11. Championship

Now we have the lowest number of player in the ch. ever... 178

That doesn't bother me. I'm in League One for the first time ever. Yeah! :-)

You are welcome... :---)))) One more EinStein-Dino... ;--)))

Uhh, it will be hart to beat Rororo in the Championship...

Phil, is it possible that Rororo calculate the tournament?

Tournament: einstein.ch.11.1.1

I've been requested to follow einstein.ch.11.1.1 by FatPhil

For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page.

• Already completed matches:
  

Num Players: 12

Games completed: 27/66

NPlayerRating123456789101112ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1RoRoRo the Bot(1792)-2202220<222166048.65%4.38%02John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor(1784)0-22022====>8445.25%1.47%18.36%3kfiecio(1871)00-02022<2==8240075.54%4Jonny(1817)202-=02><==>6568.05%1.53%19.85%5Hartmut(1789)020=-202><=>6280.21%0.16%60.13%6Luca Bruzzi(1665)00220-0><<==4280098.05%7Disciple(1735)000022-><<<=4200098.75%8FCGerard'91(1751)2=0<0<<->==<2320.08%0.01%90.97%9hanfried_c(1871)>=>><>><-==<0030.38%2.50%15.39%10kitaktus(1807)0=0=>>>==-=>001.91%0.49%48.68%11Diamante(1723)0=====>===-=000.19%0.06%86.24%12Carroll(1791)0<=<<==>><=-000.08%0.02%88.03%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.11.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Carroll 0 - 2 John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor
  

Num Players: 12

Games completed: 28/66

NPlayerRating123456789101112ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1RoRoRo the Bot(1817)-2202220<222166444.95%4.21%02John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor(1759)0-22022====210444.51%1.33%20.21%3kfiecio(1871)00-02022<2<=8240080.80%4Jonny(1817)202-=02><==>6568.33%1.50%20.41%5Hartmut(1789)020=-202><=>6320.27%0.18%58.64%6Luca Bruzzi(1665)00220-0><<==4280098.39%7Disciple(1735)000022-><<<=4200098.69%8FCGerard'91(1751)2=0<0<<-><=<2320.22%0.02%88.44%9hanfried_c(1871)>=>><>><-==<0033.29%2.41%14.08%10kitaktus(1807)0=0=>>>>=-=>002.91%0.65%41.79%11Diamante(1723)0=>===>===-=000.44%0.11%81.33%12Carroll(1702)00=<<==>><=-000.00%097.23%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

How is it possible that my p(win) dropped although I won the last game?

Cause you've lost 25 rating points since then.

Tournament: einstein.ch.11.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Carroll 0 - 2 Jonny
  

Num Players: 12

Games completed: 29/66

NPlayerRating123456789101112ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1RoRoRo the Bot(1841)-2022220<222166450.20%4.24%02John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor(1768)0-22022===<210483.33%1.08%25.70%3Jonny(1827)20-2=02><==28565.88%1.28%20.55%4kfiecio(1856)000-2022<2<=8240082.73%5Hartmut(1789)02=0-202><<>6320.35%0.17%53.03%6Luca Bruzzi(1665)00220-0><<><4320098.66%7Disciple(1735)000022-><<<=4200098.82%8FCGerard'91(1751)2=<00<<-><=<2320.20%0.01%88.88%9hanfried_c(1871)>=>><>><-==<0031.63%2.46%14.53%10kitaktus(1807)0==0>>>>=-=>002.73%0.73%43.85%11Diamante(1730)0>=>><>===-=000.77%0.14%74.81%12Carroll(1692)000=<>=>><=-000098.44%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

Note that the rating is only one course of dropping as the other Jonny now has the same with growing rating. Rororo also use the real score in games and calculates from there, so while you can win a game that was almost won will not really raise the rating will a game that you were at 1-1 and now you are trailing 1-2 give a loss of more %.

Note that the wins against Carroll are expected win according to her rating.

Well, it has nothing to to with the rating.

Just with the tournament. Rororo calculate very complex, so not only the win und lose games of one player are in the calculation, all players are involved in the calculation, that means the Son points.

That would never explain why your chance would drop after a single victory, if only one game has been completed. Rororo guesses on the outcome of every game, that looks at the entire result and does this thousands of times. Clearly (a bit more than) half would be with the mentionned victory. There the result will be in average (at least) better than those with a loss at the same spot. Only if the other games are significant changed (due for instance that Johnny trails Diamante in the last table, and not in the previous table) the other games will influence the table, and that was exactly my point. Rororo uses the ratings to make his guesses and that is the other possible significant change. I don't think that two runs of Rororo with the same knowledge would differ so much, as we see now.

Firstly, there's enough noise such that the final digit is meaningless, but I keep it there to give a pretence of it being accurate. Shhhh! don't tell anyone ;-)

Also notice that it wasn't just a single victory that's changed. Kitaktus has got a boost of a whole 1% after winning one frame in his match against hanfried_c. That 1% has got to come from somewhere, and while some of it would be from hanfried_c, some of it comes from others.

But certainly, most of the change in prediction comes from the change in rating. (See RoRoRo's recent boost from a ratings hike.)

Tournament: einstein.ch.11.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Hartmut 2 - 0 Carroll
  

Num Players: 12

Games completed: 30/66

NPlayerRating123456789101112ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1RoRoRo the Bot(1824)-2022220<222166849.18%4.42%02John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor(1804)0-20222===<210484.64%1.28%21.84%3Jonny(1827)20-=202><==28565.24%1.41%22.58%4Hartmut(1799)02=-0202><<28320.36%0.21%49.31%5kfiecio(1856)0002-022<2<=8280084.94%6Luca Bruzzi(1682)00202-0><<>=4320097.47%7Disciple(1735)000202-><<<>4240098.36%8FCGerard'91(1751)2=<00<<-><=<2320.18%0.01%89.52%9hanfried_c(1871)>=><>>><-==<0032.09%2.37%14.09%10kitaktus(1807)0==>0>>>=-=>002.60%0.63%44.91%11Diamante(1720)0>=>><>===->000.63%0.15%77.17%12Carroll(1664)0000==<>><<-000099.80%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.11.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• hanfried_c 2 - 0 kfiecio
  

Num Players: 12

Games completed: 31/66

NPlayerRating123456789101112ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1RoRoRo the Bot(1824)-2022220<222166843.92%4.22%02John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor(1804)0-20222===<210484.40%1.32%22.33%3Jonny(1827)20-=202><==28564.72%1.22%22.11%4Hartmut(1799)02=-0202><<28320.35%0.20%47.33%5kfiecio(1841)0002-02202<=8280091.49%6Luca Bruzzi(1682)00202-0><<>=4320097.67%7Disciple(1735)000202-><<<>4240098.50%8FCGerard'91(1751)2=<00<<-><=<2320.22%0.01%89.67%9hanfried_c(1886)>=><2>><-==<21637.89%2.60%9.69%10kitaktus(1807)0==>0>>>=-=>002.75%0.72%44.59%11Diamante(1720)0>=>><>===->000.71%0.14%76.83%12Carroll(1664)0000==<>><<-000099.79%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.11.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• hanfried_c 2 - 0 RoRoRo the Bot
  
• kitaktus 2 - 0 Luca Bruzzi
  

Num Players: 12

Games completed: 33/66

NPlayerRating123456789101112ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1RoRoRo the Bot(1823)-20220220222167222.02%5.30%02John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor(1816)0-202=22==<210485.86%1.61%22.03%3Jonny(1827)20-=2<02>==28564.79%1.32%24.54%4Hartmut(1799)02=-0>202<<28320.97%0.52%43.75%5kfiecio(1841)0002-00222<=8320092.71%6hanfried_c(1899)2=><2->><===44855.77%3.91%3.06%7Luca Bruzzi(1672)00202<-0>0>=4320099.55%8Disciple(1735)00020<2-><<>4240099.37%9FCGerard'91(1751)2=<00><<-<=<2320.18%0.02%90.35%10kitaktus(1817)0==>0=2>>-=>283.14%0.78%47.10%11Diamante(1720)0>=>>=<>==->000.73%0.16%77.70%12Carroll(1675)0000===<><<-000099.84%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.11.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Luca Bruzzi 0 - 2 Carroll
  

Num Players: 12

Games completed: 34/66

NPlayerRating123456789101112ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1RoRoRo the Bot(1823)-20220220222167622.36%5.39%02John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor(1827)0-202=22==2<10526.32%1.77%21.68%3Jonny(1827)20-=2<02>=2=8605.34%1.28%23.42%4Hartmut(1799)02=-0>202<2<8360.94%0.50%45.06%5kfiecio(1841)0002-00222=<8320092.23%6hanfried_c(1899)2=><2->><===44854.02%3.96%3.64%7Luca Bruzzi(1657)00202<-0>00>4320099.98%8Disciple(1735)00020<2-><><4240099.41%9FCGerard'91(1751)2=<00><<-<<=2320.19%0.01%90.91%10kitaktus(1817)0==>0=2>>->=283.37%0.73%45.51%11Carroll(1690)0000==2<><-<280099.83%12Diamante(1720)0>=>>=<>==>-000.80%0.20%78.33%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.11.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Luca Bruzzi 2 - 0 FCGerard'91
  
• FCGerard'91 0 - 2 Jonny
  

Num Players: 12

Games completed: 36/66

NPlayerRating123456789101112ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1RoRoRo the Bot(1776)-02222020222168021.46%5.67%02Jonny(1839)2-0=20<22=2=10646.34%1.75%16.27%3John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor(1827)02-022=2<=2<10604.45%1.97%24.55%4Hartmut(1799)0=2-02>02<2<8400.75%0.44%44.80%5kfiecio(1841)0002-00222=<8320092.87%6Luca Bruzzi(1676)02002-<0200>6400099.92%7hanfried_c(1899)2>=<2>-><===44855.85%4.15%3.03%8Disciple(1735)000202<-><><4280099.34%9FCGerard'91(1720)20>000><-<<=2320096.63%10kitaktus(1817)0==>02=>>->=2123.38%0.65%44.53%11Carroll(1690)0000=2=<><-<2120099.84%12Diamante(1720)0=>>><=>==>-000.67%0.16%78.21%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.11.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Carroll 0 - 2 Disciple
  

Num Players: 12

Games completed: 37/66

NPlayerRating123456789101112ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1RoRoRo the Bot(1770)-02222200222168418.26%5.02%02Jonny(1839)2-0=202<2>2=10689.77%2.23%9.37%3John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor(1827)02-0222=<=2<10644.52%2.23%23.87%4Hartmut(1799)0=2-020>2<2<8400.93%0.49%44.20%5kfiecio(1851)0002-02022=<8360092.17%6Luca Bruzzi(1676)02002-0<200=6400099.95%7Disciple(1748)000202-<=<2=6320099.11%8hanfried_c(1899)2>=<2>>-<===44857.28%4.13%2.74%9FCGerard'91(1720)20>000=>-<<=2320094.55%10kitaktus(1817)0<=>02>=>->=2121.66%0.40%53.07%11Carroll(1677)0000=20=><-<2120099.93%12Diamante(1708)0=>>>=====>-000.56%0.16%81.03%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.11.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Hartmut 0 - 2 Jonny
  

Num Players: 12

Games completed: 38/66

NPlayerRating123456789101112ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1RoRoRo the Bot(1770)-02222200222168410.98%3.96%02Jonny(1853)2-02202<2>2=128416.71%3.90%1.59%3John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor(1827)02-0222=<=2<10685.14%2.19%19.25%4Hartmut(1785)002-020>2<2<8400067.64%5kfiecio(1851)0002-02022=<8360090.08%6Luca Bruzzi(1676)02002-0<200=6440099.91%7Disciple(1748)000202-<=<2=6320098.81%8hanfried_c(1899)2>=<2>>-<===44857.81%3.84%2.38%9FCGerard'91(1720)20>000=>-<<=2320094.17%10kitaktus(1817)0<=>02>=>->=2121.53%0.47%50.59%11Carroll(1677)0000=20=><-<2120099.93%12Diamante(1727)0=>>>=====>-000.86%0.17%75.65%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.11.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Carroll 2 - 0 kfiecio <--- upset!
  

Num Players: 12

Games completed: 39/66

NPlayerRating123456789101112ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1RoRoRo the Bot(1757)-0222220202216889.88%4.45%02Jonny(1853)2-02202<22>>128826.02%5.44%0.96%3John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor(1781)02-0222=2<=<10721.73%0.94%32.41%4Hartmut(1785)002-020>22<<8440077.09%5kfiecio(1860)0002-020022<8360098.83%6Luca Bruzzi(1722)02002-0<020<6440099.85%7Disciple(1748)000202-<2=<<6360098.34%8hanfried_c(1899)2>=<2>>-=<=<44850.34%4.03%3.59%9Carroll(1718)0000220=-=<<4280099.66%10FCGerard'91(1720)20>000=>=-<<2320093.52%11kitaktus(1817)0<=>02>=>>->2122.14%0.55%43.61%12Diamante(1726)0<>>>>>>>><-002.28%0.35%52.13%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.11.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• kitaktus 2 - 0 Hartmut
  

Num Players: 12

Games completed: 40/66

NPlayerRating123456789101112ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1RoRoRo the Bot(1757)-02222202202169211.75%4.97%02Jonny(1853)2-02202<>22>128825.32%5.50%1.09%3John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor(1781)02-0222=>2<<10722.90%1.43%20.31%4Hartmut(1771)002-020>022<8440089.52%5kfiecio(1860)0002-020202<8400099.15%6Luca Bruzzi(1722)02002-0<002<6440099.87%7Disciple(1748)000202-<<2=<6360097.36%8hanfried_c(1899)2>=<2>>-==<<44848.31%3.91%4.50%9kitaktus(1831)0<<202>=->>>4281.61%0.58%42.46%10Carroll(1718)0000220=<-=<4280099.71%11FCGerard'91(1720)20>000=><=-<2320093.60%12Diamante(1726)0<>>>>>><>>-002.05%0.32%52.44%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.11.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Luca Bruzzi 0 - 2 hanfried_c
  

Num Players: 12

Games completed: 41/66

NPlayerRating123456789101112ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1RoRoRo the Bot(1757)-02220222202169210.19%4.74%02Jonny(1853)2-022<02>22>128823.55%5.35%1.06%3John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor(1781)02-02=22>2<<10722.90%1.49%19.69%4Hartmut(1771)002-0>20022<8440089.24%5kfiecio(1860)0002-002202<8400099.02%6hanfried_c(1907)2>=<2-2>==<<66052.06%3.97%3.53%7Luca Bruzzi(1714)020020-0002<64400100.00%8Disciple(1748)00020<2-<2=<6360097.22%9kitaktus(1831)0<<20=2>->>>4281.80%0.64%38.48%10Carroll(1718)00002=20<-=<4280099.69%11FCGerard'91(1720)20>00>0=<=-<2320095.42%12Diamante(1712)0<>>>>>><>>-001.57%0.32%56.66%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.11.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Disciple 2 - 0 FCGerard'91
  
• John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor 0 - 2 FCGerard'91
  

Num Players: 12

Games completed: 43/66

NPlayerRating123456789101112ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1RoRoRo the Bot(1773)-0222202022216968.35%3.71%02Jonny(1853)2-0222<02>2>129624.14%4.99%0.96%3John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor(1745)02-022=20>2<10761.43%0.57%26.94%4Hartmut(1771)002-00>2202<8480090.75%5kfiecio(1867)0002-200220<8480098.53%6Disciple(1763)00020-<22<2<8440094.93%7hanfried_c(1907)2>=<2>-2<=><66055.17%4.28%2.58%8Luca Bruzzi(1714)0200200-200<64800100.00%9FCGerard'91(1722)202000>0-<=<4520098.51%10kitaktus(1831)0<<20>=2>->>4281.69%0.50%39.08%11Carroll(1728)000020<2=<-<4280099.94%12Diamante(1727)0<>>>>>>><>-002.29%0.29%47.77%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.11.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Jonny 2 - 0 kitaktus
  

Num Players: 12

Games completed: 44/66

NPlayerRating123456789101112ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1RoRoRo the Bot(1792)-0222202022216961.87%1.05%02Jonny(1867)2-0222<0222>1410432.66%3.57%03John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor(1799)02-022<20>2<10800.83%0.57%19.47%4Hartmut(1771)002-00>2202<8480081.87%5kfiecio(1872)0002-200220=8480097.46%6Disciple(1763)00020-<22<2<8440092.69%7hanfried_c(1907)2>><2>-2<>><66059.54%3.30%1.35%8Luca Bruzzi(1735)0200200-200<65200100.00%9FCGerard'91(1722)202000>0-<=<4520096.58%10kitaktus(1817)00<20><2>->>42800.02%52.15%11Carroll(1728)000020<2=<-<4280099.84%12Diamante(1704)0<>>=>>>><>-000.84%0.17%58.59%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.11.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Carroll 0 - 2 kitaktus
  

Num Players: 12

Games completed: 45/66

NPlayerRating123456789101112ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1RoRoRo the Bot(1792)-02222022022161005.44%1.43%02Jonny(1867)2-0222<0222=1410828.67%2.97%0.00%3John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor(1799)02-202<2>02<10800.68%0.65%24.10%4kfiecio(1882)000-2200220=8520097.78%5Hartmut(1771)0020-0>2022=8480072.48%6Disciple(1763)00002-<2<22<8440094.31%7hanfried_c(1907)2>>2<>-2><><66059.62%2.89%1.86%8Luca Bruzzi(1753)0202000-020<65200100.00%9kitaktus(1829)00<02><2->2>63600.02%54.49%10FCGerard'91(1722)202000>0<-=<4520097.64%11Carroll(1726)000200<20=-<4280099.97%12Diamante(1718)0=>==>>><>>-001.52%0.36%57.37%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.11.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Disciple 0 - 2 kitaktus
  

Num Players: 12

Games completed: 46/66

NPlayerRating123456789101112ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1RoRoRo the Bot(1792)-02222202022161045.54%1.45%02Jonny(1867)2-02222<022=1411228.88%3.07%0.00%3John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor(1799)02-2>02<202<10800.74%0.55%25.75%4kfiecio(1882)000-2220020=8560097.98%5kitaktus(1841)00<0-22<2>2>8520.00%0.04%46.05%6Hartmut(1771)00200-0>222=8480073.62%7Disciple(1751)000002-<222<8440098.15%8hanfried_c(1907)2>>2><>-2<><66059.38%2.93%1.96%9Luca Bruzzi(1753)02020000-20<65200100.00%10FCGerard'91(1722)2020<00>0-=<4520097.79%11Carroll(1726)0002000<2=-<4280099.99%12Diamante(1718)0=>=<=>>>>>-001.34%0.36%58.71%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.11.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• FCGerard'91 2 - 0 Carroll
  

Num Players: 12

Games completed: 47/66

NPlayerRating123456789101112ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1RoRoRo the Bot(1775)-02222200222161045.69%0.86%02Jonny(1867)2-02222<202=1411630.46%3.17%0.00%3John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor(1799)02-20>2<022<10800.54%0.61%27.17%4kfiecio(1911)000-2220200>8600097.61%5Hartmut(1771)0020-00>222=8520073.69%6kitaktus(1841)00<02-2<>22>8520.01%0.08%45.93%7Disciple(1751)000020-<222<8480098.20%8hanfried_c(1907)2>>2<>>-<2><66057.92%3.69%2.01%9FCGerard'91(1738)20200<0>-02=6600093.60%10Luca Bruzzi(1753)020200002-0<65600100.00%11Carroll(1710)0002000<02-<42800100.00%12Diamante(1739)0=><=<>>=>>-001.04%0.40%61.79%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.11.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• kfiecio 2 - 0 Diamante
  

Num Players: 12

Games completed: 48/66

NPlayerRating123456789101112ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1RoRoRo the Bot(1783)-02222202022161086.27%0.92%02Jonny(1867)2-02222<022=1412030.02%2.97%03John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor(1799)02-20>2<202<10840.53%0.50%26.20%4kfiecio(1901)000-2220020210600097.32%5Hartmut(1771)0020-00>222=8520074.60%6kitaktus(1841)00<02-2<2>2>85200.01%48.12%7Disciple(1751)000020-<222<8480098.24%8hanfried_c(1907)2>>2<>>-2<><66458.27%3.38%2.05%9Luca Bruzzi(1753)02020000-20<66000100.00%10FCGerard'91(1738)20200<0>0-2<6600096.14%11Carroll(1721)0002000<20-<43200100.00%12Diamante(1752)0=>0=<>>>>>-000.84%0.42%57.33%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.11.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor 0 - 2 Diamante
  

Num Players: 12

Games completed: 49/66

NPlayerRating123456789101112ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1RoRoRo the Bot(1765)-02222202022161126.38%0.80%02Jonny(1867)2-02222<022=1412031.03%3.29%03John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor(1790)02-20>2<202010840031.82%4kfiecio(1901)000-2220020210640097.09%5Hartmut(1771)0020-00>222=8520074.67%6kitaktus(1841)00<02-2<2>2>85200.01%48.79%7Disciple(1751)000020-<222<8480098.21%8hanfried_c(1907)2>>2<>>-2<><66457.24%3.73%2.09%9Luca Bruzzi(1753)02020000-20<66000100.00%10FCGerard'91(1738)20200<0>0-2<6600096.46%11Carroll(1721)0002000<20-<43200100.00%12Diamante(1762)0=20=<>>>>>-2201.23%0.51%50.87%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.11.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Luca Bruzzi 0 - 2 Diamante
  

Num Players: 12

Games completed: 50/66

NPlayerRating123456789101112ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1RoRoRo the Bot(1725)-02222202022161165.99%0.72%02Jonny(1867)2-02222<02=21412031.52%3.69%03John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor(1769)02-20>2<200210840034.22%4kfiecio(1901)000-2220022010680097.17%5Hartmut(1771)0020-00>22=28520073.95%6kitaktus(1841)00<02-2<2>>285200.01%48.25%7Disciple(1751)000020-<22<28480098.08%8hanfried_c(1907)2>>2<>>-2<<>66456.88%4.18%2.04%9Luca Bruzzi(1755)02020000-20066000100.00%10FCGerard'91(1738)20200<0>0-<26600096.54%11Diamante(1743)0=20=<>>2>->4321.10%0.50%49.75%12Carroll(1721)0002000<20<-43200100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.11.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Diamante 2 - 0 Carroll
  
• Diamante 2 - 0 Jonny
  

Num Players: 12

Games completed: 52/66

NPlayerRating123456789101112ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1RoRoRo the Bot(1717)-022222202021612415.25%2.09%02Jonny(1846)2-020222<0221412015.66%0.71%03John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor(1769)02-200>2<20210840043.63%4kfiecio(1909)000-2222002010760099.29%5Diamante(1760)0220-=<>>2>28683.28%1.58%21.68%6Hartmut(1771)0020=-00>2228520077.33%7kitaktus(1841)00<0>2-2<2>285200.04%58.57%8Disciple(1751)0000<20-<2228480098.73%9hanfried_c(1907)2>>2<<>>-2<>66462.62%2.22%2.69%10Luca Bruzzi(1755)020200000-2066000100.00%11FCGerard'91(1738)2020<0<0>0-26600098.09%12Carroll(1705)00020000<20-43200100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.11.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• hanfried_c 2 - 0 John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor
  

Num Players: 12

Games completed: 53/66

NPlayerRating123456789101112ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1RoRoRo the Bot(1745)-02202222202161247.35%0.78%02Jonny(1846)2-02<02220221412014.40%0.27%03John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor(1725)02-2000>220210840047.84%4kfiecio(1841)000-0222202010760098.53%5hanfried_c(1915)2>22-=<>>2<>88475.59%1.38%0.55%6Diamante(1727)0220=-=<>2=28681.10%0.68%36.08%7Hartmut(1771)0020>=-002228520072.60%8kitaktus(1841)00<0<>2-22>285200.05%51.65%9Disciple(1751)0000<<20-2228480097.94%10Luca Bruzzi(1755)020200000-2066000100.00%11FCGerard'91(1738)2020>=0<00-26600094.80%12Carroll(1705)0002<000020-43200100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.11.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• hanfried_c 2 - 0 Disciple
  

Num Players: 12

Games completed: 54/66

NPlayerRating123456789101112ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1RoRoRo the Bot(1745)-00222222202161244.49%0.60%02Jonny(1846)2-<0202220221412013.00%0.23%03hanfried_c(1923)2>-22=<>22<>1010080.21%1.21%0.32%4John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor(1725)020-200>220210840048.20%5kfiecio(1841)0000-222202010760098.39%6Diamante(1727)02=20-=<>2=28680.96%0.65%35.70%7Hartmut(1771)00>20=-002228520072.02%8kitaktus(1841)00<<0>2-22>285200.06%50.77%9Disciple(1743)00000<20-22284800100.00%10Luca Bruzzi(1755)020020000-2066000100.00%11FCGerard'91(1738)20>20=0<00-26600094.60%12Carroll(1705)00<02000020-43200100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.11.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Hartmut 0 - 2 Diamante
  
• Diamante 2 - 0 Disciple
  

Num Players: 12

Games completed: 56/66

NPlayerRating123456789101112ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1RoRoRo the Bot(1760)-02022222202161323.39%0.74%02Jonny(1846)2-0<022220221412011.67%0.79%03Diamante(1749)02-=202=22=2121006.01%2.84%2.99%4hanfried_c(1923)2>=-22<>22<>1010074.88%3.76%0.31%5John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor(1725)0200-20>220210840042.23%6kfiecio(1854)00200-22202010840099.82%7Hartmut(1753)000>20-0022285200100.00%8kitaktus(1841)00=<<02-22>285200.13%57.68%9Disciple(1726)00000020-22284800100.00%10Luca Bruzzi(1755)020002000-2066000100.00%11FCGerard'91(1738)20=>200<00-26600096.97%12Carroll(1705)000<0200020-43200100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.11.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Hartmut 2 - 0 hanfried_c
  

Num Players: 12

Games completed: 57/66

NPlayerRating123456789101112ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1RoRoRo the Bot(1760)-02022222202161365.90%0.51%02Jonny(1846)2-0<202220221412415.78%1.26%03Diamante(1762)02-=022=22=2121048.97%3.37%3.07%4hanfried_c(1900)2>=-220>22<>1010064.71%4.15%0.64%5kfiecio(1854)0020-022202010880099.78%6John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor(1725)02002-0>220210840042.27%7Hartmut(1776)000202-00222107200100.00%8kitaktus(1841)00=<0<2-22>28560057.46%9Disciple(1726)00000020-22285200100.00%10Luca Bruzzi(1755)020020000-2066000100.00%11FCGerard'91(1738)20=>020<00-26600096.79%12Carroll(1705)000<2000020-43200100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.11.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• hanfried_c 2 - 0 Jonny
  

Num Players: 12

Games completed: 58/66

NPlayerRating123456789101112ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1RoRoRo the Bot(1764)-002222222021613611.91%0.62%02Jonny(1833)2-0020222022141240003hanfried_c(1913)22-=220>22<=1212877.15%2.53%0.02%4Diamante(1734)02=-022=22=2121047.93%2.88%2.13%5kfiecio(1854)0002-022202010880099.68%6John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor(1706)02002-0=220210840064.61%7Hartmut(1776)002002-00222107600100.00%8kitaktus(1841)00<=0=2-22>28560036.80%9Disciple(1726)00000020-22285200100.00%10Luca Bruzzi(1755)020020000-2066000100.00%11FCGerard'91(1738)20>=020<00-26600096.75%12Carroll(1705)00=02000020-43200100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.11.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor 0 - 2 kitaktus
  

Num Players: 12

Games completed: 59/66

NPlayerRating123456789101112ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1RoRoRo the Bot(1764)-00222222202161409.41%0.23%02Jonny(1833)2-0020222022141280003hanfried_c(1913)22->220>22<=1212886.34%0.86%0.03%4Diamante(1728)02<-022=22=2121043.15%1.09%0.40%5kfiecio(1859)0002-022202010920099.64%6John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor(1702)02002-002202108400100.00%7Hartmut(1776)002002-00222107600100.00%8kitaktus(1851)00<=022-22>21076003.56%9Disciple(1726)00000020-22285200100.00%10Luca Bruzzi(1755)020020000-2066000100.00%11FCGerard'91(1738)20>=020<00-26600096.37%12Carroll(1716)00=02000020-43200100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.11.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• hanfried_c 2 - 0 Carroll
  

Num Players: 12

Games completed: 60/66

NPlayerRating123456789101112ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1RoRoRo the Bot(1791)-00222222202161402.48%002hanfried_c(1920)2-2>220>22<21413695.74%0.61%03Jonny(1833)20-020222022141280004Diamante(1718)0<2-022<22=2121041.17%0.61%0.50%5kfiecio(1864)0002-022202010920099.89%6John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor(1695)00202-002202108400100.00%7Hartmut(1776)020002-00222108000100.00%8kitaktus(1851)0<0>022-22>21076002.68%9Disciple(1726)00000020-22285200100.00%10Luca Bruzzi(1736)002020000-2066000100.00%11FCGerard'91(1738)2>0=020<00-26600096.93%12Carroll(1709)00002000020-43200100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

Why is the game hanfried_c vs. Diamante depicted as hanfried_c > Diamante? The standing ist, as far as I can see, 2-2.

The scores aren't updated dynamically, when RoRoRo posted hanfried_c was leading 2-1.

Tournament: einstein.ch.11.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• FCGerard'91 0 - 2 Diamante
  

Num Players: 12

Games completed: 61/66

NPlayerRating123456789101112ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1RoRoRo the Bot(1791)-00222222202161447.13%002hanfried_c(1920)2-2=220>22<21413687.06%003Jonny(1833)20-020222022141280004Diamante(1730)0=2-022<2222141165.80%005kfiecio(1873)0002-022202010960099.58%6John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor(1695)00202-002202108400100.00%7Hartmut(1776)020002-00222108000100.00%8kitaktus(1851)0<0>022-22>21076000.80%9Disciple(1726)00000020-22285200100.00%10Luca Bruzzi(1736)002020000-2066000100.00%11FCGerard'91(1721)2>00020<00-26600099.62%12Carroll(1709)00002000020-43200100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.11.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• FCGerard'91 2 - 0 hanfried_c <--- upset!
  

Num Players: 12

Games completed: 62/66

NPlayerRating123456789101112ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1RoRoRo the Bot(1791)-00222220222161448.25%002hanfried_c(1896)2-2=220>02221413685.55%003Jonny(1833)20-020222202141320004Diamante(1730)0=2-022<2222141206.20%005kfiecio(1873)0002-0222200101000099.64%6John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor(1695)00202-000222108400100.00%7Hartmut(1776)020002-02022108400100.00%8kitaktus(1851)0<0>022->2221076000.94%9FCGerard'91(1745)2200020<-0028880099.42%10Disciple(1726)000000202-2285600100.00%11Luca Bruzzi(1736)0020200020-066400100.00%12Carroll(1709)00002000002-43200100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

Tournament: einstein.ch.11.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Diamante 0 - 2 hanfried_c
  

Num Players: 12

Games completed: 63/66

NPlayerRating123456789101112ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1hanfried_c(1904)-222202>022216164100.00%002RoRoRo the Bot(1806)0-0222220222161440003Jonny(1833)02-022022202141320004Diamante(1710)002-022<2222141200005kfiecio(1884)0002-20222001010000100.00%6Hartmut(1776)20000-202022108800100.00%7John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor(1695)002020-00222108400100.00%8kitaktus(1851)<00>022->2221076000.88%9FCGerard'91(1745)2200002<-0028920099.12%10Disciple(1726)000002002-2285600100.00%11Luca Bruzzi(1736)0020200020-066400100.00%12Carroll(1709)00002000002-43200100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

congrats to hanfried_c (and to his programmer :)

Congrats also from me to Hanfried and its

programmers (Jorg Sameith & Stefan Schwarz)

and its operator (Stefan Schwarz) !

A "restricted" version of Hanfried can be

downloaded from here.

Ingo

(proud doctor father of Stefan (Dr. in 2003) and Jorg (Dr. in 2005))

jepp, congrats from me too. It was a hard fight for me... but both bots are better... this time. :-))

Jonny - EinStein Oldy

Thank you very much.

I was not aware that the tournament is already decided.

I am happy that my match against hanfried will not influence the championship.

It would have a bad tast, otherwise. To avoid such situations I will not play in the championship together with hanfried.

Kitaktus (=Stefan)