So, I am in einstein.ch.10.1.1 !

I just can't believe it. I didn't think it could happen. I never played so well in championships, in fact in last one I was only 4th. In league 3. But now (a row of lucky games) my rating grew up to 1797, and I am in the top ten.

Is this the reason because I was admitted to League 1? Or because I won Turbo EinStein 2? Who knows? Anyway, I am very happy and proud to play in ch.1. ("Jumping over" ch.2!) Now I will try not score a 0! ;-)

Anyone in top 10 who has not played in league 1 before is automatically promoted to league 1.

Oh OK, thank you. I don't know where I can find these "championship rules". Or maybe it's "VOX POPULI"? (I mean, something that everybody knows, but it's not written anywhere.)

Good question. It seems that it has not been included in the FAQ.

I think it's a result of applying the known rules; not another rule.

If you remove places 6-9 from the top league, and add places 1-2 of the two next-lower leagues, you would end up with a full league again. But people drop out, and those holes are filled with the (at starting moment) highest ranking players, except if they were in 6-9 and therefore just demoted.

That implies that anyone in the top 10 ratings (who was not just demoted) has a prime chance to go to league 1.

But in the past (at least), top 10-players have been promoted to league 1 without filling such "holes". Example: twixt.ch.3.1.1 with 11 players.

true. In fact, as you can see, einstein.ch.10.1.1 has 13 players.

The same question arises from time to time ...

You jump in a higher league if:

- You did not played in the last championship or you finished on places 1-5.

- You are better then the average of the league where you want to jump in.

The average in einstein.ch.10.1.1 is 1785, so 5 players fullfilled both criterions.

And let's see how those 13 compare...

Tournament: einstein.ch.10.1.1

I've been requested to follow einstein.ch.10.1.1 by FatPhil

For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page.

• Already completed matches:
  

Num Players: 13

Games completed: 1/78

NPlayerRating12345678910111213ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1RoRoRo the Bot(1834)-_>_===_<2===2011.75%0.93%42.22%2Tore S(1769)_-=___=__==__003.56%0.35%71.59%3kitaktus(1828)<=-_===_===_=008.85%0.69%52.77%4Jaakko Pirinen(1729)___-_=__==__=001.59%0.18%83.31%5YHW(1675)=_=_-_=___=__000.38%0.07%93.46%6Jonny(1833)=_==_-===>===0013.29%0.95%42.05%7Diamante(1842)===_==-_===_=0013.44%0.93%42.82%8Ray Garrison(1856)_____=_-==__=0017.12%1.09%37.05%9Hartmut(1793)>_==_===-====008.67%0.67%53.37%10Looser(1752)0===_<===-=_<000.58%0.07%90.06%11ypercube(1791)===_===_==-_=005.68%0.46%64.23%12Mojmir Hanes(1788)=____=__=__-=005.29%0.48%65.61%13DukeOfPrunes(1791)=_==_====>==-006.22%0.53%61.47%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

Something is wrong with RoRoRo's handling of games where no move has been made.

and what would that be? I mean what makes you think that?

i don't know if that's what ypercube is thinking of, but isn't it strange the difference of stats fro ypercube and DukeofPrunes, having the same rating?

It shows equal signs (=) and a 0-0 when you hover the mouse over an equal sign, for games where a move has been made.

It shows an underscore for games where no move has been made and no hovering 0-0. Probabilities may not calculated correctly because of this.

I see no problem with RoRoRo's predictions: Duke has the upperhand so far in his game against Looser, ergo he has a higher winning probability than ypercube.

Tournament: einstein.ch.10.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• RoRoRo the Bot 0 - 2 Hartmut
  

Num Players: 13

Games completed: 2/78

NPlayerRating12345678910111213ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Hartmut(1810)-2_===>==>===2416.95%1.27%33.77%2RoRoRo the Bot(1817)0-_>_<==_2===206.23%0.67%55.38%3Tore S(1769)__-=___=_==__003.77%0.37%70.93%4kitaktus(1828)=<=-_===_==_=008.97%0.74%51.81%5Jaakko Pirinen(1729)=___-==__=__=001.51%0.15%83.45%6YHW(1675)=>_==-==_====000.52%0.06%91.59%7Jonny(1833)<=_===-==>===0010.97%0.89%47.00%8Diamante(1842)====_==-_==_=0013.93%0.99%42.30%9Ray Garrison(1856)=_____=_-=__=0016.95%1.17%36.97%10Looser(1752)<0====<==-=_<000.48%0.08%91.72%11ypercube(1775)====_===_=-_=004.21%0.42%69.59%12Mojmir Hanes(1788)==___==____-=005.22%0.54%65.27%13DukeOfPrunes(1791)==_======>==-006.44%0.61%60.22%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.10.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• RoRoRo the Bot 0 - 2 YHW <--- upset!
  

Num Players: 13

Games completed: 3/78

NPlayerRating12345678910111213ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Hartmut(1810)-=2_==>==>===2418.24%1.28%32.55%2YHW(1691)=-2_====_>===241.70%0.20%80.66%3RoRoRo the Bot(1795)00-_>_==_2=>>204.28%0.56%60.35%4Tore S(1769)___-=__=_==__004.18%0.41%69.24%5kitaktus(1828)==<=-_==_====0010.47%0.81%49.77%6Jaakko Pirinen(1729)==___-=__=_==001.73%0.22%82.00%7Jonny(1833)<==_==-==>==<009.90%0.89%49.58%8Diamante(1806)=====_=-_====008.80%0.68%54.98%9Ray Garrison(1856)=_____=_-=_==0019.60%1.18%34.86%10Looser(1752)<<0===<==-==<000.53%0.06%92.23%11ypercube(1775)=====_==_=-==004.83%0.46%67.56%12Mojmir Hanes(1788)==<_=======-=005.08%0.46%66.83%13DukeOfPrunes(1791)==<_==>==>==-006.88%0.62%59.38%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

Is RoRoRO upset for losing to YHW? 8-)

Tournament: einstein.ch.10.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• RoRoRo the Bot 0 - 2 Mojmir Hanes
  

Num Players: 13

Games completed: 4/78

NPlayerRating12345678910111213ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Mojmir Hanes(1805)-=>2_=====<==2411.84%0.96%44.01%2Hartmut(1810)=-=2_==>=====2416.00%1.07%36.99%3YHW(1691)<=-2_========240.99%0.15%85.92%4RoRoRo the Bot(1801)000-_>_===2<>201.17%0.22%76.69%5Tore S(1769)____-=__====_004.11%0.48%69.01%6kitaktus(1828)===<=-_===>==009.67%0.85%50.15%7Jaakko Pirinen(1729)===___-=__=_=001.83%0.21%82.16%8Jonny(1833)=<==_==-==>=<0010.31%0.86%49.50%9Diamante(1811)======_=-====009.44%0.79%52.85%10Ray Garrison(1856)======_==-===0019.08%1.27%34.84%11Looser(1752)>==0=<=<==-=<000.88%0.14%87.97%12ypercube(1775)===>==_====-=005.93%0.58%62.82%13DukeOfPrunes(1770)===<_==>==>=-004.82%0.50%67.08%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

So far, (according to RoRoRo`s prediction) it`s more likely to be demoted than winning for EVERY player in the tournament.

That makes sense because only one player wins but seven are demoted and the tournament has barely started.

Tournament: einstein.ch.10.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Jonny 0 - 2 Hartmut
  

Num Players: 13

Games completed: 5/78

NPlayerRating12345678910111213ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Hartmut(1827)-==2_==2====>4429.19%1.64%19.99%2Mojmir Hanes(1805)=->2_=====<==2411.11%0.98%44.78%3YHW(1679)=<-2_========240.88%0.16%87.20%4RoRoRo the Bot(1801)000-_>====2=>201.70%0.29%69.61%5Tore S(1769)____-==_====_004.29%0.46%68.21%6kitaktus(1828)===<=-====>==009.68%0.88%49.42%7Jaakko Pirinen(1729)======-======001.79%0.25%81.59%8Jonny(1816)0===_==-==>=<004.36%0.52%62.97%9Diamante(1794)========-====007.08%0.65%58.89%10Ray Garrison(1831)=========-===0013.67%0.97%43.92%11Looser(1752)=>=0=<=<==-=<001.01%0.13%85.71%12ypercube(1775)===========-=005.04%0.57%66.49%13DukeOfPrunes(1795)<==<_==>==>=-006.24%0.63%61.22%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

It's really funny to have the highest propability to be relegated after winning the last championship and the previous one together with kitaktus as well as winning my first and only match (without having the first move) and also having a winning quote of higher than 50 percent against the most other players within the championship. This is really a high quality cast of players,maybe I'm going to be relagated, but the estimation according to the ELO points seems to me a bit to unrealistic. ;)

Tournament: einstein.ch.10.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• ypercube 0 - 2 RoRoRo the Bot
  

Num Players: 13

Games completed: 6/78

NPlayerRating12345678910111213ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Hartmut(1827)-2==_==2====>4830.11%1.65%19.67%2RoRoRo the Bot(1823)0-00_>====22>403.69%0.57%51.81%3Mojmir Hanes(1805)=2->_=====<==2811.36%0.97%44.52%4YHW(1679)=2<-_=====<==280.73%0.09%89.67%5Tore S(1769)____-==_====_004.12%0.40%69.12%6kitaktus(1828)=<===-====>==009.68%0.83%50.59%7Jaakko Pirinen(1729)======-======001.66%0.22%82.38%8Jonny(1816)0===_==-==>=<004.46%0.47%63.22%9Diamante(1802)========-====008.17%0.71%56.55%10Ray Garrison(1831)=========-===0013.47%1.00%44.93%11Looser(1752)=0>>=<=<==-=<001.19%0.16%84.09%12ypercube(1761)=0=========-=001.86%0.24%80.64%13DukeOfPrunes(1795)<<==_==>==>=-005.67%0.56%62.81%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

YWH: the real question is - why is your rating so low? That's all RoRoRo can go on.

Tournament: einstein.ch.10.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Hartmut 2 - 0 Looser
  

Num Players: 13

Games completed: 7/78

NPlayerRating12345678910111213ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Hartmut(1839)-2==_==2==2=>6841.03%1.76%10.68%2RoRoRo the Bot(1823)0-00_>====22>402.63%0.46%52.64%3Mojmir Hanes(1805)=2->_=====<==2810.40%0.79%44.27%4YHW(1679)=2<-_=====<==280.59%0.06%89.46%5Tore S(1769)____-==_====_003.65%0.35%69.07%6kitaktus(1828)=<===-====>==008.03%0.70%50.61%7Jaakko Pirinen(1729)======-======001.57%0.17%81.87%8Jonny(1816)0===_==-==>=<003.37%0.37%63.77%9Diamante(1802)========-====007.02%0.61%56.55%10Ray Garrison(1831)=========-===0011.85%0.81%44.52%11Looser(1740)00>>=<=<==-=<000.17%0.04%93.21%12ypercube(1761)=0=========-=001.55%0.22%80.63%13DukeOfPrunes(1795)<<==_==>==>=-004.85%0.46%62.70%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.10.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• RoRoRo the Bot 2 - 0 DukeOfPrunes
  

Num Players: 13

Games completed: 8/78

NPlayerRating12345678910111213ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Hartmut(1839)-2==_==2==2=>61241.26%1.91%10.57%2RoRoRo the Bot(1837)0-00_>====222603.74%0.68%42.58%3Mojmir Hanes(1805)=2->_=====<==21210.47%0.78%44.13%4YHW(1679)=2<-_=====<==2120.59%0.07%89.48%5Tore S(1769)____-==_====_003.69%0.34%69.63%6kitaktus(1828)=<===-====>==008.19%0.70%51.15%7Jaakko Pirinen(1729)======-======001.62%0.17%82.70%8Jonny(1816)0===_==-==>=<003.41%0.45%64.18%9Diamante(1802)========-====007.01%0.58%57.10%10Ray Garrison(1831)=========-===0011.66%0.90%45.08%11Looser(1740)00>>=<=<==-=<000.14%0.04%92.94%12ypercube(1761)=0=========-=001.57%0.18%81.11%13DukeOfPrunes(1791)<0==_==>==>=-003.15%0.34%69.35%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.10.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Mojmir Hanes 0 - 2 Looser
  

Num Players: 13

Games completed: 9/78

NPlayerRating12345678910111213ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Hartmut(1839)-2<>2_==2==>>61648.85%1.95%6.09%2RoRoRo the Bot(1850)0-002_>====22643.84%0.69%38.99%3Mojmir Hanes(1787)>2->0_=====<=2126.18%0.52%51.55%4YHW(1661)<2<-<_=======2120.33%0.05%92.39%5Looser(1758)002>-=<=<==<=240.21%0.05%88.38%6Tore S(1769)____=-==_===_003.62%0.35%67.27%7kitaktus(1828)=<==>=-======008.17%0.71%48.49%8Jaakko Pirinen(1729)=======-=====001.46%0.16%80.94%9Jonny(1816)0===>_==-===<003.42%0.41%60.51%10Diamante(1800)=========-===007.00%0.58%55.44%11Ray Garrison(1831)==========-==0011.85%0.83%43.13%12ypercube(1765)<0>=>======->001.50%0.20%75.52%13DukeOfPrunes(1715)<0===_==>==<-000.37%0.07%91.30%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.10.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• YHW 0 - 2 Looser
  
• Looser 0 - 2 ypercube
  

Num Players: 13

Games completed: 11/78

NPlayerRating12345678910111213ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Hartmut(1839)-22<>>_==2==>62048.82%1.84%5.92%2RoRoRo the Bot(1864)0-2002_>====26124.05%0.65%39.18%3Looser(1755)00-220=<=<==<480.07%0.02%93.29%4Mojmir Hanes(1787)>20-><_======2126.17%0.51%51.44%5YHW(1650)<20<-=_======2120.17%0.02%94.56%6ypercube(1780)<02>=-======>282.35%0.30%65.52%7Tore S(1769)__=__=-==_==_003.64%0.35%67.23%8kitaktus(1828)=<>====-=====009.60%0.69%45.35%9Jaakko Pirinen(1729)========-====001.55%0.16%80.87%10Jonny(1816)0=>===_==-==<003.35%0.34%60.91%11Diamante(1786)==========-==005.17%0.50%61.44%12Ray Garrison(1831)===========-=0011.64%0.80%42.87%13DukeOfPrunes(1698)<0>==<_==>==-000.38%0.08%91.42%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.10.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• ypercube 2 - 0 Hartmut
  

Num Players: 13

Games completed: 12/78

NPlayerRating12345678910111213ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Hartmut(1822)-202<>_==2===62018.32%1.37%24.35%2RoRoRo the Bot(1857)0-2200_=====26164.71%0.67%49.59%3ypercube(1815)20-2>=======>42017.40%1.35%29.70%4Looser(1755)000-22=<=<==<480.06%0.03%95.03%5Mojmir Hanes(1787)>2<0->_======2127.01%0.65%55.78%6YHW(1650)<2=0<-_=====>2120.18%0.03%95.56%7Tore S(1769)__==__-==_==_004.20%0.45%70.11%8kitaktus(1828)===>===-====<0012.48%1.00%46.48%9Jaakko Pirinen(1729)========-====001.79%0.21%83.12%10Jonny(1816)0==>==_==-==<004.86%0.54%63.63%11Diamante(1817)==========-==0010.85%0.84%51.58%12Ray Garrison(1831)===========-=0013.27%1.04%46.30%13DukeOfPrunes(1706)=0<>=<_>=>==-000.86%0.11%88.77%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.10.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• RoRoRo the Bot 0 - 2 Jonny
  
• Jonny 2 - 0 Looser
  

Num Players: 13

Games completed: 14/78

NPlayerRating12345678910111213ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Hartmut(1822)-2022=>_>====62825.12%1.67%16.60%2RoRoRo the Bot(1840)0-20200_====26160.65%0.15%71.86%3ypercube(1815)20-=2>======>42014.77%1.16%30.84%4Jonny(1845)02=-2==_====<42011.28%1.03%37.11%5Looser(1743)0000-22=<===<480.01%0.01%97.59%6Mojmir Hanes(1787)=2<=0->_=====2124.70%0.48%62.98%7YHW(1650)<2==0<-_====>2120.11%0.03%96.04%8Tore S(1769)__=_=__-====_003.80%0.35%70.59%9kitaktus(1840)<===>===-===<0010.23%0.79%47.89%10Jaakko Pirinen(1718)=========-===001.21%0.14%85.81%11Diamante(1817)==========-==009.17%0.77%52.45%12Ray Garrison(1842)===========-=0014.41%0.96%41.78%13DukeOfPrunes(1706)=0<>>=<_>===-000.82%0.10%88.47%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.10.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Diamante 2 - 0 RoRoRo the Bot <--- major upset!
  

Num Players: 13

Games completed: 15/78

NPlayerRating12345678910111213ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Hartmut(1822)-2022==>>=_==62825.35%1.67%14.89%2RoRoRo the Bot(1893)0-202000==_=26160.02%0.01%79.24%3ypercube(1827)20-=2=>>====>42022.72%1.58%19.39%4Jonny(1845)02=-2=<<==_=<4207.97%0.86%43.48%5Looser(1743)0000-=22<====480.04%0.01%94.98%6Diamante(1707)=2===-=======2122.08%0.27%77.22%7Mojmir Hanes(1787)=2<>0=-><=_==2125.31%0.54%58.35%8YHW(1711)<2<>0=<-==_=>2120.64%0.11%87.13%9kitaktus(1840)<===>=>=-===<0012.52%0.99%41.30%10Jaakko Pirinen(1718)=========-===001.23%0.16%85.02%11Tore S(1769)__=_==__==-=_003.72%0.39%69.95%12Ray Garrison(1842)===========-=0014.01%1.05%40.15%13DukeOfPrunes(1706)=0<>===<>=_=-000.62%0.09%88.90%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.10.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• YHW 0 - 2 Hartmut
  

Num Players: 13

Games completed: 16/78

NPlayerRating12345678910111213ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Hartmut(1833)-2022==2>=_==83230.58%1.79%9.40%2RoRoRo the Bot(1873)0-202000==_=26160.01%0.01%81.49%3ypercube(1827)20-=2=>>====>42422.06%1.47%17.99%4Jonny(1845)02=-2=<<==_==4208.37%0.88%38.30%5Looser(1743)0000-=22<====480.02%0.01%94.65%6Diamante(1665)=2===-=======2120.80%0.09%86.94%7Mojmir Hanes(1787)=2<>0=-><=_==2124.84%0.50%57.17%8YHW(1700)02<>0=<->=_=>2120.29%0.07%88.64%9kitaktus(1840)<===>=><-===<0010.31%0.83%43.73%10Jaakko Pirinen(1718)=========-===001.21%0.14%83.81%11Tore S(1769)__=_==__==-=_003.73%0.36%68.46%12Ray Garrison(1842)===========-=0013.78%0.97%38.88%13DukeOfPrunes(1706)=0<====<>=_=-000.51%0.07%90.56%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.10.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Hartmut 2 - 0 Mojmir Hanes
  
• kitaktus 0 - 2 RoRoRo the Bot
  

Num Players: 13

Games completed: 18/78

NPlayerRating12345678910111213ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Hartmut(1846)-2022=22>>_==104048.25%2.22%2.24%2RoRoRo the Bot(1877)0-2020002>_=28160.01%0.00%61.28%3ypercube(1827)20-<2=>>>===>42819.63%1.55%13.69%4Jonny(1845)02>-2==<<=_==4247.57%0.98%31.45%5Looser(1743)0000-=22<====480.00%0.00%95.22%6Diamante(1665)=2===-=======2160.66%0.07%86.16%7Mojmir Hanes(1774)02<=0=-><=_=<2160.54%0.12%79.77%8YHW(1700)02<>0=<->>_=>2160.30%0.07%85.68%9kitaktus(1826)<0<>>=><-===<003.58%0.35%59.37%10Jaakko Pirinen(1718)<<=====<=-===000.41%0.06%89.59%11Tore S(1769)__=_==__==-=_003.29%0.29%67.22%12Ray Garrison(1842)===========-=0012.21%0.81%37.85%13DukeOfPrunes(1706)=0<===><>=_=-000.34%0.06%90.47%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.10.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• DukeOfPrunes 0 - 2 Looser
  

Num Players: 13

Games completed: 19/78

NPlayerRating12345678910111213ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Hartmut(1846)-2202=22>>_==104449.95%2.37%1.78%2RoRoRo the Bot(1882)0-2200002>_=28200.01%0.01%59.58%3Looser(1757)00-00=22<===2680.01%0.01%90.25%4ypercube(1827)202-<=>>>===>43219.04%1.57%13.23%5Jonny(1845)022>-==<<=_==4287.49%0.99%30.74%6Diamante(1632)=2===-=======2160.29%0.04%91.81%7Mojmir Hanes(1774)020<==-><=_=<2160.47%0.08%80.42%8YHW(1712)020<>=<->>_=>2160.29%0.07%83.64%9kitaktus(1826)<0><>=><-===<003.64%0.41%58.88%10Jaakko Pirinen(1718)<<=====<=-===000.39%0.04%89.74%11Tore S(1769)__==_=__==-=_003.16%0.29%67.38%12Ray Garrison(1842)===========-=0011.88%0.80%38.06%13DukeOfPrunes(1706)=00<==><>=_=-000.12%0.01%94.50%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.10.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• ypercube 2 - 0 YHW
  

Num Players: 13

Games completed: 20/78

NPlayerRating12345678910111213ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Hartmut(1846)-2022>22===>>104459.29%2.01%1.38%2RoRoRo the Bot(1842)0-2200002=>>28240.03%0.01%51.18%3ypercube(1837)20-2<==2=<=<>6368.65%0.83%26.60%4Looser(1757)000-0>22====2680.03%0.01%84.16%5Jonny(1845)02>2-==<<>><=4286.64%0.83%30.51%6Diamante(1637)<2=<=->>=====2160.32%0.04%90.66%7Mojmir Hanes(1774)02=0=<-=<>>=<2160.49%0.10%79.15%8YHW(1681)0200><=-=>===2160.05%0.03%93.00%9kitaktus(1826)=0==>=>=->==<007.79%0.64%45.70%10Jaakko Pirinen(1735)==>=<=<<<-==<000.76%0.09%86.22%11Tore S(1769)=<==<=<===-==001.37%0.16%80.08%12Ray Garrison(1842)<<>=>======-=0011.71%0.78%37.00%13DukeOfPrunes(1689)<0<0==>=>>==-000.16%0.03%94.36%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.10.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• ypercube 2 - 0 DukeOfPrunes
  

Num Players: 13

Games completed: 21/78

NPlayerRating12345678910111213ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Hartmut(1846)-0222>22===>=104451.16%2.31%2.22%2ypercube(1847)2-02<==2=<=<283611.36%1.20%21.42%3RoRoRo the Bot(1829)02-200002=>>28280.02%0.01%58.80%4Looser(1757)000-0>22====2680.04%0.02%84.54%5Jonny(1845)0>22-==<<>><=4287.61%0.89%30.56%6Diamante(1617)<=2<=->>=====2160.18%0.03%93.45%7Mojmir Hanes(1774)0=20=<-=<>>=<2160.69%0.11%79.12%8YHW(1687)0020><=-=><==2160.05%0.02%93.87%9kitaktus(1826)==0=>=>=->===009.46%0.76%42.34%10Jaakko Pirinen(1735)=>==<=<<<-==<000.76%0.09%86.82%11Tore S(1769)==<=<=<>==-==001.88%0.23%76.06%12Ray Garrison(1842)<><=>======->0013.48%0.96%34.38%13DukeOfPrunes(1682)=000==>==>=<-000.07%0.01%96.41%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.10.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Jonny 0 - 2 DukeOfPrunes <--- upset!
  
• Mojmir Hanes 2 - 0 ypercube
  

Num Players: 13

Games completed: 23/78

NPlayerRating12345678910111213ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Hartmut(1846)-02222>2===>=104858.60%2.27%2.11%2ypercube(1828)2-020<<22<=<=8403.93%0.54%41.48%3RoRoRo the Bot(1829)02-200002=2>>8320.04%0.03%57.27%4Looser(1757)000-20>22====6160.15%0.04%81.46%5Mojmir Hanes(1793)0220-=<==><=>4322.18%0.41%56.94%6Jonny(1822)0>22=-=<0><<>4282.84%0.58%49.73%7Diamante(1630)<>2<>=->=====2160.48%0.07%88.90%8YHW(1687)0020=><-=>==<2160.08%0.03%93.68%9DukeOfPrunes(1705)=000=2==->=<=280.26%0.05%91.65%10Jaakko Pirinen(1735)=>==<<=<<-<==000.86%0.11%86.08%11kitaktus(1826)==0=>>===>-==0010.68%0.93%41.35%12Ray Garrison(1842)<><==>==>==-=0014.51%1.02%34.23%13Tore S(1769)==<=<<=>====-002.28%0.27%75.12%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.10.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Tore S 0 - 2 RoRoRo the Bot
  

Num Players: 13

Games completed: 24/78

NPlayerRating12345678910111213ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Hartmut(1846)-20222>2===><105256.15%2.37%2.74%2RoRoRo the Bot(1842)0-2200002=2>210320.12%0.06%46.38%3ypercube(1828)20-20<<22<=<=8404.81%0.67%42.15%4Looser(1757)000-20>22==>=6160.33%0.12%74.82%5Mojmir Hanes(1793)0220-=<==><=>4362.52%0.46%57.53%6Jonny(1822)02>2=-<<0><<=4322.56%0.47%60.37%7Diamante(1626)<2><>>->=====2200.76%0.09%87.18%8YHW(1704)0200=><-=>==<2200.11%0.04%92.43%9DukeOfPrunes(1698)=000=2==->=<=280.27%0.04%92.97%10Jaakko Pirinen(1735)==>=<<=<<-<==001.05%0.18%86.36%11kitaktus(1826)=0==>>===>-==0012.00%1.00%42.30%12Ray Garrison(1842)<<><=>==>==-=0013.46%0.91%39.79%13Tore S(1756)>0==<==>====-002.61%0.31%74.99%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.10.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Looser 2 - 0 kitaktus
  

Num Players: 13

Games completed: 25/78

NPlayerRating12345678910111213ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Hartmut(1846)-20222>2===><105661.74%2.51%2.31%2RoRoRo the Bot(1842)0-2200002=2>210360.11%0.08%48.34%3ypercube(1828)20-20<<22<=<=8445.07%0.82%41.01%4Looser(1775)000-20>22=2>=8160.64%0.26%55.06%5Mojmir Hanes(1793)0220-=<==><=>4362.80%0.45%57.02%6Jonny(1822)02>2=-<<0>=<=4363.67%0.62%52.44%7Diamante(1626)<2><>>->==>==2201.04%0.13%84.03%8YHW(1683)0200=><-=><=<2200.02%0.00%96.15%9DukeOfPrunes(1707)=000=2==->=<=280.31%0.06%92.21%10Jaakko Pirinen(1735)==>=<<=<<-<==001.29%0.14%85.78%11kitaktus(1787)=0=0>=<>=>-==002.81%0.38%71.96%12Ray Garrison(1842)<<><=>==>==-=0014.37%0.95%39.38%13Tore S(1756)>0==<==>====-002.82%0.40%74.32%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.10.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Jonny 2 - 0 Mojmir Hanes
  

Num Players: 13

Games completed: 26/78

NPlayerRating12345678910111213ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Hartmut(1846)-20222>2===><106060.54%2.54%2.52%2RoRoRo the Bot(1854)0-2200002=2>210360.10%0.06%46.96%3ypercube(1828)20-2<0<22<=<=8445.36%0.73%40.98%4Looser(1775)000-02>22=2>=8160.51%0.23%57.15%5Jonny(1836)02>2-2<<0>=<=6447.02%1.05%34.75%6Mojmir Hanes(1779)02200-<==><=>4360.69%0.14%75.80%7Diamante(1636)<2><>>->==>==2201.31%0.15%82.17%8YHW(1683)0200>=<-=><=<2200.05%0.02%96.00%9DukeOfPrunes(1707)=0002===->=<=2120.27%0.06%91.51%10Jaakko Pirinen(1735)==>=<<=<<-<==001.10%0.13%85.75%11kitaktus(1787)=0=0=><>=>-==002.58%0.46%73.08%12Ray Garrison(1842)<<><>===>==-=0014.42%0.95%39.02%13Tore S(1756)>0===<=>====-002.69%0.40%74.33%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.10.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• YHW 2 - 0 Jonny <--- upset!
  
• YHW 2 - 0 Mojmir Hanes
  

Num Players: 13

Games completed: 28/78

NPlayerRating12345678910111213ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Hartmut(1846)-202222>===><106864.51%2.16%2.12%2RoRoRo the Bot(1884)0-2200002=2>210360.16%0.09%41.93%3ypercube(1828)20-2<20<2<><=8525.77%0.63%37.68%4Looser(1775)000-022>2=2>=8240.81%0.27%50.22%5Jonny(1814)02>2-02<0>=<=6442.89%0.59%49.99%6YHW(1714)02002-2==><=<6400.29%0.08%81.55%7Mojmir Hanes(1760)022000-<=><=>4360.08%0.02%89.67%8Diamante(1647)<2><>=>-==>==2201.50%0.22%79.38%9DukeOfPrunes(1707)=0002===->=<=2120.24%0.07%92.21%10Jaakko Pirinen(1735)==>=<<<=<-<==001.18%0.18%86.09%11kitaktus(1787)=0<0=>><=>-==001.97%0.34%77.20%12Ray Garrison(1842)<<><>===>==-=0014.59%0.88%39.14%13Tore S(1756)>0===><=====-003.11%0.41%72.81%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.10.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• DukeOfPrunes 2 - 0 Hartmut <--- upset!
  

Num Players: 13

Games completed: 29/78

NPlayerRating12345678910111213ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Hartmut(1824)-2022220>==><106847.82%2.83%5.82%2RoRoRo the Bot(1884)0-2200020=2>210400.46%0.26%41.33%3ypercube(1828)20-2<202<<><=8569.27%1.09%38.33%4Looser(1775)000-0222>=2>=8281.88%0.46%49.65%5Jonny(1814)02>2-020<>=<=6444.59%0.92%50.88%6YHW(1714)02002-2==><=<6400.60%0.10%82.31%7Mojmir Hanes(1760)022000-=<><=>4360.20%0.09%89.70%8DukeOfPrunes(1729)20002==-=>=<=4321.13%0.22%79.80%9Diamante(1615)<2><>=>=-=>==2201.16%0.16%86.64%10Jaakko Pirinen(1735)==>=<<<<=-<==001.72%0.26%86.57%11kitaktus(1787)=0<0=>>=<>-==002.82%0.51%76.89%12Ray Garrison(1842)<<><>==>===-=0019.69%1.26%38.50%13Tore S(1756)>0===><=====-004.45%0.56%73.58%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.10.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• ypercube 0 - 2 Jonny
  

Num Players: 13

Games completed: 30/78

NPlayerRating12345678910111213ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Hartmut(1824)-2202202>=>><107268.82%2.76%1.31%2RoRoRo the Bot(1901)0-0220200=2>210400.32%0.21%35.89%3Jonny(1831)02-22002<>=<<8602.28%0.72%48.97%4ypercube(1827)200-2220<<>=<8564.17%0.64%44.63%5Looser(1775)0000-222>=2><8280.64%0.22%59.12%6YHW(1714)02200-=2=><=<6440.34%0.10%81.33%7DukeOfPrunes(1729)20200=->>>=<>4362.28%0.49%62.34%8Mojmir Hanes(1760)020200<-<><>>4360.05%0.04%93.89%9Diamante(1638)<2>><=<>-=>==2200.96%0.15%84.13%10Jaakko Pirinen(1735)==<>=<<<=-<==001.38%0.25%86.77%11kitaktus(1787)<0=<0>=><>-<>001.44%0.27%83.45%12Ray Garrison(1842)<<>=<=><==>-<007.25%0.69%55.82%13Tore S(1756)>0>>>><<==<>-006.53%0.79%62.33%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.10.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Mojmir Hanes 0 - 2 kitaktus
  

Num Players: 13

Games completed: 31/78

NPlayerRating12345678910111213ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Hartmut(1824)-2202202>>=><107262.11%3.12%1.77%2RoRoRo the Bot(1872)0-02202002=>210440.34%0.21%38.61%3Jonny(1831)02-22002<=><<8603.05%0.80%50.37%4ypercube(1827)200-2220<>==<8569.14%1.28%34.20%5Looser(1775)0000-222>2=><8320.77%0.22%58.95%6YHW(1714)02200-=2=<>==6440.72%0.15%78.44%7DukeOfPrunes(1729)20200=->>=><>4362.55%0.60%63.88%8Mojmir Hanes(1746)020200<-<0>>>4360.01%0.00%97.69%9Diamante(1651)<2>><=<>->==>2201.65%0.25%80.02%10kitaktus(1801)<0=<0>=2<-><>282.33%0.37%78.45%11Jaakko Pirinen(1735)==<==<<<=<-==001.35%0.21%89.03%12Ray Garrison(1818)<<>=<=><=>=-<005.86%0.57%63.17%13Tore S(1756)>0>>>=<<<<=>-005.98%0.74%65.42%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.10.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Tore S 0 - 2 Mojmir Hanes
  

Num Players: 13

Games completed: 32/78

NPlayerRating12345678910111213ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Hartmut(1824)-2202220>>=><107664.80%2.87%2.24%2RoRoRo the Bot(1881)0-02200202>>210440.44%0.32%26.70%3Jonny(1831)02-22020=<><<8642.47%0.67%51.31%4ypercube(1827)200-2202====<8566.11%1.11%42.82%5Looser(1775)0000-222>2=><8360.90%0.26%60.43%6YHW(1737)02200-2>=<><=6481.25%0.23%68.28%7Mojmir Hanes(1762)020200-<<0=>26360.00%0.00%97.65%8DukeOfPrunes(1720)20200<>->=><>4361.31%0.41%74.81%9Diamante(1652)<2==<=><-><=>2201.61%0.29%84.71%10kitaktus(1801)<0>=0>2=<-><>2125.12%0.64%66.01%11Jaakko Pirinen(1706)=<<==<=<><-==000.33%0.08%95.35%12Ray Garrison(1818)<<>=<><>=>=-<007.21%0.61%60.27%13Tore S(1740)>0>>>=0<<<=>-004.49%0.66%69.42%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.10.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Tore S 2 - 0 Hartmut
  

Num Players: 13

Games completed: 33/78

NPlayerRating12345678910111213ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Hartmut(1805)-2202220>0>=>107659.84%3.00%3.12%2RoRoRo the Bot(1866)0-022002022>>10480.53%0.34%29.09%3Jonny(1831)02-22020==<><8644.93%0.95%41.94%4ypercube(1827)200-2202=<===8566.40%1.15%44.79%5Looser(1775)0000-222>=2=>8361.43%0.35%54.94%6YHW(1737)02200-2>==<><6481.42%0.22%69.89%7Mojmir Hanes(1762)020200-<<20=>64000.00%98.03%8DukeOfPrunes(1720)20200<>->>=><4361.38%0.39%77.21%9Diamante(1652)<2==<=><->><=2201.79%0.28%85.40%10Tore S(1759)20=>==0<<-<=>2204.00%0.62%71.87%11kitaktus(1801)<0>=0>2=<>-><2125.52%0.72%67.05%12Jaakko Pirinen(1706)=<<==<=<>=<-=000.40%0.09%95.50%13Ray Garrison(1818)<<>=<><>=<>=-008.14%0.61%61.18%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

remarkable, although winning against the leader Tore's chances dropped

He previously had 5 >, 2 =, and 3 <. One of those > has become the win.

He now has only 2 >, 4 = and 3 <. So losing the advantage in those two games has been costly.