polyomino.ch.2.1.1 predictions Polyomino forum

17 replies. Last post: 2013-08-26

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polyomino.ch.2.1.1 predictions
  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-07-29

    Tournament: polyomino.ch.2.1.1
    I’ve been requested to follow polyomino.ch.2.1.1 by RoRoRo the Bot
    For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page .

    • Already completed matches:

    Games completed: 0/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Tellmarch 1827 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 30.55% 2.02% 7.90%
    2 vstjrt 1825 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 30.20% 2.06% 8.87%
    3 z 1766 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 15.51% 1.56% 18.38%
    4 Thomas 1708 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 7.34% 1.03% 34.70%
    5 conillet 1675 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 4.42% 0.64% 46.60%
    6 michelwav 1674 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 4.34% 0.70% 47.53%
    7 Reiner Martin 1659 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 3.35% 0.57% 53.52%
    8 Carroll 1531 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.32% 0.08% 87.40%
    9 bennok 1462 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.08% 0.02% 95.11%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-07-31

    Tournament: polyomino.ch.2.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • michelwav 2 – 0 Tellmarch

    Games completed: 1/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 michelwav 1696 - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 0 13.79% 1.63% 19.49%
    2 bennok 1462 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.06% 0.02% 95.14%
    3 Carroll 1531 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.29% 0.08% 87.11%
    4 Reiner Martin 1659 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 3.93% 0.66% 53.10%
    5 conillet 1675 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 4.82% 0.79% 48.58%
    6 Thomas 1698 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 7.16% 1.08% 40.68%
    7 z 1766 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 16.82% 1.75% 21.88%
    8 Tellmarch 1805 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 11.76% 1.67% 24.68%
    9 vstjrt 1838 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 36.83% 2.35% 9.35%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-07-31

    Tournament: polyomino.ch.2.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Carroll 0 – 2 Tellmarch
    • michelwav 0 – 2 z

    Games completed: 3/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 michelwav 1684 - 0 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 4.96% 1.00% 29.79%
    2 z 1778 2 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 26.11% 2.19% 9.86%
    3 Tellmarch 1810 0 _ - 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 0 14.83% 1.85% 17.45%
    4 Carroll 1526 _ _ 0 - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.11% 0.04% 91.23%
    5 Reiner Martin 1659 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 3.53% 0.58% 54.37%
    6 conillet 1675 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 4.55% 0.73% 49.59%
    7 Thomas 1698 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 6.45% 0.94% 42.53%
    8 vstjrt 1838 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 34.98% 2.37% 9.42%
    9 bennok 1462 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.06% 0.02% 95.75%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-08-03

    Tournament: polyomino.ch.2.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • michelwav 2 – 0 Carroll

    Games completed: 4/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 michelwav 1693 - 0 2 _ _ _ 2 _ _ 4 4 6.24% 1.22% 21.92%
    2 z 1791 2 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 8 27.77% 2.27% 8.28%
    3 Tellmarch 1810 0 _ - _ _ _ 2 _ _ 2 0 12.74% 1.79% 18.95%
    4 Thomas 1698 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 5.80% 0.91% 41.99%
    5 Reiner Martin 1659 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 3.30% 0.55% 55.92%
    6 bennok 1462 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.05% 0.02% 95.64%
    7 Carroll 1517 0 _ 0 _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.02% 0.01% 96.41%
    8 conillet 1675 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 4.14% 0.74% 52.13%
    9 vstjrt 1847 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 35.54% 2.24% 8.76%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-08-03

    Tournament: polyomino.ch.2.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Carroll 0 – 2 z

    Games completed: 5/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 z 1796 - 2 _ _ _ _ 2 _ _ 4 8 31.05% 2.48% 5.94%
    2 michelwav 1693 0 - 2 _ _ _ 2 _ _ 4 4 5.22% 1.27% 22.53%
    3 Tellmarch 1810 _ 0 - _ _ _ 2 _ _ 2 0 12.53% 1.82% 19.17%
    4 Thomas 1698 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 5.60% 0.82% 41.95%
    5 Reiner Martin 1659 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 3.01% 0.51% 56.24%
    6 bennok 1462 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.05% 0.01% 95.65%
    7 Carroll 1512 0 0 0 _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 98.29%
    8 conillet 1675 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 3.99% 0.70% 51.78%
    9 vstjrt 1847 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 34.11% 2.27% 8.45%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-08-06

    Tournament: polyomino.ch.2.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Reiner Martin 0 – 2 michelwav

    Games completed: 6/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 michelwav 1719 - 0 2 _ 2 _ 2 _ _ 6 4 11.22% 2.15% 7.45%
    2 z 1807 2 - _ _ _ _ 2 _ _ 4 12 37.64% 2.81% 4.38%
    3 Tellmarch 1810 0 _ - _ _ _ 2 _ _ 2 0 11.61% 1.94% 18.35%
    4 Thomas 1698 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 5.88% 1.02% 40.66%
    5 Reiner Martin 1651 0 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.90% 0.25% 71.55%
    6 bennok 1462 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.05% 0.02% 95.36%
    7 Carroll 1512 0 0 0 _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0 0 98.19%
    8 conillet 1675 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 4.20% 0.68% 50.05%
    9 vstjrt 1808 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 23.68% 2.06% 14.00%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-08-07

    Tournament: polyomino.ch.2.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • z 0 – 2 Reiner Martin

    Games completed: 7/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 michelwav 1719 - 0 2 2 _ _ 2 _ _ 6 8 17.57% 2.68% 8.04%
    2 z 1785 2 - 0 _ _ _ 2 _ _ 4 12 18.72% 2.67% 13.44%
    3 Reiner Martin 1673 0 2 - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 8 4.01% 0.97% 43.02%
    4 Tellmarch 1810 0 _ _ - _ _ 2 _ _ 2 0 13.39% 2.09% 22.83%
    5 Thomas 1698 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 7.11% 1.11% 46.21%
    6 bennok 1462 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.07% 0.02% 96.46%
    7 Carroll 1512 0 0 _ 0 _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0 0.00% 98.56%
    8 conillet 1675 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 4.95% 0.84% 55.32%
    9 vstjrt 1808 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 28.37% 2.51% 16.11%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-08-08

    Tournament: polyomino.ch.2.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • bennok 0 – 2 Carroll
    • bennok 0 – 2 Thomas
    • bennok 0 – 2 michelwav
    • z 2 – 0 bennok
    • Reiner Martin 2 – 0 bennok
    • Tellmarch 2 – 0 bennok
    • bennok 0 – 2 vstjrt

    Games completed: 14/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 michelwav 1717 - 0 2 2 _ 2 _ 2 _ 8 20 17.16% 2.98% 6.53%
    2 z 1808 2 - 0 _ _ 2 _ 2 _ 6 20 22.20% 3.33% 10.11%
    3 Reiner Martin 1662 0 2 - _ _ _ _ 2 _ 4 12 3.59% 1.06% 43.11%
    4 Tellmarch 1810 0 _ _ - _ 2 _ 2 _ 4 4 11.89% 2.32% 23.72%
    5 Thomas 1704 _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 _ 2 0 7.26% 1.33% 44.04%
    6 Carroll 1525 0 0 _ 0 _ - _ 2 _ 2 0 0 0.00% 98.03%
    7 vstjrt 1811 _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 _ 2 0 27.10% 2.74% 15.88%
    8 bennok 1435 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - _ 0 0 0 0 100%
    9 conillet 1675 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 4.31% 0.86% 58.58%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-08-13

    Tournament: polyomino.ch.2.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Carroll 1 – 1 Reiner Martin
    • conillet 2 – 0 bennok
    • z 2 – 0 conillet

    Games completed: 17/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 z 1822 - 2 0 _ 2 _ 2 _ 2 8 26 34.63% 1.17% 3.25%
    2 michelwav 1724 0 - 2 2 2 _ _ _ 2 8 24 15.79% 1.04% 5.67%
    3 Reiner Martin 1651 2 0 - _ 1 _ _ _ 2 5 19 1.48% 0 54.88%
    4 Tellmarch 1810 _ 0 _ - 2 _ _ _ 2 4 6 12.00% 1.10% 19.58%
    5 Carroll 1531 0 0 1 0 - _ _ _ 2 3 5 0 0 98.34%
    6 Thomas 1704 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 2 0 7.11% 0.66% 40.12%
    7 conillet 1666 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ 2 2 0 1.45% 0.25% 63.09%
    8 vstjrt 1806 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 24.91% 1.36% 15.07%
    9 bennok 1435 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-08-16

    Tournament: polyomino.ch.2.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Tellmarch 0 – 2 z

    Games completed: 18/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 z 1837 - 2 0 2 2 _ 2 _ 2 10 34 53.41% 1.25% 0.04%
    2 michelwav 1724 0 - 2 2 2 _ _ _ 2 8 24 10.38% 0.39% 5.18%
    3 Reiner Martin 1607 2 0 - _ 1 _ _ _ 2 5 23 0.53% 0 61.18%
    4 Tellmarch 1795 0 0 _ - 2 _ _ _ 2 4 6 0.66% 0.20% 29.48%
    5 Carroll 1531 0 0 1 0 - _ _ _ 2 3 5 0 0 98.14%
    6 Thomas 1704 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 2 0 6.43% 0.61% 35.13%
    7 conillet 1657 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0.70% 0.12% 60.52%
    8 vstjrt 1819 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 26.08% 1.23% 10.33%
    9 bennok 1435 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-08-21

    Tournament: polyomino.ch.2.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Thomas 0 – 2 z

    Games completed: 19/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 z 1850 - 2 0 2 2 2 2 _ 2 12 38 66.87% 1.17% 0
    2 michelwav 1724 0 - 2 2 2 _ _ _ 2 8 24 6.61% 0.22% 4.28%
    3 Reiner Martin 1621 2 0 - _ 1 _ _ _ 2 5 27 0.39% 0 55.23%
    4 Tellmarch 1795 0 0 _ - 2 _ _ _ 2 4 6 0.07% 0.02% 28.05%
    5 Carroll 1531 0 0 1 0 - _ _ _ 2 3 5 0 0 97.87%
    6 Thomas 1694 0 _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 2 0 0.82% 0.16% 46.27%
    7 conillet 1657 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0.37% 0.09% 58.57%
    8 vstjrt 1819 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 23.43% 1.20% 9.72%
    9 bennok 1435 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-08-21

    Tournament: polyomino.ch.2.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Thomas 0 – 2 michelwav

    Games completed: 20/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 z 1850 - 2 0 2 2 2 2 _ 2 12 42 63.26% 1.01% 0
    2 michelwav 1738 0 - 2 2 2 2 _ _ 2 10 28 12.02% 0.15% 0.01%
    3 Reiner Martin 1621 2 0 - _ 1 _ _ _ 2 5 27 0.38% 0 50.93%
    4 Tellmarch 1795 0 0 _ - 2 _ _ _ 2 4 6 0.03% 0 24.80%
    5 Carroll 1531 0 0 1 0 - _ _ _ 2 3 5 0 0 97.36%
    6 Thomas 1680 0 0 _ _ _ - _ _ 2 2 0 0 0 63.49%
    7 conillet 1657 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0.38% 0.11% 55.45%
    8 vstjrt 1819 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 22.78% 1.06% 7.96%
    9 bennok 1435 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-08-25

    Tournament: polyomino.ch.2.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • michelwav 0 – 2 conillet
    • Tellmarch 2 – 0 Reiner Martin

    Games completed: 22/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 z 1850 - 2 2 0 2 2 2 _ 2 12 50 69.20% 1.80% 0
    2 michelwav 1719 0 - 2 2 0 2 2 _ 2 10 32 1.57% 0.19% 0
    3 Tellmarch 1801 0 0 - 2 _ 2 _ _ 2 6 16 0.07% 0 18.47%
    4 Reiner Martin 1567 2 0 0 - _ 1 _ _ 2 5 27 0 0 78.22%
    5 conillet 1676 0 2 _ _ - _ _ _ 2 4 20 1.22% 0.34% 26.75%
    6 Carroll 1531 0 0 0 1 _ - _ _ 2 3 5 0 0 98.21%
    7 Thomas 1671 0 0 _ _ _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0 70.57%
    8 vstjrt 1831 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 25.94% 1.70% 7.77%
    9 bennok 1435 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-08-25

    Tournament: polyomino.ch.2.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • conillet 2 – 0 Reiner Martin

    Games completed: 23/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 z 1850 - 2 2 2 0 2 2 _ 2 12 54 70.96% 2.20% 0
    2 michelwav 1719 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 _ 2 10 32 0.34% 0.01% 0
    3 conillet 1687 0 2 - _ 2 _ _ _ 2 6 30 1.97% 0.23% 12.33%
    4 Tellmarch 1801 0 0 _ - 2 2 _ _ 2 6 16 0 0 18.76%
    5 Reiner Martin 1556 2 0 0 0 - 1 _ _ 2 5 27 0 0 93.02%
    6 Carroll 1531 0 0 _ 0 1 - _ _ 2 3 5 0 0 98.10%
    7 Thomas 1671 0 0 _ _ _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0 70.51%
    8 vstjrt 1831 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 24.51% 2.01% 7.28%
    9 bennok 1435 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-08-26

    Tournament: polyomino.ch.2.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Carroll 0 – 2 conillet
    • Thomas 2 – 0 Carroll

    Games completed: 25/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 z 1850 - 2 2 2 0 2 2 _ 2 12 62 71.06% 1.96% 0
    2 michelwav 1719 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 _ 2 10 36 0.06% 0 0
    3 conillet 1695 0 2 - _ 2 _ 2 _ 2 8 36 2.96% 0 6.72%
    4 Tellmarch 1801 0 0 _ - 2 _ 2 _ 2 6 16 0 0 23.37%
    5 Reiner Martin 1556 2 0 0 0 - _ 1 _ 2 5 27 0 0 94.78%
    6 Thomas 1680 0 0 _ _ _ - 2 _ 2 4 6 0 0 67.10%
    7 Carroll 1521 0 0 0 0 1 0 - _ 2 3 5 0 0 100%
    8 vstjrt 1831 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 23.96% 1.96% 8.03%
    9 bennok 1435 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-08-26

    Tournament: polyomino.ch.2.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • vstjrt 0 – 2 michelwav

    Games completed: 26/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 z 1850 - 2 2 2 0 2 2 _ 2 12 66 86.70% 2.39% 0
    2 michelwav 1739 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 12 40 0.14% 0 0
    3 conillet 1695 0 2 - _ 2 _ 2 _ 2 8 40 2.87% 0 4.54%
    4 Tellmarch 1801 0 0 _ - 2 _ 2 _ 2 6 16 0 0 20.82%
    5 Reiner Martin 1556 2 0 0 0 - _ 1 _ 2 5 27 0 0 92.87%
    6 Thomas 1680 0 0 _ _ _ - 2 _ 2 4 6 0 0 64.02%
    7 Carroll 1521 0 0 0 0 1 0 - _ 2 3 5 0 0 100%
    8 vstjrt 1811 _ 0 _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 7.89% 2.39% 17.75%
    9 bennok 1435 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-08-26

    Tournament: polyomino.ch.2.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • z 2 – 0 vstjrt

    Games completed: 27/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 z 1864 - 2 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 14 70 100% 0 0
    2 michelwav 1750 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 12 40 0 0 0
    3 conillet 1695 0 2 - _ 2 _ 2 _ 2 8 40 0 0 2.65%
    4 Tellmarch 1801 0 0 _ - 2 _ 2 _ 2 6 16 0 0 18.24%
    5 Reiner Martin 1556 2 0 0 0 - _ 1 _ 2 5 31 0 0 91.17%
    6 Thomas 1680 0 0 _ _ _ - 2 _ 2 4 6 0 0 58.62%
    7 Carroll 1521 0 0 0 0 1 0 - _ 2 3 5 0 0 100%
    8 vstjrt 1800 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 0 0 29.32%
    9 bennok 1435 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

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