connect6.ch.17.1.1 predictions

*Tournament: connect6.ch.17.1.1
I've been requested to follow connect6.ch.17.1.1 by RoRoRo the Bot

For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page .
\* Already completed matches:

Games completed: 0/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Russian boy | 2382 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 50.47% | 2.25% | 2.90% |
| 2 | ogogo | 2288 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 20.67% | 1.72% | 11.46% |
| 3 | Phoenix | 2198 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 6.70% | 0.92% | 32.63% |
| 4 | xooox | 2186 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 5.39% | 0.74% | 37.10% |
| 5 | cutecat | 2174 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.51% | 0.70% | 41.84% |
| 6 | niobium | 2172 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.57% | 0.70% | 43.56% |
| 7 | iec | 2163 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 3.99% | 0.61% | 46.93% |
| 8 | ondik | 2014 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.21% | 0.06% | 87.62% |
| 9 | euhuang | 1934 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.01% | 95.95% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: connect6.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* xooox 0 - 2 ondik
\* euhuang 2 - 0 xooox <--- upset!

Games completed: 2/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | euhuang | 1951 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | 0 | 0.13% | 0.04% | 86.48% |
| 2 | ondik | 2066 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | 0 | 1.28% | 0.25% | 60.35% |
| 3 | iec | 2163 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.15% | 0.62% | 41.97% |
| 4 | niobium | 2172 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.82% | 0.67% | 39.79% |
| 5 | cutecat | 2174 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.85% | 0.72% | 39.38% |
| 6 | Phoenix | 2198 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 6.92% | 0.88% | 32.34% |
| 7 | ogogo | 2288 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 21.63% | 1.57% | 11.98% |
| 8 | Russian boy | 2382 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 52.87% | 2.05% | 3.03% |
| 9 | xooox | 2130 | *0 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.28% | 0.02% | 84.67% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: connect6.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* ogogo 2 - 0 xooox
\* xooox 0 - 2 niobium

Games completed: 4/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | ondik | 2066 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 1.04% | 0.26% | 61.63% |
| 2 | ogogo | 2296 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 25.18% | 1.89% | 6.90% |
| 3 | euhuang | 1951 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.10% | 0.02% | 87.79% |
| 4 | niobium | 2186 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | *2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 6.87% | 0.98% | 27.56% |
| 5 | iec | 2163 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 3.53% | 0.62% | 42.98% |
| 6 | cutecat | 2174 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.33% | 0.64% | 39.56% |
| 7 | xooox | 2108 | 0 | *0 | 0 | *0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 97.68% |
| 8 | Russian boy | 2382 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 49.17% | 2.28% | 3.03% |
| 9 | Phoenix | 2198 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 6.41% | 0.89% | 32.88% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: connect6.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* xooox 0 - 2 Russian boy

Games completed: 5/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | ondik | 2066 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.90% | 0.22% | 61.45% |
| 2 | niobium | 2186 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6.46% | 1.05% | 25.97% |
| 3 | Russian boy | 2387 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | 0 | 52.74% | 2.19% | 1.76% |
| 4 | ogogo | 2296 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 23.21% | 1.81% | 7.47% |
| 5 | euhuang | 1927 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.06% | 0.02% | 90.83% |
| 6 | cutecat | 2174 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.20% | 0.61% | 38.63% |
| 7 | iec | 2163 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 3.30% | 0.56% | 42.61% |
| 8 | Phoenix | 2198 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 6.00% | 0.77% | 32.12% |
| 9 | xooox | 2106 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.16% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: connect6.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* cutecat 2 - 0 xooox
\* xooox 0 - 2 Phoenix

Games completed: 7/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Phoenix | 2184 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | 0 | 5.82% | 0.96% | 28.19% |
| 2 | euhuang | 1950 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.07% | 0.02% | 89.47% |
| 3 | ondik | 2066 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.82% | 0.21% | 66.18% |
| 4 | niobium | 2190 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6.57% | 1.14% | 28.73% |
| 5 | cutecat | 2187 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | 0 | 6.15% | 0.94% | 30.05% |
| 6 | ogogo | 2296 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 22.87% | 1.94% | 9.34% |
| 7 | Russian boy | 2387 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 50.70% | 2.43% | 2.46% |
| 8 | iec | 2163 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 3.49% | 0.59% | 45.57% |
| 9 | xooox | 2090 | *0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: connect6.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* ondik 2 - 0 Phoenix

Games completed: 8/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | ondik | 2087 | - | _ | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2.58% | 0.53% | 38.92% |
| 2 | niobium | 2190 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6.49% | 1.07% | 28.14% |
| 3 | cutecat | 2187 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6.24% | 0.92% | 30.43% |
| 4 | Phoenix | 2163 | *0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.74% | 0.38% | 54.68% |
| 5 | euhuang | 1950 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.09% | 0.03% | 90.33% |
| 6 | ogogo | 2296 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 23.54% | 1.85% | 9.34% |
| 7 | Russian boy | 2387 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 52.59% | 2.09% | 2.59% |
| 8 | iec | 2163 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 3.49% | 0.55% | 45.56% |
| 9 | xooox | 2090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: connect6.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* cutecat 0 - 2 ogogo

Games completed: 9/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | ondik | 2087 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2.31% | 0.46% | 37.35% |
| 2 | ogogo | 2307 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | *2 | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 4 | 31.92% | 2.07% | 3.32% |
| 3 | euhuang | 1950 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.10% | 0.03% | 89.03% |
| 4 | niobium | 2190 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6.22% | 1.05% | 27.49% |
| 5 | Phoenix | 2163 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.60% | 0.38% | 53.05% |
| 6 | cutecat | 2176 | _ | *0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.75% | 0.57% | 42.70% |
| 7 | Russian boy | 2387 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 49.66% | 2.13% | 2.40% |
| 8 | iec | 2163 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 3.38% | 0.48% | 44.65% |
| 9 | xooox | 2090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: connect6.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* euhuang 0 - 2 ondik

Games completed: 10/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | ondik | 2096 | - | _ | *2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3.12% | 0.75% | 28.13% |
| 2 | ogogo | 2307 | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 4 | 31.63% | 2.23% | 3.34% |
| 3 | euhuang | 1941 | *0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 95.19% |
| 4 | niobium | 2190 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5.93% | 1.06% | 28.35% |
| 5 | cutecat | 2176 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.71% | 0.52% | 43.20% |
| 6 | Phoenix | 2170 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.77% | 0.39% | 53.57% |
| 7 | Russian boy | 2387 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 49.20% | 2.38% | 2.60% |
| 8 | iec | 2163 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 3.32% | 0.50% | 45.62% |
| 9 | xooox | 2090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: connect6.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* euhuang 0 - 2 ogogo

Games completed: 11/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | ondik | 2096 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3.18% | 0.80% | 28.11% |
| 2 | ogogo | 2310 | _ | - | *2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 8 | 33.30% | 2.05% | 2.72% |
| 3 | euhuang | 1938 | 0 | *0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 96.72% |
| 4 | niobium | 2190 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5.89% | 1.05% | 28.13% |
| 5 | cutecat | 2176 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.52% | 0.51% | 42.86% |
| 6 | Russian boy | 2387 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 48.29% | 2.24% | 2.36% |
| 7 | Phoenix | 2170 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.71% | 0.38% | 53.46% |
| 8 | iec | 2163 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 2.94% | 0.51% | 45.64% |
| 9 | xooox | 2096 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: connect6.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Phoenix 2 - 0 euhuang

Games completed: 12/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | ondik | 2096 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 12 | 3.22% | 0.83% | 28.39% |
| 2 | ogogo | 2310 | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 8 | 32.81% | 2.15% | 2.83% |
| 3 | Phoenix | 2180 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | *2 | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 2.20% | 0.56% | 44.10% |
| 4 | cutecat | 2176 | _ | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 1.46% | 0.52% | 44.67% |
| 5 | niobium | 2190 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 5.74% | 1.06% | 31.59% |
| 6 | euhuang | 1932 | 0 | 0 | *0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98.83% |
| 7 | Russian boy | 2387 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 48.15% | 2.30% | 2.62% |
| 8 | xooox | 2096 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | iec | 2163 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 3.06% | 0.51% | 46.96% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: connect6.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* iec 2 - 0 xooox

Games completed: 13/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | ondik | 2096 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 6 | 12 | 3.10% | 0.86% | 30.73% |
| 2 | ogogo | 2310 | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 6 | 8 | 31.96% | 2.50% | 3.33% |
| 3 | Phoenix | 2184 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2.46% | 0.63% | 45.03% |
| 4 | Russian boy | 2387 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 47.01% | 2.57% | 2.70% |
| 5 | cutecat | 2176 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.48% | 0.59% | 47.24% |
| 6 | niobium | 2190 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5.57% | 1.10% | 33.40% |
| 7 | euhuang | 1946 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98.85% |
| 8 | iec | 2176 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | *2 | 2 | 0 | 4.57% | 1.00% | 38.72% |
| 9 | xooox | 2091 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: connect6.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* ogogo 0 - 2 Russian boy
\* niobium 0 - 2 ondik

Games completed: 15/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | ondik | 2127 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | *2 | _ | 2 | 8 | 16 | 7.47% | 1.36% | 8.78% |
| 2 | ogogo | 2298 | _ | - | *0 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 8.21% | 1.81% | 5.36% |
| 3 | Russian boy | 2399 | _ | *2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 12 | 72.01% | 2.57% | 0.50% |
| 4 | Phoenix | 2184 | 0 | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1.73% | 0.53% | 45.73% |
| 5 | euhuang | 1933 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98.86% |
| 6 | iec | 2176 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4.18% | 0.84% | 35.37% |
| 7 | niobium | 2171 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.25% | 0.43% | 57.24% |
| 8 | cutecat | 2176 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.78% | 0.58% | 48.16% |
| 9 | xooox | 2101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: connect6.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Phoenix 0 - 2 iec
\* Phoenix 2 - 0 ogogo

Games completed: 17/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | ondik | 2127 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 8.51% | 1.45% | 11.77% |
| 2 | Phoenix | 2189 | 0 | - | *2 | _ | *0 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 1.02% | 0.69% | 37.82% |
| 3 | ogogo | 2277 | _ | *0 | - | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 2.04% | 1.42% | 15.19% |
| 4 | Russian boy | 2399 | _ | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 12 | 71.19% | 2.71% | 0.94% |
| 5 | iec | 2192 | _ | *2 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 12 | 9.77% | 1.26% | 19.95% |
| 6 | cutecat | 2176 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2.51% | 0.60% | 52.02% |
| 7 | niobium | 2171 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.26% | 0.44% | 62.87% |
| 8 | euhuang | 1933 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.44% |
| 9 | xooox | 2101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: connect6.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* ondik 2 - 0 cutecat

Games completed: 18/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | ondik | 2145 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | *2 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 15.64% | 1.70% | 0.18% |
| 2 | Phoenix | 2189 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0.43% | 0.69% | 33.03% |
| 3 | ogogo | 2277 | _ | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 1.70% | 1.27% | 13.01% |
| 4 | iec | 2192 | _ | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 12 | 9.23% | 1.26% | 16.39% |
| 5 | Russian boy | 2399 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 12 | 68.65% | 2.63% | 0.80% |
| 6 | euhuang | 1977 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98.60% |
| 7 | niobium | 2171 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.86% | 0.35% | 61.05% |
| 8 | cutecat | 2158 | *0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.08% | 0.14% | 76.93% |
| 9 | xooox | 2086 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: connect6.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Russian boy 2 - 0 Phoenix
\* iec 2 - 0 euhuang
\* niobium 0 - 2 Phoenix
\* Russian boy 2 - 0 cutecat
\* Phoenix 0 - 2 cutecat

Games completed: 23/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | ondik | 2146 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 11.18% | 0.78% | 0 |
| 2 | Russian boy | 2411 | _ | - | *2 | _ | 2 | *2 | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 36 | 78.39% | 1.25% | 0.01% |
| 3 | Phoenix | 2187 | 0 | *0 | - | 0 | 2 | *0 | 2 | *2 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 29.64% |
| 4 | iec | 2199 | _ | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | *2 | _ | 2 | 6 | 20 | 8.47% | 1.03% | 12.75% |
| 5 | ogogo | 2277 | _ | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0.40% | 0.48% | 10.89% |
| 6 | cutecat | 2170 | 0 | *0 | *2 | _ | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 68.06% |
| 7 | euhuang | 1985 | 0 | _ | 0 | *0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.70% |
| 8 | niobium | 2156 | 0 | _ | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.07% | 0.10% | 78.94% |
| 9 | xooox | 2091 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: connect6.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Russian boy 2 - 0 iec

Games completed: 24/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Russian boy | 2418 | - | _ | 2 | *2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 10 | 48 | 88.25% | 0.70% | 0 |
| 2 | ondik | 2146 | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 10.48% | 0.55% | 0 |
| 3 | Phoenix | 2187 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 25.83% |
| 4 | iec | 2192 | *0 | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 0.40% | 0.41% | 17.41% |
| 5 | ogogo | 2277 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0.10% | 0.23% | 10.77% |
| 6 | cutecat | 2170 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 67.41% |
| 7 | niobium | 2156 | _ | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 78.90% |
| 8 | euhuang | 1985 | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.68% |
| 9 | xooox | 2091 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: connect6.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* iec 2 - 0 ogogo
\* ogogo 0 - 2 ondik
\* ogogo 2 - 0 niobium

Games completed: 27/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | ondik | 2166 | - | _ | _ | 2 | *2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 48 | 15.81% | 2.76% | 0 |
| 2 | Russian boy | 2418 | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 10 | 56 | 80.41% | 2.76% | 0 |
| 3 | iec | 2211 | _ | 0 | - | 2 | *2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 8 | 36 | 1.03% | 2.76% | 0.75% |
| 4 | Phoenix | 2187 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 22.04% |
| 5 | ogogo | 2250 | *0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | *2 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 33.18% |
| 6 | cutecat | 2170 | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 63.04% |
| 7 | euhuang | 1974 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.49% |
| 8 | niobium | 2144 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | *0 | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 81.50% |
| 9 | xooox | 2107 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: connect6.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* ondik 2 - 0 iec

Games completed: 28/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | ondik | 2184 | - | _ | *2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 64 | 21.69% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Russian boy | 2418 | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 10 | 56 | 78.31% | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | iec | 2193 | *0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 8 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 1.57% |
| 4 | Phoenix | 2187 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 19.84% |
| 5 | ogogo | 2250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 30.53% |
| 6 | cutecat | 2170 | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 64.01% |
| 7 | euhuang | 2000 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.29% |
| 8 | niobium | 2144 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 84.76% |
| 9 | xooox | 2084 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: connect6.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* cutecat 2 - 0 euhuang

Games completed: 29/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | ondik | 2187 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 68 | 22.07% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Russian boy | 2418 | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 10 | 60 | 77.93% | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | iec | 2193 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 8 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 2.39% |
| 4 | Phoenix | 2187 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 27.64% |
| 5 | ogogo | 2250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 25.86% |
| 6 | cutecat | 2179 | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | 0 | - | *2 | _ | 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 59.19% |
| 7 | euhuang | 1996 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | niobium | 2144 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 84.93% |
| 9 | xooox | 2084 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: connect6.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Russian boy 0 - 2 euhuang <--- astonishing! [°_°]

Games completed: 30/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | ondik | 2188 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 72 | 38.82% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Russian boy | 2389 | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | *0 | _ | 2 | 10 | 60 | 61.18% | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | iec | 2193 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 8 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 2.58% |
| 4 | Phoenix | 2187 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 28.09% |
| 5 | ogogo | 2250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 26.40% |
| 6 | cutecat | 2179 | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 6 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 58.43% |
| 7 | euhuang | 2025 | 0 | *2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | niobium | 2144 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 84.50% |
| 9 | xooox | 2084 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Russion boy timed out? Quite strange, I thought he didn't use any vacation days in this championship (and thus this year).

*Tournament: connect6.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* ondik 2 - 0 Russian boy <--- upset!

Games completed: 31/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | ondik | 2213 | - | *2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 92 | 100% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Russian boy | 2365 | *0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | _ | 2 | 10 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | iec | 2193 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 8 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 2.95% |
| 4 | Phoenix | 2187 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 28.23% |
| 5 | ogogo | 2250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 26.43% |
| 6 | cutecat | 2179 | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 6 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 58.85% |
| 7 | euhuang | 2034 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | niobium | 2144 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 83.54% |
| 9 | xooox | 2084 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

great ondrej

thanks :)

congrats!

Ondrej, my congratulations! :)

congratulations! so cool!

thanks all :)