00-_____22000.00%91.65%4Zandor(1645)0__-____2200.03%0.02%85.42%5Kisoul(1649)0___-___2200.04%0.01%85.50%6Aganju(1837)_____-__2203.11%0.79%22.83%7Ray Garrison(1941)______-_22011.86%2.24%7.33%8CalvinB(2022)_______-22026.92%2.80%2.30%9mstrategic(1627)00000000-0000100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Tournament: shogi.ch.2.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Zandor 0 - 2 Kisoul
  

Games completed: 14/36

NPlayerRating123456789ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Karthum(1885)-02_22__28162.60%1.31%5.26%2takodori(2049)2-___2__262046.21%3.51%0.19%3Kisoul(1664)0_-_2___2440.07%0.06%73.78%4Aganju(1837)___-____2203.01%0.83%22.90%5Zandor(1630)0_0_-___2200.01%0.00%94.97%6kimagure(1607)00___-__2200.00%0.00%93.44%7CalvinB(2040)______-_22032.24%3.15%1.70%8Ray Garrison(1941)_______-22011.86%2.42%7.77%9mstrategic(1627)00000000-0000100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Tournament: shogi.ch.2.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• CalvinB 2 - 0 takodori
  

Games completed: 15/36

NPlayerRating123456789ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Karthum(1885)-0_222__28164.27%1.85%5.23%2takodori(2033)2-0_2___262012.12%3.86%0.61%3CalvinB(2056)_2-_____241263.49%4.13%0.16%4Kisoul(1664)0__-_2__2440.08%0.05%76.02%5kimagure(1607)00__-___22000.00%93.42%6Zandor(1630)0__0_-__2200.00%095.17%7Aganju(1849)______-_2203.58%0.98%21.47%8Ray Garrison(1941)_______-22011.72%2.37%7.92%9mstrategic(1627)00000000-0000100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Tournament: shogi.ch.2.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• takodori 2 - 0 Kisoul
  

Games completed: 16/36

NPlayerRating123456789ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1takodori(2036)-202__2_282813.78%4.00%0.12%2Karthum(1885)0-_2_22_28163.71%1.85%4.81%3CalvinB(2056)2_-_____241663.00%4.27%0.13%4Kisoul(1661)00_-_2__2440.01%0.01%79.69%5Aganju(1849)____-___2203.60%1.02%19.38%6Zandor(1630)_0_0_-__2200.01%0.00%95.00%7kimagure(1607)00____-_2200.00%0.00%93.72%8Ray Garrison(1941)_______-22011.10%2.41%7.15%9mstrategic(1627)00000000-0000100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Tournament: shogi.ch.2.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• takodori 2 - 0 Aganju
  

Games completed: 17/36

NPlayerRating123456789ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1takodori(2047)-202__222103218.18%4.73%02Karthum(1894)0-_22__228162.93%2.11%3.81%3CalvinB(2059)2_-_____242062.86%4.94%0.11%4Kisoul(1661)00_-2___2440.01%0.01%77.49%5Zandor(1630)_0_0-___2200.00%094.27%6Ray Garrison(1942)_____-__2209.83%2.69%5.95%7Aganju(1851)0_____-_2200.95%0.68%24.87%8kimagure(1607)00_____-22000.00%93.50%9mstrategic(1627)00000000-0000100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Tournament: shogi.ch.2.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Zandor 0 - 2 takodori
  

Games completed: 18/36

NPlayerRating123456789ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1takodori(2049)-202222_2123619.39%4.77%02Karthum(1894)0-_222__28162.41%2.19%3.62%3CalvinB(2059)2_-_____242462.95%4.94%0.12%4Kisoul(1661)00_-_2__2440.00%0.02%77.93%5kimagure(1607)00__-___2200092.41%6Zandor(1628)00_0_-__2200096.13%7Aganju(1855)0_____-_2200.82%0.70%23.23%8Ray Garrison(1945)_______-2209.23%2.63%6.56%9mstrategic(1627)00000000-0000100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Tournament: shogi.ch.2.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Aganju 0 - 2 Karthum
  

Games completed: 19/36

NPlayerRating123456789ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1takodori(2049)-202222_2124019.59%6.15%02Karthum(1908)0-_2222_210204.59%3.99%0.02%3CalvinB(2059)2_-_____242460.39%6.38%0.10%4Kisoul(1661)00_-_2__24400.01%72.48%5kimagure(1607)00__-___2200090.52%6Zandor(1628)00_0_-__2200094.92%7Aganju(1841)00____-_22000.13%36.17%8Ray Garrison(1945)_______-2208.90%2.68%5.78%9mstrategic(1627)00000000-0000100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Tournament: shogi.ch.2.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• CalvinB 0 - 2 Karthum
  

Games completed: 20/36

NPlayerRating123456789ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1takodori(2051)-2022_222124441.29%11.46%02Karthum(1918)0-222_222122816.31%11.39%03CalvinB(2036)20-_____242420.74%11.91%0.31%4Kisoul(1661)00_-2___24400.01%70.25%5Zandor(1628)00_0-___2200094.26%6Ray Garrison(1945)_____-__2209.56%0.92%4.21%7Aganju(1821)00____-_22000.19%40.39%8kimagure(1607)00_____-22000.00%90.57%9mstrategic(1627)00000000-0000100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Tournament: shogi.ch.2.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Aganju 0 - 2 Kisoul
  

Games completed: 21/36

NPlayerRating123456789ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1takodori(2051)-2202_222124840.89%10.95%02Karthum(1918)0-222_222123216.19%10.92%03Kisoul(1683)00-_2_2_26800.07%32.73%4CalvinB(2036)20_-____242420.66%11.56%0.40%5Zandor(1628)000_-___2200095.36%6Ray Garrison(1951)_____-__22010.58%0.83%4.42%7Aganju(1799)000___-_2200077.61%8kimagure(1607)00_____-22000.01%89.49%9mstrategic(1627)00000000-0000100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Tournament: shogi.ch.2.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• kimagure 0 - 2 CalvinB
  

Games completed: 22/36

NPlayerRating123456789ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1takodori(2056)-2022_222124838.76%10.27%02Karthum(1902)0-222_222123615.48%10.22%03CalvinB(2039)20-____2262823.48%10.89%0.25%4Kisoul(1683)00_-2_2_26800.05%32.49%5Zandor(1628)00_0-___2200095.73%6Ray Garrison(1964)_____-__22011.27%0.84%3.56%7Aganju(1820)00_0__-_2200075.54%8kimagure(1605)000____-2200092.44%9mstrategic(1627)00000000-0000100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Tournament: shogi.ch.2.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Kisoul 0 - 2 CalvinB
  

Games completed: 23/36

NPlayerRating123456789ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1takodori(2056)-2022_222124835.95%11.55%02Karthum(1906)0-222_222124015.34%11.55%03CalvinB(2042)20-2___2284026.09%12.23%0.02%4Kisoul(1680)000-2_2_2680036.50%5Zandor(1628)00_0-___2200095.31%6Ray Garrison(1964)_____-__22010.35%0.73%3.59%7Aganju(1820)00_0__-_2200073.24%8kimagure(1605)000____-2200091.33%9mstrategic(1627)00000000-0000100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Tournament: shogi.ch.2.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Kisoul 2 - 0 kimagure
  

Games completed: 24/36

NPlayerRating123456789ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1takodori(2064)-202_2222125236.28%11.78%02Karthum(1909)0-22_2222124415.20%11.77%03CalvinB(2042)20-2__2_284425.95%12.40%0.01%4Kisoul(1692)000-_22228120022.89%5Ray Garrison(1964)____-___22010.13%0.66%3.69%6Aganju(1822)00_0_-__2200076.63%7kimagure(1593)0000__-_2200099.28%8Zandor(1628)00_0___-2200097.50%9mstrategic(1627)00000000-0000100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Tournament: shogi.ch.2.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Zandor 2 - 0 Aganju <--- upset!
  

Games completed: 25/36

NPlayerRating123456789ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1takodori(2064)-20222_22125635.59%12.19%02Karthum(1909)0-2222_22124814.92%12.19%03CalvinB(2042)20-2_2__284426.67%12.80%0.00%4Kisoul(1692)000-22_228160012.07%5Zandor(1652)00_0-__22440088.61%6kimagure(1593)0000_-__2200099.07%7Ray Garrison(1964)______-_22010.00%0.63%4.07%8Aganju(1798)00_00__-2200096.18%9mstrategic(1627)00000000-0000100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Tournament: shogi.ch.2.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• kimagure 2 - 0 Zandor
  

Games completed: 26/36

NPlayerRating123456789ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1takodori(2065)-20222_22126035.49%11.46%02Karthum(1909)0-2222_22125215.18%11.46%03CalvinB(2042)20-22___284826.69%12.21%04Kisoul(1692)000-22_22820005.20%5kimagure(1611)0000-2__2480097.52%6Zandor(1634)00_00-_22440098.49%7Ray Garrison(1971)______-_22010.42%0.76%2.87%8Aganju(1798)00_0_0_-2200095.91%9mstrategic(1627)00000000-0000100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Tournament: shogi.ch.2.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• CalvinB 2 - 0 Zandor
  

Games completed: 27/36

NPlayerRating123456789ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1takodori(2076)-20222_22126032.67%10.79%02Karthum(1909)0-2222_22125614.26%10.79%03CalvinB(2044)20-222__2105629.88%11.34%04Kisoul(1692)000-22_22820003.61%5kimagure(1611)0000-2__2480097.64%6Zandor(1632)00000-_22440099.76%7Ray Garrison(1997)______-_22011.85%0.55%1.65%8Aganju(1766)00_0_0_-2200097.34%9mstrategic(1627)00000000-0000100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Tournament: shogi.ch.2.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Karthum 2 - 0 Ray Garrison
  

Games completed: 28/36

NPlayerRating123456789ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Karthum(1929)-02222222146035.81%31.68%02takodori(2086)2-0222_22126432.51%31.68%03CalvinB(2044)02-222__21056031.68%04Kisoul(1692)000-22_22820002.51%5kimagure(1611)0000-2__2480096.59%6Zandor(1632)00000-_22440099.23%7Ray Garrison(1985)0_____-_220004.63%8Aganju(1745)00_0_0_-2200097.05%9mstrategic(1627)00000000-0000100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Tournament: shogi.ch.2.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Zandor 0 - 2 Ray Garrison
  

Games completed: 29/36

NPlayerRating123456789ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Karthum(1943)-02222222146430.31%35.86%02takodori(2114)2-022_222126433.83%35.86%03CalvinB(2044)02-22_2_21056035.86%04Kisoul(1692)000-2_222820002.44%5kimagure(1611)0000-_2_2480096.66%6Ray Garrison(1970)0____-2_248004.07%7Zandor(1628)000000-224400100.00%8Aganju(1744)00_0__0-2200096.82%9mstrategic(1627)00000000-0000100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Tournament: shogi.ch.2.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Ray Garrison 2 - 0 Kisoul
  

Games completed: 30/36

NPlayerRating123456789ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Karthum(1943)-02222222146830.77%35.19%02takodori(2114)2-02_2222126434.04%35.19%03CalvinB(2044)02-2_22_21056035.19%04Kisoul(1687)000-02222820002.85%5Ray Garrison(1975)0__2-_2_2624001.21%6kimagure(1611)0000_-2_2480098.04%7Zandor(1628)000000-224400100.00%8Aganju(1744)00_0__0-2200097.90%9mstrategic(1627)00000000-0000100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Tournament: shogi.ch.2.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Aganju 0 - 2 kimagure
  

Games completed: 31/36

NPlayerRating123456789ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Karthum(1945)-02222222147232.51%33.20%02takodori(2115)2-02_2222126834.29%33.20%03CalvinB(2044)02-2_22_21060033.20%04Kisoul(1687)000-02222824005.86%5Ray Garrison(1991)0__2-_2_2624000.76%6kimagure(1632)0000_-2226120093.38%7Zandor(1628)000000-224400100.00%8Aganju(1726)00_0_00-22000100.00%9mstrategic(1627)00000000-0000100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Tournament: shogi.ch.2.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Ray Garrison 0 - 2 CalvinB
  

Games completed: 32/36

NPlayerRating123456789ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Karthum(1945)-20222222147629.68%61.71%02CalvinB(2056)0-22222_21272061.71%03takodori(2115)20-2_222212688.61%61.71%04Kisoul(1687)000-02222824003.11%5Ray Garrison(1963)00_2-_2_2624001.62%6kimagure(1632)0000_-2226120095.27%7Zandor(1628)000000-224400100.00%8Aganju(1712)0_00_00-22000100.00%9mstrategic(1627)00000000-0000100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Tournament: shogi.ch.2.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• takodori 2 - 0 Ray Garrison
  

Games completed: 33/36

NPlayerRating123456789ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1takodori(2127)-20222222148012.40%87.60%02Karthum(1953)0-22222221476087.60%03CalvinB(2056)20-2222_21276087.60%04Kisoul(1687)000-022228240005Ray Garrison(1963)0002-_2_2624002.50%6kimagure(1632)0000_-2226120097.50%7Zandor(1628)000000-224400100.00%8Aganju(1717)00_0_00-22000100.00%9mstrategic(1627)00000000-0000100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Tournament: shogi.ch.2.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Ray Garrison 2 - 0 Aganju
  

Games completed: 34/36

NPlayerRating123456789ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1takodori(2127)-20222222148412.21%87.79%02Karthum(1928)0-22222221480087.79%03CalvinB(2056)20-2222_21280087.79%04Ray Garrison(1984)000-2_2228280005Kisoul(1687)0000-22228240006kimagure(1632)000_0-22261200100.00%7Zandor(1628)000000-224400100.00%8Aganju(1712)00_0000-22000100.00%9mstrategic(1627)00000000-0000100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Tournament: shogi.ch.2.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Aganju 0 - 2 CalvinB
  

Games completed: 35/36

NPlayerRating123456789ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1takodori(2127)-2022222214840100.00%02Karthum(1940)0-222222214840100.00%03CalvinB(2059)20-22222214840100.00%04Ray Garrison(1990)000-2_2228280005Kisoul(1687)0000-22228240006kimagure(1632)000_0-22261200100.00%7Zandor(1628)000000-224400100.00%8Aganju(1695)0000000-22000100.00%9mstrategic(1627)00000000-0000100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted